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Figure 1.23
Figure 1.23
SEER Observed Incidence and Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
Males, Cancer of the Prostate, Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, and Cancer of the Colon and Rectum
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, All Races, Male, 1975-2010, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, All Races, Male, 1975-2010, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, All Races, Male, 1975-2010, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 94.0 | 93.0 | 94.0 | 93.0 |
| 1976 | 98.0 | 95.4 | 98.0 | 95.4 |
| 1977 | 100.5 | 97.9 | 100.5 | 97.8 |
| 1978 | 99.4 | 100.4 | 99.4 | 100.4 |
| 1979 | 103.4 | 103.0 | 103.4 | 103.0 |
| 1980 | 106.0 | 105.6 | 106.0 | 105.6 |
| 1981 | 108.9 | 108.4 | 108.9 | 108.4 |
| 1982 | 108.2 | 111.2 | 108.2 | 111.2 |
| 1983 | 111.6 | 114.1 | 111.6 | 114.1 |
| 1984 | 111.7 | 117.0 | 111.7 | 117.0 |
| 1985 | 115.6 | 120.0 | 115.5 | 120.0 |
| 1986 | 119.1 | 123.2 | 119.1 | 123.2 |
| 1987 | 133.8 | 126.3 | 133.8 | 126.3 |
| 1988 | 137.7 | 129.6 | 137.6 | 129.6 |
| 1989 | 145.4 | 151.0 | 145.4 | 150.9 |
| 1990 | 171.1 | 175.9 | 171.1 | 175.7 |
| 1991 | 215.0 | 204.9 | 214.9 | 204.6 |
| 1992 | 237.5 | 238.7 | 237.4 | 238.2 |
| 1993 | 209.7 | 210.9 | 209.6 | 211.2 |
| 1994 | 180.4 | 186.4 | 180.3 | 187.2 |
| 1995 | 169.5 | 164.8 | 169.4 | 166.0 |
| 1996 | 169.7 | 168.8 | 169.5 | 169.0 |
| 1997 | 173.9 | 173.0 | 173.6 | 172.1 |
| 1998 | 171.3 | 177.2 | 171.0 | 175.2 |
| 1999 | 183.9 | 181.6 | 183.5 | 178.3 |
| 2000 | 183.6 | 186.0 | 183.1 | 181.6 |
| 2001 | 185.6 | 182.5 | 185.0 | 184.8 |
| 2002 | 183.0 | 178.9 | 182.2 | 180.5 |
| 2003 | 170.6 | 175.5 | 169.6 | 176.2 |
| 2004 | 166.9 | 172.1 | 165.8 | 172.0 |
| 2005 | 158.0 | 168.8 | 156.7 | 168.0 |
| 2006 | 173.5 | 165.6 | 171.8 | 164.0 |
| 2007 | 176.7 | 162.4 | 174.6 | 160.1 |
| 2008 | 159.8 | 159.2 | 157.5 | 156.3 |
| 2009 | 157.2 | 156.2 | 154.4 | 152.6 |
| 2010 | 150.0 | 153.2 | 146.7 | 149.0 |
| 2011 | 145.2 | 150.2 | 139.9 | 145.5 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 89.5 | 91.6 | 89.5 | 91.6 |
| 1976 | 93.8 | 93.0 | 93.8 | 92.9 |
| 1977 | 95.5 | 94.3 | 95.5 | 94.3 |
| 1978 | 96.7 | 95.7 | 96.7 | 95.7 |
| 1979 | 95.8 | 97.0 | 95.8 | 97.1 |
| 1980 | 100.0 | 98.4 | 100.0 | 98.5 |
| 1981 | 99.4 | 99.8 | 99.4 | 99.9 |
| 1982 | 100.7 | 101.3 | 100.7 | 101.4 |
| 1983 | 99.5 | 100.8 | 99.5 | 100.9 |
| 1984 | 102.0 | 100.4 | 102.0 | 100.4 |
| 1985 | 98.6 | 100.0 | 98.6 | 100.0 |
| 1986 | 99.0 | 99.6 | 99.0 | 99.5 |
| 1987 | 101.5 | 99.2 | 101.5 | 99.1 |
| 1988 | 98.7 | 98.8 | 98.7 | 98.6 |
| 1989 | 98.0 | 98.3 | 97.9 | 98.1 |
| 1990 | 96.9 | 97.9 | 96.9 | 97.7 |
| 1991 | 97.2 | 97.5 | 97.2 | 97.3 |
| 1992 | 97.2 | 95.8 | 97.2 | 95.5 |
| 1993 | 94.0 | 94.0 | 94.0 | 93.9 |
| 1994 | 90.9 | 92.4 | 90.9 | 92.2 |
| 1995 | 89.8 | 90.7 | 89.8 | 90.6 |
| 1996 | 88.0 | 89.1 | 88.0 | 89.0 |
| 1997 | 86.3 | 87.5 | 86.3 | 87.5 |
| 1998 | 88.1 | 85.9 | 88.0 | 85.9 |
| 1999 | 84.6 | 84.4 | 84.6 | 84.4 |
| 2000 | 82.2 | 82.9 | 82.1 | 82.9 |
| 2001 | 81.4 | 81.4 | 81.4 | 81.5 |
| 2002 | 80.5 | 79.9 | 80.4 | 80.1 |
| 2003 | 81.1 | 78.5 | 81.0 | 78.7 |
| 2004 | 76.4 | 77.1 | 76.3 | 77.3 |
| 2005 | 75.9 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.9 |
| 2006 | 74.5 | 74.3 | 74.3 | 74.6 |
| 2007 | 73.8 | 73.0 | 73.5 | 73.3 |
| 2008 | 72.4 | 71.7 | 72.1 | 72.0 |
| 2009 | 70.9 | 70.4 | 70.5 | 70.7 |
| 2010 | 68.0 | 69.1 | 67.5 | 67.7 |
| 2011 | 66.2 | 67.9 | 64.8 | 64.7 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 68.4 | 70.3 | 68.4 | 70.3 |
| 1976 | 71.7 | 71.1 | 71.7 | 71.1 |
| 1977 | 73.5 | 71.9 | 73.5 | 71.9 |
| 1978 | 72.3 | 72.7 | 72.3 | 72.7 |
| 1979 | 74.1 | 73.5 | 74.1 | 73.5 |
| 1980 | 74.5 | 74.4 | 74.5 | 74.4 |
| 1981 | 75.8 | 75.2 | 75.8 | 75.2 |
| 1982 | 75.2 | 76.1 | 75.2 | 76.1 |
| 1983 | 75.6 | 76.9 | 75.6 | 76.9 |
| 1984 | 77.7 | 77.8 | 77.6 | 77.8 |
| 1985 | 79.2 | 78.7 | 79.2 | 78.7 |
| 1986 | 77.8 | 77.7 | 77.8 | 77.7 |
| 1987 | 77.5 | 76.8 | 77.5 | 76.7 |
| 1988 | 75.2 | 75.8 | 75.2 | 75.8 |
| 1989 | 75.0 | 74.9 | 75.0 | 74.9 |
| 1990 | 74.4 | 73.9 | 74.4 | 73.9 |
| 1991 | 72.9 | 73.0 | 72.9 | 73.0 |
| 1992 | 70.4 | 70.7 | 70.4 | 70.7 |
| 1993 | 68.5 | 68.5 | 68.4 | 68.5 |
| 1994 | 66.3 | 66.3 | 66.3 | 66.3 |
| 1995 | 63.8 | 64.2 | 63.8 | 64.2 |
| 1996 | 65.6 | 65.5 | 65.6 | 65.5 |
| 1997 | 68.1 | 66.8 | 68.1 | 66.8 |
| 1998 | 67.1 | 68.1 | 67.1 | 68.1 |
| 1999 | 65.8 | 66.2 | 65.7 | 66.2 |
| 2000 | 63.7 | 64.4 | 63.7 | 64.3 |
| 2001 | 63.1 | 62.6 | 63.0 | 62.5 |
| 2002 | 61.6 | 60.9 | 61.5 | 60.8 |
| 2003 | 59.5 | 59.2 | 59.5 | 59.1 |
| 2004 | 58.6 | 57.5 | 58.6 | 57.5 |
| 2005 | 55.3 | 55.9 | 55.2 | 55.9 |
| 2006 | 53.3 | 54.4 | 53.2 | 54.3 |
| 2007 | 53.3 | 52.9 | 53.2 | 52.8 |
| 2008 | 51.6 | 51.4 | 51.5 | 51.3 |
| 2009 | 48.9 | 49.3 | 48.8 | 49.1 |
| 2010 | 47.1 | 47.3 | 46.8 | 46.9 |
| 2011 | 45.6 | 45.4 | 45.1 | 44.9 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Prostate, Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | 2000-11 | -1.9* |
| Prostate, Observed SEER Incidence | 2001-11 | -2.4* |
| Lung and Bronchus, Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | 1991-11 | -1.8* |
| Lung and Bronchus, Observed SEER Incidence | 2009-11 | -4.3* |
| Colon and Rectum, Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | 2008-11 | -4.1* |
| Colon and Rectum, Observed SEER Incidence | 2008-11 | -4.4* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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