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Figure 15.3
Figure 15.3
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, Ages 65 and Over, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Male, 1975-2010, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Male, 1975-2010, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Female, 1975-2010, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Female, 1975-2010, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 435.0 | 445.6 | 435.0 | 445.8 | 374.5 | 378.9 |
| 1976 | 460.4 | 455.2 | 460.4 | 455.2 | 388.6 | 388.3 |
| 1977 | 476.4 | 464.9 | 476.4 | 464.9 | 401.2 | 397.9 |
| 1978 | 476.1 | 474.8 | 476.1 | 474.7 | 410.4 | 407.7 |
| 1979 | 478.6 | 485.0 | 478.6 | 484.8 | 418.2 | 417.7 |
| 1980 | 493.6 | 495.4 | 493.6 | 495.1 | 430.0 | 428.0 |
| 1981 | 502.7 | 506.0 | 502.7 | 505.6 | 433.7 | 438.6 |
| 1982 | 516.8 | 507.5 | 516.8 | 507.3 | 447.8 | 449.4 |
| 1983 | 507.0 | 509.1 | 507.0 | 509.0 | 453.7 | 453.6 |
| 1984 | 520.9 | 510.7 | 520.9 | 510.7 | 458.0 | 457.8 |
| 1985 | 493.0 | 512.3 | 493.0 | 512.4 | 461.9 | 462.1 |
| 1986 | 506.8 | 513.9 | 506.7 | 514.2 | 467.1 | 466.5 |
| 1987 | 531.7 | 515.5 | 531.7 | 515.9 | 474.0 | 470.8 |
| 1988 | 511.0 | 517.2 | 511.0 | 517.7 | 475.4 | 475.2 |
| 1989 | 521.0 | 518.8 | 520.9 | 519.4 | 478.5 | 479.7 |
| 1990 | 519.5 | 520.4 | 519.5 | 521.2 | 486.1 | 484.2 |
| 1991 | 523.2 | 522.0 | 523.1 | 523.0 | 488.3 | 488.7 |
| 1992 | 526.3 | 523.7 | 526.2 | 524.7 | 482.1 | 484.9 |
| 1993 | 519.4 | 517.4 | 519.3 | 518.2 | 481.5 | 481.2 |
| 1994 | 507.0 | 511.3 | 506.9 | 511.7 | 476.0 | 477.4 |
| 1995 | 498.9 | 505.2 | 498.8 | 505.4 | 476.0 | 473.7 |
| 1996 | 493.0 | 499.2 | 492.8 | 499.1 | 468.8 | 470.0 |
| 1997 | 483.1 | 493.3 | 482.9 | 492.8 | 467.7 | 466.4 |
| 1998 | 501.0 | 487.4 | 500.7 | 486.7 | 462.3 | 459.7 |
| 1999 | 480.8 | 481.6 | 480.5 | 480.6 | 446.6 | 453.2 |
| 2000 | 469.1 | 475.9 | 468.6 | 474.6 | 446.9 | 446.7 |
| 2001 | 468.8 | 470.3 | 468.3 | 468.7 | 442.6 | 440.4 |
| 2002 | 472.3 | 464.7 | 471.7 | 462.9 | 435.6 | 434.1 |
| 2003 | 475.0 | 459.1 | 474.2 | 457.1 | 427.9 | 427.9 |
| 2004 | 451.5 | 453.7 | 450.5 | 451.4 | 420.4 | 421.8 |
| 2005 | 452.8 | 448.3 | 451.6 | 445.8 | 418.4 | 415.8 |
| 2006 | 439.3 | 443.0 | 437.8 | 440.2 | 408.2 | 409.8 |
| 2007 | 441.6 | 437.7 | 439.7 | 434.7 | 397.2 | 398.9 |
| 2008 | 438.3 | 432.5 | 435.8 | 429.3 | 389.8 | 388.3 |
| 2009 | 428.9 | 427.4 | 425.7 | 424.0 | 377.0 | 377.9 |
| 2010 | 421.1 | 422.3 | 417.1 | 418.7 | 370.3 | 367.8 |
| 2011 | 402.1 | 417.3 | 392.7 | 413.5 | 356.3 | 358.0 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 447.3 | 478.8 | 447.3 | 479.0 | 345.2 | 349.6 |
| 1976 | 542.7 | 496.4 | 542.7 | 496.5 | 364.0 | 366.8 |
| 1977 | 490.3 | 514.6 | 490.3 | 514.7 | 399.0 | 384.9 |
| 1978 | 530.2 | 533.5 | 530.2 | 533.5 | 400.0 | 403.8 |
| 1979 | 506.9 | 553.1 | 506.9 | 553.0 | 417.6 | 423.7 |
| 1980 | 649.9 | 573.3 | 649.9 | 573.2 | 449.6 | 444.6 |
| 1981 | 614.5 | 594.4 | 614.5 | 594.2 | 464.9 | 466.5 |
| 1982 | 574.0 | 616.2 | 574.0 | 615.9 | 486.1 | 482.8 |
| 1983 | 647.1 | 638.8 | 647.1 | 638.4 | 494.4 | 499.8 |
| 1984 | 671.0 | 662.2 | 671.0 | 661.7 | 523.1 | 517.3 |
| 1985 | 653.4 | 663.3 | 653.4 | 663.0 | 528.7 | 535.4 |
| 1986 | 710.1 | 664.4 | 710.0 | 664.2 | 550.3 | 554.1 |
| 1987 | 648.9 | 665.5 | 648.9 | 665.5 | 579.6 | 573.5 |
| 1988 | 648.0 | 666.6 | 647.9 | 666.7 | 591.5 | 593.6 |
| 1989 | 637.4 | 667.7 | 637.3 | 668.0 | 602.0 | 597.7 |
| 1990 | 645.1 | 668.8 | 645.0 | 669.3 | 596.3 | 601.8 |
| 1991 | 655.3 | 669.9 | 655.2 | 670.5 | 611.2 | 605.9 |
| 1992 | 720.5 | 671.0 | 720.4 | 671.8 | 602.5 | 610.0 |
| 1993 | 661.1 | 672.1 | 661.0 | 673.1 | 624.3 | 614.2 |
| 1994 | 644.3 | 673.2 | 644.1 | 674.4 | 614.9 | 618.4 |
| 1995 | 702.8 | 674.3 | 702.5 | 675.6 | 606.0 | 607.0 |
| 1996 | 644.2 | 662.4 | 643.9 | 663.1 | 592.2 | 595.8 |
| 1997 | 665.5 | 650.7 | 665.1 | 650.8 | 588.9 | 584.9 |
| 1998 | 681.2 | 639.1 | 680.8 | 638.8 | 575.5 | 574.1 |
| 1999 | 621.3 | 627.8 | 620.8 | 626.9 | 561.0 | 563.6 |
| 2000 | 565.7 | 616.7 | 565.1 | 615.3 | 551.0 | 553.2 |
| 2001 | 596.9 | 605.7 | 596.2 | 603.9 | 552.1 | 543.0 |
| 2002 | 605.1 | 595.0 | 604.2 | 592.7 | 519.8 | 528.1 |
| 2003 | 616.9 | 584.5 | 615.7 | 581.7 | 512.8 | 513.5 |
| 2004 | 571.9 | 574.1 | 570.5 | 570.9 | 497.8 | 499.3 |
| 2005 | 529.4 | 563.9 | 527.7 | 560.4 | 483.5 | 485.5 |
| 2006 | 549.4 | 553.9 | 547.3 | 550.0 | 470.5 | 472.2 |
| 2007 | 549.7 | 544.1 | 546.9 | 539.8 | 468.4 | 459.1 |
| 2008 | 575.4 | 534.5 | 571.7 | 529.8 | 448.5 | 446.5 |
| 2009 | 543.8 | 525.0 | 539.4 | 520.0 | 432.9 | 434.1 |
| 2010 | 486.7 | 515.7 | 481.6 | 510.3 | 422.9 | 422.2 |
| 2011 | 494.9 | 506.5 | 482.3 | 500.9 | 407.1 | 410.5 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 83.2 | 86.6 | 83.2 | 86.6 | 64.6 | 65.0 |
| 1976 | 95.2 | 92.9 | 95.2 | 92.9 | 72.2 | 70.6 |
| 1977 | 99.8 | 99.7 | 99.8 | 99.7 | 76.2 | 76.8 |
| 1978 | 100.2 | 107.0 | 100.2 | 107.0 | 83.1 | 83.4 |
| 1979 | 117.3 | 114.7 | 117.3 | 114.7 | 88.9 | 90.6 |
| 1980 | 124.0 | 123.1 | 124.0 | 123.1 | 99.1 | 98.5 |
| 1981 | 135.6 | 132.0 | 135.6 | 132.0 | 103.9 | 104.8 |
| 1982 | 147.6 | 141.7 | 147.6 | 141.7 | 111.4 | 111.6 |
| 1983 | 152.4 | 152.0 | 152.4 | 152.0 | 120.3 | 118.9 |
| 1984 | 165.4 | 163.0 | 165.4 | 163.0 | 127.3 | 126.5 |
| 1985 | 167.7 | 174.9 | 167.7 | 174.9 | 136.0 | 134.7 |
| 1986 | 181.6 | 187.6 | 181.6 | 187.6 | 144.0 | 143.5 |
| 1987 | 201.1 | 201.3 | 201.1 | 201.3 | 151.8 | 152.7 |
| 1988 | 211.0 | 208.5 | 211.0 | 208.5 | 160.4 | 162.6 |
| 1989 | 215.2 | 216.0 | 215.2 | 216.0 | 173.2 | 173.2 |
| 1990 | 224.5 | 223.8 | 224.5 | 223.7 | 180.3 | 180.4 |
| 1991 | 235.1 | 231.8 | 235.1 | 231.8 | 188.2 | 187.8 |
| 1992 | 243.4 | 240.1 | 243.4 | 240.1 | 197.3 | 195.6 |
| 1993 | 249.3 | 248.7 | 249.3 | 248.7 | 204.6 | 203.8 |
| 1994 | 255.2 | 257.7 | 255.2 | 257.6 | 209.6 | 212.2 |
| 1995 | 264.3 | 266.9 | 264.3 | 266.8 | 214.9 | 215.5 |
| 1996 | 272.9 | 276.5 | 272.9 | 276.4 | 219.0 | 218.9 |
| 1997 | 284.9 | 286.4 | 284.8 | 286.3 | 224.7 | 222.3 |
| 1998 | 290.0 | 285.1 | 289.9 | 284.9 | 227.8 | 225.7 |
| 1999 | 288.4 | 283.7 | 288.2 | 283.5 | 225.5 | 229.2 |
| 2000 | 278.4 | 282.4 | 278.2 | 282.1 | 233.9 | 232.8 |
| 2001 | 286.9 | 288.0 | 286.6 | 287.6 | 234.4 | 236.4 |
| 2002 | 289.9 | 293.7 | 289.5 | 293.3 | 240.8 | 240.1 |
| 2003 | 305.5 | 299.6 | 305.0 | 299.1 | 240.4 | 240.1 |
| 2004 | 299.7 | 305.6 | 299.1 | 305.0 | 240.4 | 240.2 |
| 2005 | 317.5 | 311.7 | 316.7 | 311.0 | 240.6 | 240.2 |
| 2006 | 318.5 | 317.9 | 317.4 | 317.1 | 239.9 | 240.2 |
| 2007 | 325.3 | 324.2 | 323.9 | 323.4 | 241.3 | 240.2 |
| 2008 | 313.3 | 318.8 | 311.5 | 316.7 | 238.6 | 240.3 |
| 2009 | 313.4 | 313.4 | 311.1 | 310.1 | 236.7 | 236.2 |
| 2010 | 309.0 | 308.1 | 306.1 | 303.7 | 233.0 | 232.2 |
| 2011 | 303.6 | 302.9 | 296.4 | 297.4 | 227.5 | 228.3 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 79.3 | 83.8 | 79.3 | 83.8 | 58.4 | 57.4 |
| 1976 | 71.7 | 89.2 | 71.7 | 89.2 | 61.3 | 61.3 |
| 1977 | 120.2 | 94.9 | 120.2 | 94.9 | 60.8 | 65.6 |
| 1978 | 107.7 | 101.0 | 107.7 | 101.0 | 68.9 | 70.1 |
| 1979 | 104.0 | 107.5 | 104.0 | 107.5 | 73.3 | 75.0 |
| 1980 | 121.7 | 114.3 | 121.7 | 114.3 | 84.0 | 80.2 |
| 1981 | 122.3 | 121.7 | 122.3 | 121.7 | 83.6 | 85.7 |
| 1982 | 119.9 | 129.5 | 119.9 | 129.5 | 93.1 | 91.7 |
| 1983 | 141.5 | 137.8 | 141.5 | 137.8 | 105.7 | 98.0 |
| 1984 | 134.7 | 146.6 | 134.7 | 146.6 | 101.8 | 104.8 |
| 1985 | 159.3 | 156.0 | 159.3 | 156.0 | 111.2 | 112.0 |
| 1986 | 178.2 | 166.0 | 178.1 | 166.0 | 120.4 | 119.8 |
| 1987 | 151.7 | 176.6 | 151.7 | 176.6 | 126.8 | 128.1 |
| 1988 | 178.9 | 187.9 | 178.9 | 187.9 | 137.6 | 137.0 |
| 1989 | 200.6 | 199.9 | 200.6 | 199.9 | 149.4 | 146.5 |
| 1990 | 206.8 | 212.8 | 206.7 | 212.8 | 154.3 | 156.6 |
| 1991 | 252.7 | 226.4 | 252.6 | 226.4 | 166.8 | 167.4 |
| 1992 | 245.3 | 231.2 | 245.3 | 231.2 | 173.2 | 172.7 |
| 1993 | 225.7 | 236.1 | 225.7 | 236.0 | 176.0 | 178.2 |
| 1994 | 238.0 | 241.1 | 237.9 | 241.0 | 185.4 | 183.8 |
| 1995 | 220.8 | 246.3 | 220.7 | 246.1 | 187.3 | 189.6 |
| 1996 | 253.6 | 251.5 | 253.5 | 251.3 | 194.7 | 195.5 |
| 1997 | 233.4 | 256.8 | 233.3 | 256.6 | 203.3 | 201.7 |
| 1998 | 277.4 | 262.3 | 277.2 | 262.1 | 204.5 | 203.0 |
| 1999 | 289.2 | 267.9 | 289.0 | 267.6 | 206.7 | 204.4 |
| 2000 | 267.5 | 273.6 | 267.2 | 273.3 | 203.4 | 205.7 |
| 2001 | 281.4 | 279.4 | 281.1 | 279.0 | 202.2 | 207.1 |
| 2002 | 315.2 | 285.3 | 314.7 | 284.9 | 209.2 | 208.4 |
| 2003 | 277.3 | 291.4 | 276.7 | 291.0 | 212.3 | 209.8 |
| 2004 | 286.3 | 297.6 | 285.6 | 297.1 | 213.5 | 211.2 |
| 2005 | 298.7 | 303.9 | 297.7 | 303.4 | 213.6 | 212.6 |
| 2006 | 313.0 | 310.4 | 311.7 | 309.8 | 207.7 | 209.9 |
| 2007 | 290.1 | 305.0 | 288.7 | 303.4 | 207.8 | 207.2 |
| 2008 | 311.4 | 299.8 | 309.4 | 297.2 | 204.3 | 204.6 |
| 2009 | 302.4 | 294.6 | 300.0 | 291.1 | 195.7 | 201.9 |
| 2010 | 288.4 | 289.5 | 285.4 | 285.1 | 203.5 | 199.4 |
| 2011 | 278.9 | 284.5 | 271.8 | 279.2 | 197.6 | 196.8 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1992-11 | -1.2* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1992-11 | -1.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2006-11 | -2.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1995-11 | -1.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1995-11 | -1.9* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-11 | -2.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2007-11 | -1.7* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2007-11 | -2.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2008-11 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2006-11 | -1.7 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2006-11 | -2.1 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2005-11 | -1.3* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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