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Figure 6.3
Figure 6.3
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Colon and Rectum, Male, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 68.4 | 70.3 | 68.4 | 70.3 | ||||
| 1976 | 71.7 | 71.1 | 71.7 | 71.1 | ||||
| 1977 | 73.5 | 71.9 | 73.5 | 71.9 | ||||
| 1978 | 72.3 | 72.7 | 72.3 | 72.7 | ||||
| 1979 | 74.1 | 73.5 | 74.1 | 73.5 | ||||
| 1980 | 74.5 | 74.4 | 74.5 | 74.4 | ||||
| 1981 | 75.8 | 75.2 | 75.8 | 75.2 | ||||
| 1982 | 75.2 | 76.1 | 75.2 | 76.1 | ||||
| 1983 | 75.6 | 76.9 | 75.6 | 76.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 77.7 | 77.8 | 77.6 | 77.8 | ||||
| 1985 | 79.2 | 78.7 | 79.2 | 78.7 | ||||
| 1986 | 77.8 | 77.7 | 77.8 | 77.7 | ||||
| 1987 | 77.5 | 76.8 | 77.5 | 76.7 | ||||
| 1988 | 75.2 | 75.8 | 75.2 | 75.8 | ||||
| 1989 | 75.0 | 74.9 | 75.0 | 74.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 74.4 | 73.9 | 74.4 | 73.9 | ||||
| 1991 | 72.9 | 73.0 | 72.9 | 73.0 | ||||
| 1992 | 70.4 | 70.7 | 70.4 | 70.7 | 69.0 | 68.7 | 69.0 | 68.7 |
| 1993 | 68.5 | 68.5 | 68.4 | 68.5 | 66.5 | 67.0 | 66.5 | 66.9 |
| 1994 | 66.3 | 66.3 | 66.3 | 66.3 | 65.3 | 65.2 | 65.3 | 65.2 |
| 1995 | 63.8 | 64.2 | 63.8 | 64.2 | 63.2 | 63.6 | 63.2 | 63.5 |
| 1996 | 65.6 | 65.5 | 65.6 | 65.5 | 64.6 | 64.5 | 64.5 | 64.4 |
| 1997 | 68.1 | 66.8 | 68.1 | 66.8 | 66.4 | 65.4 | 66.4 | 65.4 |
| 1998 | 67.1 | 68.1 | 67.1 | 68.1 | 66.0 | 66.3 | 66.0 | 66.3 |
| 1999 | 65.8 | 66.2 | 65.7 | 66.2 | 64.2 | 64.6 | 64.2 | 64.6 |
| 2000 | 63.7 | 64.4 | 63.7 | 64.3 | 62.6 | 63.0 | 62.6 | 62.9 |
| 2001 | 63.1 | 62.6 | 63.0 | 62.5 | 61.8 | 61.4 | 61.8 | 61.3 |
| 2002 | 61.6 | 60.9 | 61.5 | 60.8 | 60.1 | 59.8 | 60.1 | 59.8 |
| 2003 | 59.5 | 59.2 | 59.5 | 59.1 | 58.4 | 58.3 | 58.4 | 58.3 |
| 2004 | 58.6 | 57.5 | 58.6 | 57.5 | 56.8 | 56.8 | 56.7 | 56.8 |
| 2005 | 55.3 | 55.9 | 55.2 | 55.9 | 54.7 | 55.4 | 54.6 | 55.3 |
| 2006 | 53.3 | 54.4 | 53.2 | 54.3 | 53.4 | 54.0 | 53.3 | 53.9 |
| 2007 | 53.3 | 52.9 | 53.2 | 52.8 | 53.1 | 52.6 | 53.0 | 52.5 |
| 2008 | 51.6 | 51.4 | 51.5 | 51.3 | 51.8 | 51.3 | 51.7 | 51.2 |
| 2009 | 48.9 | 49.3 | 48.8 | 49.1 | 49.2 | 49.3 | 49.0 | 49.0 |
| 2010 | 47.1 | 47.3 | 46.8 | 46.9 | 47.0 | 47.3 | 46.7 | 46.9 |
| 2011 | 45.6 | 45.4 | 45.1 | 44.9 | 45.7 | 45.4 | 45.1 | 45.0 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 69.7 | 71.3 | 69.7 | 71.3 | ||||
| 1976 | 72.7 | 72.1 | 72.7 | 72.1 | ||||
| 1977 | 74.3 | 72.9 | 74.3 | 72.9 | ||||
| 1978 | 73.9 | 73.7 | 73.9 | 73.7 | ||||
| 1979 | 75.2 | 74.6 | 75.2 | 74.6 | ||||
| 1980 | 74.9 | 75.4 | 74.9 | 75.4 | ||||
| 1981 | 76.7 | 76.3 | 76.7 | 76.3 | ||||
| 1982 | 76.2 | 77.1 | 76.2 | 77.1 | ||||
| 1983 | 76.6 | 78.0 | 76.6 | 78.0 | ||||
| 1984 | 79.3 | 78.9 | 79.3 | 78.9 | ||||
| 1985 | 80.2 | 79.8 | 80.2 | 79.8 | ||||
| 1986 | 78.9 | 78.7 | 78.9 | 78.7 | ||||
| 1987 | 78.2 | 77.6 | 78.2 | 77.5 | ||||
| 1988 | 75.8 | 76.5 | 75.8 | 76.4 | ||||
| 1989 | 75.5 | 75.4 | 75.4 | 75.4 | ||||
| 1990 | 74.8 | 74.3 | 74.8 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1991 | 73.2 | 73.3 | 73.1 | 73.2 | ||||
| 1992 | 70.7 | 70.8 | 70.7 | 70.8 | 69.4 | 68.9 | 69.4 | 68.9 |
| 1993 | 68.1 | 68.5 | 68.1 | 68.5 | 66.2 | 67.0 | 66.1 | 67.0 |
| 1994 | 66.4 | 66.3 | 66.3 | 66.2 | 65.3 | 65.1 | 65.3 | 65.1 |
| 1995 | 63.4 | 64.1 | 63.4 | 64.0 | 62.6 | 63.3 | 62.5 | 63.3 |
| 1996 | 66.0 | 65.4 | 65.9 | 65.4 | 65.0 | 64.3 | 65.0 | 64.2 |
| 1997 | 68.0 | 66.8 | 67.9 | 66.7 | 66.2 | 65.2 | 66.2 | 65.2 |
| 1998 | 67.4 | 68.1 | 67.3 | 68.1 | 65.8 | 66.2 | 65.8 | 66.1 |
| 1999 | 65.9 | 66.1 | 65.8 | 66.0 | 64.3 | 64.4 | 64.2 | 64.3 |
| 2000 | 63.2 | 64.2 | 63.1 | 64.1 | 62.3 | 62.7 | 62.2 | 62.5 |
| 2001 | 62.7 | 62.3 | 62.6 | 62.2 | 61.4 | 61.0 | 61.2 | 60.8 |
| 2002 | 60.5 | 60.5 | 60.3 | 60.3 | 59.1 | 59.3 | 59.0 | 59.1 |
| 2003 | 58.8 | 58.7 | 58.6 | 58.5 | 57.4 | 57.7 | 57.2 | 57.5 |
| 2004 | 58.2 | 57.0 | 58.0 | 56.8 | 56.1 | 56.1 | 55.9 | 55.9 |
| 2005 | 55.4 | 55.3 | 55.1 | 55.1 | 54.4 | 54.6 | 54.2 | 54.4 |
| 2006 | 52.8 | 53.7 | 52.6 | 53.4 | 52.5 | 53.1 | 52.3 | 52.9 |
| 2007 | 52.4 | 52.1 | 52.1 | 51.9 | 52.1 | 51.7 | 51.8 | 51.4 |
| 2008 | 50.8 | 50.6 | 50.5 | 50.3 | 50.9 | 50.3 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| 2009 | 47.7 | 48.3 | 47.2 | 47.8 | 47.9 | 48.1 | 47.5 | 47.6 |
| 2010 | 46.0 | 46.2 | 45.4 | 45.4 | 45.7 | 46.0 | 45.2 | 45.3 |
| 2011 | 44.4 | 44.1 | 43.3 | 43.2 | 44.2 | 44.0 | 43.3 | 43.2 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 59.3 | 59.6 | 59.3 | 59.6 | ||||
| 1976 | 58.5 | 62.3 | 58.5 | 62.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 75.7 | 65.1 | 75.7 | 65.1 | ||||
| 1978 | 65.7 | 68.0 | 65.7 | 68.0 | ||||
| 1979 | 61.8 | 71.1 | 61.8 | 71.1 | ||||
| 1980 | 79.7 | 74.3 | 79.7 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1981 | 72.8 | 74.3 | 72.8 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1982 | 69.0 | 74.3 | 69.0 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1983 | 75.7 | 74.3 | 75.7 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1984 | 70.4 | 74.3 | 70.4 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1985 | 74.3 | 74.3 | 74.3 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1986 | 73.1 | 74.3 | 73.1 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1987 | 77.5 | 74.3 | 77.5 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1988 | 72.4 | 74.4 | 72.4 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1989 | 79.5 | 74.4 | 79.4 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 74.9 | 74.4 | 74.9 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1991 | 76.4 | 74.4 | 76.3 | 74.3 | ||||
| 1992 | 78.5 | 74.4 | 78.4 | 74.3 | 75.6 | 74.3 | 75.5 | 74.7 |
| 1993 | 78.1 | 74.4 | 78.0 | 74.3 | 76.6 | 74.3 | 76.5 | 74.5 |
| 1994 | 75.3 | 74.4 | 75.2 | 74.3 | 73.1 | 74.3 | 73.0 | 74.3 |
| 1995 | 71.5 | 74.4 | 71.4 | 74.3 | 74.9 | 74.2 | 74.8 | 74.2 |
| 1996 | 66.8 | 74.4 | 66.7 | 74.3 | 67.9 | 74.2 | 67.8 | 74.0 |
| 1997 | 77.5 | 74.4 | 77.3 | 74.3 | 74.6 | 74.1 | 74.5 | 73.8 |
| 1998 | 74.1 | 74.4 | 73.9 | 74.3 | 77.9 | 74.1 | 77.7 | 73.6 |
| 1999 | 72.1 | 74.4 | 71.9 | 74.3 | 73.5 | 74.0 | 73.3 | 73.5 |
| 2000 | 74.0 | 74.4 | 73.7 | 74.3 | 72.9 | 74.0 | 72.7 | 73.3 |
| 2001 | 75.0 | 74.4 | 74.7 | 74.3 | 71.9 | 73.9 | 71.6 | 73.1 |
| 2002 | 74.4 | 74.4 | 74.0 | 74.3 | 72.5 | 73.9 | 72.2 | 72.9 |
| 2003 | 75.4 | 74.5 | 75.0 | 74.3 | 76.0 | 73.9 | 75.6 | 72.7 |
| 2004 | 74.2 | 71.9 | 73.7 | 71.5 | 74.3 | 71.6 | 73.9 | 72.6 |
| 2005 | 65.0 | 69.4 | 64.5 | 68.9 | 66.9 | 69.5 | 66.5 | 70.0 |
| 2006 | 65.3 | 67.0 | 64.8 | 66.4 | 65.8 | 67.4 | 65.3 | 67.5 |
| 2007 | 65.8 | 64.7 | 65.2 | 63.9 | 66.4 | 65.4 | 65.8 | 65.0 |
| 2008 | 64.2 | 62.5 | 63.5 | 61.6 | 66.4 | 63.4 | 65.7 | 62.7 |
| 2009 | 61.2 | 60.4 | 60.4 | 59.3 | 61.9 | 61.5 | 61.1 | 60.4 |
| 2010 | 57.5 | 58.3 | 56.4 | 57.1 | 58.3 | 59.6 | 57.4 | 58.3 |
| 2011 | 56.2 | 56.3 | 54.3 | 55.0 | 57.2 | 57.8 | 55.5 | 56.2 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.1* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.0* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.5* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -5.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.4* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 2003-11 | -3.4* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 2003-11 | -3.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 2003-11 | -3.0* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 2004-11 | -3.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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