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Figure 6.4
Figure 6.4
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Colon and Rectum, Female, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 53.7 | 54.4 | 53.7 | 54.4 | ||||
| 1976 | 54.1 | 54.5 | 54.1 | 54.5 | ||||
| 1977 | 54.9 | 54.7 | 54.9 | 54.7 | ||||
| 1978 | 55.3 | 54.9 | 55.3 | 54.9 | ||||
| 1979 | 54.6 | 55.0 | 54.6 | 55.0 | ||||
| 1980 | 56.5 | 55.2 | 56.5 | 55.2 | ||||
| 1981 | 56.5 | 55.4 | 56.5 | 55.4 | ||||
| 1982 | 54.5 | 55.6 | 54.5 | 55.6 | ||||
| 1983 | 55.6 | 55.7 | 55.6 | 55.7 | ||||
| 1984 | 56.1 | 55.9 | 56.1 | 55.9 | ||||
| 1985 | 57.3 | 56.1 | 57.3 | 56.1 | ||||
| 1986 | 54.7 | 55.0 | 54.7 | 55.0 | ||||
| 1987 | 52.7 | 54.0 | 52.7 | 54.0 | ||||
| 1988 | 51.8 | 53.0 | 51.8 | 53.0 | ||||
| 1989 | 52.4 | 52.0 | 52.4 | 52.0 | ||||
| 1990 | 51.3 | 51.1 | 51.3 | 51.0 | ||||
| 1991 | 50.1 | 50.1 | 50.0 | 50.1 | ||||
| 1992 | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49.2 | 48.1 | 48.2 | 48.1 | 48.2 |
| 1993 | 48.3 | 48.3 | 48.3 | 48.3 | 47.6 | 47.4 | 47.6 | 47.3 |
| 1994 | 47.7 | 47.4 | 47.7 | 47.4 | 46.5 | 46.5 | 46.5 | 46.5 |
| 1995 | 47.0 | 46.5 | 46.9 | 46.5 | 45.9 | 45.7 | 45.9 | 45.6 |
| 1996 | 46.7 | 47.3 | 46.7 | 47.3 | 46.0 | 46.5 | 46.0 | 46.4 |
| 1997 | 48.0 | 48.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 47.2 | 47.3 | 47.2 | 47.3 |
| 1998 | 49.3 | 49.1 | 49.3 | 49.0 | 48.6 | 48.1 | 48.6 | 48.1 |
| 1999 | 47.9 | 48.1 | 47.8 | 48.0 | 47.0 | 47.2 | 47.0 | 47.2 |
| 2000 | 46.8 | 47.1 | 46.8 | 47.1 | 46.1 | 46.3 | 46.1 | 46.2 |
| 2001 | 46.2 | 46.1 | 46.2 | 46.1 | 45.4 | 45.4 | 45.4 | 45.3 |
| 2002 | 46.6 | 45.2 | 46.6 | 45.2 | 45.2 | 44.5 | 45.1 | 44.5 |
| 2003 | 44.0 | 44.3 | 43.9 | 44.3 | 43.6 | 43.6 | 43.5 | 43.6 |
| 2004 | 43.2 | 43.4 | 43.2 | 43.4 | 42.2 | 42.8 | 42.1 | 42.7 |
| 2005 | 41.9 | 42.5 | 41.9 | 42.5 | 41.4 | 41.9 | 41.4 | 41.9 |
| 2006 | 41.7 | 41.7 | 41.6 | 41.6 | 41.3 | 41.1 | 41.2 | 41.1 |
| 2007 | 40.7 | 40.8 | 40.7 | 40.8 | 40.3 | 40.3 | 40.2 | 40.3 |
| 2008 | 40.1 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 39.9 | 39.8 | 39.5 | 39.7 | 39.5 |
| 2009 | 38.7 | 38.2 | 38.6 | 38.0 | 38.2 | 37.9 | 38.1 | 37.7 |
| 2010 | 36.0 | 36.5 | 35.8 | 36.2 | 36.0 | 36.3 | 35.8 | 36.0 |
| 2011 | 35.0 | 34.9 | 34.6 | 34.5 | 34.8 | 34.8 | 34.4 | 34.4 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 54.0 | 55.0 | 54.0 | 55.0 | ||||
| 1976 | 55.0 | 55.1 | 55.0 | 55.1 | ||||
| 1977 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 55.8 | 55.3 | ||||
| 1978 | 55.6 | 55.4 | 55.6 | 55.4 | ||||
| 1979 | 55.0 | 55.6 | 55.0 | 55.6 | ||||
| 1980 | 56.8 | 55.7 | 56.8 | 55.7 | ||||
| 1981 | 57.2 | 55.9 | 57.2 | 55.9 | ||||
| 1982 | 55.0 | 56.1 | 55.0 | 56.1 | ||||
| 1983 | 56.1 | 56.2 | 56.1 | 56.2 | ||||
| 1984 | 56.8 | 56.4 | 56.7 | 56.4 | ||||
| 1985 | 58.4 | 56.5 | 58.4 | 56.5 | ||||
| 1986 | 54.8 | 55.4 | 54.8 | 55.4 | ||||
| 1987 | 52.6 | 54.2 | 52.6 | 54.2 | ||||
| 1988 | 51.8 | 53.1 | 51.7 | 53.1 | ||||
| 1989 | 52.7 | 52.0 | 52.7 | 52.0 | ||||
| 1990 | 51.0 | 51.0 | 51.0 | 50.9 | ||||
| 1991 | 49.7 | 49.9 | 49.7 | 49.9 | ||||
| 1992 | 48.8 | 48.9 | 48.7 | 48.9 | 47.5 | 47.7 | 47.5 | 47.6 |
| 1993 | 47.8 | 47.9 | 47.8 | 47.9 | 47.2 | 46.9 | 47.2 | 46.8 |
| 1994 | 47.2 | 46.9 | 47.2 | 46.9 | 45.8 | 46.1 | 45.8 | 46.0 |
| 1995 | 46.6 | 46.0 | 46.6 | 45.9 | 45.6 | 45.3 | 45.5 | 45.2 |
| 1996 | 46.4 | 46.9 | 46.4 | 46.8 | 45.7 | 46.1 | 45.6 | 46.0 |
| 1997 | 48.1 | 47.8 | 48.0 | 47.8 | 47.0 | 46.9 | 46.9 | 46.8 |
| 1998 | 49.1 | 48.8 | 49.0 | 48.7 | 48.4 | 47.7 | 48.3 | 47.6 |
| 1999 | 47.3 | 47.7 | 47.2 | 47.7 | 46.3 | 46.7 | 46.2 | 46.6 |
| 2000 | 46.6 | 46.7 | 46.5 | 46.6 | 45.7 | 45.7 | 45.6 | 45.6 |
| 2001 | 45.4 | 45.7 | 45.3 | 45.6 | 44.6 | 44.7 | 44.5 | 44.6 |
| 2002 | 46.0 | 44.7 | 45.9 | 44.6 | 44.2 | 43.8 | 44.1 | 43.7 |
| 2003 | 43.6 | 43.7 | 43.4 | 43.6 | 43.1 | 42.9 | 43.0 | 42.8 |
| 2004 | 42.2 | 42.8 | 42.1 | 42.6 | 41.1 | 42.0 | 41.0 | 41.8 |
| 2005 | 41.3 | 41.9 | 41.1 | 41.7 | 40.5 | 41.1 | 40.3 | 41.0 |
| 2006 | 40.9 | 40.9 | 40.7 | 40.8 | 40.5 | 40.3 | 40.3 | 40.1 |
| 2007 | 40.1 | 40.1 | 39.9 | 39.9 | 39.4 | 39.4 | 39.2 | 39.2 |
| 2008 | 39.7 | 39.2 | 39.4 | 39.0 | 39.2 | 38.6 | 39.0 | 38.4 |
| 2009 | 37.7 | 37.4 | 37.3 | 37.0 | 37.1 | 36.9 | 36.8 | 36.6 |
| 2010 | 34.9 | 35.7 | 34.4 | 35.1 | 34.8 | 35.4 | 34.4 | 34.8 |
| 2011 | 34.5 | 34.1 | 33.7 | 33.4 | 34.2 | 33.8 | 33.4 | 33.2 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 54.7 | 57.7 | 54.7 | 57.8 | ||||
| 1976 | 51.3 | 57.7 | 51.3 | 57.7 | ||||
| 1977 | 51.5 | 57.6 | 51.5 | 57.7 | ||||
| 1978 | 60.4 | 57.6 | 60.4 | 57.6 | ||||
| 1979 | 56.2 | 57.5 | 56.2 | 57.6 | ||||
| 1980 | 64.2 | 57.5 | 64.2 | 57.5 | ||||
| 1981 | 55.9 | 57.4 | 55.9 | 57.4 | ||||
| 1982 | 55.9 | 57.4 | 55.9 | 57.4 | ||||
| 1983 | 61.0 | 57.3 | 61.0 | 57.3 | ||||
| 1984 | 58.2 | 57.3 | 58.2 | 57.2 | ||||
| 1985 | 56.3 | 57.2 | 56.3 | 57.2 | ||||
| 1986 | 58.6 | 57.2 | 58.6 | 57.1 | ||||
| 1987 | 59.0 | 57.1 | 59.0 | 57.1 | ||||
| 1988 | 56.6 | 57.1 | 56.6 | 57.0 | ||||
| 1989 | 54.7 | 57.0 | 54.7 | 56.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 61.7 | 57.0 | 61.7 | 56.9 | ||||
| 1991 | 58.2 | 56.9 | 58.2 | 56.8 | ||||
| 1992 | 57.3 | 56.9 | 57.2 | 56.8 | 56.6 | 55.6 | 56.6 | 55.5 |
| 1993 | 55.3 | 56.8 | 55.2 | 56.7 | 55.4 | 55.9 | 55.4 | 55.8 |
| 1994 | 58.1 | 56.7 | 58.0 | 56.6 | 57.8 | 56.1 | 57.7 | 56.1 |
| 1995 | 56.0 | 56.7 | 56.0 | 56.6 | 54.8 | 56.4 | 54.7 | 56.3 |
| 1996 | 53.0 | 56.6 | 52.9 | 56.5 | 54.4 | 56.7 | 54.3 | 56.6 |
| 1997 | 56.3 | 56.6 | 56.2 | 56.4 | 58.2 | 57.0 | 58.1 | 56.9 |
| 1998 | 56.1 | 56.5 | 56.0 | 56.4 | 56.1 | 57.3 | 56.0 | 57.2 |
| 1999 | 58.1 | 56.5 | 58.0 | 56.3 | 58.5 | 57.6 | 58.4 | 57.4 |
| 2000 | 58.3 | 56.4 | 58.1 | 56.3 | 58.1 | 57.9 | 58.0 | 57.7 |
| 2001 | 57.7 | 56.4 | 57.5 | 56.2 | 56.6 | 57.0 | 56.4 | 56.8 |
| 2002 | 56.5 | 56.3 | 56.2 | 56.1 | 56.3 | 56.1 | 56.0 | 55.9 |
| 2003 | 54.7 | 56.3 | 54.5 | 56.1 | 55.4 | 55.3 | 55.2 | 55.0 |
| 2004 | 54.9 | 56.2 | 54.5 | 56.0 | 54.2 | 54.5 | 53.9 | 54.2 |
| 2005 | 54.8 | 56.2 | 54.4 | 56.0 | 54.2 | 53.7 | 53.9 | 53.3 |
| 2006 | 53.5 | 53.8 | 53.1 | 53.4 | 54.0 | 52.9 | 53.6 | 52.5 |
| 2007 | 52.3 | 51.5 | 51.8 | 51.0 | 52.8 | 52.1 | 52.4 | 51.6 |
| 2008 | 47.7 | 49.4 | 47.2 | 48.6 | 49.1 | 51.3 | 48.6 | 50.8 |
| 2009 | 49.5 | 47.3 | 48.8 | 46.4 | 51.0 | 50.5 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| 2010 | 44.8 | 45.3 | 43.9 | 44.3 | 46.4 | 46.5 | 45.6 | 45.6 |
| 2011 | 42.9 | 43.4 | 41.5 | 42.3 | 42.8 | 42.8 | 41.5 | 41.5 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.5* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.2* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.5* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 2008-11 | -5.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.3* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 2008-11 | -4.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 2005-11 | -4.2* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 2005-11 | -4.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 2009-11 | -8.0* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 2009-11 | -8.9* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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