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Figure 3.1

CSR Figure 3.1: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex


Figure 3.1

Rates per 100,000 for Brain and Other Nervous System, White, Male, 1975-2010, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 7.3 7.5 7.3 7.5 5.2 5.2
1976 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.6 5.5 5.5
1977 8.3 7.7 8.3 7.7 5.7 5.7
1978 7.2 7.8 7.2 7.8 5.8 5.7
1979 8.0 7.9 8.0 7.9 5.5 5.7
1980 8.2 8.0 8.2 8.0 5.8 5.7
1981 8.4 8.1 8.4 8.1 5.6 5.6
1982 8.6 8.2 8.6 8.2 5.7 5.6
1983 8.2 8.3 8.2 8.3 5.6 5.7
1984 7.6 8.4 7.6 8.5 5.9 5.8
1985 9.1 8.6 9.1 8.6 5.9 5.9
1986 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.7 5.9 5.9
1987 8.7 8.8 8.7 8.8 6.0 6.0
1988 8.6 8.9 8.6 8.9 6.2 6.1
1989 9.2 9.0 9.2 9.0 6.2 6.2
1990 8.8 9.0 8.8 9.0 6.3 6.3
1991 9.3 9.0 9.3 9.0 6.4 6.4
1992 9.5 9.0 9.5 9.0 6.3 6.3
1993 8.9 9.0 8.9 8.9 6.2 6.3
1994 8.6 8.9 8.6 8.9 6.3 6.2
1995 8.6 8.9 8.6 8.9 6.0 6.2
1996 9.0 8.9 9.0 8.9 6.1 6.1
1997 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 6.0 6.0
1998 8.4 8.9 8.4 8.8 6.1 6.0
1999 9.3 8.9 9.2 8.8 6.0 5.9
2000 9.1 8.9 9.1 8.8 6.0 5.9
2001 8.7 8.8 8.6 8.8 5.9 5.8
2002 9.0 8.8 8.9 8.8 5.8 5.8
2003 8.4 8.8 8.3 8.8 5.7 5.7
2004 8.9 8.8 8.9 8.7 5.6 5.7
2005 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 5.7 5.6
2006 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 5.5 5.6
2007 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 5.5 5.6
2008 8.9 8.8 8.8 8.7 5.7 5.6
2009 9.0 8.7 8.9 8.6 5.7 5.6
2010 8.4 8.7 8.2 8.6 5.6 5.7
2011 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.6 5.7 5.7
Rates per 100,000 for Brain and Other Nervous System, Black, Male, 1975-2010, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 4.3 5.0 4.3 5.0 3.2 3.2
1976 5.4 5.0 5.4 5.0 3.5 3.2
1977 5.2 5.0 5.2 5.0 3.0 3.2
1978 4.3 5.0 4.3 5.0 3.4 3.2
1979 4.2 5.0 4.2 5.0 3.3 3.3
1980 3.3 5.0 3.3 5.0 3.0 3.3
1981 7.2 4.9 7.2 5.0 3.3 3.3
1982 4.4 4.9 4.4 4.9 3.4 3.3
1983 3.8 4.9 3.8 4.9 2.9 3.3
1984 5.3 4.9 5.3 4.9 3.3 3.4
1985 5.6 4.9 5.6 4.9 3.2 3.4
1986 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.9 3.5 3.4
1987 5.5 4.9 5.5 4.9 3.6 3.4
1988 4.5 4.9 4.5 4.9 3.6 3.5
1989 5.9 4.9 5.9 4.9 3.5 3.5
1990 5.2 4.9 5.2 4.9 3.7 3.5
1991 4.5 4.9 4.5 4.9 3.4 3.5
1992 4.0 4.9 4.0 4.9 3.4 3.5
1993 4.0 4.9 4.0 4.8 3.6 3.4
1994 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.8 3.2 3.4
1995 5.2 4.8 5.1 4.8 3.4 3.4
1996 5.1 4.8 5.1 4.8 3.2 3.3
1997 5.3 4.8 5.3 4.8 3.3 3.3
1998 4.6 4.8 4.6 4.8 3.4 3.3
1999 5.0 4.8 5.0 4.8 3.3 3.3
2000 5.4 4.8 5.4 4.8 3.3 3.2
2001 5.3 4.8 5.3 4.8 3.1 3.2
2002 5.5 4.8 5.5 4.8 3.2 3.2
2003 4.4 4.8 4.4 4.7 3.4 3.1
2004 4.6 4.8 4.6 4.7 3.0 3.1
2005 5.0 4.8 4.9 4.7 3.2 3.1
2006 4.3 4.8 4.2 4.7 2.9 3.1
2007 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.7 2.8 3.0
2008 4.5 4.7 4.5 4.7 3.2 3.0
2009 4.4 4.7 4.4 4.7 3.0 3.0
2010 4.6 4.7 4.5 4.7 3.1 3.0
2011 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.7 2.8 2.9
Rates per 100,000 for Brain and Other Nervous System, White, Female, 1975-2010, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 5.3 5.1 5.3 5.1 3.6 3.6
1976 5.0 5.1 5.0 5.1 3.7 3.7
1977 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.2 3.8 3.7
1978 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.3 3.9 3.7
1979 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 3.6 3.8
1980 5.7 5.5 5.7 5.5 3.7 3.8
1981 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 3.8 3.8
1982 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.7 3.9 3.9
1983 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.8 3.9 3.9
1984 5.5 5.9 5.5 5.9 4.0 3.9
1985 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.0 4.0 4.0
1986 6.3 6.1 6.3 6.1 3.9 4.0
1987 6.7 6.2 6.7 6.2 4.2 4.1
1988 6.4 6.2 6.4 6.2 4.0 4.1
1989 5.9 6.2 5.9 6.2 4.1 4.1
1990 6.6 6.2 6.6 6.2 4.2 4.2
1991 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.4 4.2
1992 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.3 4.3
1993 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.2 4.2 4.2
1994 5.9 6.2 5.9 6.2 4.3 4.2
1995 5.8 6.2 5.8 6.2 4.1 4.2
1996 5.8 6.2 5.8 6.2 4.2 4.1
1997 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.1 4.1
1998 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.2 4.1 4.1
1999 6.4 6.2 6.4 6.2 4.1 4.0
2000 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.2 3.9 4.0
2001 6.2 6.3 6.1 6.2 3.9 4.0
2002 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.2 3.9 3.9
2003 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 3.9 3.9
2004 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.2 3.8 3.9
2005 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.2 3.8 3.9
2006 5.8 6.3 5.8 6.2 3.7 3.8
2007 6.1 6.3 6.0 6.2 3.8 3.8
2008 6.6 6.3 6.5 6.2 3.8 3.8
2009 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.2 3.9 3.7
2010 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 3.7 3.7
2011 6.4 6.3 6.1 6.2 3.8 3.7
Rates per 100,000 for Brain and Other Nervous System, Black, Female, 1975-2010, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 3.9 3.1 3.9 3.1 1.8 1.8
1976 1.6 3.1 1.6 3.2 2.0 2.0
1977 2.5 3.2 2.5 3.2 2.2 2.2
1978 3.5 3.2 3.5 3.2 2.2 2.1
1979 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.1 2.1
1980 2.9 3.2 2.9 3.2 2.0 2.1
1981 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 2.0 2.1
1982 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.3 2.1 2.0
1983 1.8 3.3 1.8 3.3 2.2 2.0
1984 3.9 3.3 3.9 3.3 1.9 2.0
1985 4.2 3.3 4.2 3.3 2.0 2.1
1986 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.4 2.3 2.2
1987 3.1 3.4 3.1 3.4 2.4 2.3
1988 4.4 3.4 4.4 3.4 2.4 2.4
1989 4.1 3.4 4.1 3.4 2.2 2.4
1990 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.5 2.4 2.4
1991 3.1 3.5 3.1 3.5 2.4 2.4
1992 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.5 2.4 2.3
1993 3.8 3.5 3.8 3.5 2.3 2.3
1994 4.0 3.6 4.0 3.6 2.3 2.3
1995 3.2 3.6 3.2 3.6 2.3 2.3
1996 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.6 2.2 2.3
1997 3.1 3.7 3.1 3.6 2.6 2.3
1998 4.1 3.7 4.1 3.7 2.2 2.2
1999 2.6 3.7 2.6 3.7 2.3 2.2
2000 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 2.2 2.2
2001 3.3 3.8 3.3 3.7 2.2 2.2
2002 3.4 3.8 3.4 3.7 2.2 2.2
2003 4.7 3.8 4.7 3.8 2.1 2.2
2004 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.8 2.0 2.1
2005 4.1 3.9 4.1 3.8 2.0 2.1
2006 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.8 1.9 2.1
2007 4.5 3.9 4.4 3.9 2.1 2.1
2008 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.9 2.0 2.1
2009 4.9 4.0 4.8 3.9 2.2 2.1
2010 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 2.1 2.0
2011 3.9 4.0 3.8 4.0 2.0 2.0
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Brain and Other Nervous System, All Ages, 1975-2010
Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male1989-11-0.1
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male1989-11-0.2
U.S. Mortality, White, Male2006-110.3
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male1975-11-0.2
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male1975-11-0.2
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male1990-11-0.9*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female1987-110.1
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female1987-110.0
U.S. Mortality, White, Female1992-11-0.8*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female1975-110.7*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female1975-110.7*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female1988-11-0.8*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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