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Figure 2.6
Figure 2.6
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
All Cancer Sites, Female, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 365.9 | 366.5 | 365.9 | 366.5 | ||||
| 1976 | 367.4 | 365.5 | 367.4 | 365.5 | ||||
| 1977 | 363.7 | 364.5 | 363.7 | 364.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 362.2 | 363.5 | 362.2 | 363.5 | ||||
| 1979 | 365.6 | 362.5 | 365.6 | 362.6 | ||||
| 1980 | 368.1 | 368.3 | 368.1 | 368.3 | ||||
| 1981 | 377.2 | 374.2 | 377.2 | 374.1 | ||||
| 1982 | 376.3 | 380.1 | 376.3 | 380.1 | ||||
| 1983 | 380.8 | 386.2 | 380.8 | 386.1 | ||||
| 1984 | 392.5 | 392.4 | 392.5 | 392.2 | ||||
| 1985 | 403.3 | 398.6 | 403.2 | 398.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 402.4 | 405.0 | 402.3 | 404.8 | ||||
| 1987 | 413.4 | 411.4 | 413.3 | 411.2 | ||||
| 1988 | 409.4 | 411.8 | 409.3 | 411.6 | ||||
| 1989 | 408.6 | 412.2 | 408.4 | 412.0 | ||||
| 1990 | 415.8 | 412.6 | 415.6 | 412.5 | ||||
| 1991 | 419.2 | 413.0 | 418.9 | 412.9 | ||||
| 1992 | 415.1 | 413.4 | 414.9 | 413.3 | 409.7 | 403.9 | 409.4 | 404.8 |
| 1993 | 408.6 | 413.7 | 408.3 | 413.8 | 405.9 | 407.3 | 405.6 | 407.4 |
| 1994 | 413.9 | 414.1 | 413.6 | 414.2 | 407.6 | 410.7 | 407.2 | 410.1 |
| 1995 | 415.2 | 414.5 | 414.9 | 414.6 | 410.8 | 414.1 | 410.5 | 412.8 |
| 1996 | 418.6 | 420.8 | 418.2 | 419.5 | 414.5 | 417.5 | 414.1 | 415.5 |
| 1997 | 428.9 | 427.1 | 428.4 | 424.4 | 422.1 | 421.0 | 421.7 | 418.3 |
| 1998 | 434.4 | 433.6 | 433.9 | 429.4 | 426.9 | 424.5 | 426.4 | 421.0 |
| 1999 | 431.2 | 431.0 | 430.6 | 428.4 | 424.1 | 421.7 | 423.5 | 419.6 |
| 2000 | 422.8 | 428.5 | 422.2 | 427.4 | 414.4 | 418.9 | 413.8 | 418.3 |
| 2001 | 427.9 | 425.9 | 427.1 | 426.4 | 419.1 | 416.2 | 418.4 | 416.9 |
| 2002 | 429.0 | 423.4 | 428.2 | 425.4 | 417.6 | 413.4 | 416.8 | 415.5 |
| 2003 | 418.2 | 420.9 | 417.3 | 424.4 | 407.6 | 410.7 | 406.7 | 414.2 |
| 2004 | 421.0 | 421.3 | 420.0 | 423.4 | 409.5 | 410.8 | 408.6 | 412.8 |
| 2005 | 420.6 | 421.8 | 419.3 | 422.4 | 410.4 | 410.9 | 409.2 | 411.5 |
| 2006 | 420.4 | 422.3 | 418.9 | 421.4 | 408.3 | 411.0 | 406.9 | 410.2 |
| 2007 | 422.1 | 422.8 | 420.3 | 420.5 | 411.4 | 411.1 | 409.7 | 408.8 |
| 2008 | 425.4 | 423.3 | 423.1 | 419.5 | 414.5 | 411.1 | 412.3 | 407.5 |
| 2009 | 430.0 | 423.8 | 426.8 | 418.5 | 416.7 | 411.2 | 413.8 | 406.2 |
| 2010 | 420.8 | 424.3 | 416.3 | 417.5 | 408.2 | 411.3 | 404.0 | 404.8 |
| 2011 | 423.2 | 424.7 | 414.6 | 416.5 | 409.1 | 411.4 | 400.8 | 403.5 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 369.6 | 371.0 | 369.6 | 371.0 | ||||
| 1976 | 373.1 | 370.2 | 373.1 | 370.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 367.9 | 369.3 | 367.9 | 369.4 | ||||
| 1978 | 368.0 | 368.5 | 368.0 | 368.6 | ||||
| 1979 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 369.7 | 367.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 373.4 | 374.0 | ||||
| 1981 | 383.9 | 380.3 | 383.9 | 380.2 | ||||
| 1982 | 383.5 | 386.7 | 383.5 | 386.6 | ||||
| 1983 | 388.1 | 393.2 | 388.0 | 393.1 | ||||
| 1984 | 399.7 | 399.9 | 399.6 | 399.7 | ||||
| 1985 | 411.7 | 406.6 | 411.5 | 406.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 409.4 | 413.5 | 409.2 | 413.2 | ||||
| 1987 | 423.5 | 420.5 | 423.3 | 420.2 | ||||
| 1988 | 418.1 | 421.0 | 417.9 | 420.7 | ||||
| 1989 | 418.9 | 421.5 | 418.6 | 421.2 | ||||
| 1990 | 425.2 | 422.0 | 424.8 | 421.7 | ||||
| 1991 | 429.0 | 422.5 | 428.6 | 422.3 | ||||
| 1992 | 424.0 | 423.1 | 423.5 | 422.8 | 420.8 | 419.8 | 420.3 | 414.6 |
| 1993 | 417.6 | 423.6 | 417.1 | 423.3 | 416.5 | 418.5 | 416.0 | 418.2 |
| 1994 | 423.7 | 424.1 | 423.1 | 423.8 | 418.7 | 417.2 | 418.2 | 421.8 |
| 1995 | 426.8 | 424.6 | 426.2 | 424.3 | 424.3 | 423.3 | 423.7 | 425.5 |
| 1996 | 428.9 | 432.0 | 428.2 | 430.7 | 426.7 | 429.5 | 426.0 | 429.2 |
| 1997 | 441.9 | 439.5 | 441.2 | 437.2 | 436.2 | 435.8 | 435.5 | 432.9 |
| 1998 | 447.8 | 447.1 | 447.0 | 443.8 | 442.5 | 442.2 | 441.6 | 436.7 |
| 1999 | 444.7 | 445.1 | 443.7 | 442.7 | 440.1 | 439.1 | 439.1 | 435.3 |
| 2000 | 438.9 | 443.1 | 437.8 | 441.6 | 431.7 | 435.9 | 430.6 | 433.9 |
| 2001 | 443.6 | 441.2 | 442.4 | 440.5 | 436.6 | 432.8 | 435.4 | 432.5 |
| 2002 | 442.4 | 439.3 | 441.0 | 439.4 | 433.3 | 429.8 | 432.0 | 431.1 |
| 2003 | 433.9 | 437.3 | 432.4 | 438.3 | 424.1 | 426.7 | 422.6 | 429.7 |
| 2004 | 435.2 | 435.4 | 433.4 | 437.2 | 424.5 | 427.0 | 422.8 | 428.3 |
| 2005 | 435.9 | 436.2 | 433.8 | 436.1 | 427.1 | 427.3 | 425.1 | 427.0 |
| 2006 | 436.2 | 437.0 | 433.6 | 435.1 | 426.0 | 427.6 | 423.7 | 425.6 |
| 2007 | 437.7 | 437.7 | 434.6 | 434.0 | 428.2 | 428.0 | 425.3 | 424.2 |
| 2008 | 440.7 | 438.5 | 436.7 | 432.9 | 432.1 | 428.3 | 428.4 | 422.8 |
| 2009 | 444.4 | 439.3 | 439.3 | 431.8 | 433.8 | 428.6 | 429.0 | 421.5 |
| 2010 | 436.4 | 440.1 | 429.3 | 430.8 | 425.5 | 428.9 | 419.0 | 420.1 |
| 2011 | 439.4 | 440.9 | 427.0 | 429.7 | 426.6 | 429.2 | 414.9 | 418.8 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 356.6 | 344.0 | 356.6 | 343.5 | ||||
| 1976 | 340.6 | 347.8 | 340.6 | 347.4 | ||||
| 1977 | 352.0 | 351.7 | 352.0 | 351.3 | ||||
| 1978 | 343.6 | 355.6 | 343.6 | 355.3 | ||||
| 1979 | 359.1 | 359.5 | 359.1 | 359.3 | ||||
| 1980 | 366.5 | 363.5 | 366.5 | 363.4 | ||||
| 1981 | 362.9 | 367.5 | 362.9 | 367.5 | ||||
| 1982 | 359.4 | 371.6 | 359.4 | 371.6 | ||||
| 1983 | 382.1 | 375.7 | 382.0 | 375.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 386.1 | 379.8 | 386.0 | 380.1 | ||||
| 1985 | 388.4 | 384.0 | 388.3 | 384.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 396.6 | 388.3 | 396.4 | 388.7 | ||||
| 1987 | 394.4 | 392.6 | 394.2 | 393.1 | ||||
| 1988 | 404.5 | 396.9 | 404.2 | 397.5 | ||||
| 1989 | 384.9 | 401.3 | 384.6 | 402.0 | ||||
| 1990 | 409.5 | 405.8 | 409.1 | 406.6 | ||||
| 1991 | 412.8 | 410.3 | 412.4 | 411.2 | ||||
| 1992 | 413.6 | 410.7 | 413.2 | 411.3 | 400.3 | 405.9 | 399.9 | 407.2 |
| 1993 | 404.3 | 411.1 | 403.9 | 411.4 | 404.7 | 406.3 | 404.2 | 407.3 |
| 1994 | 409.5 | 411.5 | 408.9 | 411.5 | 408.1 | 406.7 | 407.5 | 407.3 |
| 1995 | 405.0 | 412.0 | 404.4 | 411.6 | 401.5 | 407.1 | 400.9 | 407.4 |
| 1996 | 417.6 | 412.4 | 416.9 | 411.7 | 414.7 | 407.6 | 414.0 | 407.4 |
| 1997 | 410.6 | 412.8 | 409.9 | 411.8 | 415.0 | 408.0 | 414.2 | 407.4 |
| 1998 | 416.2 | 413.3 | 415.5 | 411.9 | 412.0 | 408.4 | 411.2 | 407.5 |
| 1999 | 421.1 | 413.7 | 420.1 | 412.0 | 416.7 | 408.9 | 415.6 | 407.5 |
| 2000 | 404.7 | 414.1 | 403.6 | 412.1 | 400.9 | 409.3 | 399.8 | 407.5 |
| 2001 | 401.6 | 414.5 | 400.4 | 412.2 | 397.4 | 409.7 | 396.2 | 407.6 |
| 2002 | 426.4 | 415.0 | 425.0 | 412.3 | 412.7 | 410.1 | 411.3 | 407.6 |
| 2003 | 412.8 | 415.4 | 411.4 | 412.4 | 407.5 | 410.6 | 406.0 | 407.6 |
| 2004 | 419.9 | 415.8 | 418.2 | 412.5 | 417.8 | 411.0 | 416.0 | 407.7 |
| 2005 | 421.0 | 416.3 | 419.0 | 412.6 | 414.8 | 411.4 | 412.7 | 407.7 |
| 2006 | 416.7 | 416.7 | 414.2 | 412.7 | 410.5 | 411.9 | 408.0 | 407.7 |
| 2007 | 416.3 | 417.1 | 413.3 | 412.8 | 413.0 | 412.3 | 410.0 | 407.8 |
| 2008 | 419.5 | 417.6 | 415.7 | 412.9 | 408.3 | 412.7 | 404.5 | 407.8 |
| 2009 | 424.1 | 418.0 | 419.2 | 413.0 | 419.1 | 413.2 | 414.1 | 407.8 |
| 2010 | 409.3 | 418.4 | 402.7 | 413.1 | 406.9 | 413.6 | 400.2 | 407.9 |
| 2011 | 418.3 | 418.9 | 406.5 | 413.2 | 416.0 | 414.0 | 403.9 | 407.9 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 2003-11 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 1998-11 | -0.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2003-11 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 1998-11 | -0.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 2004-11 | 0.2 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 1998-11 | -0.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 2003-11 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 1998-11 | -0.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 1991-11 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 1991-11 | 0.0 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 1992-11 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 1992-11 | 0.0 |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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