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Figure 2.5
Figure 2.5
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
All Cancer Sites, Males, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 466.8 | 470.1 | 466.8 | 470.1 | ||||
| 1976 | 481.1 | 476.4 | 481.1 | 476.4 | ||||
| 1977 | 486.5 | 482.8 | 486.5 | 482.8 | ||||
| 1978 | 488.3 | 489.3 | 488.3 | 489.3 | ||||
| 1979 | 496.4 | 495.8 | 496.4 | 495.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 505.8 | 502.5 | 505.8 | 502.5 | ||||
| 1981 | 510.9 | 509.2 | 510.9 | 509.2 | ||||
| 1982 | 511.1 | 516.1 | 511.1 | 516.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 520.0 | 523.0 | 519.9 | 522.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 525.5 | 530.0 | 525.5 | 529.9 | ||||
| 1985 | 531.4 | 537.1 | 531.3 | 537.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 538.4 | 544.4 | 538.3 | 544.2 | ||||
| 1987 | 563.4 | 551.7 | 563.2 | 551.5 | ||||
| 1988 | 558.6 | 559.1 | 558.4 | 558.9 | ||||
| 1989 | 567.3 | 566.6 | 567.0 | 566.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 593.1 | 595.9 | 592.7 | 595.6 | ||||
| 1991 | 637.9 | 626.8 | 637.4 | 626.5 | ||||
| 1992 | 658.7 | 659.3 | 658.2 | 658.9 | 649.3 | 649.5 | 648.9 | 649.1 |
| 1993 | 622.6 | 627.4 | 622.2 | 626.8 | 611.8 | 611.4 | 611.3 | 610.9 |
| 1994 | 590.2 | 596.9 | 589.7 | 596.2 | 580.1 | 575.5 | 579.6 | 575.0 |
| 1995 | 572.3 | 568.0 | 571.7 | 567.2 | 565.0 | 572.9 | 564.5 | 572.3 |
| 1996 | 573.3 | 571.1 | 572.6 | 570.6 | 564.2 | 570.2 | 563.6 | 569.6 |
| 1997 | 576.3 | 574.3 | 575.7 | 574.1 | 566.3 | 567.6 | 565.7 | 567.0 |
| 1998 | 573.6 | 577.5 | 573.0 | 577.6 | 563.8 | 565.1 | 563.1 | 564.3 |
| 1999 | 581.6 | 580.8 | 580.7 | 581.1 | 569.2 | 562.5 | 568.3 | 561.6 |
| 2000 | 581.2 | 584.0 | 580.2 | 577.5 | 566.0 | 559.9 | 565.1 | 559.0 |
| 2001 | 582.4 | 578.9 | 581.3 | 573.9 | 567.3 | 557.4 | 566.3 | 556.4 |
| 2002 | 575.9 | 573.8 | 574.7 | 570.3 | 559.1 | 554.8 | 558.1 | 553.7 |
| 2003 | 561.3 | 568.8 | 560.0 | 566.8 | 546.4 | 552.3 | 545.3 | 551.1 |
| 2004 | 559.5 | 563.8 | 558.1 | 563.3 | 546.8 | 549.8 | 545.5 | 548.5 |
| 2005 | 550.6 | 558.8 | 548.9 | 559.8 | 535.6 | 547.3 | 534.1 | 545.9 |
| 2006 | 557.6 | 553.9 | 555.5 | 556.3 | 538.7 | 544.8 | 536.9 | 543.4 |
| 2007 | 568.7 | 549.0 | 566.1 | 552.9 | 550.8 | 542.3 | 548.4 | 540.8 |
| 2008 | 550.0 | 544.2 | 546.9 | 549.5 | 532.7 | 532.4 | 529.8 | 529.1 |
| 2009 | 540.8 | 539.4 | 536.7 | 536.3 | 526.1 | 522.8 | 522.3 | 517.6 |
| 2010 | 530.5 | 534.7 | 524.7 | 523.4 | 513.4 | 513.3 | 508.0 | 506.4 |
| 2011 | 520.8 | 530.0 | 509.9 | 510.9 | 502.3 | 504.0 | 491.8 | 495.4 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.5 | 469.4 | 468.5 | 469.5 | ||||
| 1976 | 481.9 | 476.1 | 481.9 | 476.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 487.2 | 482.9 | 487.2 | 483.0 | ||||
| 1978 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 489.7 | 489.8 | ||||
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 505.2 | 504.0 | 505.2 | 503.9 | ||||
| 1981 | 510.9 | 511.2 | 510.9 | 511.1 | ||||
| 1982 | 512.6 | 518.5 | 512.5 | 518.4 | ||||
| 1983 | 521.1 | 525.9 | 521.0 | 525.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 527.9 | 533.5 | 527.7 | 533.3 | ||||
| 1985 | 533.8 | 541.1 | 533.6 | 540.9 | ||||
| 1986 | 543.2 | 548.9 | 542.9 | 548.6 | ||||
| 1987 | 569.2 | 556.7 | 568.8 | 556.4 | ||||
| 1988 | 565.5 | 564.7 | 565.0 | 564.3 | ||||
| 1989 | 574.0 | 572.8 | 573.5 | 572.4 | ||||
| 1990 | 599.9 | 601.5 | 599.3 | 601.0 | ||||
| 1991 | 645.2 | 631.6 | 644.5 | 631.0 | ||||
| 1992 | 664.2 | 663.2 | 663.4 | 662.6 | 655.7 | 654.2 | 654.9 | 653.3 |
| 1993 | 621.1 | 629.8 | 620.2 | 628.8 | 610.4 | 613.4 | 609.5 | 612.7 |
| 1994 | 588.4 | 598.2 | 587.5 | 596.7 | 580.1 | 575.1 | 579.2 | 574.5 |
| 1995 | 571.1 | 568.1 | 570.1 | 566.3 | 564.8 | 573.4 | 563.9 | 572.6 |
| 1996 | 575.1 | 571.4 | 574.0 | 570.0 | 567.1 | 571.7 | 566.1 | 570.7 |
| 1997 | 577.6 | 574.7 | 576.5 | 573.7 | 567.7 | 570.0 | 566.6 | 568.8 |
| 1998 | 577.7 | 578.1 | 576.5 | 577.4 | 567.5 | 568.3 | 566.3 | 566.9 |
| 1999 | 584.2 | 581.5 | 582.7 | 581.2 | 572.8 | 566.6 | 571.3 | 565.1 |
| 2000 | 585.7 | 584.9 | 583.9 | 585.0 | 571.9 | 564.9 | 570.3 | 563.2 |
| 2001 | 589.3 | 588.3 | 587.4 | 581.1 | 575.3 | 563.2 | 573.5 | 561.3 |
| 2002 | 583.2 | 583.0 | 581.1 | 577.2 | 566.2 | 561.6 | 564.3 | 559.5 |
| 2003 | 567.2 | 577.7 | 564.9 | 573.4 | 553.2 | 559.9 | 551.1 | 557.6 |
| 2004 | 566.3 | 572.4 | 563.6 | 569.6 | 554.8 | 558.2 | 552.4 | 555.8 |
| 2005 | 560.4 | 567.2 | 557.3 | 565.8 | 546.4 | 556.5 | 543.5 | 554.0 |
| 2006 | 566.3 | 562.1 | 562.6 | 562.0 | 549.2 | 554.9 | 545.9 | 552.1 |
| 2007 | 576.0 | 557.0 | 571.4 | 558.3 | 560.5 | 553.2 | 556.3 | 550.3 |
| 2008 | 556.7 | 551.9 | 551.1 | 554.6 | 542.6 | 543.2 | 537.5 | 537.6 |
| 2009 | 548.2 | 546.9 | 541.1 | 540.7 | 536.1 | 533.3 | 529.7 | 525.2 |
| 2010 | 537.8 | 541.9 | 528.2 | 527.1 | 523.6 | 523.7 | 514.9 | 513.1 |
| 2011 | 529.3 | 537.0 | 513.0 | 513.9 | 513.0 | 514.2 | 498.0 | 501.3 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.5 | 533.0 | 525.5 | 532.8 | ||||
| 1976 | 552.9 | 548.0 | 552.9 | 547.9 | ||||
| 1977 | 577.6 | 563.4 | 577.6 | 563.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 570.7 | 579.3 | 570.7 | 579.5 | ||||
| 1979 | 589.7 | 595.6 | 589.7 | 595.9 | ||||
| 1980 | 615.1 | 612.4 | 615.1 | 612.9 | ||||
| 1981 | 633.9 | 629.6 | 633.9 | 630.3 | ||||
| 1982 | 621.9 | 633.7 | 621.9 | 634.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 646.1 | 637.9 | 646.0 | 637.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 643.9 | 642.1 | 643.7 | 641.6 | ||||
| 1985 | 643.7 | 646.3 | 643.4 | 645.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 644.2 | 650.5 | 643.9 | 649.3 | ||||
| 1987 | 666.3 | 654.8 | 665.9 | 653.1 | ||||
| 1988 | 657.9 | 659.1 | 657.4 | 657.0 | ||||
| 1989 | 661.7 | 663.4 | 661.2 | 661.0 | ||||
| 1990 | 700.1 | 707.9 | 699.4 | 710.2 | ||||
| 1991 | 765.3 | 755.3 | 764.5 | 763.2 | ||||
| 1992 | 809.3 | 805.9 | 808.4 | 820.1 | 790.1 | 784.0 | 789.1 | 779.4 |
| 1993 | 819.0 | 793.3 | 817.9 | 799.2 | 793.9 | 772.7 | 792.8 | 768.6 |
| 1994 | 784.3 | 780.8 | 783.1 | 778.8 | 749.4 | 761.6 | 748.2 | 757.9 |
| 1995 | 750.3 | 768.6 | 749.0 | 759.0 | 739.3 | 750.6 | 738.0 | 747.3 |
| 1996 | 728.0 | 756.6 | 726.6 | 739.6 | 718.2 | 739.8 | 716.8 | 736.9 |
| 1997 | 741.1 | 744.7 | 739.6 | 731.1 | 727.3 | 729.2 | 725.8 | 726.7 |
| 1998 | 724.0 | 733.1 | 722.4 | 722.7 | 716.2 | 718.7 | 714.6 | 716.6 |
| 1999 | 724.6 | 721.6 | 722.7 | 714.4 | 715.5 | 708.3 | 713.6 | 706.6 |
| 2000 | 713.6 | 710.3 | 711.4 | 706.2 | 702.8 | 698.1 | 700.7 | 696.8 |
| 2001 | 699.4 | 699.2 | 697.1 | 698.0 | 687.9 | 688.1 | 685.6 | 687.1 |
| 2002 | 699.7 | 688.2 | 697.1 | 690.0 | 686.8 | 678.2 | 684.3 | 677.5 |
| 2003 | 681.4 | 677.4 | 678.6 | 682.1 | 666.2 | 668.4 | 663.4 | 668.1 |
| 2004 | 686.0 | 666.8 | 682.8 | 674.2 | 668.0 | 658.8 | 664.8 | 658.8 |
| 2005 | 644.3 | 656.4 | 640.7 | 666.5 | 633.7 | 649.3 | 630.2 | 649.6 |
| 2006 | 645.4 | 659.2 | 641.1 | 658.8 | 627.1 | 640.0 | 623.1 | 640.6 |
| 2007 | 668.9 | 662.0 | 663.5 | 651.2 | 647.5 | 630.8 | 642.4 | 631.7 |
| 2008 | 665.1 | 664.8 | 658.4 | 643.7 | 640.0 | 621.7 | 633.5 | 622.9 |
| 2009 | 640.5 | 640.9 | 632.3 | 636.3 | 626.8 | 612.8 | 618.7 | 614.2 |
| 2010 | 617.7 | 617.9 | 606.7 | 606.4 | 597.1 | 603.9 | 586.6 | 585.3 |
| 2011 | 596.0 | 595.7 | 577.8 | 577.9 | 575.0 | 595.2 | 557.2 | 557.8 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 2000-11 | -0.9* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -2.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2007-11 | -1.8* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2007-11 | -2.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 2001-11 | -0.9* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -2.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 2007-11 | -1.8* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 2007-11 | -2.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -3.6* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 2009-11 | -4.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 1992-11 | -1.4* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 2009-11 | -4.7 |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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