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Figure 16.1

CSR Figure 16.1: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Sex


Figure 16.1

Rates per 100,000 for Melanoma of the Skin, White, Male, 1975-2010, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 2.9 3.0
1976 9.6 10.0 9.6 10.0 3.1 3.1
1977 10.9 10.6 10.9 10.6 3.2 3.2
1978 10.7 11.2 10.7 11.2 3.3 3.3
1979 11.9 11.9 11.9 11.8 3.5 3.3
1980 13.4 12.6 13.4 12.5 3.4 3.4
1981 13.6 13.3 13.6 13.3 3.4 3.5
1982 14.2 14.1 14.2 14.1 3.6 3.6
1983 14.4 14.9 14.4 14.9 3.6 3.7
1984 14.8 15.8 14.8 15.8 3.8 3.7
1985 17.3 16.7 17.2 16.7 3.8 3.8
1986 17.9 17.7 17.9 17.7 3.9 3.9
1987 18.2 18.3 18.1 18.3 4.1 4.0
1988 17.4 18.9 17.4 18.8 4.1 4.1
1989 19.0 19.5 18.9 19.4 4.2 4.2
1990 19.4 20.1 19.3 20.0 4.2 4.3
1991 20.6 20.8 20.5 20.7 4.3 4.3
1992 21.3 21.4 21.2 21.3 4.3 4.3
1993 21.1 22.1 21.0 22.0 4.3 4.3
1994 23.3 22.8 23.2 22.7 4.3 4.3
1995 23.6 23.6 23.5 23.4 4.3 4.3
1996 25.5 24.3 25.4 24.1 4.5 4.3
1997 25.4 25.1 25.2 24.9 4.4 4.4
1998 26.3 25.9 26.2 25.7 4.6 4.4
1999 27.2 26.7 27.0 26.5 4.3 4.4
2000 28.5 27.6 28.3 27.3 4.3 4.4
2001 29.5 28.5 29.3 28.2 4.4 4.4
2002 28.7 29.4 28.5 29.0 4.3 4.4
2003 29.1 30.3 28.9 30.0 4.4 4.4
2004 31.1 31.3 30.8 30.9 4.5 4.5
2005 34.4 32.3 34.1 31.9 4.5 4.5
2006 33.7 33.3 33.3 32.9 4.6 4.6
2007 33.6 34.4 33.2 33.9 4.5 4.6
2008 35.9 35.5 35.4 35.0 4.6 4.6
2009 35.7 36.6 35.0 36.1 4.8 4.7
2010 36.5 37.8 35.4 37.2 4.7 4.7
Rates per 100,000 for Melanoma of the Skin, White, Female, 1975-2010, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 8.2 8.1 8.2 8.1 1.7 1.9
1976 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.6 1.9 1.9
1977 9.1 9.2 9.1 9.2 1.9 1.9
1978 9.9 9.7 9.9 9.7 1.9 1.9
1979 10.1 10.3 10.1 10.3 2.0 1.9
1980 11.1 10.9 11.1 11.0 1.9 2.0
1981 12.0 11.2 12.0 11.7 2.1 2.0
1982 11.9 11.6 11.9 11.9 2.0 2.0
1983 11.5 11.9 11.5 12.2 2.0 2.0
1984 12.0 12.2 12.0 12.4 2.0 2.1
1985 12.7 12.6 12.7 12.7 2.1 2.1
1986 13.4 12.9 13.3 13.0 2.1 2.1
1987 14.0 13.3 14.0 13.2 2.0 2.1
1988 13.3 13.7 13.3 13.5 2.1 2.1
1989 13.9 14.0 13.9 13.8 2.1 2.1
1990 14.0 14.4 13.9 14.1 2.2 2.1
1991 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.4 2.0 2.1
1992 14.4 15.3 14.4 14.7 2.1 2.1
1993 14.3 15.7 14.2 15.0 2.1 2.1
1994 14.9 16.1 14.9 15.5 2.0 2.1
1995 16.5 16.6 16.5 16.1 2.0 2.0
1996 17.1 17.1 17.0 16.6 2.1 2.0
1997 18.0 17.5 17.9 17.2 2.1 2.0
1998 18.2 18.0 18.2 17.8 2.0 2.0
1999 18.5 18.5 18.4 18.4 2.0 2.0
2000 19.2 19.1 19.1 19.0 2.0 2.0
2001 20.3 19.6 20.1 19.6 2.0 2.0
2002 20.1 20.2 19.9 20.3 2.0 2.0
2003 20.4 20.7 20.2 21.0 2.0 2.0
2004 21.6 21.3 21.4 21.7 2.0 2.0
2005 23.4 21.9 23.1 22.5 2.1 2.0
2006 23.0 22.5 22.8 22.7 2.0 2.0
2007 22.6 23.2 22.3 23.0 1.9 2.0
2008 24.1 23.8 23.7 23.3 1.9 2.0
2009 23.5 24.5 23.0 23.5 2.1 2.0
2010 25.0 25.2 24.2 23.8 2.0 2.0
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Melanoma of the Skin, White, All Ages, 1975-2010
Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Male1986-103.2*
Observed SEER Incidence, Male1986-103.1*
U.S. Mortality, Male2002-101.0*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Female1980-102.8*
Observed SEER Incidence, Female2005-101.2
U.S. Mortality, Female1986-10-0.3*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.0.3, April 2013, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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