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Figure 15.7
Figure 15.7
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, Male, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 89.5 | 91.6 | 89.5 | 91.6 | ||||
| 1976 | 93.8 | 93.0 | 93.8 | 92.9 | ||||
| 1977 | 95.5 | 94.3 | 95.5 | 94.3 | ||||
| 1978 | 96.7 | 95.7 | 96.7 | 95.7 | ||||
| 1979 | 95.8 | 97.0 | 95.8 | 97.1 | ||||
| 1980 | 100.0 | 98.4 | 100.0 | 98.5 | ||||
| 1981 | 99.4 | 99.8 | 99.4 | 99.9 | ||||
| 1982 | 100.7 | 101.3 | 100.7 | 101.4 | ||||
| 1983 | 99.5 | 100.8 | 99.5 | 100.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 102.0 | 100.4 | 102.0 | 100.4 | ||||
| 1985 | 98.6 | 100.0 | 98.6 | 100.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 99.0 | 99.6 | 99.0 | 99.5 | ||||
| 1987 | 101.5 | 99.2 | 101.5 | 99.1 | ||||
| 1988 | 98.7 | 98.8 | 98.7 | 98.6 | ||||
| 1989 | 98.0 | 98.3 | 97.9 | 98.1 | ||||
| 1990 | 96.9 | 97.9 | 96.9 | 97.7 | ||||
| 1991 | 97.2 | 97.5 | 97.2 | 97.3 | ||||
| 1992 | 97.2 | 95.8 | 97.2 | 95.5 | 93.1 | 91.8 | 93.1 | 91.8 |
| 1993 | 94.0 | 94.0 | 94.0 | 93.9 | 89.7 | 90.0 | 89.7 | 90.1 |
| 1994 | 90.9 | 92.4 | 90.9 | 92.2 | 87.3 | 88.3 | 87.2 | 88.3 |
| 1995 | 89.8 | 90.7 | 89.8 | 90.6 | 86.9 | 86.6 | 86.9 | 86.6 |
| 1996 | 88.0 | 89.1 | 88.0 | 89.0 | 84.4 | 85.0 | 84.4 | 85.0 |
| 1997 | 86.3 | 87.5 | 86.3 | 87.5 | 82.6 | 83.4 | 82.6 | 83.4 |
| 1998 | 88.1 | 85.9 | 88.0 | 85.9 | 83.3 | 81.8 | 83.3 | 81.8 |
| 1999 | 84.6 | 84.4 | 84.6 | 84.4 | 80.4 | 80.3 | 80.3 | 80.2 |
| 2000 | 82.2 | 82.9 | 82.1 | 82.9 | 77.8 | 78.8 | 77.8 | 78.7 |
| 2001 | 81.4 | 81.4 | 81.4 | 81.5 | 77.3 | 77.3 | 77.3 | 77.2 |
| 2002 | 80.5 | 79.9 | 80.4 | 80.1 | 75.8 | 75.8 | 75.7 | 75.7 |
| 2003 | 81.1 | 78.5 | 81.0 | 78.7 | 75.6 | 74.4 | 75.5 | 74.2 |
| 2004 | 76.4 | 77.1 | 76.3 | 77.3 | 71.8 | 73.0 | 71.7 | 72.8 |
| 2005 | 75.9 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.9 | 71.6 | 71.6 | 71.5 | 71.4 |
| 2006 | 74.5 | 74.3 | 74.3 | 74.6 | 70.1 | 70.2 | 69.9 | 70.1 |
| 2007 | 73.8 | 73.0 | 73.5 | 73.3 | 69.3 | 68.9 | 69.1 | 68.7 |
| 2008 | 72.4 | 71.7 | 72.1 | 72.0 | 67.6 | 67.6 | 67.3 | 67.4 |
| 2009 | 70.9 | 70.4 | 70.5 | 70.7 | 66.6 | 66.3 | 66.2 | 66.1 |
| 2010 | 68.0 | 69.1 | 67.5 | 67.7 | 63.2 | 63.7 | 62.7 | 62.9 |
| 2011 | 66.2 | 67.9 | 64.8 | 64.7 | 61.3 | 61.1 | 60.1 | 59.9 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 89.1 | 90.7 | 89.1 | 90.7 | ||||
| 1976 | 92.8 | 92.1 | 92.8 | 92.1 | ||||
| 1977 | 94.8 | 93.5 | 94.8 | 93.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 95.8 | 94.8 | 95.8 | 94.9 | ||||
| 1979 | 95.2 | 96.3 | 95.2 | 96.3 | ||||
| 1980 | 97.7 | 97.7 | 97.7 | 97.7 | ||||
| 1981 | 98.4 | 99.1 | 98.4 | 99.2 | ||||
| 1982 | 99.7 | 98.9 | 99.7 | 99.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 97.6 | 98.8 | 97.6 | 98.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 99.9 | 98.6 | 99.9 | 98.5 | ||||
| 1985 | 96.9 | 98.4 | 96.9 | 98.3 | ||||
| 1986 | 97.3 | 98.2 | 97.3 | 98.1 | ||||
| 1987 | 100.7 | 98.0 | 100.7 | 97.9 | ||||
| 1988 | 97.9 | 97.8 | 97.9 | 97.7 | ||||
| 1989 | 97.1 | 97.6 | 97.0 | 97.5 | ||||
| 1990 | 96.1 | 97.4 | 96.1 | 97.2 | ||||
| 1991 | 95.9 | 95.7 | 95.9 | 95.6 | ||||
| 1992 | 94.9 | 94.1 | 94.9 | 93.9 | 90.9 | 90.4 | 90.8 | 90.1 |
| 1993 | 92.5 | 92.4 | 92.5 | 92.3 | 88.2 | 88.7 | 88.2 | 88.4 |
| 1994 | 90.1 | 90.8 | 90.1 | 90.7 | 86.6 | 87.0 | 86.6 | 86.8 |
| 1995 | 88.0 | 89.2 | 88.0 | 89.2 | 85.1 | 85.3 | 85.1 | 85.2 |
| 1996 | 86.7 | 87.7 | 86.7 | 87.6 | 83.0 | 83.7 | 82.9 | 83.6 |
| 1997 | 84.9 | 86.2 | 84.9 | 86.1 | 81.0 | 82.1 | 81.0 | 82.0 |
| 1998 | 86.7 | 84.7 | 86.6 | 84.7 | 82.2 | 80.5 | 82.2 | 80.5 |
| 1999 | 83.4 | 83.2 | 83.3 | 83.2 | 79.0 | 79.0 | 79.0 | 79.0 |
| 2000 | 80.9 | 81.8 | 80.8 | 81.8 | 76.5 | 77.5 | 76.4 | 77.5 |
| 2001 | 81.1 | 80.3 | 81.0 | 80.4 | 76.4 | 76.0 | 76.4 | 76.0 |
| 2002 | 79.9 | 78.9 | 79.8 | 79.0 | 75.1 | 74.5 | 75.0 | 74.6 |
| 2003 | 79.7 | 77.6 | 79.6 | 77.6 | 74.5 | 73.1 | 74.4 | 73.2 |
| 2004 | 75.5 | 76.2 | 75.3 | 76.3 | 70.6 | 71.7 | 70.5 | 71.9 |
| 2005 | 75.7 | 74.9 | 75.5 | 75.0 | 71.1 | 70.3 | 70.9 | 70.5 |
| 2006 | 73.3 | 73.6 | 73.1 | 73.7 | 69.0 | 69.0 | 68.8 | 69.2 |
| 2007 | 73.0 | 72.3 | 72.7 | 72.4 | 68.8 | 67.7 | 68.5 | 67.9 |
| 2008 | 71.1 | 71.1 | 70.7 | 71.2 | 66.5 | 66.4 | 66.2 | 66.6 |
| 2009 | 70.0 | 69.8 | 69.5 | 70.0 | 65.8 | 65.1 | 65.4 | 65.4 |
| 2010 | 67.9 | 68.6 | 67.2 | 67.2 | 63.1 | 63.9 | 62.5 | 62.4 |
| 2011 | 65.9 | 67.4 | 64.4 | 64.4 | 61.0 | 62.6 | 59.6 | 59.6 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2010 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 114.9 | 120.2 | 114.9 | 120.2 | ||||
| 1976 | 131.0 | 123.6 | 131.0 | 123.7 | ||||
| 1977 | 124.9 | 127.2 | 124.9 | 127.2 | ||||
| 1978 | 130.5 | 130.9 | 130.5 | 130.9 | ||||
| 1979 | 127.7 | 134.7 | 127.7 | 134.7 | ||||
| 1980 | 151.3 | 138.6 | 151.3 | 138.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 143.0 | 142.6 | 143.0 | 142.5 | ||||
| 1982 | 141.1 | 146.7 | 141.1 | 146.7 | ||||
| 1983 | 151.3 | 151.0 | 151.3 | 150.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 158.8 | 155.3 | 158.8 | 155.2 | ||||
| 1985 | 149.7 | 153.2 | 149.7 | 153.1 | ||||
| 1986 | 156.3 | 151.1 | 156.3 | 151.1 | ||||
| 1987 | 143.6 | 149.0 | 143.6 | 149.0 | ||||
| 1988 | 144.9 | 147.0 | 144.9 | 147.0 | ||||
| 1989 | 142.8 | 145.0 | 142.8 | 145.0 | ||||
| 1990 | 137.2 | 143.0 | 137.2 | 143.0 | ||||
| 1991 | 144.8 | 141.0 | 144.8 | 141.1 | ||||
| 1992 | 148.8 | 139.1 | 148.7 | 139.2 | 142.6 | 140.8 | 142.6 | 141.2 |
| 1993 | 135.4 | 137.2 | 135.3 | 137.3 | 130.9 | 137.2 | 130.8 | 137.5 |
| 1994 | 131.5 | 135.3 | 131.5 | 135.4 | 123.0 | 133.7 | 123.0 | 133.9 |
| 1995 | 138.8 | 133.5 | 138.7 | 133.6 | 136.8 | 130.3 | 136.7 | 130.4 |
| 1996 | 128.5 | 131.6 | 128.4 | 131.8 | 129.7 | 127.0 | 129.7 | 127.0 |
| 1997 | 129.2 | 129.8 | 129.2 | 130.0 | 124.9 | 123.7 | 124.8 | 123.7 |
| 1998 | 130.5 | 126.4 | 130.4 | 126.4 | 123.3 | 120.6 | 123.3 | 120.4 |
| 1999 | 121.9 | 123.0 | 121.8 | 122.9 | 120.1 | 117.5 | 120.1 | 117.3 |
| 2000 | 114.4 | 119.7 | 114.3 | 119.5 | 110.9 | 114.5 | 110.8 | 114.2 |
| 2001 | 114.0 | 116.5 | 113.9 | 116.2 | 112.7 | 111.6 | 112.5 | 111.2 |
| 2002 | 112.9 | 113.4 | 112.7 | 113.0 | 109.2 | 108.7 | 109.1 | 108.3 |
| 2003 | 118.7 | 110.4 | 118.5 | 109.9 | 111.4 | 106.0 | 111.2 | 105.5 |
| 2004 | 105.1 | 107.4 | 104.9 | 106.9 | 102.2 | 103.3 | 102.0 | 102.7 |
| 2005 | 98.0 | 104.5 | 97.7 | 103.9 | 98.0 | 100.6 | 97.7 | 100.0 |
| 2006 | 101.0 | 101.8 | 100.6 | 101.1 | 98.1 | 98.1 | 97.8 | 97.4 |
| 2007 | 100.6 | 99.0 | 100.1 | 98.3 | 95.0 | 95.6 | 94.6 | 94.9 |
| 2008 | 103.3 | 96.4 | 102.7 | 95.6 | 96.1 | 93.1 | 95.5 | 92.4 |
| 2009 | 97.4 | 93.8 | 96.6 | 92.9 | 95.6 | 90.7 | 94.8 | 90.0 |
| 2010 | 85.9 | 91.3 | 85.1 | 90.3 | 82.3 | 88.4 | 81.5 | 87.6 |
| 2011 | 87.5 | 88.9 | 85.3 | 87.9 | 83.5 | 86.2 | 81.4 | 85.3 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 1991-11 | -1.8* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2010 | 2009-11 | -4.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2009-11 | -4.0* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2010 | 2009-11 | -4.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 1990-11 | -1.7* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2010 | 2009-11 | -4.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 1992-11 | -1.9* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2010 | 2009-11 | -4.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 1997-11 | -2.7* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2010 | 1997-11 | -2.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 1992-11 | -2.6* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2010 | 1992-11 | -2.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.1.0, April 2014, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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