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Figure 26.3
Figure 26.3
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Thyroid, Male, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.3 | ||||
| 1976 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.0 | ||||
| 1978 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 | ||||
| 1979 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 1982 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 | ||||
| 1983 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 | ||||
| 1985 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 | ||||
| 1986 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.9 | ||||
| 1987 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 3.0 | ||||
| 1988 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 3.0 | ||||
| 1989 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | ||||
| 1990 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | ||||
| 1991 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | ||||
| 1992 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| 1993 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| 1994 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1995 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1996 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| 1997 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| 1998 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| 1999 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| 2000 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| 2001 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| 2002 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| 2003 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| 2004 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 5.0 |
| 2005 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| 2006 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| 2007 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| 2008 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| 2009 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| 2010 | 6.7 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 6.9 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | ||||
| 1976 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | ||||
| 1977 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | ||||
| 1978 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| 1979 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 | ||||
| 1980 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | ||||
| 1981 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 | ||||
| 1982 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.6 | ||||
| 1983 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 | ||||
| 1984 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.8 | ||||
| 1985 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.8 | ||||
| 1986 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 | ||||
| 1987 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | ||||
| 1988 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||||
| 1989 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.1 | ||||
| 1990 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.2 | ||||
| 1991 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | ||||
| 1992 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| 1993 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| 1994 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1995 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| 1996 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| 1997 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| 1998 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| 1999 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| 2000 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| 2001 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| 2002 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| 2003 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 5.1 |
| 2004 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| 2005 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 5.7 |
| 2006 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| 2007 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| 2008 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.6 |
| 2009 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 7.0 |
| 2010 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 7.1 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 7.4 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||||
| 1976 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||||
| 1977 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | ||||
| 1978 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | ||||
| 1979 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | ||||
| 1980 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | ||||
| 1981 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | ||||
| 1982 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 | ||||
| 1983 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 | ||||
| 1984 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | ||||
| 1985 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | ||||
| 1986 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | ||||
| 1987 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | ||||
| 1988 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | ||||
| 1989 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| 1991 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | ||||
| 1992 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1993 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1994 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1995 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| 1996 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1997 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 1998 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| 1999 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 2000 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| 2001 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 2002 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 2003 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| 2004 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| 2005 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| 2006 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 2007 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| 2008 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| 2009 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 2010 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 1997-10 | 5.5* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 1997-10 | 5.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 1996-10 | 5.4* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 1996-10 | 5.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 1997-10 | 5.8* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 1997-10 | 5.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 1995-10 | 5.6* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 1995-10 | 5.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 1975-10 | 2.8* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 1975-10 | 2.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 1995-10 | 5.4* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 1995-10 | 5.4* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.0.3, April 2013, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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