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Figure 4.1
Figure 4.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Female Breast, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 107.3 | 105.9 | 107.3 | 105.9 | 31.8 | 31.8 |
| 1976 | 104.8 | 105.4 | 104.8 | 105.4 | 32.2 | 31.9 |
| 1977 | 103.4 | 104.9 | 103.4 | 104.9 | 32.7 | 32.0 |
| 1978 | 103.7 | 104.4 | 103.7 | 104.4 | 31.9 | 32.1 |
| 1979 | 104.7 | 103.9 | 104.7 | 103.9 | 31.5 | 32.2 |
| 1980 | 105.1 | 103.4 | 105.1 | 103.5 | 31.9 | 32.2 |
| 1981 | 110.0 | 107.7 | 110.0 | 107.7 | 32.1 | 32.3 |
| 1982 | 110.0 | 112.1 | 110.0 | 112.1 | 32.3 | 32.4 |
| 1983 | 114.5 | 116.7 | 114.5 | 116.7 | 32.2 | 32.5 |
| 1984 | 120.0 | 121.5 | 119.9 | 121.4 | 32.9 | 32.6 |
| 1985 | 127.9 | 126.5 | 127.9 | 126.4 | 33.1 | 32.7 |
| 1986 | 130.5 | 131.7 | 130.4 | 131.6 | 32.9 | 32.7 |
| 1987 | 140.4 | 137.1 | 140.3 | 136.9 | 32.6 | 32.8 |
| 1988 | 136.4 | 136.8 | 136.3 | 136.6 | 33.1 | 32.9 |
| 1989 | 132.5 | 136.5 | 132.4 | 136.3 | 33.2 | 33.0 |
| 1990 | 136.4 | 136.2 | 136.3 | 136.0 | 33.0 | 33.1 |
| 1991 | 139.1 | 135.8 | 138.9 | 135.6 | 32.4 | 32.4 |
| 1992 | 135.9 | 135.5 | 135.8 | 135.3 | 31.4 | 31.8 |
| 1993 | 133.3 | 135.2 | 133.2 | 135.0 | 31.1 | 31.2 |
| 1994 | 135.9 | 134.9 | 135.7 | 134.7 | 30.6 | 30.5 |
| 1995 | 137.9 | 137.6 | 137.7 | 137.3 | 30.1 | 29.9 |
| 1996 | 138.4 | 140.3 | 138.1 | 140.0 | 29.0 | 28.9 |
| 1997 | 143.0 | 143.1 | 142.7 | 142.8 | 27.6 | 27.9 |
| 1998 | 147.0 | 145.9 | 146.7 | 145.6 | 27.0 | 26.9 |
| 1999 | 147.5 | 148.8 | 147.1 | 148.5 | 26.0 | 26.4 |
| 2000 | 143.4 | 145.4 | 143.0 | 144.9 | 26.2 | 25.9 |
| 2001 | 145.3 | 142.0 | 144.9 | 141.5 | 25.4 | 25.4 |
| 2002 | 141.7 | 138.6 | 141.2 | 138.2 | 25.0 | 24.9 |
| 2003 | 132.3 | 135.4 | 131.8 | 134.9 | 24.7 | 24.4 |
| 2004 | 132.6 | 132.2 | 132.1 | 131.7 | 23.9 | 23.9 |
| 2005 | 132.0 | 132.3 | 131.3 | 131.6 | 23.5 | 23.5 |
| 2006 | 130.8 | 132.5 | 130.1 | 131.6 | 23.0 | 23.0 |
| 2007 | 132.9 | 132.6 | 132.1 | 131.5 | 22.4 | 22.6 |
| 2008 | 132.2 | 132.7 | 131.2 | 131.4 | 22.0 | 22.1 |
| 2009 | 135.0 | 132.8 | 133.6 | 131.4 | 21.8 | 21.7 |
| 2010 | 131.9 | 132.9 | 129.8 | 131.3 | 21.3 | 21.3 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 93.6 | 84.8 | 93.6 | 84.5 | 29.5 | 30.5 |
| 1976 | 85.4 | 86.7 | 85.4 | 86.4 | 30.5 | 30.9 |
| 1977 | 87.0 | 88.6 | 87.0 | 88.3 | 32.8 | 31.3 |
| 1978 | 85.9 | 90.5 | 85.9 | 90.2 | 32.1 | 31.7 |
| 1979 | 86.9 | 92.5 | 86.9 | 92.2 | 30.8 | 32.2 |
| 1980 | 89.4 | 94.5 | 89.4 | 94.2 | 31.7 | 32.6 |
| 1981 | 94.2 | 96.6 | 94.2 | 96.3 | 32.6 | 33.1 |
| 1982 | 93.5 | 98.7 | 93.5 | 98.4 | 33.7 | 33.5 |
| 1983 | 103.6 | 100.8 | 103.6 | 100.5 | 33.5 | 34.0 |
| 1984 | 102.5 | 103.0 | 102.5 | 102.7 | 35.9 | 34.4 |
| 1985 | 111.8 | 105.3 | 111.7 | 105.0 | 34.9 | 34.9 |
| 1986 | 115.1 | 107.6 | 115.0 | 107.3 | 35.4 | 35.4 |
| 1987 | 109.6 | 109.9 | 109.5 | 109.6 | 36.7 | 35.9 |
| 1988 | 118.8 | 112.3 | 118.6 | 112.0 | 37.8 | 36.4 |
| 1989 | 105.1 | 114.8 | 104.9 | 114.5 | 36.6 | 36.9 |
| 1990 | 118.9 | 117.3 | 118.6 | 117.0 | 38.0 | 37.4 |
| 1991 | 117.6 | 119.9 | 117.3 | 119.5 | 38.3 | 37.9 |
| 1992 | 124.3 | 122.5 | 124.0 | 122.1 | 37.1 | 38.4 |
| 1993 | 119.7 | 122.6 | 119.4 | 122.2 | 38.0 | 38.9 |
| 1994 | 122.9 | 122.8 | 122.5 | 122.3 | 37.7 | 38.3 |
| 1995 | 124.1 | 123.0 | 123.7 | 122.4 | 38.2 | 37.8 |
| 1996 | 124.8 | 123.2 | 124.4 | 122.5 | 37.1 | 37.2 |
| 1997 | 125.6 | 123.3 | 125.0 | 122.6 | 37.4 | 36.6 |
| 1998 | 124.5 | 123.5 | 124.0 | 122.7 | 35.5 | 36.1 |
| 1999 | 126.1 | 123.7 | 125.5 | 122.7 | 35.2 | 35.5 |
| 2000 | 117.9 | 123.8 | 117.2 | 122.8 | 34.4 | 35.0 |
| 2001 | 116.0 | 124.0 | 115.3 | 122.9 | 34.5 | 34.4 |
| 2002 | 123.8 | 124.2 | 122.9 | 123.0 | 34.1 | 33.9 |
| 2003 | 124.4 | 124.4 | 123.4 | 123.1 | 34.1 | 33.4 |
| 2004 | 124.9 | 124.5 | 123.9 | 123.2 | 32.3 | 32.9 |
| 2005 | 119.3 | 124.7 | 118.2 | 123.2 | 32.8 | 32.4 |
| 2006 | 125.5 | 124.9 | 124.3 | 123.3 | 31.6 | 31.9 |
| 2007 | 125.4 | 125.1 | 124.0 | 123.4 | 31.4 | 31.4 |
| 2008 | 128.9 | 125.2 | 127.2 | 123.5 | 31.0 | 30.9 |
| 2009 | 130.3 | 125.4 | 128.1 | 123.6 | 30.2 | 30.4 |
| 2010 | 123.7 | 125.6 | 120.5 | 123.7 | 30.2 | 30.0 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White | 2004-10 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White | 2004-10 | -0.1 |
| U.S. Mortality, White | 1998-10 | -1.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black | 1992-10 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black | 1992-10 | 0.1 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black | 1993-10 | -1.5* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.0.3, April 2013, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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