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Figure 15.1
Figure 15.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Male, 1975-2006, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Male, 1975-2006, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Female, 1975-2006, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Female, 1975-2006, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 89.2 | 90.7 | 89.2 | 90.8 | 75.5 | 76.2 |
| 1976 | 92.8 | 92.1 | 92.8 | 92.1 | 77.6 | 77.5 |
| 1977 | 94.8 | 93.5 | 94.8 | 93.5 | 79.1 | 78.8 |
| 1978 | 95.9 | 94.9 | 95.9 | 94.8 | 80.8 | 80.1 |
| 1979 | 95.2 | 96.3 | 95.2 | 96.2 | 81.6 | 81.5 |
| 1980 | 97.7 | 97.7 | 97.7 | 97.6 | 83.3 | 82.8 |
| 1981 | 98.5 | 99.2 | 98.5 | 99.0 | 83.5 | 84.2 |
| 1982 | 99.7 | 99.0 | 99.7 | 98.9 | 85.2 | 85.6 |
| 1983 | 97.7 | 98.8 | 97.7 | 98.8 | 85.4 | 85.9 |
| 1984 | 99.9 | 98.6 | 99.9 | 98.7 | 86.2 | 86.2 |
| 1985 | 96.9 | 98.4 | 96.9 | 98.6 | 86.7 | 86.6 |
| 1986 | 97.4 | 98.2 | 97.4 | 98.4 | 87.0 | 86.9 |
| 1987 | 100.7 | 98.0 | 100.6 | 98.3 | 88.1 | 87.2 |
| 1988 | 98.0 | 97.8 | 97.9 | 98.2 | 87.9 | 87.5 |
| 1989 | 97.1 | 97.6 | 97.0 | 98.1 | 87.6 | 87.8 |
| 1990 | 96.2 | 97.4 | 96.2 | 96.5 | 88.4 | 88.2 |
| 1991 | 96.0 | 95.7 | 95.9 | 95.0 | 87.8 | 88.5 |
| 1992 | 94.9 | 94.0 | 94.8 | 93.4 | 86.0 | 86.9 |
| 1993 | 92.6 | 92.4 | 92.5 | 91.9 | 85.5 | 85.4 |
| 1994 | 90.2 | 90.7 | 90.1 | 90.4 | 83.8 | 83.8 |
| 1995 | 88.0 | 89.2 | 87.9 | 88.9 | 82.6 | 82.3 |
| 1996 | 86.8 | 87.6 | 86.7 | 87.5 | 81.2 | 80.9 |
| 1997 | 84.9 | 86.1 | 84.8 | 86.0 | 79.8 | 79.4 |
| 1998 | 86.7 | 84.6 | 86.6 | 84.6 | 78.5 | 78.0 |
| 1999 | 83.4 | 83.1 | 83.2 | 83.3 | 75.7 | 76.6 |
| 2000 | 80.8 | 81.7 | 80.6 | 81.9 | 75.4 | 75.2 |
| 2001 | 80.9 | 80.2 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 74.3 | 73.9 |
| 2002 | 79.6 | 78.8 | 79.3 | 79.3 | 72.8 | 72.6 |
| 2003 | 79.3 | 77.5 | 79.0 | 78.0 | 71.2 | 71.3 |
| 2004 | 74.9 | 76.1 | 74.4 | 75.4 | 69.7 | 70.0 |
| 2005 | 74.9 | 74.8 | 74.0 | 72.9 | 69.1 | 68.8 |
| 2006 | 72.3 | 73.5 | 70.1 | 70.5 | 67.1 | 67.5 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 114.9 | 120.0 | 114.9 | 120.1 | 91.0 | 90.5 |
| 1976 | 131.0 | 123.6 | 131.0 | 123.6 | 94.0 | 94.9 |
| 1977 | 124.8 | 127.2 | 124.8 | 127.2 | 100.8 | 99.6 |
| 1978 | 130.5 | 130.9 | 130.5 | 130.9 | 101.6 | 101.9 |
| 1979 | 127.6 | 134.7 | 127.6 | 134.7 | 102.9 | 104.2 |
| 1980 | 151.3 | 138.6 | 151.3 | 138.6 | 106.7 | 106.6 |
| 1981 | 143.0 | 142.7 | 143.0 | 142.6 | 109.7 | 109.1 |
| 1982 | 141.1 | 146.9 | 141.1 | 146.8 | 112.5 | 111.6 |
| 1983 | 151.3 | 151.1 | 151.3 | 151.1 | 112.8 | 114.2 |
| 1984 | 159.2 | 155.6 | 159.2 | 155.5 | 118.0 | 116.8 |
| 1985 | 149.7 | 153.4 | 149.7 | 153.3 | 117.5 | 118.2 |
| 1986 | 156.4 | 151.3 | 156.4 | 151.2 | 119.2 | 119.7 |
| 1987 | 143.7 | 149.2 | 143.7 | 149.1 | 121.8 | 121.1 |
| 1988 | 145.0 | 147.1 | 144.9 | 147.0 | 122.2 | 122.6 |
| 1989 | 142.8 | 145.0 | 142.8 | 145.0 | 124.7 | 124.1 |
| 1990 | 137.2 | 143.0 | 137.2 | 143.0 | 125.2 | 125.6 |
| 1991 | 145.0 | 141.0 | 144.9 | 141.0 | 123.6 | 123.8 |
| 1992 | 148.9 | 139.1 | 148.8 | 139.1 | 121.1 | 122.0 |
| 1993 | 135.5 | 137.1 | 135.4 | 137.2 | 122.0 | 120.2 |
| 1994 | 131.7 | 135.2 | 131.6 | 135.3 | 118.6 | 118.5 |
| 1995 | 138.7 | 133.4 | 138.5 | 133.4 | 116.1 | 116.8 |
| 1996 | 128.5 | 131.5 | 128.3 | 131.5 | 113.2 | 113.5 |
| 1997 | 129.5 | 129.7 | 129.3 | 129.7 | 110.2 | 110.3 |
| 1998 | 130.6 | 127.9 | 130.4 | 127.9 | 107.4 | 107.2 |
| 1999 | 121.9 | 123.6 | 121.6 | 123.4 | 103.6 | 104.1 |
| 2000 | 113.7 | 119.5 | 113.3 | 119.0 | 100.9 | 101.2 |
| 2001 | 113.8 | 115.5 | 113.4 | 114.7 | 99.4 | 98.3 |
| 2002 | 111.7 | 111.6 | 111.2 | 110.6 | 95.7 | 95.5 |
| 2003 | 117.8 | 107.9 | 117.2 | 106.7 | 93.1 | 92.8 |
| 2004 | 102.6 | 104.3 | 101.9 | 102.9 | 90.7 | 90.2 |
| 2005 | 95.5 | 100.8 | 94.2 | 99.2 | 87.3 | 87.6 |
| 2006 | 98.9 | 97.4 | 95.7 | 95.7 | 84.6 | 85.2 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 24.9 | 25.3 | 24.9 | 25.3 | 17.7 | 18.0 |
| 1976 | 27.3 | 26.7 | 27.3 | 26.7 | 19.1 | 19.0 |
| 1977 | 28.1 | 28.2 | 28.1 | 28.2 | 20.1 | 20.1 |
| 1978 | 29.9 | 29.8 | 29.9 | 29.8 | 21.6 | 21.3 |
| 1979 | 31.6 | 31.4 | 31.6 | 31.4 | 22.4 | 22.5 |
| 1980 | 32.4 | 33.2 | 32.4 | 33.2 | 24.2 | 23.9 |
| 1981 | 35.5 | 35.1 | 35.5 | 35.1 | 25.1 | 25.2 |
| 1982 | 37.7 | 37.1 | 37.7 | 37.1 | 26.7 | 26.7 |
| 1983 | 39.1 | 38.6 | 39.1 | 38.6 | 28.3 | 28.3 |
| 1984 | 39.6 | 40.2 | 39.6 | 40.2 | 29.3 | 29.4 |
| 1985 | 40.9 | 41.9 | 40.9 | 41.8 | 30.8 | 30.6 |
| 1986 | 43.0 | 43.6 | 42.9 | 43.6 | 31.8 | 31.9 |
| 1987 | 45.5 | 45.4 | 45.5 | 45.3 | 33.0 | 33.2 |
| 1988 | 47.7 | 47.3 | 47.7 | 47.2 | 34.6 | 34.6 |
| 1989 | 47.3 | 48.0 | 47.2 | 48.0 | 36.3 | 36.0 |
| 1990 | 48.9 | 48.8 | 48.9 | 48.7 | 37.3 | 37.5 |
| 1991 | 50.7 | 49.5 | 50.6 | 49.5 | 38.1 | 38.2 |
| 1992 | 51.1 | 50.3 | 51.1 | 50.3 | 39.2 | 39.0 |
| 1993 | 50.7 | 51.1 | 50.7 | 51.1 | 40.0 | 39.8 |
| 1994 | 51.6 | 51.8 | 51.6 | 51.9 | 40.3 | 40.6 |
| 1995 | 52.5 | 52.7 | 52.4 | 52.7 | 41.0 | 40.9 |
| 1996 | 53.0 | 53.5 | 52.9 | 53.5 | 41.2 | 41.1 |
| 1997 | 55.0 | 54.3 | 54.9 | 54.4 | 41.5 | 41.3 |
| 1998 | 55.2 | 54.4 | 55.1 | 54.3 | 41.7 | 41.5 |
| 1999 | 54.5 | 54.4 | 54.4 | 54.3 | 40.9 | 41.7 |
| 2000 | 53.4 | 54.5 | 53.2 | 54.2 | 42.1 | 41.9 |
| 2001 | 53.6 | 54.6 | 53.4 | 54.1 | 42.0 | 42.2 |
| 2002 | 54.2 | 54.6 | 53.9 | 54.1 | 42.6 | 42.4 |
| 2003 | 55.5 | 54.7 | 55.2 | 54.0 | 42.2 | 42.1 |
| 2004 | 53.7 | 54.7 | 53.3 | 54.0 | 41.9 | 41.8 |
| 2005 | 55.6 | 54.8 | 54.8 | 53.9 | 41.6 | 41.6 |
| 2006 | 55.4 | 54.9 | 53.5 | 53.8 | 41.3 | 41.3 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 24.7 | 28.8 | 24.7 | 28.7 | 17.3 | 17.2 |
| 1976 | 28.6 | 30.0 | 28.6 | 30.0 | 18.5 | 18.4 |
| 1977 | 33.9 | 31.3 | 33.9 | 31.2 | 19.9 | 19.7 |
| 1978 | 31.6 | 32.6 | 31.6 | 32.6 | 20.7 | 21.2 |
| 1979 | 34.1 | 34.0 | 34.1 | 34.0 | 22.2 | 22.7 |
| 1980 | 38.3 | 35.4 | 38.3 | 35.4 | 24.6 | 24.3 |
| 1981 | 37.4 | 36.9 | 37.4 | 36.9 | 25.1 | 25.3 |
| 1982 | 35.7 | 38.5 | 35.7 | 38.5 | 26.3 | 26.3 |
| 1983 | 39.5 | 40.1 | 39.5 | 40.1 | 28.7 | 27.5 |
| 1984 | 44.8 | 41.8 | 44.8 | 41.8 | 28.0 | 28.6 |
| 1985 | 46.1 | 43.6 | 46.0 | 43.6 | 29.6 | 29.8 |
| 1986 | 48.7 | 45.4 | 48.7 | 45.5 | 31.0 | 31.1 |
| 1987 | 43.2 | 47.3 | 43.2 | 47.4 | 32.5 | 32.4 |
| 1988 | 48.1 | 49.3 | 48.1 | 49.4 | 33.5 | 33.7 |
| 1989 | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.5 | 34.9 | 35.1 |
| 1990 | 52.1 | 53.6 | 52.1 | 53.7 | 36.5 | 36.6 |
| 1991 | 56.9 | 53.9 | 56.9 | 54.0 | 37.2 | 37.1 |
| 1992 | 55.9 | 54.2 | 55.9 | 54.2 | 38.6 | 37.6 |
| 1993 | 52.5 | 54.5 | 52.4 | 54.4 | 37.7 | 38.1 |
| 1994 | 56.4 | 54.8 | 56.4 | 54.7 | 38.6 | 38.6 |
| 1995 | 50.1 | 55.1 | 50.0 | 54.9 | 38.8 | 39.1 |
| 1996 | 55.2 | 55.4 | 55.2 | 55.2 | 39.1 | 39.6 |
| 1997 | 50.4 | 55.7 | 50.3 | 55.4 | 40.5 | 40.1 |
| 1998 | 57.8 | 56.0 | 57.7 | 55.6 | 40.7 | 40.1 |
| 1999 | 59.1 | 56.3 | 58.9 | 55.9 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| 2000 | 56.8 | 56.6 | 56.6 | 56.1 | 39.7 | 40.0 |
| 2001 | 57.2 | 56.9 | 57.0 | 56.4 | 38.8 | 39.9 |
| 2002 | 60.4 | 57.2 | 60.1 | 56.6 | 40.3 | 39.9 |
| 2003 | 54.9 | 57.5 | 54.6 | 56.9 | 40.3 | 39.9 |
| 2004 | 56.0 | 57.9 | 55.5 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 39.8 |
| 2005 | 58.8 | 58.2 | 57.8 | 57.3 | 40.2 | 39.8 |
| 2006 | 59.4 | 58.5 | 57.2 | 57.6 | 39.2 | 39.7 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1990-2006 | -1.7* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2003-2006 | -3.3* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 1991-2006 | -1.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1998-2006 | -3.3* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1998-2006 | -3.6* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 1995-2006 | -2.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1997-2006 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1997-2006 | -0.1 |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2002-2006 | -0.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1990-2006 | 0.6* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1990-2006 | 0.4 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1997-2006 | -0.1 |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 3.3.1, April 2008, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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