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Figure 23.1
Figure 23.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Prostate, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 29.1 | 29.5 |
| 1976 | 97.3 | 93.6 | 97.3 | 93.6 | 29.9 | 29.8 |
| 1977 | 98.6 | 96.2 | 98.6 | 96.2 | 29.9 | 30.0 |
| 1978 | 97.7 | 98.9 | 97.7 | 98.9 | 30.6 | 30.2 |
| 1979 | 102.3 | 101.7 | 102.3 | 101.7 | 30.8 | 30.5 |
| 1980 | 105.0 | 104.6 | 105.0 | 104.5 | 30.8 | 30.7 |
| 1981 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 30.8 | 30.9 |
| 1982 | 107.4 | 110.5 | 107.4 | 110.5 | 31.1 | 31.2 |
| 1983 | 110.9 | 113.6 | 110.8 | 113.6 | 31.6 | 31.4 |
| 1984 | 110.1 | 116.8 | 110.1 | 116.7 | 31.6 | 31.7 |
| 1985 | 114.7 | 120.1 | 114.7 | 120.0 | 31.3 | 31.9 |
| 1986 | 119.1 | 123.4 | 119.0 | 123.4 | 32.5 | 32.2 |
| 1987 | 134.7 | 126.9 | 134.6 | 126.8 | 32.6 | 32.4 |
| 1988 | 138.9 | 130.4 | 138.8 | 130.4 | 33.4 | 33.4 |
| 1989 | 146.3 | 151.7 | 146.2 | 151.6 | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| 1990 | 173.0 | 176.4 | 172.8 | 176.2 | 35.7 | 35.5 |
| 1991 | 216.7 | 205.1 | 216.5 | 204.9 | 36.5 | 36.6 |
| 1992 | 238.7 | 238.5 | 238.4 | 238.3 | 36.3 | 36.4 |
| 1993 | 204.8 | 209.2 | 204.5 | 208.8 | 36.3 | 36.1 |
| 1994 | 174.5 | 183.4 | 174.2 | 183.0 | 35.6 | 35.9 |
| 1995 | 164.7 | 160.8 | 164.4 | 160.3 | 34.4 | 34.3 |
| 1996 | 165.5 | 164.3 | 165.2 | 163.8 | 33.0 | 32.8 |
| 1997 | 170.5 | 167.8 | 170.0 | 167.4 | 31.3 | 31.4 |
| 1998 | 167.9 | 171.4 | 167.4 | 171.1 | 29.9 | 30.1 |
| 1999 | 179.8 | 175.1 | 179.1 | 174.8 | 28.9 | 28.8 |
| 2000 | 180.3 | 178.8 | 179.5 | 178.6 | 27.8 | 27.8 |
| 2001 | 183.7 | 182.7 | 182.9 | 182.5 | 27.0 | 26.9 |
| 2002 | 180.8 | 178.3 | 179.8 | 177.7 | 26.4 | 26.0 |
| 2003 | 167.3 | 174.1 | 166.3 | 172.9 | 25.0 | 25.1 |
| 2004 | 163.5 | 170.0 | 162.3 | 168.3 | 24.0 | 24.3 |
| 2005 | 153.5 | 165.9 | 152.1 | 163.9 | 23.3 | 23.5 |
| 2006 | 169.6 | 162.0 | 167.8 | 159.5 | 22.3 | 22.7 |
| 2007 | 171.4 | 158.1 | 169.2 | 155.3 | 22.2 | 22.0 |
| 2008 | 154.9 | 154.4 | 152.4 | 151.1 | 21.3 | 21.2 |
| 2009 | 152.4 | 150.7 | 149.3 | 147.1 | 20.3 | 20.5 |
| 2010 | 145.0 | 147.1 | 141.0 | 143.2 | 20.1 | 19.9 |
| 2011 | 139.4 | 143.7 | 133.4 | 139.4 | 19.2 | 19.2 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 141.1 | 143.9 | 141.1 | 144.6 | 55.5 | 55.3 |
| 1976 | 140.9 | 146.9 | 140.9 | 147.4 | 55.6 | 56.4 |
| 1977 | 159.2 | 149.9 | 159.2 | 150.4 | 56.4 | 57.4 |
| 1978 | 148.1 | 153.1 | 148.1 | 153.4 | 58.5 | 58.5 |
| 1979 | 161.9 | 156.3 | 161.9 | 156.4 | 59.2 | 59.6 |
| 1980 | 161.1 | 159.5 | 161.1 | 159.5 | 62.0 | 60.8 |
| 1981 | 161.9 | 162.8 | 161.9 | 162.7 | 63.6 | 61.9 |
| 1982 | 167.6 | 166.2 | 167.6 | 165.9 | 62.4 | 63.1 |
| 1983 | 170.9 | 169.7 | 170.9 | 169.2 | 64.6 | 64.3 |
| 1984 | 178.8 | 173.2 | 178.8 | 172.6 | 65.9 | 65.5 |
| 1985 | 170.0 | 176.8 | 170.0 | 176.0 | 67.3 | 66.8 |
| 1986 | 168.7 | 180.5 | 168.6 | 179.5 | 67.4 | 68.0 |
| 1987 | 189.3 | 184.3 | 189.2 | 183.1 | 68.9 | 69.3 |
| 1988 | 190.3 | 188.1 | 190.2 | 186.7 | 69.6 | 70.6 |
| 1989 | 191.9 | 192.0 | 191.8 | 190.4 | 71.7 | 72.9 |
| 1990 | 222.7 | 229.2 | 222.4 | 231.9 | 78.0 | 75.3 |
| 1991 | 289.3 | 273.5 | 289.0 | 282.4 | 78.2 | 77.8 |
| 1992 | 329.1 | 326.5 | 328.7 | 343.9 | 79.8 | 80.3 |
| 1993 | 345.6 | 320.8 | 345.1 | 327.6 | 81.9 | 82.9 |
| 1994 | 315.1 | 315.2 | 314.6 | 312.1 | 80.0 | 80.7 |
| 1995 | 284.3 | 309.7 | 283.7 | 297.3 | 78.2 | 78.6 |
| 1996 | 284.3 | 304.3 | 283.8 | 293.6 | 78.8 | 76.6 |
| 1997 | 286.5 | 299.0 | 285.8 | 289.8 | 74.3 | 74.5 |
| 1998 | 289.5 | 293.8 | 288.7 | 286.2 | 72.8 | 72.6 |
| 1999 | 293.3 | 288.7 | 292.2 | 282.6 | 70.1 | 70.7 |
| 2000 | 293.6 | 283.7 | 292.4 | 279.0 | 68.9 | 68.8 |
| 2001 | 276.7 | 278.8 | 275.3 | 275.4 | 67.8 | 67.0 |
| 2002 | 290.2 | 273.9 | 288.6 | 272.0 | 65.0 | 64.4 |
| 2003 | 262.5 | 269.1 | 260.8 | 268.5 | 60.4 | 61.9 |
| 2004 | 260.2 | 264.5 | 258.3 | 265.1 | 59.0 | 59.5 |
| 2005 | 252.7 | 259.9 | 250.5 | 261.8 | 57.0 | 57.1 |
| 2006 | 255.0 | 255.3 | 252.3 | 258.4 | 53.7 | 54.9 |
| 2007 | 267.7 | 250.9 | 264.2 | 255.2 | 54.9 | 52.8 |
| 2008 | 253.7 | 246.5 | 249.6 | 251.9 | 49.1 | 50.7 |
| 2009 | 245.9 | 242.3 | 240.9 | 239.0 | 49.4 | 48.7 |
| 2010 | 232.6 | 238.0 | 226.2 | 226.7 | 48.1 | 46.8 |
| 2011 | 224.6 | 233.9 | 214.8 | 215.1 | 44.1 | 45.0 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White | 2001-11 | -2.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White | 2001-11 | -2.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, White | 1999-11 | -3.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black | 1992-11 | -1.7* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black | 2008-11 | -5.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black | 2001-11 | -3.9* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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