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Figure 2.3
Figure 2.3
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, Ages 65 and Over, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2010, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2010, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2010, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2010, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2494.5 | 2509.7 | 2494.5 | 2510.3 | 1403.0 | 1404.8 |
| 1976 | 2570.9 | 2546.5 | 2570.9 | 2546.9 | 1427.1 | 1422.7 |
| 1977 | 2599.3 | 2583.7 | 2599.3 | 2584.0 | 1437.2 | 1440.8 |
| 1978 | 2620.6 | 2621.5 | 2620.6 | 2621.6 | 1460.1 | 1459.1 |
| 1979 | 2681.9 | 2659.9 | 2681.9 | 2659.8 | 1476.5 | 1477.6 |
| 1980 | 2720.1 | 2698.8 | 2720.1 | 2698.5 | 1488.6 | 1485.7 |
| 1981 | 2747.6 | 2738.3 | 2747.6 | 2737.8 | 1483.7 | 1493.7 |
| 1982 | 2768.5 | 2778.4 | 2768.2 | 2777.7 | 1508.4 | 1501.9 |
| 1983 | 2798.7 | 2819.1 | 2798.2 | 2818.2 | 1518.6 | 1510.0 |
| 1984 | 2831.9 | 2860.3 | 2831.1 | 2859.2 | 1519.8 | 1518.2 |
| 1985 | 2820.2 | 2902.2 | 2819.1 | 2900.8 | 1523.7 | 1526.5 |
| 1986 | 2885.2 | 2944.7 | 2883.7 | 2943.1 | 1534.2 | 1534.8 |
| 1987 | 3054.1 | 2987.8 | 3052.3 | 2985.9 | 1536.9 | 1543.1 |
| 1988 | 3038.2 | 3031.5 | 3036.0 | 3029.4 | 1545.6 | 1551.5 |
| 1989 | 3087.8 | 3075.9 | 3085.2 | 3073.5 | 1560.0 | 1559.9 |
| 1990 | 3261.5 | 3255.7 | 3258.3 | 3253.1 | 1573.9 | 1568.4 |
| 1991 | 3534.6 | 3446.1 | 3530.8 | 3443.1 | 1577.8 | 1576.9 |
| 1992 | 3647.7 | 3647.6 | 3643.3 | 3644.2 | 1573.3 | 1585.5 |
| 1993 | 3340.7 | 3396.1 | 3336.2 | 3390.4 | 1572.6 | 1568.6 |
| 1994 | 3099.2 | 3161.8 | 3094.5 | 3154.3 | 1557.5 | 1551.9 |
| 1995 | 2987.1 | 2943.7 | 2982.1 | 2934.6 | 1546.8 | 1535.4 |
| 1996 | 2993.7 | 2979.0 | 2988.1 | 2976.1 | 1520.4 | 1519.1 |
| 1997 | 3023.1 | 3014.6 | 3017.0 | 3018.3 | 1497.4 | 1502.9 |
| 1998 | 3044.9 | 3050.7 | 3038.4 | 3061.0 | 1476.1 | 1486.9 |
| 1999 | 3059.5 | 3087.1 | 3051.2 | 3037.9 | 1477.2 | 1471.1 |
| 2000 | 3031.7 | 3053.6 | 3022.6 | 3015.0 | 1458.8 | 1455.4 |
| 2001 | 3052.5 | 3020.3 | 3042.4 | 2992.3 | 1437.2 | 1440.0 |
| 2002 | 3001.7 | 2987.5 | 2990.7 | 2969.7 | 1422.9 | 1416.2 |
| 2003 | 2920.7 | 2955.0 | 2908.9 | 2947.3 | 1390.3 | 1392.8 |
| 2004 | 2904.7 | 2922.9 | 2891.1 | 2925.1 | 1359.6 | 1369.8 |
| 2005 | 2860.5 | 2891.1 | 2844.7 | 2903.0 | 1353.6 | 1347.2 |
| 2006 | 2882.7 | 2859.6 | 2863.6 | 2881.1 | 1321.3 | 1325.0 |
| 2007 | 2943.3 | 2828.5 | 2919.8 | 2859.4 | 1305.4 | 1303.1 |
| 2008 | 2824.0 | 2797.7 | 2795.8 | 2788.6 | 1281.6 | 1281.6 |
| 2009 | 2756.1 | 2767.3 | 2720.8 | 2719.5 | 1256.2 | 1260.4 |
| 2010 | 2721.9 | 2737.2 | 2673.5 | 2652.1 | 1244.5 | 1239.6 |
| 2011 | 2649.3 | 2707.4 | 2568.1 | 2586.3 | 1218.6 | 1219.1 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2554.5 | 2735.2 | 2554.5 | 2736.2 | 1527.3 | 1544.3 |
| 1976 | 2716.5 | 2778.2 | 2716.5 | 2778.9 | 1584.7 | 1583.3 |
| 1977 | 2909.9 | 2821.8 | 2909.9 | 2822.3 | 1641.2 | 1623.4 |
| 1978 | 2781.1 | 2866.2 | 2781.1 | 2866.4 | 1662.1 | 1664.5 |
| 1979 | 2925.4 | 2911.2 | 2925.4 | 2911.2 | 1695.0 | 1706.6 |
| 1980 | 3011.7 | 2957.0 | 3011.7 | 2956.7 | 1765.7 | 1749.8 |
| 1981 | 3135.9 | 3003.4 | 3135.9 | 3002.8 | 1801.4 | 1794.0 |
| 1982 | 3008.4 | 3050.6 | 3008.1 | 3049.8 | 1839.8 | 1839.4 |
| 1983 | 3228.6 | 3098.5 | 3228.0 | 3097.4 | 1877.8 | 1886.0 |
| 1984 | 3132.1 | 3147.2 | 3131.2 | 3145.8 | 1919.9 | 1933.7 |
| 1985 | 3237.3 | 3196.7 | 3236.0 | 3194.9 | 1945.5 | 1960.8 |
| 1986 | 3237.9 | 3246.9 | 3236.3 | 3244.8 | 1979.4 | 1988.2 |
| 1987 | 3373.2 | 3297.9 | 3371.1 | 3295.5 | 2028.1 | 2016.1 |
| 1988 | 3324.2 | 3349.7 | 3321.8 | 3347.0 | 2032.9 | 2044.3 |
| 1989 | 3324.4 | 3402.3 | 3321.6 | 3399.3 | 2106.4 | 2073.0 |
| 1990 | 3552.5 | 3683.2 | 3549.1 | 3681.2 | 2136.3 | 2102.0 |
| 1991 | 4031.4 | 3987.2 | 4027.0 | 3986.5 | 2150.5 | 2131.5 |
| 1992 | 4253.8 | 4316.3 | 4248.7 | 4317.2 | 2124.4 | 2161.3 |
| 1993 | 4221.9 | 4129.6 | 4216.1 | 4119.0 | 2183.9 | 2191.6 |
| 1994 | 3977.5 | 3951.0 | 3971.5 | 3929.9 | 2137.3 | 2155.0 |
| 1995 | 3668.7 | 3780.1 | 3662.6 | 3749.5 | 2122.2 | 2119.0 |
| 1996 | 3571.0 | 3719.9 | 3564.4 | 3693.6 | 2103.9 | 2083.5 |
| 1997 | 3756.7 | 3660.7 | 3749.2 | 3638.5 | 2045.2 | 2048.7 |
| 1998 | 3654.6 | 3602.3 | 3646.8 | 3584.2 | 1990.3 | 2014.5 |
| 1999 | 3603.8 | 3544.9 | 3594.0 | 3530.8 | 1981.8 | 1980.8 |
| 2000 | 3487.8 | 3488.5 | 3477.4 | 3478.1 | 1956.1 | 1947.7 |
| 2001 | 3426.1 | 3432.9 | 3414.8 | 3426.2 | 1928.5 | 1915.1 |
| 2002 | 3366.2 | 3378.2 | 3353.9 | 3375.1 | 1871.9 | 1866.2 |
| 2003 | 3279.1 | 3324.4 | 3265.8 | 3324.8 | 1798.5 | 1818.6 |
| 2004 | 3397.4 | 3271.4 | 3381.4 | 3275.2 | 1769.1 | 1772.2 |
| 2005 | 3101.6 | 3219.3 | 3084.4 | 3226.4 | 1727.8 | 1727.0 |
| 2006 | 3135.2 | 3168.0 | 3114.5 | 3178.2 | 1674.0 | 1682.9 |
| 2007 | 3181.6 | 3117.5 | 3156.2 | 3130.8 | 1659.9 | 1640.0 |
| 2008 | 3222.8 | 3067.9 | 3190.5 | 3084.1 | 1588.5 | 1598.1 |
| 2009 | 3039.7 | 3019.0 | 3000.8 | 3038.1 | 1551.5 | 1557.3 |
| 2010 | 2936.4 | 2970.9 | 2884.2 | 2874.3 | 1534.9 | 1517.6 |
| 2011 | 2800.2 | 2923.6 | 2714.4 | 2719.2 | 1470.8 | 1478.9 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1383.0 | 1363.2 | 1383.0 | 1363.7 | 739.4 | 747.1 |
| 1976 | 1408.4 | 1388.7 | 1408.4 | 1389.0 | 759.4 | 754.9 |
| 1977 | 1415.1 | 1414.7 | 1415.1 | 1414.9 | 761.8 | 762.8 |
| 1978 | 1410.4 | 1441.1 | 1410.4 | 1441.2 | 769.6 | 770.8 |
| 1979 | 1454.7 | 1468.0 | 1454.7 | 1468.0 | 772.8 | 778.8 |
| 1980 | 1499.8 | 1495.4 | 1499.8 | 1495.3 | 789.5 | 786.9 |
| 1981 | 1532.2 | 1523.4 | 1532.2 | 1523.1 | 796.1 | 795.1 |
| 1982 | 1532.4 | 1551.8 | 1532.3 | 1551.4 | 805.4 | 803.4 |
| 1983 | 1563.8 | 1580.8 | 1563.6 | 1580.3 | 811.9 | 811.8 |
| 1984 | 1610.4 | 1610.4 | 1610.0 | 1609.6 | 826.2 | 820.3 |
| 1985 | 1661.5 | 1640.5 | 1660.9 | 1639.6 | 829.4 | 828.9 |
| 1986 | 1659.4 | 1671.1 | 1658.7 | 1670.1 | 840.4 | 837.5 |
| 1987 | 1724.5 | 1702.3 | 1723.6 | 1701.1 | 843.1 | 846.3 |
| 1988 | 1717.0 | 1734.1 | 1715.9 | 1732.8 | 852.4 | 855.1 |
| 1989 | 1725.4 | 1737.0 | 1724.2 | 1735.8 | 871.4 | 864.0 |
| 1990 | 1742.8 | 1739.9 | 1741.3 | 1738.8 | 876.5 | 873.0 |
| 1991 | 1774.4 | 1742.8 | 1772.7 | 1741.8 | 882.0 | 882.2 |
| 1992 | 1755.7 | 1745.7 | 1753.9 | 1744.8 | 888.7 | 891.4 |
| 1993 | 1738.9 | 1748.6 | 1736.9 | 1747.9 | 896.7 | 900.7 |
| 1994 | 1749.6 | 1751.5 | 1747.3 | 1750.9 | 900.6 | 899.2 |
| 1995 | 1753.4 | 1754.4 | 1750.9 | 1754.0 | 900.6 | 897.7 |
| 1996 | 1767.1 | 1783.0 | 1764.2 | 1776.7 | 895.2 | 896.2 |
| 1997 | 1818.5 | 1812.0 | 1815.3 | 1799.6 | 885.7 | 894.8 |
| 1998 | 1850.8 | 1841.5 | 1847.4 | 1822.9 | 886.2 | 893.3 |
| 1999 | 1822.8 | 1827.1 | 1818.5 | 1815.1 | 895.5 | 891.8 |
| 2000 | 1788.5 | 1812.9 | 1783.8 | 1807.3 | 899.6 | 890.4 |
| 2001 | 1819.6 | 1798.8 | 1814.3 | 1799.6 | 885.8 | 888.9 |
| 2002 | 1791.5 | 1784.8 | 1785.8 | 1791.9 | 885.6 | 887.5 |
| 2003 | 1757.7 | 1770.9 | 1751.5 | 1784.2 | 877.3 | 877.5 |
| 2004 | 1777.7 | 1770.7 | 1770.3 | 1776.5 | 866.1 | 867.7 |
| 2005 | 1760.4 | 1770.5 | 1751.7 | 1768.9 | 858.4 | 857.9 |
| 2006 | 1769.1 | 1770.3 | 1758.7 | 1761.3 | 851.7 | 848.3 |
| 2007 | 1770.2 | 1770.2 | 1757.6 | 1753.8 | 842.0 | 838.8 |
| 2008 | 1779.2 | 1770.0 | 1763.2 | 1746.3 | 831.9 | 829.4 |
| 2009 | 1793.9 | 1769.8 | 1773.1 | 1738.8 | 815.9 | 820.1 |
| 2010 | 1756.4 | 1769.6 | 1728.0 | 1731.3 | 813.1 | 810.9 |
| 2011 | 1759.2 | 1769.4 | 1709.5 | 1723.9 | 798.6 | 801.8 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1340.8 | 1289.9 | 1340.8 | 1288.0 | 719.5 | 740.0 |
| 1976 | 1278.3 | 1310.6 | 1278.3 | 1309.0 | 765.5 | 752.7 |
| 1977 | 1346.4 | 1331.6 | 1346.4 | 1330.2 | 760.5 | 765.6 |
| 1978 | 1303.1 | 1352.9 | 1303.1 | 1351.8 | 774.3 | 778.7 |
| 1979 | 1350.3 | 1374.6 | 1350.3 | 1373.8 | 779.8 | 792.1 |
| 1980 | 1412.0 | 1396.7 | 1412.0 | 1396.1 | 818.1 | 805.6 |
| 1981 | 1416.3 | 1419.0 | 1416.3 | 1418.8 | 818.1 | 819.5 |
| 1982 | 1408.2 | 1441.8 | 1408.1 | 1441.9 | 836.4 | 833.5 |
| 1983 | 1504.8 | 1464.9 | 1504.6 | 1465.3 | 858.9 | 847.8 |
| 1984 | 1489.2 | 1488.4 | 1488.8 | 1489.1 | 866.8 | 862.4 |
| 1985 | 1529.4 | 1512.2 | 1528.9 | 1513.3 | 881.5 | 877.1 |
| 1986 | 1560.3 | 1536.4 | 1559.6 | 1537.9 | 896.8 | 892.2 |
| 1987 | 1568.5 | 1561.1 | 1567.6 | 1562.9 | 900.2 | 907.5 |
| 1988 | 1607.4 | 1586.1 | 1606.4 | 1588.3 | 924.0 | 923.1 |
| 1989 | 1527.2 | 1611.5 | 1526.1 | 1614.1 | 940.4 | 938.9 |
| 1990 | 1669.3 | 1637.3 | 1667.9 | 1640.4 | 954.6 | 955.0 |
| 1991 | 1666.3 | 1663.5 | 1664.8 | 1667.0 | 992.5 | 971.4 |
| 1992 | 1656.3 | 1667.2 | 1654.5 | 1669.4 | 970.9 | 988.1 |
| 1993 | 1608.7 | 1670.9 | 1606.9 | 1671.7 | 998.7 | 1005.0 |
| 1994 | 1646.3 | 1674.5 | 1644.1 | 1674.1 | 991.9 | 1001.9 |
| 1995 | 1653.1 | 1678.2 | 1650.7 | 1676.4 | 998.6 | 998.8 |
| 1996 | 1717.6 | 1681.9 | 1714.8 | 1678.8 | 994.3 | 995.7 |
| 1997 | 1698.7 | 1685.6 | 1695.7 | 1681.2 | 1007.7 | 992.6 |
| 1998 | 1700.1 | 1689.3 | 1696.9 | 1683.6 | 979.3 | 989.5 |
| 1999 | 1738.0 | 1693.0 | 1733.9 | 1685.9 | 996.8 | 986.5 |
| 2000 | 1657.7 | 1696.7 | 1653.3 | 1688.3 | 976.9 | 983.4 |
| 2001 | 1681.3 | 1700.4 | 1676.4 | 1690.7 | 974.0 | 980.3 |
| 2002 | 1792.0 | 1704.2 | 1786.3 | 1693.1 | 974.7 | 966.1 |
| 2003 | 1715.4 | 1707.9 | 1709.3 | 1695.5 | 961.2 | 952.1 |
| 2004 | 1711.8 | 1711.7 | 1704.8 | 1697.9 | 936.1 | 938.3 |
| 2005 | 1733.8 | 1715.4 | 1725.2 | 1700.3 | 918.0 | 924.7 |
| 2006 | 1723.9 | 1719.2 | 1713.8 | 1702.7 | 905.5 | 911.3 |
| 2007 | 1726.2 | 1723.0 | 1713.9 | 1705.1 | 903.1 | 898.1 |
| 2008 | 1756.3 | 1726.8 | 1740.5 | 1707.5 | 879.3 | 885.0 |
| 2009 | 1725.5 | 1730.6 | 1705.5 | 1709.9 | 865.3 | 872.2 |
| 2010 | 1694.7 | 1734.4 | 1667.3 | 1712.3 | 858.2 | 859.6 |
| 2011 | 1698.8 | 1738.2 | 1650.8 | 1714.7 | 857.7 | 847.1 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1999-11 | -1.1* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-11 | -2.5* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2001-11 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1995-11 | -1.6* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2009-11 | -5.4 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-11 | -2.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2003-11 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-11 | -0.4* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2002-11 | -1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-11 | 0.2* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-11 | 0.1 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2001-11 | -1.5* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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