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Figure 2.1
Figure 2.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2008, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2008, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2008, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2008, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.6 | 469.4 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 254.0 | 254.4 |
| 1976 | 481.8 | 476.1 | 481.8 | 476.2 | 257.5 | 256.8 |
| 1977 | 487.1 | 482.9 | 487.1 | 483.0 | 258.8 | 259.1 |
| 1978 | 489.8 | 489.8 | 489.8 | 489.8 | 261.6 | 261.5 |
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 263.2 | 263.9 |
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 265.0 | 264.5 |
| 1981 | 510.8 | 511.1 | 510.8 | 511.0 | 263.3 | 265.2 |
| 1982 | 512.5 | 518.4 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 266.3 | 265.8 |
| 1983 | 521.1 | 525.8 | 521.0 | 525.7 | 267.2 | 266.4 |
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.3 | 527.6 | 533.2 | 267.6 | 267.1 |
| 1985 | 533.6 | 540.9 | 533.4 | 540.7 | 268.2 | 267.7 |
| 1986 | 543.0 | 548.7 | 542.8 | 548.4 | 268.8 | 268.4 |
| 1987 | 569.0 | 556.5 | 568.7 | 556.2 | 269.0 | 269.1 |
| 1988 | 565.4 | 564.5 | 565.0 | 564.1 | 269.5 | 269.7 |
| 1989 | 573.7 | 572.5 | 573.3 | 572.2 | 270.2 | 270.4 |
| 1990 | 599.6 | 601.3 | 599.0 | 600.8 | 271.5 | 271.0 |
| 1991 | 644.9 | 631.5 | 644.2 | 630.8 | 271.2 | 271.7 |
| 1992 | 663.9 | 663.2 | 663.0 | 662.4 | 268.9 | 269.6 |
| 1993 | 620.8 | 629.3 | 619.8 | 628.3 | 267.9 | 267.5 |
| 1994 | 588.1 | 597.2 | 587.1 | 595.9 | 264.7 | 265.4 |
| 1995 | 570.8 | 566.8 | 569.6 | 565.3 | 261.5 | 260.8 |
| 1996 | 574.7 | 570.8 | 573.2 | 569.3 | 256.8 | 256.3 |
| 1997 | 577.6 | 574.8 | 575.8 | 573.3 | 251.6 | 251.8 |
| 1998 | 577.5 | 578.9 | 575.6 | 577.4 | 247.6 | 248.9 |
| 1999 | 584.3 | 583.0 | 581.7 | 581.5 | 247.1 | 246.0 |
| 2000 | 585.1 | 587.1 | 582.0 | 585.6 | 243.3 | 243.1 |
| 2001 | 588.6 | 582.5 | 584.9 | 579.4 | 240.0 | 240.3 |
| 2002 | 582.5 | 578.0 | 578.1 | 573.3 | 237.2 | 236.1 |
| 2003 | 566.1 | 573.4 | 561.0 | 567.3 | 231.8 | 232.1 |
| 2004 | 564.5 | 568.9 | 558.5 | 561.3 | 226.3 | 228.1 |
| 2005 | 556.3 | 564.5 | 549.1 | 555.4 | 224.7 | 224.2 |
| 2006 | 559.2 | 560.1 | 550.4 | 549.5 | 220.0 | 220.3 |
| 2007 | 567.9 | 555.7 | 557.1 | 543.7 | 216.6 | 216.5 |
| 2008 | 549.1 | 551.3 | 531.0 | 538.0 | 213.3 | 212.8 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.4 | 533.0 | 525.4 | 533.1 | 320.5 | 322.6 |
| 1976 | 553.0 | 548.0 | 553.0 | 548.0 | 328.4 | 328.5 |
| 1977 | 577.6 | 563.4 | 577.6 | 563.4 | 337.9 | 334.4 |
| 1978 | 570.7 | 579.3 | 570.7 | 579.3 | 340.9 | 340.5 |
| 1979 | 589.9 | 595.6 | 589.9 | 595.5 | 344.7 | 346.7 |
| 1980 | 615.1 | 612.4 | 615.1 | 612.3 | 353.9 | 353.0 |
| 1981 | 633.9 | 629.6 | 633.9 | 629.5 | 358.6 | 359.4 |
| 1982 | 621.9 | 633.8 | 621.9 | 633.6 | 364.9 | 365.9 |
| 1983 | 646.1 | 638.0 | 645.9 | 637.8 | 369.3 | 369.6 |
| 1984 | 644.0 | 642.2 | 643.8 | 642.0 | 377.9 | 373.4 |
| 1985 | 643.7 | 646.4 | 643.4 | 646.3 | 377.8 | 377.2 |
| 1986 | 644.5 | 650.7 | 644.1 | 650.5 | 378.9 | 381.0 |
| 1987 | 666.5 | 655.0 | 666.0 | 654.8 | 383.2 | 384.9 |
| 1988 | 657.7 | 659.3 | 657.0 | 659.1 | 384.2 | 388.8 |
| 1989 | 661.7 | 663.7 | 661.0 | 663.5 | 395.3 | 392.8 |
| 1990 | 700.0 | 707.5 | 699.1 | 705.8 | 399.1 | 396.8 |
| 1991 | 765.4 | 754.2 | 764.2 | 750.8 | 395.9 | 394.9 |
| 1992 | 808.9 | 804.1 | 807.4 | 798.6 | 389.2 | 393.0 |
| 1993 | 819.3 | 791.8 | 817.6 | 786.7 | 394.8 | 391.2 |
| 1994 | 783.8 | 779.8 | 781.8 | 775.1 | 385.2 | 389.3 |
| 1995 | 748.4 | 767.9 | 746.2 | 763.5 | 379.0 | 380.6 |
| 1996 | 727.2 | 756.2 | 724.7 | 752.2 | 373.7 | 372.0 |
| 1997 | 740.6 | 744.7 | 737.6 | 741.0 | 363.2 | 363.6 |
| 1998 | 721.8 | 733.3 | 718.6 | 730.0 | 353.1 | 355.4 |
| 1999 | 723.1 | 722.2 | 718.9 | 719.1 | 349.2 | 347.4 |
| 2000 | 713.9 | 711.2 | 708.9 | 708.5 | 341.5 | 339.6 |
| 2001 | 700.0 | 700.3 | 694.3 | 697.9 | 334.9 | 331.9 |
| 2002 | 702.5 | 689.7 | 695.7 | 687.6 | 327.1 | 324.5 |
| 2003 | 683.8 | 679.2 | 675.9 | 677.3 | 316.6 | 317.1 |
| 2004 | 685.1 | 668.8 | 675.7 | 667.3 | 309.9 | 310.0 |
| 2005 | 642.3 | 658.6 | 631.9 | 657.3 | 303.6 | 303.0 |
| 2006 | 644.9 | 648.6 | 632.3 | 647.6 | 293.9 | 296.2 |
| 2007 | 671.1 | 662.1 | 655.4 | 638.0 | 291.0 | 289.5 |
| 2008 | 671.4 | 675.9 | 645.0 | 628.5 | 280.1 | 283.0 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 369.5 | 371.0 | 369.5 | 371.0 | 159.0 | 159.7 |
| 1976 | 373.1 | 370.1 | 373.1 | 370.1 | 161.7 | 160.6 |
| 1977 | 367.9 | 369.3 | 367.9 | 369.3 | 161.6 | 161.4 |
| 1978 | 368.0 | 368.5 | 368.0 | 368.5 | 162.5 | 162.3 |
| 1979 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 161.7 | 163.2 |
| 1980 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 164.2 | 164.1 |
| 1981 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 164.6 | 165.0 |
| 1982 | 383.4 | 386.6 | 383.4 | 386.6 | 166.1 | 165.9 |
| 1983 | 388.0 | 393.1 | 388.0 | 393.1 | 166.7 | 166.9 |
| 1984 | 399.6 | 399.8 | 399.6 | 399.7 | 169.0 | 167.8 |
| 1985 | 411.6 | 406.5 | 411.5 | 406.4 | 169.6 | 168.7 |
| 1986 | 409.1 | 413.4 | 409.0 | 413.2 | 170.0 | 169.6 |
| 1987 | 423.5 | 420.3 | 423.3 | 420.2 | 169.9 | 170.6 |
| 1988 | 418.0 | 420.9 | 417.7 | 420.6 | 170.9 | 171.5 |
| 1989 | 418.8 | 421.4 | 418.5 | 421.1 | 172.9 | 172.5 |
| 1990 | 425.0 | 421.9 | 424.6 | 421.5 | 172.9 | 173.4 |
| 1991 | 428.7 | 422.4 | 428.3 | 422.0 | 173.4 | 173.1 |
| 1992 | 423.9 | 422.9 | 423.4 | 422.4 | 172.6 | 172.9 |
| 1993 | 417.6 | 423.4 | 417.0 | 422.9 | 172.8 | 172.6 |
| 1994 | 423.5 | 423.9 | 422.9 | 423.4 | 172.6 | 172.3 |
| 1995 | 426.6 | 424.4 | 425.8 | 423.8 | 171.7 | 171.0 |
| 1996 | 428.7 | 431.9 | 427.8 | 430.7 | 169.8 | 169.7 |
| 1997 | 441.9 | 439.5 | 440.7 | 437.7 | 167.3 | 168.4 |
| 1998 | 447.6 | 447.3 | 446.3 | 444.8 | 165.4 | 167.1 |
| 1999 | 444.7 | 445.1 | 443.0 | 442.7 | 165.9 | 165.8 |
| 2000 | 439.1 | 443.0 | 437.1 | 440.6 | 165.9 | 164.6 |
| 2001 | 443.8 | 440.9 | 441.3 | 438.5 | 163.5 | 163.3 |
| 2002 | 442.3 | 438.8 | 439.3 | 436.5 | 162.1 | 162.1 |
| 2003 | 433.5 | 436.6 | 430.0 | 434.4 | 159.8 | 159.7 |
| 2004 | 434.1 | 434.5 | 429.9 | 432.4 | 156.7 | 157.4 |
| 2005 | 434.0 | 432.5 | 428.9 | 430.3 | 155.2 | 155.2 |
| 2006 | 434.1 | 434.6 | 428.0 | 428.3 | 153.6 | 152.9 |
| 2007 | 434.5 | 436.8 | 427.0 | 426.3 | 150.8 | 150.7 |
| 2008 | 440.6 | 438.9 | 427.1 | 424.3 | 148.2 | 148.5 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 356.6 | 343.2 | 356.6 | 343.8 | 174.2 | 177.6 |
| 1976 | 340.4 | 347.1 | 340.4 | 347.6 | 179.1 | 179.3 |
| 1977 | 352.0 | 351.1 | 352.0 | 351.5 | 181.6 | 181.0 |
| 1978 | 344.1 | 355.2 | 344.1 | 355.4 | 181.5 | 182.8 |
| 1979 | 359.0 | 359.3 | 359.0 | 359.4 | 182.7 | 184.5 |
| 1980 | 366.6 | 363.4 | 366.6 | 363.4 | 189.2 | 186.3 |
| 1981 | 363.0 | 367.6 | 363.0 | 367.5 | 187.5 | 188.0 |
| 1982 | 359.8 | 371.8 | 359.8 | 371.6 | 190.2 | 189.8 |
| 1983 | 382.1 | 376.1 | 382.1 | 375.7 | 193.2 | 191.7 |
| 1984 | 386.1 | 380.5 | 386.0 | 379.9 | 195.7 | 193.5 |
| 1985 | 388.3 | 384.8 | 388.1 | 384.2 | 196.3 | 195.3 |
| 1986 | 396.6 | 389.3 | 396.4 | 388.5 | 199.1 | 197.2 |
| 1987 | 394.3 | 393.8 | 394.0 | 392.8 | 199.9 | 199.1 |
| 1988 | 404.6 | 398.3 | 404.3 | 397.2 | 200.4 | 201.0 |
| 1989 | 384.8 | 402.9 | 384.4 | 401.6 | 200.9 | 202.9 |
| 1990 | 408.4 | 407.5 | 407.9 | 406.1 | 205.4 | 204.9 |
| 1991 | 413.2 | 408.1 | 412.7 | 410.7 | 207.4 | 206.8 |
| 1992 | 413.7 | 408.7 | 413.0 | 410.6 | 205.8 | 208.8 |
| 1993 | 404.4 | 409.3 | 403.7 | 410.5 | 206.3 | 207.0 |
| 1994 | 409.4 | 409.9 | 408.5 | 410.4 | 204.1 | 205.2 |
| 1995 | 405.0 | 410.5 | 404.0 | 410.3 | 204.5 | 203.4 |
| 1996 | 417.3 | 411.2 | 416.0 | 410.2 | 200.9 | 201.7 |
| 1997 | 411.0 | 411.8 | 409.5 | 410.0 | 202.5 | 199.9 |
| 1998 | 415.8 | 412.4 | 414.1 | 409.9 | 198.4 | 198.2 |
| 1999 | 421.1 | 413.0 | 418.9 | 409.8 | 197.5 | 196.5 |
| 2000 | 404.0 | 413.6 | 401.4 | 409.7 | 193.3 | 194.8 |
| 2001 | 401.2 | 414.2 | 398.2 | 409.6 | 192.2 | 193.1 |
| 2002 | 426.4 | 414.8 | 422.6 | 409.5 | 191.5 | 191.4 |
| 2003 | 411.6 | 415.4 | 407.3 | 409.4 | 188.8 | 188.0 |
| 2004 | 417.5 | 416.1 | 412.3 | 409.3 | 183.6 | 184.5 |
| 2005 | 418.1 | 416.7 | 411.9 | 409.2 | 181.1 | 181.2 |
| 2006 | 415.0 | 417.3 | 407.6 | 409.1 | 177.6 | 177.9 |
| 2007 | 415.3 | 417.9 | 406.3 | 409.0 | 175.8 | 174.7 |
| 2008 | 422.9 | 418.5 | 407.4 | 408.9 | 171.0 | 171.5 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2000-08 | -0.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2000-08 | -1.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2001-08 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2006-08 | 2.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1992-08 | -1.5* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 1994-08 | -2.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2005-08 | 0.5 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-08 | -0.5* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2002-08 | -1.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1990-08 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-08 | 0.0 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2002-08 | -1.8* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 3.5, April 2011, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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