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Figure 2.1
Figure 2.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2012, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2012, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2012, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2012, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.5 | 469.5 | 468.5 | 469.5 | 254.0 | 254.4 |
| 1976 | 481.9 | 476.2 | 481.9 | 476.2 | 257.5 | 256.8 |
| 1977 | 487.1 | 483.0 | 487.1 | 483.0 | 258.8 | 259.1 |
| 1978 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 261.6 | 261.5 |
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 263.2 | 263.9 |
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 265.0 | 264.5 |
| 1981 | 510.9 | 511.1 | 510.9 | 511.1 | 263.3 | 265.2 |
| 1982 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 266.3 | 265.8 |
| 1983 | 520.9 | 525.7 | 520.9 | 525.7 | 267.2 | 266.4 |
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.2 | 527.7 | 533.2 | 267.6 | 267.1 |
| 1985 | 533.5 | 540.8 | 533.5 | 540.8 | 268.2 | 267.7 |
| 1986 | 542.8 | 548.5 | 542.8 | 548.5 | 268.8 | 268.4 |
| 1987 | 568.8 | 556.3 | 568.8 | 556.3 | 269.0 | 269.0 |
| 1988 | 565.0 | 564.2 | 565.0 | 564.2 | 269.5 | 269.7 |
| 1989 | 573.5 | 572.3 | 573.5 | 572.3 | 270.2 | 270.4 |
| 1990 | 599.3 | 600.9 | 599.3 | 600.9 | 271.5 | 271.0 |
| 1991 | 644.4 | 631.0 | 644.4 | 631.0 | 271.2 | 271.7 |
| 1992 | 663.3 | 662.6 | 663.3 | 662.6 | 268.9 | 269.6 |
| 1993 | 620.1 | 628.7 | 620.1 | 628.7 | 267.9 | 267.5 |
| 1994 | 587.4 | 596.5 | 587.4 | 596.5 | 264.7 | 265.5 |
| 1995 | 570.1 | 565.9 | 570.1 | 566.0 | 261.5 | 260.8 |
| 1996 | 573.7 | 569.8 | 573.7 | 569.8 | 256.8 | 256.1 |
| 1997 | 576.2 | 573.7 | 576.2 | 573.6 | 251.6 | 251.6 |
| 1998 | 576.1 | 577.6 | 575.8 | 577.4 | 247.6 | 249.0 |
| 1999 | 582.9 | 581.6 | 582.4 | 581.3 | 247.1 | 246.5 |
| 2000 | 584.5 | 585.6 | 583.7 | 585.2 | 243.4 | 243.9 |
| 2001 | 588.5 | 582.3 | 587.2 | 581.1 | 240.3 | 239.9 |
| 2002 | 582.7 | 579.0 | 581.0 | 577.1 | 237.6 | 235.9 |
| 2003 | 567.0 | 575.7 | 564.8 | 573.2 | 232.2 | 232.0 |
| 2004 | 566.3 | 572.4 | 563.6 | 569.2 | 226.6 | 228.2 |
| 2005 | 560.9 | 569.2 | 557.5 | 565.3 | 224.9 | 224.4 |
| 2006 | 567.3 | 566.0 | 562.9 | 561.4 | 220.0 | 220.7 |
| 2007 | 577.7 | 562.8 | 572.2 | 557.6 | 216.6 | 217.0 |
| 2008 | 558.9 | 559.6 | 552.3 | 553.7 | 213.2 | 213.4 |
| 2009 | 550.7 | 556.4 | 542.7 | 549.9 | 209.3 | 209.9 |
| 2010 | 542.2 | 542.1 | 531.3 | 530.0 | 207.2 | 206.4 |
| 2011 | 534.2 | 528.1 | 519.1 | 510.8 | 203.2 | 203.0 |
| 2012 | 510.3 | 514.4 | 486.4 | 492.3 | 199.9 | 199.6 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.5 | 533.0 | 525.5 | 532.9 | 320.5 | 322.5 |
| 1976 | 552.9 | 548.0 | 552.9 | 548.0 | 328.4 | 328.4 |
| 1977 | 577.6 | 563.5 | 577.6 | 563.5 | 337.9 | 334.4 |
| 1978 | 570.7 | 579.4 | 570.7 | 579.4 | 340.9 | 340.5 |
| 1979 | 589.8 | 595.7 | 589.8 | 595.8 | 344.7 | 346.7 |
| 1980 | 615.1 | 612.5 | 615.1 | 612.6 | 353.9 | 353.0 |
| 1981 | 634.3 | 629.8 | 634.3 | 629.9 | 358.6 | 359.5 |
| 1982 | 622.1 | 633.9 | 622.1 | 633.9 | 364.9 | 366.0 |
| 1983 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 369.3 | 369.7 |
| 1984 | 643.9 | 642.1 | 643.9 | 642.1 | 377.9 | 373.4 |
| 1985 | 643.5 | 646.2 | 643.5 | 646.2 | 377.8 | 377.1 |
| 1986 | 643.5 | 650.4 | 643.5 | 650.3 | 378.9 | 380.9 |
| 1987 | 666.3 | 654.6 | 666.3 | 654.5 | 383.2 | 384.7 |
| 1988 | 657.7 | 658.8 | 657.7 | 658.7 | 384.2 | 388.5 |
| 1989 | 661.1 | 663.0 | 661.1 | 662.9 | 395.3 | 392.4 |
| 1990 | 699.8 | 707.4 | 699.8 | 707.7 | 399.1 | 396.3 |
| 1991 | 765.0 | 754.8 | 765.0 | 755.5 | 395.9 | 395.5 |
| 1992 | 809.6 | 805.3 | 809.6 | 806.5 | 389.2 | 394.6 |
| 1993 | 819.1 | 793.1 | 819.1 | 793.9 | 394.8 | 393.7 |
| 1994 | 784.2 | 781.1 | 784.2 | 781.5 | 385.2 | 385.7 |
| 1995 | 750.7 | 769.3 | 750.7 | 769.2 | 379.0 | 377.9 |
| 1996 | 728.4 | 757.6 | 728.4 | 757.2 | 373.7 | 370.2 |
| 1997 | 742.2 | 746.2 | 742.2 | 745.3 | 363.2 | 362.7 |
| 1998 | 727.4 | 734.9 | 727.1 | 733.6 | 353.1 | 355.3 |
| 1999 | 726.0 | 723.7 | 725.3 | 722.2 | 349.2 | 348.1 |
| 2000 | 715.9 | 712.8 | 714.8 | 710.8 | 341.2 | 341.1 |
| 2001 | 702.3 | 702.0 | 700.7 | 699.7 | 334.1 | 334.1 |
| 2002 | 701.5 | 691.3 | 699.3 | 688.7 | 325.8 | 325.2 |
| 2003 | 684.6 | 680.9 | 681.8 | 678.0 | 314.6 | 316.5 |
| 2004 | 689.1 | 670.5 | 685.4 | 667.3 | 307.3 | 308.1 |
| 2005 | 649.0 | 660.4 | 644.6 | 656.9 | 300.3 | 299.9 |
| 2006 | 651.3 | 663.8 | 645.8 | 659.2 | 290.2 | 291.8 |
| 2007 | 674.7 | 667.1 | 667.8 | 661.6 | 286.6 | 284.1 |
| 2008 | 671.6 | 670.5 | 663.1 | 664.0 | 275.3 | 276.5 |
| 2009 | 647.7 | 648.1 | 637.8 | 636.9 | 268.9 | 269.1 |
| 2010 | 624.2 | 626.3 | 611.4 | 610.9 | 264.2 | 261.9 |
| 2011 | 603.1 | 605.3 | 586.3 | 586.0 | 253.8 | 254.9 |
| 2012 | 587.8 | 585.0 | 561.5 | 562.1 | 247.8 | 248.1 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 369.6 | 371.0 | 369.6 | 371.0 | 159.0 | 159.7 |
| 1976 | 373.2 | 370.2 | 373.2 | 370.2 | 161.7 | 160.5 |
| 1977 | 367.9 | 369.3 | 367.9 | 369.3 | 161.6 | 161.4 |
| 1978 | 367.9 | 368.5 | 367.9 | 368.5 | 162.5 | 162.3 |
| 1979 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 161.7 | 163.2 |
| 1980 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 164.2 | 164.1 |
| 1981 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 164.6 | 165.0 |
| 1982 | 383.4 | 386.6 | 383.4 | 386.6 | 166.1 | 166.0 |
| 1983 | 387.9 | 393.1 | 387.9 | 393.0 | 166.7 | 166.9 |
| 1984 | 399.6 | 399.7 | 399.6 | 399.6 | 169.0 | 167.8 |
| 1985 | 411.5 | 406.4 | 411.5 | 406.3 | 169.6 | 168.7 |
| 1986 | 409.1 | 413.2 | 409.1 | 413.2 | 170.0 | 169.7 |
| 1987 | 423.2 | 420.2 | 423.2 | 420.1 | 169.9 | 170.6 |
| 1988 | 417.8 | 420.7 | 417.8 | 420.6 | 170.9 | 171.5 |
| 1989 | 418.6 | 421.1 | 418.6 | 421.2 | 172.9 | 172.5 |
| 1990 | 424.8 | 421.6 | 424.8 | 421.7 | 172.9 | 173.4 |
| 1991 | 428.5 | 422.1 | 428.5 | 422.2 | 173.4 | 173.1 |
| 1992 | 423.4 | 422.6 | 423.4 | 422.7 | 172.6 | 172.8 |
| 1993 | 417.0 | 423.0 | 417.0 | 423.3 | 172.8 | 172.6 |
| 1994 | 423.2 | 423.5 | 423.2 | 423.8 | 172.6 | 172.3 |
| 1995 | 426.1 | 424.0 | 426.1 | 424.3 | 171.7 | 172.0 |
| 1996 | 428.0 | 431.1 | 428.0 | 430.5 | 169.8 | 169.9 |
| 1997 | 440.9 | 438.4 | 440.9 | 436.8 | 167.3 | 167.8 |
| 1998 | 446.5 | 445.8 | 446.4 | 443.2 | 165.4 | 165.8 |
| 1999 | 443.7 | 444.0 | 443.4 | 442.2 | 165.9 | 165.4 |
| 2000 | 438.0 | 442.2 | 437.7 | 441.3 | 166.0 | 165.0 |
| 2001 | 442.7 | 440.3 | 442.1 | 440.3 | 163.8 | 164.6 |
| 2002 | 441.7 | 438.5 | 440.9 | 439.3 | 162.6 | 162.4 |
| 2003 | 433.3 | 436.7 | 432.3 | 438.4 | 160.4 | 160.2 |
| 2004 | 434.6 | 435.0 | 433.3 | 437.5 | 157.4 | 158.1 |
| 2005 | 435.5 | 435.8 | 433.9 | 436.5 | 156.0 | 155.9 |
| 2006 | 435.8 | 436.6 | 433.7 | 435.6 | 154.5 | 153.8 |
| 2007 | 437.5 | 437.4 | 434.9 | 434.6 | 151.9 | 151.8 |
| 2008 | 440.6 | 438.2 | 437.4 | 433.7 | 149.4 | 149.7 |
| 2009 | 444.4 | 439.0 | 440.4 | 432.7 | 147.5 | 147.7 |
| 2010 | 436.6 | 439.8 | 431.2 | 431.8 | 145.9 | 145.7 |
| 2011 | 438.5 | 440.7 | 430.6 | 430.9 | 143.4 | 143.7 |
| 2012 | 441.4 | 441.5 | 427.6 | 429.9 | 142.1 | 141.8 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 356.6 | 344.4 | 356.6 | 343.6 | 174.2 | 177.2 |
| 1976 | 340.9 | 348.2 | 340.9 | 347.5 | 179.1 | 178.9 |
| 1977 | 352.5 | 352.0 | 352.5 | 351.4 | 181.6 | 180.7 |
| 1978 | 344.0 | 355.8 | 344.0 | 355.4 | 181.5 | 182.5 |
| 1979 | 359.3 | 359.7 | 359.3 | 359.5 | 182.7 | 184.3 |
| 1980 | 366.7 | 363.6 | 366.7 | 363.5 | 189.2 | 186.2 |
| 1981 | 363.1 | 367.6 | 363.1 | 367.7 | 187.5 | 188.1 |
| 1982 | 359.5 | 371.7 | 359.5 | 371.8 | 190.2 | 189.9 |
| 1983 | 382.3 | 375.7 | 382.3 | 376.1 | 193.2 | 191.8 |
| 1984 | 386.1 | 379.8 | 386.1 | 380.3 | 195.7 | 193.8 |
| 1985 | 388.3 | 384.0 | 388.3 | 384.7 | 196.3 | 195.7 |
| 1986 | 396.6 | 388.2 | 396.6 | 389.0 | 199.1 | 197.7 |
| 1987 | 394.1 | 392.4 | 394.1 | 393.4 | 199.9 | 199.6 |
| 1988 | 404.5 | 396.7 | 404.5 | 397.9 | 200.4 | 201.6 |
| 1989 | 384.8 | 401.1 | 384.8 | 402.4 | 200.9 | 203.6 |
| 1990 | 409.4 | 405.5 | 409.4 | 407.0 | 205.4 | 205.7 |
| 1991 | 412.8 | 409.9 | 412.8 | 411.6 | 207.4 | 207.7 |
| 1992 | 413.9 | 410.5 | 413.9 | 411.8 | 205.8 | 206.6 |
| 1993 | 404.3 | 411.1 | 404.3 | 412.0 | 206.3 | 205.4 |
| 1994 | 409.3 | 411.6 | 409.3 | 412.2 | 204.1 | 204.2 |
| 1995 | 404.8 | 412.2 | 404.8 | 412.4 | 204.5 | 203.1 |
| 1996 | 417.7 | 412.8 | 417.7 | 412.6 | 200.9 | 201.9 |
| 1997 | 411.3 | 413.4 | 411.3 | 412.8 | 202.5 | 200.8 |
| 1998 | 419.0 | 414.0 | 418.9 | 413.0 | 198.4 | 199.6 |
| 1999 | 422.0 | 414.6 | 421.8 | 413.3 | 197.5 | 198.5 |
| 2000 | 406.0 | 415.1 | 405.6 | 413.5 | 193.2 | 195.4 |
| 2001 | 401.9 | 415.7 | 401.4 | 413.7 | 192.1 | 192.3 |
| 2002 | 427.7 | 416.3 | 426.9 | 413.9 | 191.4 | 189.3 |
| 2003 | 414.4 | 416.9 | 413.4 | 414.1 | 188.8 | 186.3 |
| 2004 | 420.9 | 417.5 | 419.6 | 414.3 | 183.5 | 183.4 |
| 2005 | 422.1 | 418.1 | 420.3 | 414.5 | 180.9 | 180.5 |
| 2006 | 417.9 | 418.7 | 415.8 | 414.7 | 177.3 | 177.7 |
| 2007 | 417.3 | 419.3 | 414.6 | 414.9 | 175.5 | 174.9 |
| 2008 | 420.5 | 419.9 | 417.1 | 415.1 | 170.4 | 172.2 |
| 2009 | 425.9 | 420.4 | 421.7 | 415.3 | 167.4 | 169.5 |
| 2010 | 411.6 | 421.0 | 406.1 | 415.5 | 166.2 | 166.9 |
| 2011 | 419.2 | 421.6 | 411.4 | 415.7 | 166.1 | 164.2 |
| 2012 | 427.5 | 422.2 | 414.1 | 415.9 | 161.9 | 161.7 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-12 | -2.6* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-12 | -3.6* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2000-12 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2008-12 | -3.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2008-12 | -4.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-12 | -2.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2004-12 | 0.2 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-12 | -0.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2001-12 | -1.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-12 | 0.1* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-12 | 0.0 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1999-12 | -1.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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