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Figure 2.5
Figure 2.5
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
All Cancer Sites, Males, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 466.8 | 470.1 | 466.8 | 470.2 | ||||
| 1976 | 481.1 | 476.4 | 481.1 | 476.5 | ||||
| 1977 | 486.5 | 482.8 | 486.5 | 482.8 | ||||
| 1978 | 488.4 | 489.3 | 488.4 | 489.3 | ||||
| 1979 | 496.5 | 495.8 | 496.5 | 495.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 505.8 | 502.5 | 505.8 | 502.4 | ||||
| 1981 | 510.8 | 509.2 | 510.8 | 509.2 | ||||
| 1982 | 511.1 | 516.0 | 511.1 | 516.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 520.0 | 522.9 | 520.0 | 522.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 525.5 | 529.9 | 525.4 | 529.8 | ||||
| 1985 | 531.3 | 537.0 | 531.2 | 536.9 | ||||
| 1986 | 538.3 | 544.2 | 538.2 | 544.1 | ||||
| 1987 | 563.2 | 551.5 | 563.1 | 551.4 | ||||
| 1988 | 558.5 | 558.9 | 558.3 | 558.7 | ||||
| 1989 | 567.1 | 566.4 | 566.8 | 566.2 | ||||
| 1990 | 592.8 | 595.7 | 592.5 | 595.4 | ||||
| 1991 | 637.6 | 626.4 | 637.2 | 626.1 | ||||
| 1992 | 658.3 | 658.8 | 657.8 | 658.4 | 649.0 | 648.5 | 648.5 | 643.5 |
| 1993 | 622.3 | 627.2 | 621.8 | 626.6 | 611.4 | 612.3 | 610.9 | 614.4 |
| 1994 | 589.9 | 597.1 | 589.3 | 596.3 | 579.8 | 578.1 | 579.2 | 586.7 |
| 1995 | 571.7 | 568.4 | 571.0 | 567.5 | 564.4 | 574.7 | 563.7 | 560.2 |
| 1996 | 572.8 | 570.8 | 572.0 | 570.0 | 563.8 | 571.3 | 563.0 | 561.5 |
| 1997 | 576.0 | 573.2 | 575.0 | 572.4 | 566.0 | 567.9 | 565.0 | 562.7 |
| 1998 | 573.0 | 575.7 | 572.0 | 574.9 | 563.3 | 564.5 | 562.2 | 563.9 |
| 1999 | 581.3 | 578.1 | 579.9 | 577.4 | 568.9 | 561.2 | 567.5 | 565.1 |
| 2000 | 580.3 | 580.6 | 578.6 | 580.0 | 565.2 | 557.8 | 563.5 | 566.4 |
| 2001 | 581.2 | 575.9 | 579.1 | 574.2 | 566.5 | 554.5 | 564.5 | 560.1 |
| 2002 | 574.8 | 571.2 | 572.3 | 568.5 | 558.6 | 551.3 | 556.3 | 553.9 |
| 2003 | 559.9 | 566.6 | 556.9 | 562.8 | 545.8 | 548.0 | 543.0 | 547.8 |
| 2004 | 557.4 | 562.0 | 553.9 | 557.2 | 545.8 | 544.7 | 542.4 | 541.7 |
| 2005 | 546.6 | 557.4 | 542.3 | 551.7 | 531.3 | 541.5 | 527.3 | 535.7 |
| 2006 | 551.5 | 552.9 | 546.2 | 546.2 | 532.4 | 538.3 | 527.5 | 529.8 |
| 2007 | 561.3 | 548.4 | 554.8 | 540.8 | 543.1 | 535.1 | 537.0 | 524.0 |
| 2008 | 543.1 | 544.0 | 530.8 | 535.4 | 525.3 | 532.0 | 513.7 | 518.2 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.6 | 469.4 | 468.6 | 469.5 | ||||
| 1976 | 481.8 | 476.1 | 481.8 | 476.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 487.1 | 482.9 | 487.1 | 483.0 | ||||
| 1978 | 489.8 | 489.8 | 489.8 | 489.8 | ||||
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | ||||
| 1981 | 510.8 | 511.1 | 510.8 | 511.0 | ||||
| 1982 | 512.5 | 518.4 | 512.4 | 518.3 | ||||
| 1983 | 521.1 | 525.8 | 521.0 | 525.7 | ||||
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.3 | 527.6 | 533.2 | ||||
| 1985 | 533.6 | 540.9 | 533.4 | 540.7 | ||||
| 1986 | 543.0 | 548.7 | 542.8 | 548.4 | ||||
| 1987 | 569.0 | 556.5 | 568.7 | 556.2 | ||||
| 1988 | 565.4 | 564.5 | 565.0 | 564.1 | ||||
| 1989 | 573.7 | 572.5 | 573.3 | 572.2 | ||||
| 1990 | 599.6 | 601.3 | 599.0 | 600.8 | ||||
| 1991 | 644.9 | 631.5 | 644.2 | 630.8 | ||||
| 1992 | 663.9 | 663.2 | 663.0 | 662.4 | 655.4 | 654.8 | 654.5 | 653.9 |
| 1993 | 620.8 | 629.3 | 619.8 | 628.3 | 610.1 | 611.3 | 609.2 | 610.2 |
| 1994 | 588.1 | 597.2 | 587.1 | 595.9 | 579.9 | 570.7 | 578.8 | 569.5 |
| 1995 | 570.8 | 566.8 | 569.6 | 565.3 | 564.5 | 570.4 | 563.3 | 569.0 |
| 1996 | 574.7 | 570.8 | 573.2 | 569.3 | 566.8 | 570.2 | 565.3 | 568.6 |
| 1997 | 577.6 | 574.8 | 575.8 | 573.3 | 567.6 | 569.9 | 565.9 | 568.2 |
| 1998 | 577.5 | 578.9 | 575.6 | 577.4 | 567.2 | 569.6 | 565.3 | 567.8 |
| 1999 | 584.3 | 583.0 | 581.7 | 581.5 | 572.7 | 569.3 | 570.2 | 567.3 |
| 2000 | 585.1 | 587.1 | 582.0 | 585.6 | 571.4 | 569.0 | 568.5 | 566.9 |
| 2001 | 588.6 | 582.5 | 584.9 | 579.4 | 574.7 | 568.7 | 571.1 | 566.5 |
| 2002 | 582.5 | 578.0 | 578.1 | 573.3 | 565.5 | 563.8 | 561.4 | 560.0 |
| 2003 | 566.1 | 573.4 | 561.0 | 567.3 | 552.1 | 558.9 | 547.3 | 553.5 |
| 2004 | 564.5 | 568.9 | 558.5 | 561.3 | 553.2 | 554.0 | 547.5 | 547.1 |
| 2005 | 556.3 | 564.5 | 549.1 | 555.4 | 541.3 | 549.2 | 534.6 | 540.8 |
| 2006 | 559.2 | 560.1 | 550.4 | 549.5 | 541.4 | 544.4 | 533.4 | 534.5 |
| 2007 | 567.9 | 555.7 | 557.1 | 543.7 | 551.1 | 539.7 | 541.2 | 528.3 |
| 2008 | 549.1 | 551.3 | 531.0 | 538.0 | 533.4 | 535.0 | 516.6 | 522.2 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2008 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.4 | 533.0 | 525.4 | 533.1 | ||||
| 1976 | 553.0 | 548.0 | 553.0 | 548.0 | ||||
| 1977 | 577.6 | 563.4 | 577.6 | 563.4 | ||||
| 1978 | 570.7 | 579.3 | 570.7 | 579.3 | ||||
| 1979 | 589.9 | 595.6 | 589.9 | 595.5 | ||||
| 1980 | 615.1 | 612.4 | 615.1 | 612.3 | ||||
| 1981 | 633.9 | 629.6 | 633.9 | 629.5 | ||||
| 1982 | 621.9 | 633.8 | 621.9 | 633.6 | ||||
| 1983 | 646.1 | 638.0 | 645.9 | 637.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 644.0 | 642.2 | 643.8 | 642.0 | ||||
| 1985 | 643.7 | 646.4 | 643.4 | 646.3 | ||||
| 1986 | 644.5 | 650.7 | 644.1 | 650.5 | ||||
| 1987 | 666.5 | 655.0 | 666.0 | 654.8 | ||||
| 1988 | 657.7 | 659.3 | 657.0 | 659.1 | ||||
| 1989 | 661.7 | 663.7 | 661.0 | 663.5 | ||||
| 1990 | 700.0 | 707.5 | 699.1 | 705.8 | ||||
| 1991 | 765.4 | 754.2 | 764.2 | 750.8 | ||||
| 1992 | 808.9 | 804.1 | 807.4 | 798.6 | 789.4 | 781.6 | 788.0 | 784.1 |
| 1993 | 819.3 | 791.8 | 817.6 | 786.7 | 794.0 | 770.6 | 792.2 | 771.8 |
| 1994 | 783.8 | 779.8 | 781.8 | 775.1 | 748.8 | 759.7 | 746.8 | 759.6 |
| 1995 | 748.4 | 767.9 | 746.2 | 763.5 | 737.3 | 749.0 | 735.0 | 747.6 |
| 1996 | 727.2 | 756.2 | 724.7 | 752.2 | 717.5 | 738.4 | 714.9 | 735.8 |
| 1997 | 740.6 | 744.7 | 737.6 | 741.0 | 726.9 | 727.9 | 723.8 | 724.2 |
| 1998 | 721.8 | 733.3 | 718.6 | 730.0 | 714.0 | 717.7 | 710.7 | 712.7 |
| 1999 | 723.1 | 722.2 | 718.9 | 719.1 | 714.7 | 707.5 | 710.4 | 701.5 |
| 2000 | 713.9 | 711.2 | 708.9 | 708.5 | 702.7 | 697.5 | 697.8 | 690.4 |
| 2001 | 700.0 | 700.3 | 694.3 | 697.9 | 688.8 | 687.7 | 683.2 | 679.5 |
| 2002 | 702.5 | 689.7 | 695.7 | 687.6 | 690.8 | 677.9 | 684.3 | 668.8 |
| 2003 | 683.8 | 679.2 | 675.9 | 677.3 | 669.3 | 668.4 | 661.7 | 658.2 |
| 2004 | 685.1 | 668.8 | 675.7 | 667.3 | 669.7 | 658.9 | 660.8 | 647.8 |
| 2005 | 642.3 | 658.6 | 631.9 | 657.3 | 625.6 | 649.6 | 615.8 | 637.6 |
| 2006 | 644.9 | 648.6 | 632.3 | 647.6 | 618.7 | 640.4 | 607.1 | 627.5 |
| 2007 | 671.1 | 662.1 | 655.4 | 638.0 | 641.6 | 631.4 | 627.2 | 617.6 |
| 2008 | 671.4 | 675.9 | 645.0 | 628.5 | 635.3 | 622.4 | 611.1 | 607.9 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2008 | 2000-08 | -0.8* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2008 | 2000-08 | -1.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2008 | 1994-08 | -0.6* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2008 | 2000-08 | -1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2008 | 2000-08 | -0.8* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2008 | 2000-08 | -1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2008 | 2001-08 | -0.9* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2008 | 2001-08 | -1.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2008 | 2006-08 | 2.1 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2008 | 1992-08 | -1.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2008 | 1992-08 | -1.4* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2008 | 1992-08 | -1.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 3.5, April 2011, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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