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Figure 2.2
Figure 2.2
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, Under 65 Years of Age, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2010, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2010, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2010, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2010, Ages <65
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 175.4 | 176.7 | 175.4 | 176.7 | 87.8 | 88.5 |
| 1976 | 179.6 | 178.4 | 179.6 | 178.4 | 88.3 | 88.2 |
| 1977 | 181.6 | 180.0 | 181.6 | 180.0 | 88.3 | 88.0 |
| 1978 | 181.4 | 181.7 | 181.4 | 181.7 | 88.3 | 87.8 |
| 1979 | 181.6 | 183.4 | 181.6 | 183.4 | 87.7 | 87.6 |
| 1980 | 184.8 | 185.1 | 184.8 | 185.1 | 88.0 | 87.3 |
| 1981 | 187.3 | 186.8 | 187.3 | 186.8 | 86.7 | 87.1 |
| 1982 | 186.2 | 188.6 | 186.2 | 188.5 | 86.6 | 86.9 |
| 1983 | 191.6 | 192.0 | 191.5 | 191.9 | 86.2 | 86.7 |
| 1984 | 194.5 | 195.5 | 194.5 | 195.4 | 86.4 | 86.5 |
| 1985 | 203.0 | 199.0 | 202.9 | 198.9 | 86.6 | 86.2 |
| 1986 | 204.4 | 202.6 | 204.3 | 202.5 | 85.8 | 86.0 |
| 1987 | 209.7 | 206.3 | 209.6 | 206.2 | 85.5 | 85.8 |
| 1988 | 207.7 | 210.0 | 207.6 | 209.9 | 84.8 | 84.7 |
| 1989 | 210.3 | 213.8 | 210.2 | 213.7 | 83.7 | 83.7 |
| 1990 | 214.9 | 217.7 | 214.7 | 217.5 | 83.1 | 82.6 |
| 1991 | 227.2 | 221.6 | 227.0 | 221.5 | 82.2 | 81.6 |
| 1992 | 232.6 | 225.6 | 232.3 | 225.5 | 80.2 | 80.6 |
| 1993 | 227.6 | 226.0 | 227.3 | 225.7 | 79.1 | 79.6 |
| 1994 | 225.1 | 226.3 | 224.8 | 226.0 | 77.7 | 77.6 |
| 1995 | 221.6 | 226.7 | 221.2 | 226.3 | 75.5 | 75.6 |
| 1996 | 225.2 | 227.0 | 224.8 | 226.6 | 74.0 | 73.6 |
| 1997 | 223.9 | 227.4 | 223.4 | 226.8 | 71.3 | 71.7 |
| 1998 | 220.8 | 227.7 | 220.3 | 227.1 | 69.9 | 69.9 |
| 1999 | 226.2 | 228.1 | 225.6 | 227.4 | 69.2 | 68.9 |
| 2000 | 231.8 | 228.4 | 231.1 | 227.7 | 67.5 | 67.9 |
| 2001 | 233.0 | 228.8 | 232.2 | 227.9 | 67.2 | 66.9 |
| 2002 | 233.4 | 229.1 | 232.5 | 228.2 | 66.2 | 66.0 |
| 2003 | 226.7 | 229.5 | 225.8 | 228.5 | 64.6 | 64.5 |
| 2004 | 228.0 | 229.8 | 226.9 | 228.8 | 62.7 | 63.2 |
| 2005 | 227.7 | 230.2 | 226.4 | 229.0 | 61.7 | 61.8 |
| 2006 | 231.3 | 230.5 | 229.7 | 229.3 | 60.7 | 60.5 |
| 2007 | 233.5 | 230.9 | 231.7 | 229.6 | 59.1 | 59.2 |
| 2008 | 228.7 | 228.6 | 226.4 | 226.1 | 58.6 | 58.5 |
| 2009 | 228.7 | 226.4 | 225.8 | 222.8 | 57.9 | 57.8 |
| 2010 | 221.8 | 224.2 | 217.9 | 219.4 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| 2011 | 222.6 | 222.0 | 215.7 | 216.1 | 56.3 | 56.4 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 232.0 | 231.8 | 232.0 | 231.7 | 145.9 | 146.4 |
| 1976 | 239.9 | 237.7 | 239.9 | 237.7 | 146.7 | 147.2 |
| 1977 | 240.2 | 243.8 | 240.2 | 243.8 | 149.4 | 147.9 |
| 1978 | 250.9 | 250.0 | 250.9 | 250.0 | 149.8 | 148.7 |
| 1979 | 251.8 | 256.4 | 251.8 | 256.5 | 149.3 | 149.4 |
| 1980 | 268.4 | 263.0 | 268.4 | 263.0 | 149.7 | 150.2 |
| 1981 | 272.0 | 269.7 | 272.0 | 269.8 | 149.9 | 151.0 |
| 1982 | 276.7 | 276.7 | 276.6 | 276.7 | 151.5 | 151.7 |
| 1983 | 272.5 | 276.1 | 272.4 | 276.1 | 151.1 | 152.5 |
| 1984 | 284.0 | 275.5 | 283.9 | 275.4 | 154.9 | 153.3 |
| 1985 | 268.4 | 274.9 | 268.3 | 274.7 | 151.0 | 150.5 |
| 1986 | 269.0 | 274.3 | 268.8 | 274.1 | 147.4 | 147.8 |
| 1987 | 274.7 | 273.8 | 274.6 | 273.4 | 145.3 | 145.2 |
| 1988 | 272.1 | 273.2 | 271.9 | 272.8 | 145.7 | 146.0 |
| 1989 | 276.5 | 272.6 | 276.3 | 272.1 | 147.7 | 146.9 |
| 1990 | 287.4 | 284.7 | 287.1 | 284.5 | 147.8 | 147.7 |
| 1991 | 292.8 | 297.3 | 292.5 | 297.5 | 142.0 | 143.3 |
| 1992 | 311.0 | 310.4 | 310.6 | 311.0 | 138.2 | 139.0 |
| 1993 | 326.8 | 324.2 | 326.3 | 325.2 | 135.9 | 134.8 |
| 1994 | 322.3 | 321.8 | 321.8 | 322.4 | 131.7 | 130.7 |
| 1995 | 328.1 | 319.4 | 327.5 | 319.7 | 126.8 | 126.8 |
| 1996 | 316.7 | 317.0 | 316.1 | 317.0 | 123.4 | 123.0 |
| 1997 | 304.9 | 314.7 | 304.3 | 314.3 | 119.8 | 119.3 |
| 1998 | 300.0 | 312.3 | 299.4 | 311.6 | 116.3 | 115.7 |
| 1999 | 308.1 | 310.0 | 307.3 | 309.0 | 113.1 | 112.2 |
| 2000 | 312.2 | 307.7 | 311.3 | 306.4 | 107.6 | 108.9 |
| 2001 | 304.9 | 305.5 | 303.9 | 303.8 | 103.5 | 105.6 |
| 2002 | 313.9 | 303.2 | 312.7 | 301.2 | 102.1 | 102.4 |
| 2003 | 305.6 | 300.9 | 304.4 | 298.6 | 99.9 | 99.3 |
| 2004 | 293.7 | 298.7 | 292.4 | 296.1 | 95.8 | 96.3 |
| 2005 | 288.8 | 296.5 | 287.2 | 293.6 | 93.8 | 93.4 |
| 2006 | 285.2 | 294.3 | 283.3 | 291.1 | 90.0 | 90.6 |
| 2007 | 305.4 | 292.1 | 302.9 | 288.6 | 87.9 | 87.9 |
| 2008 | 295.0 | 290.0 | 292.1 | 286.2 | 85.3 | 85.3 |
| 2009 | 293.4 | 287.8 | 289.6 | 283.8 | 83.4 | 82.7 |
| 2010 | 282.2 | 285.7 | 277.2 | 281.4 | 80.4 | 80.2 |
| 2011 | 277.1 | 283.6 | 268.6 | 279.0 | 77.9 | 77.8 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 223.0 | 223.6 | 223.0 | 223.6 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| 1976 | 223.4 | 221.1 | 223.4 | 221.1 | 75.2 | 74.8 |
| 1977 | 216.4 | 218.7 | 216.4 | 218.7 | 74.8 | 74.6 |
| 1978 | 217.2 | 216.2 | 217.2 | 216.2 | 74.7 | 74.4 |
| 1979 | 212.8 | 213.9 | 212.8 | 213.8 | 73.3 | 74.2 |
| 1980 | 210.4 | 211.5 | 210.4 | 211.5 | 73.7 | 74.0 |
| 1981 | 217.8 | 214.6 | 217.8 | 214.6 | 73.2 | 73.8 |
| 1982 | 217.3 | 217.7 | 217.3 | 217.7 | 73.6 | 73.6 |
| 1983 | 218.0 | 220.9 | 217.9 | 220.8 | 73.4 | 73.4 |
| 1984 | 224.6 | 224.1 | 224.5 | 224.1 | 74.0 | 73.2 |
| 1985 | 230.9 | 227.4 | 230.8 | 227.3 | 74.1 | 73.0 |
| 1986 | 228.5 | 230.7 | 228.4 | 230.6 | 73.0 | 72.9 |
| 1987 | 235.3 | 234.1 | 235.2 | 234.0 | 72.5 | 72.7 |
| 1988 | 230.2 | 233.2 | 230.1 | 233.1 | 72.4 | 72.5 |
| 1989 | 229.9 | 232.4 | 229.7 | 232.2 | 71.8 | 72.3 |
| 1990 | 234.6 | 231.6 | 234.4 | 231.4 | 71.1 | 72.1 |
| 1991 | 234.3 | 230.8 | 234.1 | 230.5 | 70.9 | 70.7 |
| 1992 | 231.3 | 230.0 | 231.1 | 229.6 | 69.0 | 69.4 |
| 1993 | 226.5 | 229.2 | 226.2 | 228.8 | 68.1 | 68.1 |
| 1994 | 231.8 | 232.0 | 231.5 | 231.7 | 67.3 | 66.9 |
| 1995 | 234.9 | 234.9 | 234.5 | 234.7 | 66.3 | 65.6 |
| 1996 | 235.3 | 237.7 | 234.9 | 237.7 | 64.9 | 64.4 |
| 1997 | 242.8 | 240.6 | 242.4 | 240.8 | 63.4 | 63.2 |
| 1998 | 244.9 | 243.6 | 244.4 | 243.9 | 61.1 | 62.0 |
| 1999 | 245.3 | 243.8 | 244.8 | 243.8 | 60.4 | 60.9 |
| 2000 | 243.7 | 244.1 | 243.1 | 243.7 | 59.9 | 59.7 |
| 2001 | 244.6 | 244.3 | 243.9 | 243.6 | 59.3 | 58.6 |
| 2002 | 247.2 | 244.5 | 246.4 | 243.5 | 58.0 | 57.5 |
| 2003 | 242.4 | 244.8 | 241.6 | 243.4 | 56.7 | 56.4 |
| 2004 | 241.0 | 245.0 | 240.0 | 243.3 | 54.9 | 55.4 |
| 2005 | 244.3 | 245.3 | 243.1 | 243.2 | 54.4 | 54.4 |
| 2006 | 243.4 | 245.5 | 242.0 | 243.1 | 53.7 | 53.3 |
| 2007 | 244.9 | 245.7 | 243.1 | 243.0 | 52.1 | 52.3 |
| 2008 | 247.1 | 246.0 | 244.8 | 242.9 | 50.6 | 51.4 |
| 2009 | 249.2 | 246.2 | 246.3 | 242.8 | 50.8 | 50.4 |
| 2010 | 245.4 | 246.5 | 241.5 | 242.8 | 49.3 | 49.5 |
| 2011 | 248.5 | 246.7 | 241.4 | 242.7 | 48.6 | 48.6 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 214.3 | 205.9 | 214.3 | 205.6 | 95.3 | 96.2 |
| 1976 | 205.0 | 207.5 | 205.0 | 207.2 | 94.3 | 96.2 |
| 1977 | 208.2 | 209.0 | 208.2 | 208.9 | 97.9 | 96.3 |
| 1978 | 204.8 | 210.7 | 204.8 | 210.5 | 95.8 | 96.4 |
| 1979 | 215.7 | 212.3 | 215.7 | 212.2 | 96.4 | 96.5 |
| 1980 | 215.3 | 213.9 | 215.3 | 213.9 | 98.3 | 96.6 |
| 1981 | 210.6 | 215.5 | 210.6 | 215.7 | 96.2 | 96.7 |
| 1982 | 207.7 | 217.2 | 207.7 | 217.4 | 96.7 | 96.7 |
| 1983 | 219.6 | 218.9 | 219.6 | 219.1 | 96.9 | 96.8 |
| 1984 | 226.5 | 220.5 | 226.4 | 220.9 | 98.6 | 96.9 |
| 1985 | 223.4 | 222.2 | 223.3 | 222.7 | 97.2 | 97.0 |
| 1986 | 228.3 | 223.9 | 228.2 | 224.5 | 98.1 | 97.1 |
| 1987 | 224.5 | 225.7 | 224.4 | 226.3 | 98.6 | 97.2 |
| 1988 | 230.5 | 227.4 | 230.3 | 228.1 | 95.7 | 97.3 |
| 1989 | 219.6 | 227.5 | 219.4 | 228.0 | 93.9 | 97.3 |
| 1990 | 227.2 | 227.5 | 227.0 | 227.9 | 97.0 | 97.4 |
| 1991 | 231.4 | 227.6 | 231.2 | 227.8 | 93.8 | 95.6 |
| 1992 | 233.8 | 227.6 | 233.6 | 227.7 | 95.1 | 93.8 |
| 1993 | 230.1 | 227.7 | 229.8 | 227.6 | 91.6 | 92.0 |
| 1994 | 230.5 | 227.8 | 230.2 | 227.5 | 90.1 | 90.3 |
| 1995 | 224.4 | 227.8 | 224.1 | 227.4 | 89.7 | 88.6 |
| 1996 | 229.5 | 227.9 | 229.1 | 227.3 | 86.2 | 86.9 |
| 1997 | 224.3 | 227.9 | 223.9 | 227.2 | 86.0 | 85.3 |
| 1998 | 230.5 | 228.0 | 230.1 | 227.1 | 85.4 | 83.6 |
| 1999 | 230.6 | 228.0 | 230.0 | 227.0 | 81.9 | 82.1 |
| 2000 | 223.4 | 228.1 | 222.8 | 226.9 | 79.8 | 80.5 |
| 2001 | 216.5 | 228.2 | 215.8 | 226.8 | 79.0 | 79.0 |
| 2002 | 228.8 | 228.2 | 228.0 | 226.7 | 78.1 | 77.5 |
| 2003 | 224.4 | 228.3 | 223.6 | 226.6 | 77.0 | 76.0 |
| 2004 | 233.0 | 228.3 | 232.1 | 226.5 | 74.6 | 74.6 |
| 2005 | 231.1 | 228.4 | 230.0 | 226.4 | 74.3 | 73.2 |
| 2006 | 227.5 | 228.5 | 226.2 | 226.3 | 72.0 | 71.8 |
| 2007 | 226.8 | 228.5 | 225.2 | 226.2 | 70.2 | 70.5 |
| 2008 | 226.1 | 228.6 | 224.1 | 226.1 | 67.9 | 69.1 |
| 2009 | 235.9 | 228.6 | 233.1 | 226.0 | 66.4 | 67.8 |
| 2010 | 223.4 | 228.7 | 219.7 | 225.9 | 66.1 | 66.5 |
| 2011 | 233.1 | 228.7 | 226.5 | 225.8 | 66.1 | 65.3 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-11 | -1.0 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-11 | -1.5* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2007-11 | -1.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1993-11 | -0.7* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1993-11 | -0.8* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 1990-11 | -3.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-11 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-11 | 0.0 |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 1990-11 | -1.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1988-11 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1988-11 | 0.0 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1990-11 | -1.9* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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