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Figure 4.3

CSR Figure 4.3: SEER Incidence and Delay Adjusted Incidence by Race (In Situ cases)

Figure 4.3

Rates per 100,000 for In situ Breast Cancer, White, Female, 1975-2010, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)		Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 5.9 5.4 5.9 5.4
1976 5.4 5.2 5.4 5.2
1977 4.3 5.1 4.3 5.1
1978 4.6 4.9 4.6 4.9
1979 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.8
1980 5.1 4.7 5.1 4.7
1981 4.9 4.5 4.9 4.5
1982 5.3 5.7 5.3 5.7
1983 6.2 7.1 6.2 7.1
1984 9.2 8.9 9.2 8.9
1985 12.1 11.2 12.1 11.2
1986 14.3 14.0 14.3 14.0
1987 18.2 17.6 18.2 17.6
1988 18.1 18.3 18.1 18.3
1989 17.1 19.0 17.1 19.0
1990 19.9 19.7 19.9 19.7
1991 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5
1992 22.2 21.3 22.2 21.3
1993 21.4 22.2 21.4 22.1
1994 22.9 23.0 22.9 23.0
1995 25.1 23.9 25.1 23.9
1996 25.9 26.7 25.9 26.6
1997 29.0 29.7 28.9 29.7
1998 33.8 33.1 33.7 33.1
1999 33.3 33.3 33.2 33.3
2000 33.9 33.6 33.9 33.5
2001 34.3 33.8 34.3 33.8
2002 34.7 34.1 34.6 34.0
2003 33.5 34.3 33.5 34.3
2004 34.0 34.6 34.0 34.5
2005 33.7 34.8 33.6 34.7
2006 33.7 35.1 33.7 35.0
2007 36.0 35.4 35.9 35.2
2008 37.3 35.6 37.2 35.5
2009 37.8 35.9 37.7 35.7
2010 34.3 36.1 34.2 36.0
2011 36.2 36.4 35.8 36.2
Rates per 100,000 for In situ Breast Cancer, Black, Female, 1975-2010, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)		Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 3.9 3.4 3.9 3.4
1976 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.5
1977 3.0 3.7 3.0 3.7
1978 3.3 3.8 3.3 3.8
1979 4.8 3.9 4.8 3.9
1980 3.6 4.0 3.6 4.0
1981 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1
1982 5.6 4.9 5.6 4.9
1983 5.4 5.8 5.4 5.8
1984 6.4 6.8 6.3 6.8
1985 8.2 8.1 8.2 8.1
1986 9.3 9.6 9.3 9.6
1987 12.3 11.4 12.3 11.4
1988 16.0 13.5 16.0 13.4
1989 14.7 14.5 14.7 14.5
1990 15.1 15.7 15.1 15.7
1991 15.4 16.9 15.4 16.9
1992 19.1 18.3 19.1 18.2
1993 16.6 19.7 16.6 19.7
1994 20.1 21.3 20.1 21.2
1995 22.8 22.9 22.8 22.9
1996 22.9 24.8 22.8 24.7
1997 28.2 26.7 28.2 26.7
1998 30.5 28.8 30.4 28.8
1999 29.5 29.3 29.5 29.3
2000 29.7 29.8 29.6 29.8
2001 32.0 30.3 31.9 30.3
2002 28.7 30.8 28.6 30.8
2003 30.1 31.4 30.0 31.3
2004 30.6 31.9 30.5 31.8
2005 32.1 32.4 32.0 32.3
2006 35.9 33.0 35.8 32.8
2007 33.6 33.5 33.5 33.4
2008 36.8 34.1 36.7 33.9
2009 35.9 34.7 35.8 34.5
2010 33.3 35.3 33.0 35.1
2011 34.3 35.9 33.9 35.6
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
In situ Breast Cancer, Female, All Ages, 1975-2010
Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White1998-110.7*
Observed SEER Incidence, White1998-110.7*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black1998-111.7*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black1998-111.6*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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