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Figure 2.2
Figure 2.2
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, Under 65 Years of Age, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2008, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2008, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2008, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2008, Ages <65
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 175.5 | 177.0 | 175.5 | 177.0 | 87.8 | 88.6 |
| 1976 | 179.7 | 178.5 | 179.7 | 178.5 | 88.3 | 88.3 |
| 1977 | 181.5 | 180.0 | 181.5 | 180.0 | 88.3 | 88.1 |
| 1978 | 181.6 | 181.6 | 181.6 | 181.6 | 88.3 | 87.8 |
| 1979 | 181.5 | 183.1 | 181.5 | 183.1 | 87.7 | 87.6 |
| 1980 | 184.8 | 184.6 | 184.8 | 184.6 | 88.0 | 87.3 |
| 1981 | 187.3 | 186.2 | 187.3 | 186.2 | 86.7 | 87.1 |
| 1982 | 186.1 | 187.8 | 186.1 | 187.8 | 86.6 | 86.8 |
| 1983 | 191.6 | 191.5 | 191.6 | 191.4 | 86.2 | 86.6 |
| 1984 | 194.4 | 195.2 | 194.4 | 195.2 | 86.4 | 86.3 |
| 1985 | 202.8 | 199.0 | 202.7 | 199.0 | 86.6 | 86.1 |
| 1986 | 204.3 | 202.9 | 204.2 | 202.8 | 85.8 | 85.8 |
| 1987 | 209.5 | 206.9 | 209.4 | 206.8 | 85.5 | 85.6 |
| 1988 | 207.7 | 210.9 | 207.6 | 210.8 | 84.8 | 85.3 |
| 1989 | 210.2 | 215.1 | 210.0 | 214.9 | 83.7 | 84.0 |
| 1990 | 214.7 | 219.3 | 214.5 | 219.1 | 83.1 | 82.8 |
| 1991 | 226.9 | 223.6 | 226.7 | 223.4 | 82.2 | 81.5 |
| 1992 | 232.3 | 228.0 | 232.0 | 227.7 | 80.2 | 80.3 |
| 1993 | 227.4 | 226.9 | 227.1 | 226.6 | 79.1 | 79.1 |
| 1994 | 225.0 | 225.9 | 224.6 | 225.5 | 77.7 | 77.9 |
| 1995 | 221.3 | 224.9 | 220.9 | 224.4 | 75.5 | 75.8 |
| 1996 | 225.1 | 223.9 | 224.5 | 223.3 | 74.0 | 73.7 |
| 1997 | 223.8 | 222.9 | 223.1 | 222.2 | 71.3 | 71.7 |
| 1998 | 220.7 | 221.9 | 220.0 | 221.1 | 69.9 | 70.4 |
| 1999 | 226.2 | 225.2 | 225.2 | 224.4 | 69.2 | 69.1 |
| 2000 | 231.6 | 228.6 | 230.4 | 227.8 | 67.6 | 67.9 |
| 2001 | 232.9 | 232.0 | 231.5 | 231.2 | 67.2 | 66.7 |
| 2002 | 233.0 | 231.1 | 231.2 | 229.6 | 66.3 | 65.5 |
| 2003 | 226.3 | 230.2 | 224.2 | 228.0 | 64.8 | 64.3 |
| 2004 | 227.2 | 229.3 | 224.7 | 226.4 | 62.9 | 63.1 |
| 2005 | 225.5 | 228.4 | 222.6 | 224.8 | 61.8 | 62.0 |
| 2006 | 228.3 | 227.6 | 224.7 | 223.2 | 60.9 | 60.9 |
| 2007 | 229.9 | 226.7 | 225.6 | 221.7 | 59.2 | 59.8 |
| 2008 | 225.8 | 225.8 | 218.4 | 220.2 | 58.8 | 58.7 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 231.9 | 231.8 | 231.9 | 231.7 | 145.9 | 146.4 |
| 1976 | 239.8 | 237.7 | 239.8 | 237.7 | 146.7 | 147.2 |
| 1977 | 240.2 | 243.8 | 240.2 | 243.8 | 149.4 | 147.9 |
| 1978 | 250.9 | 250.0 | 250.9 | 250.0 | 149.8 | 148.7 |
| 1979 | 251.7 | 256.4 | 251.7 | 256.4 | 149.3 | 149.4 |
| 1980 | 268.6 | 262.9 | 268.6 | 263.0 | 149.7 | 150.2 |
| 1981 | 272.0 | 269.6 | 272.0 | 269.7 | 149.9 | 151.0 |
| 1982 | 276.7 | 276.5 | 276.6 | 276.6 | 151.5 | 151.7 |
| 1983 | 272.5 | 276.0 | 272.4 | 276.0 | 151.1 | 152.5 |
| 1984 | 283.5 | 275.5 | 283.4 | 275.4 | 154.9 | 153.3 |
| 1985 | 268.3 | 275.0 | 268.2 | 274.8 | 151.0 | 150.5 |
| 1986 | 269.3 | 274.5 | 269.2 | 274.2 | 147.4 | 147.8 |
| 1987 | 275.0 | 274.0 | 274.8 | 273.6 | 145.3 | 145.2 |
| 1988 | 271.9 | 273.5 | 271.7 | 273.0 | 145.7 | 146.0 |
| 1989 | 276.2 | 273.0 | 275.9 | 272.4 | 147.7 | 146.9 |
| 1990 | 287.4 | 284.3 | 287.0 | 284.1 | 147.8 | 147.8 |
| 1991 | 292.9 | 296.1 | 292.5 | 296.2 | 142.0 | 143.4 |
| 1992 | 310.6 | 308.4 | 310.0 | 308.9 | 138.2 | 139.1 |
| 1993 | 326.7 | 321.1 | 325.9 | 322.1 | 135.9 | 134.9 |
| 1994 | 321.9 | 319.4 | 321.1 | 319.8 | 131.7 | 130.9 |
| 1995 | 327.0 | 317.7 | 326.0 | 317.5 | 126.8 | 127.0 |
| 1996 | 316.8 | 316.0 | 315.7 | 315.2 | 123.4 | 123.2 |
| 1997 | 304.3 | 314.3 | 303.1 | 312.9 | 119.8 | 119.5 |
| 1998 | 298.4 | 312.6 | 297.0 | 310.6 | 116.3 | 116.0 |
| 1999 | 307.4 | 311.0 | 305.6 | 308.4 | 113.1 | 112.5 |
| 2000 | 312.5 | 309.3 | 310.3 | 306.1 | 107.8 | 109.1 |
| 2001 | 306.5 | 307.6 | 303.9 | 303.9 | 104.5 | 105.9 |
| 2002 | 316.8 | 306.0 | 313.7 | 301.7 | 103.9 | 103.5 |
| 2003 | 309.8 | 304.4 | 306.3 | 299.5 | 102.3 | 101.1 |
| 2004 | 296.1 | 302.7 | 292.0 | 297.4 | 98.7 | 98.8 |
| 2005 | 291.1 | 301.1 | 286.4 | 295.2 | 97.2 | 96.5 |
| 2006 | 288.6 | 299.5 | 283.0 | 293.1 | 93.8 | 94.3 |
| 2007 | 309.4 | 297.9 | 302.1 | 291.0 | 92.1 | 92.2 |
| 2008 | 301.6 | 296.3 | 289.7 | 288.9 | 89.8 | 90.0 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 222.9 | 223.6 | 222.9 | 223.6 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| 1976 | 223.4 | 221.1 | 223.4 | 221.1 | 75.2 | 74.8 |
| 1977 | 216.4 | 218.6 | 216.4 | 218.6 | 74.8 | 74.6 |
| 1978 | 217.2 | 216.2 | 217.2 | 216.2 | 74.7 | 74.4 |
| 1979 | 212.7 | 213.8 | 212.7 | 213.8 | 73.3 | 74.2 |
| 1980 | 210.5 | 211.4 | 210.5 | 211.4 | 73.7 | 74.0 |
| 1981 | 217.7 | 214.5 | 217.7 | 214.5 | 73.2 | 73.8 |
| 1982 | 217.2 | 217.6 | 217.2 | 217.6 | 73.6 | 73.6 |
| 1983 | 217.8 | 220.8 | 217.8 | 220.8 | 73.4 | 73.4 |
| 1984 | 224.5 | 224.0 | 224.5 | 224.0 | 74.0 | 73.2 |
| 1985 | 230.8 | 227.3 | 230.8 | 227.3 | 74.1 | 73.0 |
| 1986 | 228.4 | 230.6 | 228.3 | 230.6 | 73.0 | 72.8 |
| 1987 | 235.3 | 234.0 | 235.2 | 234.0 | 72.5 | 72.6 |
| 1988 | 230.1 | 233.2 | 230.0 | 233.0 | 72.4 | 72.4 |
| 1989 | 229.8 | 232.3 | 229.7 | 232.1 | 71.8 | 72.2 |
| 1990 | 234.4 | 231.5 | 234.2 | 231.2 | 71.1 | 72.1 |
| 1991 | 234.0 | 230.6 | 233.8 | 230.3 | 70.9 | 70.7 |
| 1992 | 231.3 | 229.8 | 231.0 | 229.4 | 69.0 | 69.4 |
| 1993 | 226.5 | 228.9 | 226.2 | 228.5 | 68.1 | 68.1 |
| 1994 | 231.7 | 231.9 | 231.3 | 231.5 | 67.3 | 66.9 |
| 1995 | 234.7 | 234.9 | 234.3 | 234.6 | 66.3 | 65.6 |
| 1996 | 235.1 | 237.9 | 234.6 | 237.7 | 64.9 | 64.4 |
| 1997 | 242.7 | 241.0 | 242.0 | 240.9 | 63.4 | 63.2 |
| 1998 | 244.8 | 244.1 | 244.1 | 244.1 | 61.1 | 62.1 |
| 1999 | 245.3 | 244.2 | 244.3 | 243.6 | 60.4 | 60.9 |
| 2000 | 243.8 | 244.2 | 242.6 | 243.1 | 59.9 | 59.8 |
| 2001 | 244.7 | 244.2 | 243.4 | 242.6 | 59.3 | 58.7 |
| 2002 | 247.1 | 244.2 | 245.5 | 242.1 | 58.0 | 57.6 |
| 2003 | 242.4 | 244.2 | 240.4 | 241.6 | 56.8 | 56.5 |
| 2004 | 240.5 | 244.2 | 238.2 | 241.1 | 55.0 | 55.5 |
| 2005 | 243.6 | 244.2 | 240.7 | 240.6 | 54.6 | 54.5 |
| 2006 | 242.8 | 244.3 | 239.3 | 240.1 | 53.9 | 53.5 |
| 2007 | 243.6 | 244.3 | 239.4 | 239.6 | 52.3 | 52.5 |
| 2008 | 248.3 | 244.3 | 240.7 | 239.1 | 50.8 | 51.5 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 214.3 | 205.7 | 214.3 | 206.9 | 95.3 | 96.4 |
| 1976 | 204.9 | 207.3 | 204.9 | 208.3 | 94.3 | 96.4 |
| 1977 | 208.1 | 209.0 | 208.1 | 209.7 | 97.9 | 96.4 |
| 1978 | 205.1 | 210.6 | 205.1 | 211.1 | 95.8 | 96.5 |
| 1979 | 215.6 | 212.3 | 215.6 | 212.5 | 96.4 | 96.5 |
| 1980 | 215.2 | 214.0 | 215.2 | 213.9 | 98.3 | 96.6 |
| 1981 | 210.6 | 215.7 | 210.6 | 215.3 | 96.2 | 96.6 |
| 1982 | 208.1 | 217.4 | 208.0 | 216.7 | 96.7 | 96.7 |
| 1983 | 219.7 | 219.1 | 219.7 | 218.2 | 96.9 | 96.7 |
| 1984 | 226.7 | 220.8 | 226.7 | 219.6 | 98.6 | 96.7 |
| 1985 | 223.2 | 222.6 | 223.1 | 221.1 | 97.2 | 96.8 |
| 1986 | 228.2 | 224.3 | 228.1 | 222.6 | 98.1 | 96.8 |
| 1987 | 224.3 | 226.1 | 224.1 | 224.0 | 98.6 | 96.9 |
| 1988 | 230.6 | 227.9 | 230.4 | 225.5 | 95.7 | 96.9 |
| 1989 | 219.6 | 227.8 | 219.4 | 227.0 | 93.9 | 96.9 |
| 1990 | 226.4 | 227.8 | 226.1 | 228.5 | 97.0 | 97.0 |
| 1991 | 231.7 | 227.8 | 231.3 | 230.1 | 93.8 | 95.3 |
| 1992 | 234.1 | 227.7 | 233.7 | 229.5 | 95.1 | 93.6 |
| 1993 | 230.1 | 227.7 | 229.7 | 229.0 | 91.6 | 92.0 |
| 1994 | 230.4 | 227.6 | 229.9 | 228.5 | 90.1 | 90.3 |
| 1995 | 224.1 | 227.6 | 223.6 | 228.0 | 89.7 | 88.8 |
| 1996 | 229.2 | 227.6 | 228.4 | 227.5 | 86.2 | 87.2 |
| 1997 | 224.6 | 227.5 | 223.8 | 227.0 | 86.0 | 85.7 |
| 1998 | 230.1 | 227.5 | 229.2 | 226.5 | 85.4 | 84.2 |
| 1999 | 230.0 | 227.4 | 228.8 | 226.0 | 81.9 | 82.7 |
| 2000 | 223.0 | 227.4 | 221.6 | 225.4 | 79.9 | 81.2 |
| 2001 | 216.2 | 227.3 | 214.6 | 224.9 | 79.3 | 79.8 |
| 2002 | 229.4 | 227.3 | 227.4 | 224.4 | 78.7 | 78.4 |
| 2003 | 223.9 | 227.3 | 221.5 | 223.9 | 77.8 | 77.0 |
| 2004 | 231.4 | 227.2 | 228.6 | 223.4 | 75.6 | 75.7 |
| 2005 | 229.9 | 227.2 | 226.4 | 222.9 | 75.5 | 74.3 |
| 2006 | 226.6 | 227.1 | 222.5 | 222.4 | 73.3 | 73.0 |
| 2007 | 226.8 | 227.1 | 221.9 | 221.9 | 71.7 | 71.8 |
| 2008 | 228.8 | 227.0 | 220.4 | 221.4 | 69.5 | 70.5 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2001-08 | -0.4 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2001-08 | -0.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 1997-08 | -1.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1993-08 | -0.5* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1993-08 | -0.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-08 | -2.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-08 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-08 | -0.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 1990-08 | -1.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1988-08 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-08 | -0.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1990-08 | -1.8* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 3.5, April 2011, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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