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Figure 15.3
Figure 15.3
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, Ages 65 and Over, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Male, 1975-2006, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Male, 1975-2006, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Female, 1975-2006, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Female, 1975-2006, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 434.8 | 445.5 | 434.8 | 445.6 | 374.5 | 379.0 |
| 1976 | 460.7 | 455.1 | 460.7 | 455.2 | 388.6 | 388.3 |
| 1977 | 476.4 | 464.9 | 476.4 | 464.9 | 401.2 | 397.9 |
| 1978 | 476.1 | 475.0 | 476.1 | 474.8 | 410.4 | 407.7 |
| 1979 | 478.7 | 485.2 | 478.7 | 485.0 | 418.2 | 417.7 |
| 1980 | 493.6 | 495.7 | 493.6 | 495.4 | 430.0 | 428.0 |
| 1981 | 502.8 | 506.4 | 502.8 | 506.0 | 433.7 | 438.6 |
| 1982 | 516.9 | 507.9 | 516.8 | 507.6 | 447.8 | 449.4 |
| 1983 | 507.0 | 509.4 | 507.0 | 509.2 | 453.7 | 453.6 |
| 1984 | 521.2 | 510.9 | 521.2 | 510.8 | 458.0 | 457.8 |
| 1985 | 493.3 | 512.4 | 493.3 | 512.5 | 461.9 | 462.1 |
| 1986 | 506.9 | 513.9 | 506.8 | 514.1 | 467.1 | 466.5 |
| 1987 | 531.7 | 515.4 | 531.5 | 515.7 | 474.0 | 470.8 |
| 1988 | 511.3 | 516.9 | 511.2 | 517.4 | 475.4 | 475.3 |
| 1989 | 521.2 | 518.4 | 521.0 | 519.0 | 478.5 | 479.7 |
| 1990 | 519.9 | 519.9 | 519.7 | 520.7 | 486.1 | 484.2 |
| 1991 | 523.6 | 521.4 | 523.3 | 522.3 | 488.3 | 488.8 |
| 1992 | 526.5 | 523.0 | 526.2 | 524.0 | 482.1 | 484.9 |
| 1993 | 519.7 | 516.8 | 519.3 | 517.3 | 481.5 | 481.1 |
| 1994 | 507.4 | 510.8 | 506.9 | 510.7 | 476.0 | 477.3 |
| 1995 | 498.8 | 504.8 | 498.2 | 504.2 | 476.0 | 473.6 |
| 1996 | 493.4 | 498.8 | 492.8 | 497.8 | 468.8 | 469.9 |
| 1997 | 483.5 | 493.0 | 482.9 | 491.4 | 467.7 | 466.2 |
| 1998 | 501.2 | 487.2 | 500.4 | 485.1 | 462.3 | 459.5 |
| 1999 | 480.9 | 481.5 | 479.8 | 478.9 | 446.6 | 452.9 |
| 2000 | 468.4 | 475.8 | 467.2 | 472.8 | 446.7 | 446.4 |
| 2001 | 467.9 | 470.3 | 466.4 | 466.8 | 441.7 | 440.0 |
| 2002 | 472.2 | 464.7 | 470.4 | 460.8 | 434.4 | 433.6 |
| 2003 | 474.0 | 459.3 | 471.8 | 454.9 | 426.8 | 427.4 |
| 2004 | 449.3 | 453.9 | 446.3 | 449.1 | 419.6 | 421.3 |
| 2005 | 449.8 | 448.6 | 444.1 | 443.4 | 417.9 | 415.2 |
| 2006 | 435.0 | 443.3 | 421.7 | 437.7 | 408.3 | 409.2 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 448.5 | 477.1 | 448.5 | 477.3 | 345.2 | 349.6 |
| 1976 | 542.7 | 495.2 | 542.7 | 495.3 | 364.0 | 366.8 |
| 1977 | 489.1 | 513.9 | 489.1 | 514.0 | 399.0 | 384.9 |
| 1978 | 530.2 | 533.3 | 530.2 | 533.3 | 400.0 | 403.8 |
| 1979 | 505.8 | 553.5 | 505.8 | 553.4 | 417.6 | 423.7 |
| 1980 | 649.9 | 574.4 | 649.9 | 574.3 | 449.6 | 444.6 |
| 1981 | 614.5 | 596.1 | 614.5 | 595.9 | 464.9 | 466.5 |
| 1982 | 574.1 | 618.7 | 574.0 | 618.3 | 486.1 | 482.9 |
| 1983 | 647.1 | 642.0 | 647.1 | 641.6 | 494.4 | 499.7 |
| 1984 | 675.0 | 666.3 | 674.9 | 665.8 | 523.1 | 517.2 |
| 1985 | 653.5 | 666.2 | 653.4 | 665.8 | 528.7 | 535.3 |
| 1986 | 709.8 | 666.2 | 709.7 | 665.8 | 550.3 | 554.1 |
| 1987 | 648.1 | 666.1 | 647.9 | 665.8 | 579.6 | 573.4 |
| 1988 | 648.1 | 666.0 | 647.9 | 665.8 | 591.5 | 593.5 |
| 1989 | 637.6 | 666.0 | 637.3 | 665.8 | 602.0 | 597.6 |
| 1990 | 645.3 | 665.9 | 645.0 | 665.9 | 596.3 | 601.8 |
| 1991 | 655.6 | 665.8 | 655.2 | 665.9 | 611.2 | 606.0 |
| 1992 | 720.9 | 665.8 | 720.4 | 665.9 | 602.5 | 610.3 |
| 1993 | 661.6 | 665.7 | 661.0 | 665.9 | 624.3 | 614.5 |
| 1994 | 644.9 | 665.6 | 644.1 | 665.9 | 614.9 | 618.8 |
| 1995 | 702.3 | 665.5 | 701.2 | 665.9 | 606.0 | 607.1 |
| 1996 | 643.9 | 665.5 | 643.1 | 665.9 | 592.2 | 595.7 |
| 1997 | 667.8 | 665.4 | 666.7 | 666.0 | 588.9 | 584.4 |
| 1998 | 682.1 | 648.8 | 680.8 | 648.0 | 575.5 | 573.4 |
| 1999 | 621.2 | 632.5 | 619.6 | 630.5 | 561.0 | 562.5 |
| 2000 | 560.1 | 616.7 | 558.4 | 613.4 | 550.7 | 551.9 |
| 2001 | 594.7 | 601.2 | 592.5 | 596.8 | 549.9 | 541.5 |
| 2002 | 597.0 | 586.2 | 594.4 | 580.7 | 516.5 | 525.1 |
| 2003 | 610.2 | 571.5 | 607.0 | 565.0 | 508.1 | 509.2 |
| 2004 | 557.8 | 557.2 | 553.7 | 549.7 | 492.9 | 493.8 |
| 2005 | 515.6 | 543.3 | 508.5 | 534.9 | 478.5 | 478.9 |
| 2006 | 539.9 | 529.7 | 522.1 | 520.4 | 467.2 | 464.4 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 83.2 | 87.5 | 83.2 | 87.5 | 64.6 | 65.0 |
| 1976 | 95.3 | 93.6 | 95.3 | 93.6 | 72.2 | 70.6 |
| 1977 | 99.8 | 100.3 | 99.8 | 100.3 | 76.2 | 76.8 |
| 1978 | 100.2 | 107.3 | 100.2 | 107.3 | 83.1 | 83.4 |
| 1979 | 117.3 | 114.9 | 117.3 | 114.9 | 88.9 | 90.6 |
| 1980 | 124.0 | 123.1 | 124.0 | 123.0 | 99.1 | 98.5 |
| 1981 | 135.7 | 131.7 | 135.7 | 131.7 | 103.9 | 104.8 |
| 1982 | 147.6 | 141.1 | 147.6 | 141.1 | 111.4 | 111.6 |
| 1983 | 152.4 | 151.0 | 152.4 | 151.0 | 120.3 | 118.8 |
| 1984 | 165.4 | 161.7 | 165.4 | 161.7 | 127.3 | 126.5 |
| 1985 | 167.8 | 173.1 | 167.8 | 173.1 | 136.0 | 134.7 |
| 1986 | 181.7 | 185.4 | 181.7 | 185.4 | 144.0 | 143.5 |
| 1987 | 201.2 | 198.5 | 201.1 | 198.4 | 151.8 | 152.7 |
| 1988 | 211.0 | 212.5 | 211.0 | 212.5 | 160.4 | 162.6 |
| 1989 | 215.4 | 219.3 | 215.3 | 219.2 | 173.2 | 173.1 |
| 1990 | 224.2 | 226.3 | 224.1 | 226.1 | 180.3 | 180.4 |
| 1991 | 235.2 | 233.5 | 235.0 | 233.2 | 188.2 | 187.9 |
| 1992 | 243.4 | 240.9 | 243.2 | 240.5 | 197.3 | 195.7 |
| 1993 | 249.5 | 248.6 | 249.2 | 248.1 | 204.6 | 203.8 |
| 1994 | 255.5 | 256.5 | 255.2 | 255.9 | 209.6 | 212.3 |
| 1995 | 264.7 | 264.7 | 264.3 | 264.0 | 214.9 | 215.6 |
| 1996 | 272.8 | 273.2 | 272.4 | 272.3 | 219.0 | 218.9 |
| 1997 | 285.1 | 281.9 | 284.6 | 280.9 | 224.7 | 222.2 |
| 1998 | 290.0 | 290.9 | 289.4 | 283.7 | 227.8 | 225.6 |
| 1999 | 288.8 | 288.6 | 288.0 | 286.5 | 225.5 | 229.0 |
| 2000 | 278.8 | 286.5 | 277.8 | 289.3 | 233.8 | 232.5 |
| 2001 | 287.6 | 284.3 | 286.4 | 292.1 | 234.1 | 236.1 |
| 2002 | 289.8 | 291.2 | 288.4 | 295.0 | 240.3 | 239.7 |
| 2003 | 305.4 | 298.3 | 303.6 | 297.9 | 239.6 | 239.5 |
| 2004 | 299.5 | 305.5 | 297.0 | 300.8 | 239.4 | 239.3 |
| 2005 | 317.2 | 312.9 | 312.4 | 303.7 | 239.4 | 239.1 |
| 2006 | 318.0 | 320.5 | 306.8 | 306.7 | 238.7 | 239.0 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 79.3 | 83.8 | 79.3 | 83.6 | 58.4 | 57.4 |
| 1976 | 71.7 | 89.2 | 71.7 | 89.0 | 61.3 | 61.4 |
| 1977 | 120.2 | 94.9 | 120.2 | 94.7 | 60.8 | 65.6 |
| 1978 | 107.7 | 101.0 | 107.7 | 100.8 | 68.9 | 70.1 |
| 1979 | 104.0 | 107.4 | 104.0 | 107.3 | 73.3 | 75.0 |
| 1980 | 121.7 | 114.3 | 121.7 | 114.2 | 84.0 | 80.2 |
| 1981 | 122.3 | 121.7 | 122.3 | 121.6 | 83.6 | 85.7 |
| 1982 | 119.9 | 129.5 | 119.9 | 129.5 | 93.1 | 91.7 |
| 1983 | 141.5 | 137.8 | 141.5 | 137.8 | 105.7 | 98.0 |
| 1984 | 134.7 | 146.6 | 134.7 | 146.7 | 101.8 | 104.8 |
| 1985 | 159.3 | 156.0 | 159.3 | 156.2 | 111.2 | 112.0 |
| 1986 | 178.2 | 166.0 | 178.1 | 166.3 | 120.4 | 119.8 |
| 1987 | 151.8 | 176.7 | 151.7 | 177.0 | 126.8 | 128.1 |
| 1988 | 178.8 | 188.0 | 178.8 | 188.4 | 137.6 | 136.9 |
| 1989 | 200.7 | 200.1 | 200.6 | 200.6 | 149.4 | 146.4 |
| 1990 | 206.2 | 212.9 | 206.1 | 213.5 | 154.3 | 156.5 |
| 1991 | 252.1 | 226.5 | 251.9 | 227.3 | 166.8 | 167.3 |
| 1992 | 245.4 | 231.3 | 245.2 | 231.7 | 173.2 | 172.7 |
| 1993 | 225.9 | 236.1 | 225.7 | 236.2 | 176.0 | 178.3 |
| 1994 | 238.3 | 241.0 | 237.9 | 240.8 | 185.4 | 184.0 |
| 1995 | 221.1 | 246.0 | 220.7 | 245.5 | 187.3 | 189.9 |
| 1996 | 254.0 | 251.1 | 253.5 | 250.3 | 194.7 | 196.0 |
| 1997 | 232.3 | 256.3 | 231.8 | 255.1 | 203.3 | 202.3 |
| 1998 | 277.8 | 261.7 | 277.2 | 260.1 | 204.5 | 203.3 |
| 1999 | 289.9 | 267.1 | 289.0 | 265.1 | 206.7 | 204.4 |
| 2000 | 265.1 | 272.7 | 264.1 | 270.3 | 203.4 | 205.4 |
| 2001 | 280.1 | 278.4 | 278.8 | 275.6 | 202.0 | 206.4 |
| 2002 | 314.8 | 284.1 | 313.1 | 280.9 | 208.9 | 207.5 |
| 2003 | 275.8 | 290.1 | 274.1 | 286.4 | 211.6 | 208.5 |
| 2004 | 280.8 | 296.1 | 278.3 | 291.9 | 212.6 | 209.6 |
| 2005 | 297.2 | 302.3 | 292.4 | 297.6 | 212.6 | 210.6 |
| 2006 | 312.0 | 308.5 | 300.2 | 303.4 | 206.7 | 211.7 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1992-2006 | -1.2* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1992-2006 | -1.3* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 1997-2006 | -1.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1997-2006 | -2.5* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1997-2006 | -2.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-2006 | -3.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2001-2006 | 2.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1997-2006 | 1.0* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2002-2006 | -0.1 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-2006 | 2.1* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-2006 | 1.9* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1997-2006 | 0.5* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 3.3.1, April 2008, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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