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Figure 2.5
Figure 2.5
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
All Cancer Sites, Males, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 466.8 | 470.1 | 466.8 | 470.1 | ||||
| 1976 | 481.1 | 476.4 | 481.1 | 476.4 | ||||
| 1977 | 486.5 | 482.8 | 486.5 | 482.8 | ||||
| 1978 | 488.4 | 489.3 | 488.4 | 489.3 | ||||
| 1979 | 496.5 | 495.8 | 496.5 | 495.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 505.9 | 502.5 | 505.9 | 502.5 | ||||
| 1981 | 510.9 | 509.2 | 510.9 | 509.2 | ||||
| 1982 | 511.0 | 516.0 | 511.0 | 516.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 519.9 | 522.9 | 519.9 | 522.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 525.4 | 529.9 | 525.4 | 529.9 | ||||
| 1985 | 531.2 | 537.0 | 531.2 | 537.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 538.1 | 544.2 | 538.1 | 544.2 | ||||
| 1987 | 563.2 | 551.4 | 563.2 | 551.5 | ||||
| 1988 | 558.4 | 558.8 | 558.4 | 558.9 | ||||
| 1989 | 567.1 | 566.3 | 567.1 | 566.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 592.8 | 595.6 | 592.8 | 595.6 | ||||
| 1991 | 637.5 | 626.5 | 637.5 | 626.3 | ||||
| 1992 | 658.2 | 659.0 | 658.2 | 658.6 | 648.9 | 648.9 | 648.9 | 648.7 |
| 1993 | 622.2 | 626.8 | 622.2 | 627.1 | 611.3 | 611.4 | 611.3 | 611.8 |
| 1994 | 589.8 | 596.3 | 589.8 | 597.1 | 579.7 | 576.1 | 579.7 | 577.1 |
| 1995 | 571.9 | 567.2 | 571.9 | 568.5 | 564.7 | 573.3 | 564.7 | 573.9 |
| 1996 | 572.7 | 570.8 | 572.7 | 570.8 | 563.6 | 570.5 | 563.6 | 570.8 |
| 1997 | 575.8 | 574.4 | 575.8 | 573.1 | 565.8 | 567.7 | 565.8 | 567.7 |
| 1998 | 573.2 | 578.0 | 573.1 | 575.5 | 563.3 | 564.9 | 563.3 | 564.7 |
| 1999 | 581.1 | 581.6 | 580.8 | 577.9 | 568.7 | 562.2 | 568.5 | 561.6 |
| 2000 | 580.9 | 578.4 | 580.5 | 580.2 | 565.7 | 559.4 | 565.4 | 558.5 |
| 2001 | 582.3 | 575.1 | 581.6 | 576.1 | 567.2 | 556.7 | 566.6 | 555.5 |
| 2002 | 576.0 | 571.8 | 575.0 | 572.1 | 559.1 | 553.9 | 558.3 | 552.5 |
| 2003 | 561.7 | 568.6 | 560.5 | 568.1 | 546.7 | 551.2 | 545.7 | 549.5 |
| 2004 | 560.2 | 565.4 | 558.6 | 564.1 | 547.2 | 548.5 | 545.8 | 546.5 |
| 2005 | 551.5 | 562.2 | 549.4 | 560.1 | 536.4 | 545.9 | 534.6 | 543.6 |
| 2006 | 558.8 | 559.0 | 556.1 | 556.1 | 539.7 | 543.2 | 537.3 | 540.6 |
| 2007 | 570.7 | 555.9 | 567.1 | 552.2 | 552.5 | 540.5 | 549.3 | 537.7 |
| 2008 | 552.6 | 552.7 | 548.1 | 548.3 | 534.9 | 537.9 | 530.9 | 534.8 |
| 2009 | 544.0 | 549.6 | 538.2 | 544.5 | 529.2 | 535.3 | 523.8 | 531.9 |
| 2010 | 535.2 | 534.7 | 527.1 | 525.3 | 518.9 | 518.5 | 511.1 | 510.1 |
| 2011 | 526.0 | 520.1 | 514.5 | 506.8 | 507.9 | 502.3 | 496.4 | 489.3 |
| 2012 | 501.8 | 505.9 | 483.2 | 488.9 | 482.9 | 486.6 | 464.2 | 469.3 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.5 | 469.5 | 468.5 | 469.5 | ||||
| 1976 | 481.9 | 476.2 | 481.9 | 476.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 487.1 | 483.0 | 487.1 | 483.0 | ||||
| 1978 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 489.7 | 489.8 | ||||
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | ||||
| 1981 | 510.9 | 511.1 | 510.9 | 511.1 | ||||
| 1982 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 512.4 | 518.3 | ||||
| 1983 | 520.9 | 525.7 | 520.9 | 525.7 | ||||
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.2 | 527.7 | 533.2 | ||||
| 1985 | 533.5 | 540.8 | 533.5 | 540.8 | ||||
| 1986 | 542.8 | 548.5 | 542.8 | 548.5 | ||||
| 1987 | 568.8 | 556.3 | 568.8 | 556.3 | ||||
| 1988 | 565.0 | 564.2 | 565.0 | 564.2 | ||||
| 1989 | 573.5 | 572.3 | 573.5 | 572.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 599.3 | 600.9 | 599.3 | 600.9 | ||||
| 1991 | 644.4 | 631.0 | 644.4 | 631.0 | ||||
| 1992 | 663.3 | 662.6 | 663.3 | 662.6 | 654.6 | 653.2 | 654.6 | 652.5 |
| 1993 | 620.1 | 628.7 | 620.1 | 628.7 | 609.2 | 612.0 | 609.2 | 613.2 |
| 1994 | 587.4 | 596.5 | 587.4 | 596.5 | 578.8 | 573.4 | 578.8 | 576.2 |
| 1995 | 570.1 | 565.9 | 570.1 | 566.0 | 563.4 | 571.8 | 563.4 | 573.8 |
| 1996 | 573.7 | 569.8 | 573.7 | 569.8 | 565.2 | 570.1 | 565.2 | 571.3 |
| 1997 | 576.2 | 573.7 | 576.2 | 573.6 | 566.0 | 568.5 | 566.0 | 568.9 |
| 1998 | 576.1 | 577.6 | 575.8 | 577.4 | 565.4 | 566.9 | 565.2 | 566.5 |
| 1999 | 582.9 | 581.6 | 582.4 | 581.3 | 570.9 | 565.3 | 570.4 | 564.1 |
| 2000 | 584.5 | 585.6 | 583.7 | 585.2 | 570.2 | 563.6 | 569.4 | 561.8 |
| 2001 | 588.5 | 582.3 | 587.2 | 581.1 | 573.8 | 562.0 | 572.7 | 559.4 |
| 2002 | 582.7 | 579.0 | 581.0 | 577.1 | 565.3 | 560.4 | 563.8 | 557.0 |
| 2003 | 567.0 | 575.7 | 564.8 | 573.2 | 552.5 | 558.8 | 550.5 | 554.7 |
| 2004 | 566.3 | 572.4 | 563.6 | 569.2 | 554.3 | 557.2 | 551.8 | 552.3 |
| 2005 | 560.9 | 569.2 | 557.5 | 565.3 | 546.3 | 555.6 | 543.1 | 550.0 |
| 2006 | 567.3 | 566.0 | 562.9 | 561.4 | 549.7 | 554.0 | 545.6 | 547.7 |
| 2007 | 577.7 | 562.8 | 572.2 | 557.6 | 561.7 | 552.5 | 556.6 | 545.4 |
| 2008 | 558.9 | 559.6 | 552.3 | 553.7 | 544.3 | 550.9 | 538.1 | 543.1 |
| 2009 | 550.7 | 556.4 | 542.7 | 549.9 | 538.5 | 537.7 | 530.8 | 540.8 |
| 2010 | 542.2 | 542.1 | 531.3 | 530.0 | 528.2 | 524.9 | 517.5 | 517.8 |
| 2011 | 534.2 | 528.1 | 519.1 | 510.8 | 518.8 | 512.4 | 503.7 | 495.9 |
| 2012 | 510.3 | 514.4 | 486.4 | 492.3 | 493.4 | 500.1 | 469.8 | 474.9 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.5 | 533.0 | 525.5 | 532.9 | ||||
| 1976 | 552.9 | 548.0 | 552.9 | 548.0 | ||||
| 1977 | 577.6 | 563.5 | 577.6 | 563.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 570.7 | 579.4 | 570.7 | 579.4 | ||||
| 1979 | 589.8 | 595.7 | 589.8 | 595.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 615.1 | 612.5 | 615.1 | 612.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 634.3 | 629.8 | 634.3 | 629.9 | ||||
| 1982 | 622.1 | 633.9 | 622.1 | 633.9 | ||||
| 1983 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 646.3 | 638.0 | ||||
| 1984 | 643.9 | 642.1 | 643.9 | 642.1 | ||||
| 1985 | 643.5 | 646.2 | 643.5 | 646.2 | ||||
| 1986 | 643.5 | 650.4 | 643.5 | 650.3 | ||||
| 1987 | 666.3 | 654.6 | 666.3 | 654.5 | ||||
| 1988 | 657.7 | 658.8 | 657.7 | 658.7 | ||||
| 1989 | 661.1 | 663.0 | 661.1 | 662.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 699.8 | 707.4 | 699.8 | 707.7 | ||||
| 1991 | 765.0 | 754.8 | 765.0 | 755.5 | ||||
| 1992 | 809.6 | 805.3 | 809.6 | 806.5 | 791.9 | 780.6 | 791.9 | 782.9 |
| 1993 | 819.1 | 793.1 | 819.1 | 793.9 | 795.4 | 770.6 | 795.4 | 772.3 |
| 1994 | 784.2 | 781.1 | 784.2 | 781.5 | 751.1 | 760.8 | 751.1 | 761.8 |
| 1995 | 750.7 | 769.3 | 750.7 | 769.2 | 742.4 | 751.0 | 742.4 | 751.5 |
| 1996 | 728.4 | 757.6 | 728.4 | 757.2 | 722.6 | 741.4 | 722.6 | 741.3 |
| 1997 | 742.2 | 746.2 | 742.2 | 745.3 | 729.5 | 731.9 | 729.5 | 731.3 |
| 1998 | 727.4 | 734.9 | 727.1 | 733.6 | 721.6 | 722.6 | 721.3 | 721.4 |
| 1999 | 726.0 | 723.7 | 725.3 | 722.2 | 720.1 | 713.3 | 719.5 | 711.6 |
| 2000 | 715.9 | 712.8 | 714.8 | 710.8 | 708.0 | 704.2 | 707.1 | 702.0 |
| 2001 | 702.3 | 702.0 | 700.7 | 699.7 | 692.6 | 695.2 | 691.3 | 692.5 |
| 2002 | 701.5 | 691.3 | 699.3 | 688.7 | 690.3 | 686.3 | 688.5 | 683.1 |
| 2003 | 684.6 | 680.9 | 681.8 | 678.0 | 671.3 | 677.5 | 668.9 | 673.8 |
| 2004 | 689.1 | 670.5 | 685.4 | 667.3 | 673.9 | 668.8 | 670.7 | 664.7 |
| 2005 | 649.0 | 660.4 | 644.6 | 656.9 | 640.2 | 660.3 | 636.4 | 655.7 |
| 2006 | 651.3 | 663.8 | 645.8 | 659.2 | 633.9 | 651.8 | 629.1 | 646.8 |
| 2007 | 674.7 | 667.1 | 667.8 | 661.6 | 654.3 | 643.5 | 648.0 | 638.1 |
| 2008 | 671.6 | 670.5 | 663.1 | 664.0 | 648.0 | 635.2 | 640.3 | 629.4 |
| 2009 | 647.7 | 648.1 | 637.8 | 636.9 | 634.6 | 627.1 | 625.3 | 620.9 |
| 2010 | 624.2 | 626.3 | 611.4 | 610.9 | 605.8 | 606.1 | 593.5 | 593.2 |
| 2011 | 603.1 | 605.3 | 586.3 | 586.0 | 584.5 | 585.8 | 567.7 | 566.8 |
| 2012 | 587.8 | 585.0 | 561.5 | 562.1 | 567.2 | 566.2 | 540.8 | 541.5 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2012 | 2009-12 | -2.7* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2012 | 2009-12 | -3.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2012 | 2009-12 | -3.1* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2012 | 2009-12 | -4.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2012 | 2009-12 | -2.6* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2012 | 2009-12 | -3.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2012 | 2008-12 | -2.4* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2012 | 2009-12 | -4.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2012 | 2008-12 | -3.4* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2012 | 2008-12 | -4.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2012 | 2009-12 | -3.3* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2012 | 2009-12 | -4.5* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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