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Table 22.8

Cancer of the Pancreas (Invasive)

5-Year Relative Survival (Percent) by Year of Diagnosis
Year of
Diagnosis
All Races Whites Blacks
Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females
1960-1963a - - - 1 1 2 1 0 3
1970-1973a - - - 2 2 2 2 0 3
1975-1977b 2.5 2.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.5 1.9
1978-1980b 2.9 2.7 3.0 2.5 2.6 2.5 5.7 4.5 7.0
1981-1983b 2.7 2.4 3.1 2.5 2.1 3.0 3.6 3.7 3.2
1984-1986b 2.9 2.3 3.5 2.6 2.1 3.1 4.7 3.9 5.3
1987-1989b 3.5 3.3 3.7 3.2 3.1 3.3 5.5 5.1 5.8
1990-1992b 4.3 4.1 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.5 3.6 3.2 4.0
1993-1995b 4.0 3.6 4.3 3.9 3.5 4.2 3.6 3.3 3.7
1996-1998b 4.4 4.6 4.1 4.1 4.7 3.6 3.4 3.1 3.5
1999-2001b 5.1 5.2 5.0 4.9 5.4 4.4 5.6 3.7 7.4
2002-2004b 5.5 5.1 5.9 5.6 5.5 5.8 4.3 3.0 5.5
2005-2011b 7.8f 8.1f 7.6f 7.8f 7.9f 7.7f 7.2f 8.5f 6.1f
5-Year Period Survival (Percent)cd
Year All Races Whites Blacks
Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females
2011 7.9 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.2 7.4 7.1
Stage Distribution (%) 2005-2011ce, Case Counts and Percentages
Stage at
Diagnosis
All Races Whites Blacks
Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females
Number of cases 56,808 28,345 28,463 45,281 22,908 22,373 6,920 3,184 3,736
Percent 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Localized 9 8 10 9 8 10 9 8 11
Regional 28 28 28 29 29 28 26 25 26
Distant 53 55 50 52 55 50 56 59 54
Unstaged 10 9 11 10 9 12 8 7 10
5-Year Relative Survival (Percent) 2005-2011c by Age at Diagnosis
Age at
Diagnosis
All Races Whites Blacks
Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females
Ages <45 27.4 23.4 32.1 27.1 23.6 31.4 26.6 21.5 31.4
Ages 45-54 11.8 10.2 14.1 11.6 9.7 14.6 12.0 11.6 12.4
Ages 55-64 8.1 7.2 9.4 8.4 7.7 9.5 5.5 4.5 6.9
Ages 65-74 6.7 6.6 6.8 6.8 6.6 7.0 5.2 4.5 5.7
Ages 75+ 3.6 3.4 3.7 3.6 3.3 3.8 2.7 3.4 2.3
Ages <65 10.8 9.4 12.8 10.8 9.5 12.8 9.4 8.0 11.2
Ages 65+ 4.9 5.0 4.8 4.9 5.0 4.9 3.9 4.1 3.8
5-Year Relative Survival (Percent) 2005-2011c by Stage at Diagnosise
Stage at
Diagnosis
All Races Whites Blacks
Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females
All Stages 7.2 7.0 7.3 7.1 6.9 7.3 6.6 6.4 6.7
Localized 27.1 27.0 27.0 26.1 26.2 25.8 25.4 23.4 26.6
Regional 10.7 11.1 10.3 11.0 11.2 10.7 10.0 11.6 8.4
Distant 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.8 1.4 2.2
Unstaged 4.4 5.0 4.0 3.9 4.3 3.6 7.4 9.5 5.7

Footnotes:

a Based on End Results data from a series of hospital registries and one population-based registry.

b SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Based on follow-up of patients into 2012.

c SEER 18 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey and Georgia excluding ATL/RG). Based on follow-up of patients into 2012.

d Period survival provides a 2011 estimate of survival by piecing together the most recent conditional survival estimates from several cohorts. It is computed here using three year calendar blocks (2009-2011: 0-1 year survival), (2008-2010: 1-2 year survival), (2007-2009: 2-3 year survival), (2006-2008: 3-4 year survival), (2005-2007: 4-5 years survival).

e Stage at diagnosis is classified using SEER Summary Stage 2000. Stage distribution percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding.

f The difference between 1975-1977 and 2005-2011 is statistically significant (p<.05).

g The standard error is between 5 and 10 percentage points.

h The standard error is greater than 10 percentage points.

- Statistic could not be calculated due to fewer than 25 cases during the time period.

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