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Figure 2.3
Figure 2.3
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, Ages 65 and Over, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2008, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2008, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2008, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2008, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2494.4 | 2509.8 | 2494.4 | 2510.4 | 1403.0 | 1404.7 |
| 1976 | 2570.6 | 2546.5 | 2570.6 | 2546.9 | 1427.1 | 1422.7 |
| 1977 | 2599.2 | 2583.7 | 2599.2 | 2584.0 | 1437.2 | 1440.8 |
| 1978 | 2620.6 | 2621.5 | 2620.6 | 2621.6 | 1460.1 | 1459.2 |
| 1979 | 2682.3 | 2659.8 | 2682.3 | 2659.7 | 1476.5 | 1477.9 |
| 1980 | 2720.0 | 2698.7 | 2720.0 | 2698.4 | 1488.6 | 1485.8 |
| 1981 | 2747.3 | 2738.1 | 2747.3 | 2737.7 | 1483.7 | 1493.9 |
| 1982 | 2768.4 | 2778.2 | 2768.2 | 2777.6 | 1508.4 | 1501.9 |
| 1983 | 2798.3 | 2818.8 | 2797.9 | 2818.0 | 1518.6 | 1510.0 |
| 1984 | 2831.7 | 2860.0 | 2831.1 | 2859.0 | 1519.8 | 1518.2 |
| 1985 | 2820.1 | 2901.8 | 2819.2 | 2900.6 | 1523.7 | 1526.4 |
| 1986 | 2884.2 | 2944.2 | 2883.0 | 2942.8 | 1534.2 | 1534.6 |
| 1987 | 3053.4 | 2987.2 | 3051.8 | 2985.6 | 1536.9 | 1542.9 |
| 1988 | 3037.6 | 3030.9 | 3035.6 | 3029.1 | 1545.6 | 1551.2 |
| 1989 | 3086.9 | 3075.2 | 3084.5 | 3073.2 | 1560.0 | 1559.6 |
| 1990 | 3260.3 | 3254.7 | 3257.1 | 3252.0 | 1573.9 | 1568.0 |
| 1991 | 3534.3 | 3444.7 | 3530.5 | 3441.3 | 1577.8 | 1576.4 |
| 1992 | 3646.8 | 3645.9 | 3642.1 | 3641.6 | 1573.3 | 1584.9 |
| 1993 | 3339.9 | 3396.0 | 3334.7 | 3390.3 | 1572.6 | 1568.4 |
| 1994 | 3097.9 | 3163.3 | 3092.2 | 3156.3 | 1557.5 | 1552.0 |
| 1995 | 2986.5 | 2946.6 | 2980.1 | 2938.5 | 1546.8 | 1535.8 |
| 1996 | 2991.2 | 2977.2 | 2983.6 | 2970.0 | 1520.4 | 1519.7 |
| 1997 | 3023.2 | 3008.1 | 3014.2 | 3001.8 | 1497.4 | 1503.9 |
| 1998 | 3043.9 | 3039.4 | 3033.9 | 3033.9 | 1476.1 | 1488.1 |
| 1999 | 3059.6 | 3071.0 | 3046.0 | 3066.4 | 1477.2 | 1472.6 |
| 2000 | 3028.9 | 3039.7 | 3012.9 | 3027.7 | 1458.2 | 1457.2 |
| 2001 | 3047.5 | 3008.7 | 3028.4 | 2989.4 | 1434.5 | 1434.0 |
| 2002 | 2998.5 | 2978.1 | 2976.1 | 2951.6 | 1419.1 | 1411.1 |
| 2003 | 2915.1 | 2947.7 | 2889.0 | 2914.3 | 1386.3 | 1388.5 |
| 2004 | 2896.6 | 2917.7 | 2865.5 | 2877.5 | 1356.0 | 1366.4 |
| 2005 | 2842.7 | 2887.9 | 2805.9 | 2841.1 | 1350.8 | 1344.6 |
| 2006 | 2846.0 | 2858.5 | 2801.5 | 2805.2 | 1319.8 | 1323.1 |
| 2007 | 2903.8 | 2829.4 | 2848.8 | 2769.8 | 1304.4 | 1302.0 |
| 2008 | 2783.7 | 2800.5 | 2692.2 | 2734.8 | 1281.5 | 1281.2 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2553.7 | 2736.0 | 2553.7 | 2736.7 | 1527.3 | 1544.3 |
| 1976 | 2718.3 | 2778.9 | 2718.3 | 2779.4 | 1584.7 | 1583.4 |
| 1977 | 2909.9 | 2822.5 | 2909.9 | 2822.8 | 1641.2 | 1623.4 |
| 1978 | 2781.1 | 2866.8 | 2781.1 | 2866.9 | 1662.1 | 1664.5 |
| 1979 | 2927.6 | 2911.7 | 2927.6 | 2911.6 | 1695.0 | 1706.6 |
| 1980 | 3010.7 | 2957.4 | 3010.7 | 2957.1 | 1765.7 | 1749.7 |
| 1981 | 3135.9 | 3003.8 | 3135.9 | 3003.2 | 1801.4 | 1794.0 |
| 1982 | 3008.4 | 3050.9 | 3008.1 | 3050.1 | 1839.8 | 1839.4 |
| 1983 | 3228.1 | 3098.8 | 3227.5 | 3097.7 | 1877.8 | 1885.9 |
| 1984 | 3136.1 | 3147.4 | 3135.1 | 3146.1 | 1919.9 | 1933.6 |
| 1985 | 3238.8 | 3196.8 | 3237.3 | 3195.2 | 1945.5 | 1960.7 |
| 1986 | 3237.9 | 3246.9 | 3236.0 | 3245.1 | 1979.4 | 1988.2 |
| 1987 | 3372.7 | 3297.9 | 3370.2 | 3295.7 | 2028.1 | 2016.1 |
| 1988 | 3323.9 | 3349.6 | 3320.8 | 3347.2 | 2032.9 | 2044.4 |
| 1989 | 3326.4 | 3402.1 | 3322.7 | 3399.4 | 2106.4 | 2073.1 |
| 1990 | 3552.4 | 3685.8 | 3547.5 | 3680.3 | 2136.3 | 2102.2 |
| 1991 | 4031.2 | 3993.0 | 4024.9 | 3984.4 | 2150.5 | 2131.7 |
| 1992 | 4253.5 | 4325.9 | 4245.7 | 4313.7 | 2124.4 | 2161.6 |
| 1993 | 4224.8 | 4122.6 | 4215.7 | 4116.8 | 2183.9 | 2191.9 |
| 1994 | 3976.1 | 3928.9 | 3966.0 | 3929.0 | 2137.3 | 2155.1 |
| 1995 | 3661.8 | 3744.3 | 3650.9 | 3749.7 | 2122.2 | 2118.9 |
| 1996 | 3564.5 | 3690.6 | 3552.1 | 3688.0 | 2103.9 | 2083.3 |
| 1997 | 3756.1 | 3637.7 | 3740.8 | 3627.4 | 2045.2 | 2048.4 |
| 1998 | 3648.6 | 3585.5 | 3632.3 | 3567.8 | 1990.3 | 2014.0 |
| 1999 | 3596.8 | 3534.1 | 3575.4 | 3509.1 | 1981.8 | 1980.2 |
| 2000 | 3488.7 | 3483.4 | 3464.3 | 3451.4 | 1956.7 | 1946.9 |
| 2001 | 3420.4 | 3433.4 | 3392.2 | 3394.6 | 1927.6 | 1914.3 |
| 2002 | 3368.7 | 3384.2 | 3335.9 | 3338.8 | 1870.2 | 1866.3 |
| 2003 | 3268.8 | 3335.7 | 3231.1 | 3283.9 | 1797.6 | 1819.5 |
| 2004 | 3373.8 | 3287.8 | 3327.6 | 3229.9 | 1769.8 | 1773.8 |
| 2005 | 3070.0 | 3240.7 | 3019.9 | 3176.8 | 1730.4 | 1729.3 |
| 2006 | 3107.3 | 3194.2 | 3046.8 | 3124.6 | 1677.1 | 1686.0 |
| 2007 | 3171.7 | 3148.4 | 3097.6 | 3073.2 | 1666.1 | 1643.7 |
| 2008 | 3227.5 | 3103.3 | 3100.6 | 3022.7 | 1595.7 | 1602.5 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1383.0 | 1363.5 | 1383.0 | 1363.6 | 739.4 | 745.4 |
| 1976 | 1408.5 | 1388.9 | 1408.5 | 1389.0 | 759.4 | 753.5 |
| 1977 | 1415.1 | 1414.8 | 1415.1 | 1414.8 | 761.8 | 761.6 |
| 1978 | 1410.2 | 1441.1 | 1410.2 | 1441.1 | 769.6 | 769.9 |
| 1979 | 1454.8 | 1468.0 | 1454.8 | 1467.9 | 772.8 | 778.2 |
| 1980 | 1499.5 | 1495.3 | 1499.5 | 1495.2 | 789.5 | 786.6 |
| 1981 | 1532.2 | 1523.2 | 1532.2 | 1523.0 | 796.1 | 795.1 |
| 1982 | 1532.1 | 1551.6 | 1532.0 | 1551.3 | 805.4 | 803.7 |
| 1983 | 1564.4 | 1580.5 | 1564.2 | 1580.2 | 811.9 | 812.4 |
| 1984 | 1610.3 | 1609.9 | 1609.9 | 1609.6 | 826.2 | 821.2 |
| 1985 | 1661.1 | 1639.9 | 1660.6 | 1639.5 | 829.4 | 830.1 |
| 1986 | 1658.7 | 1670.4 | 1658.1 | 1670.0 | 840.4 | 839.1 |
| 1987 | 1723.9 | 1701.6 | 1723.2 | 1701.1 | 843.1 | 848.1 |
| 1988 | 1716.4 | 1733.3 | 1715.5 | 1732.7 | 852.4 | 857.3 |
| 1989 | 1724.8 | 1736.5 | 1723.7 | 1735.4 | 871.4 | 866.6 |
| 1990 | 1742.3 | 1739.7 | 1740.8 | 1738.2 | 876.5 | 876.0 |
| 1991 | 1774.5 | 1742.9 | 1772.9 | 1741.0 | 882.0 | 882.7 |
| 1992 | 1755.1 | 1746.2 | 1753.1 | 1743.7 | 888.7 | 889.5 |
| 1993 | 1738.6 | 1749.4 | 1736.3 | 1746.5 | 896.7 | 896.4 |
| 1994 | 1749.7 | 1752.7 | 1746.9 | 1749.3 | 900.6 | 903.3 |
| 1995 | 1752.7 | 1755.9 | 1749.4 | 1752.1 | 900.6 | 897.6 |
| 1996 | 1767.2 | 1780.0 | 1763.2 | 1777.3 | 895.2 | 892.0 |
| 1997 | 1818.8 | 1804.4 | 1814.0 | 1802.8 | 885.7 | 886.4 |
| 1998 | 1849.5 | 1829.2 | 1844.2 | 1828.7 | 886.2 | 890.3 |
| 1999 | 1823.3 | 1820.3 | 1816.1 | 1816.0 | 895.5 | 894.2 |
| 2000 | 1789.5 | 1811.4 | 1781.1 | 1803.4 | 899.2 | 898.2 |
| 2001 | 1819.7 | 1802.6 | 1809.4 | 1790.8 | 883.6 | 888.4 |
| 2002 | 1791.4 | 1793.8 | 1779.4 | 1778.3 | 881.7 | 878.8 |
| 2003 | 1754.1 | 1785.0 | 1739.9 | 1766.0 | 871.7 | 869.3 |
| 2004 | 1772.1 | 1776.3 | 1754.9 | 1753.7 | 859.2 | 859.8 |
| 2005 | 1750.7 | 1767.7 | 1730.1 | 1741.5 | 850.3 | 850.5 |
| 2006 | 1756.9 | 1759.0 | 1731.9 | 1729.3 | 842.9 | 841.3 |
| 2007 | 1754.1 | 1750.5 | 1723.6 | 1717.3 | 832.2 | 832.2 |
| 2008 | 1769.7 | 1741.9 | 1715.7 | 1705.3 | 821.3 | 823.1 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1340.8 | 1287.9 | 1340.8 | 1291.6 | 719.5 | 739.4 |
| 1976 | 1276.9 | 1308.9 | 1276.9 | 1312.0 | 765.5 | 752.2 |
| 1977 | 1346.7 | 1330.3 | 1346.7 | 1332.7 | 760.5 | 765.2 |
| 1978 | 1304.7 | 1352.0 | 1304.7 | 1353.7 | 774.3 | 778.4 |
| 1979 | 1350.3 | 1374.1 | 1350.3 | 1375.1 | 779.8 | 791.8 |
| 1980 | 1412.8 | 1396.5 | 1412.8 | 1396.8 | 818.1 | 805.5 |
| 1981 | 1416.3 | 1419.3 | 1416.3 | 1418.8 | 818.1 | 819.4 |
| 1982 | 1409.0 | 1442.5 | 1408.9 | 1441.2 | 836.4 | 833.5 |
| 1983 | 1504.8 | 1466.0 | 1504.6 | 1464.0 | 858.9 | 847.9 |
| 1984 | 1487.8 | 1489.9 | 1487.4 | 1487.1 | 866.8 | 862.6 |
| 1985 | 1529.3 | 1514.3 | 1528.7 | 1510.5 | 881.5 | 877.5 |
| 1986 | 1560.4 | 1539.0 | 1559.6 | 1534.4 | 896.8 | 892.6 |
| 1987 | 1569.4 | 1564.1 | 1568.4 | 1558.6 | 900.2 | 908.0 |
| 1988 | 1607.4 | 1589.7 | 1606.1 | 1583.2 | 924.0 | 923.7 |
| 1989 | 1526.8 | 1615.6 | 1525.3 | 1608.2 | 940.4 | 939.7 |
| 1990 | 1666.6 | 1642.0 | 1664.6 | 1633.5 | 954.6 | 955.9 |
| 1991 | 1668.3 | 1647.6 | 1666.1 | 1659.3 | 992.5 | 972.4 |
| 1992 | 1655.5 | 1653.3 | 1652.9 | 1662.0 | 970.9 | 989.2 |
| 1993 | 1609.3 | 1659.0 | 1606.2 | 1664.7 | 998.7 | 1006.3 |
| 1994 | 1647.1 | 1664.7 | 1643.4 | 1667.5 | 991.9 | 1002.3 |
| 1995 | 1655.6 | 1670.4 | 1651.2 | 1670.2 | 998.6 | 998.4 |
| 1996 | 1717.8 | 1676.1 | 1712.6 | 1672.9 | 994.3 | 994.5 |
| 1997 | 1699.6 | 1681.9 | 1693.5 | 1675.6 | 1007.7 | 990.6 |
| 1998 | 1699.1 | 1687.7 | 1692.4 | 1678.4 | 979.3 | 986.8 |
| 1999 | 1742.4 | 1693.5 | 1733.2 | 1681.1 | 996.8 | 982.9 |
| 2000 | 1654.9 | 1699.3 | 1644.5 | 1683.8 | 976.9 | 979.1 |
| 2001 | 1679.6 | 1705.1 | 1667.1 | 1686.6 | 972.3 | 975.2 |
| 2002 | 1788.1 | 1711.0 | 1772.4 | 1689.3 | 971.5 | 971.4 |
| 2003 | 1709.1 | 1716.9 | 1691.2 | 1692.1 | 956.2 | 953.9 |
| 2004 | 1703.3 | 1722.8 | 1682.1 | 1694.8 | 930.4 | 936.6 |
| 2005 | 1719.5 | 1728.7 | 1693.8 | 1697.6 | 911.3 | 919.7 |
| 2006 | 1717.2 | 1734.6 | 1686.5 | 1700.4 | 898.2 | 903.1 |
| 2007 | 1718.4 | 1740.6 | 1681.5 | 1703.1 | 895.3 | 886.7 |
| 2008 | 1764.7 | 1746.6 | 1700.0 | 1705.9 | 872.3 | 870.7 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1999-08 | -1.0* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1999-08 | -1.3* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2000-08 | -1.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1995-08 | -1.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1995-08 | -1.6* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-08 | -2.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-08 | -0.5* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-08 | -0.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2000-08 | -1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1990-08 | 0.3* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-08 | 0.2 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2002-08 | -1.8* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 3.5, April 2011, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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