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Figure 6.1
Figure 6.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Colon and Rectum, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, White, Male, 1975-2012, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, Black, Male, 1975-2012, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, White, Female, 1975-2012, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, Black, Female, 1975-2012, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 69.7 | 71.3 | 69.7 | 71.3 | 33.2 | 33.4 |
| 1976 | 72.7 | 72.1 | 72.7 | 72.1 | 33.8 | 33.5 |
| 1977 | 74.3 | 72.9 | 74.3 | 72.9 | 33.5 | 33.7 |
| 1978 | 73.9 | 73.7 | 73.9 | 73.7 | 34.1 | 33.9 |
| 1979 | 75.2 | 74.6 | 75.2 | 74.6 | 33.9 | 34.1 |
| 1980 | 74.9 | 75.4 | 74.9 | 75.4 | 34.0 | 33.8 |
| 1981 | 76.7 | 76.3 | 76.7 | 76.3 | 33.2 | 33.6 |
| 1982 | 76.2 | 77.1 | 76.2 | 77.1 | 33.1 | 33.3 |
| 1983 | 76.6 | 78.0 | 76.6 | 78.0 | 33.3 | 33.0 |
| 1984 | 79.3 | 78.9 | 79.3 | 78.9 | 33.1 | 32.8 |
| 1985 | 80.2 | 79.8 | 80.2 | 79.8 | 32.7 | 32.5 |
| 1986 | 78.9 | 78.7 | 78.9 | 78.7 | 32.0 | 32.2 |
| 1987 | 78.2 | 77.5 | 78.2 | 77.5 | 31.8 | 32.0 |
| 1988 | 75.8 | 76.4 | 75.8 | 76.4 | 31.0 | 31.3 |
| 1989 | 75.4 | 75.3 | 75.4 | 75.3 | 30.5 | 30.7 |
| 1990 | 74.7 | 74.3 | 74.7 | 74.3 | 30.4 | 30.0 |
| 1991 | 73.1 | 73.2 | 73.1 | 73.2 | 29.4 | 29.4 |
| 1992 | 70.7 | 70.8 | 70.7 | 70.8 | 29.0 | 28.8 |
| 1993 | 68.1 | 68.5 | 68.1 | 68.5 | 28.2 | 28.2 |
| 1994 | 66.3 | 66.2 | 66.3 | 66.2 | 27.9 | 27.6 |
| 1995 | 63.4 | 64.1 | 63.4 | 64.1 | 27.2 | 27.1 |
| 1996 | 65.9 | 65.3 | 65.9 | 65.3 | 26.3 | 26.5 |
| 1997 | 67.8 | 66.6 | 67.8 | 66.6 | 25.7 | 25.9 |
| 1998 | 67.2 | 67.9 | 67.2 | 67.9 | 25.1 | 25.4 |
| 1999 | 65.9 | 65.9 | 65.8 | 65.9 | 25.0 | 24.9 |
| 2000 | 63.0 | 64.0 | 63.0 | 64.0 | 24.5 | 24.4 |
| 2001 | 62.6 | 62.2 | 62.6 | 62.1 | 23.8 | 23.9 |
| 2002 | 60.3 | 60.3 | 60.3 | 60.3 | 23.4 | 23.4 |
| 2003 | 58.6 | 58.6 | 58.5 | 58.5 | 22.6 | 22.4 |
| 2004 | 57.9 | 56.9 | 57.9 | 56.8 | 21.3 | 21.5 |
| 2005 | 55.2 | 55.2 | 55.1 | 55.2 | 20.6 | 20.6 |
| 2006 | 52.7 | 53.6 | 52.6 | 53.5 | 20.0 | 20.1 |
| 2007 | 52.3 | 52.0 | 52.1 | 52.0 | 19.7 | 19.5 |
| 2008 | 50.7 | 50.1 | 50.4 | 49.8 | 19.0 | 19.0 |
| 2009 | 47.6 | 48.1 | 47.3 | 47.7 | 18.6 | 18.5 |
| 2010 | 46.1 | 46.3 | 45.6 | 45.7 | 18.1 | 18.0 |
| 2011 | 44.2 | 44.5 | 43.5 | 43.8 | 17.5 | 17.6 |
| 2012 | 43.3 | 42.8 | 42.1 | 41.9 | 17.1 | 17.1 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 59.3 | 59.5 | 59.3 | 59.5 | 30.1 | 30.5 |
| 1976 | 58.5 | 62.2 | 58.5 | 62.2 | 31.2 | 30.8 |
| 1977 | 75.7 | 65.1 | 75.7 | 65.1 | 31.4 | 31.2 |
| 1978 | 65.7 | 68.1 | 65.7 | 68.1 | 31.2 | 31.6 |
| 1979 | 61.8 | 71.2 | 61.8 | 71.2 | 31.6 | 32.0 |
| 1980 | 79.7 | 74.5 | 79.7 | 74.4 | 33.2 | 32.4 |
| 1981 | 72.8 | 74.5 | 72.8 | 74.4 | 32.8 | 32.8 |
| 1982 | 69.0 | 74.5 | 69.0 | 74.4 | 33.7 | 33.2 |
| 1983 | 75.8 | 74.4 | 75.8 | 74.4 | 32.9 | 33.6 |
| 1984 | 70.4 | 74.4 | 70.4 | 74.4 | 34.6 | 34.0 |
| 1985 | 74.4 | 74.4 | 74.4 | 74.4 | 34.1 | 34.5 |
| 1986 | 73.1 | 74.4 | 73.1 | 74.4 | 35.4 | 34.9 |
| 1987 | 77.6 | 74.4 | 77.6 | 74.4 | 35.1 | 35.3 |
| 1988 | 72.4 | 74.4 | 72.4 | 74.4 | 34.3 | 35.8 |
| 1989 | 79.4 | 74.4 | 79.4 | 74.4 | 36.4 | 36.2 |
| 1990 | 75.1 | 74.4 | 75.1 | 74.4 | 37.6 | 36.7 |
| 1991 | 76.4 | 74.3 | 76.4 | 74.4 | 35.8 | 36.4 |
| 1992 | 78.6 | 74.3 | 78.6 | 74.3 | 36.2 | 36.1 |
| 1993 | 78.1 | 74.3 | 78.1 | 74.3 | 35.8 | 35.9 |
| 1994 | 75.3 | 74.3 | 75.3 | 74.3 | 35.7 | 35.6 |
| 1995 | 71.4 | 74.3 | 71.4 | 74.3 | 36.3 | 35.3 |
| 1996 | 66.7 | 74.3 | 66.7 | 74.3 | 34.5 | 35.1 |
| 1997 | 77.6 | 74.3 | 77.6 | 74.3 | 35.1 | 34.8 |
| 1998 | 74.5 | 74.2 | 74.5 | 74.3 | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| 1999 | 71.9 | 74.2 | 71.9 | 74.3 | 34.5 | 34.3 |
| 2000 | 74.1 | 74.2 | 74.0 | 74.3 | 35.0 | 34.1 |
| 2001 | 74.8 | 74.2 | 74.8 | 74.3 | 33.4 | 33.8 |
| 2002 | 74.1 | 74.2 | 74.0 | 74.3 | 33.7 | 33.6 |
| 2003 | 75.4 | 74.2 | 75.3 | 74.2 | 32.5 | 32.7 |
| 2004 | 74.4 | 71.8 | 74.3 | 71.7 | 30.6 | 31.8 |
| 2005 | 65.0 | 69.4 | 64.9 | 69.3 | 30.9 | 30.9 |
| 2006 | 65.1 | 67.2 | 65.0 | 66.9 | 31.3 | 30.1 |
| 2007 | 65.4 | 65.0 | 65.3 | 64.7 | 29.3 | 29.3 |
| 2008 | 64.4 | 62.9 | 64.2 | 62.5 | 28.7 | 28.5 |
| 2009 | 60.8 | 60.9 | 60.4 | 60.3 | 27.0 | 27.7 |
| 2010 | 56.8 | 58.9 | 56.4 | 58.3 | 27.5 | 27.0 |
| 2011 | 56.3 | 57.0 | 55.6 | 56.3 | 26.2 | 26.3 |
| 2012 | 57.4 | 55.1 | 56.2 | 54.4 | 25.5 | 25.6 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 54.0 | 54.9 | 54.0 | 54.9 | 25.1 | 25.6 |
| 1976 | 55.0 | 55.1 | 55.0 | 55.1 | 25.5 | 25.3 |
| 1977 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 55.8 | 55.3 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| 1978 | 55.6 | 55.4 | 55.6 | 55.4 | 25.2 | 24.7 |
| 1979 | 54.9 | 55.6 | 54.9 | 55.6 | 24.6 | 24.4 |
| 1980 | 56.8 | 55.7 | 56.8 | 55.7 | 24.3 | 24.1 |
| 1981 | 57.1 | 55.9 | 57.1 | 55.9 | 23.9 | 23.9 |
| 1982 | 55.0 | 56.1 | 55.0 | 56.0 | 23.4 | 23.6 |
| 1983 | 56.0 | 56.2 | 56.0 | 56.2 | 23.1 | 23.3 |
| 1984 | 56.7 | 56.4 | 56.7 | 56.4 | 23.5 | 23.0 |
| 1985 | 58.3 | 56.5 | 58.3 | 56.5 | 22.8 | 22.6 |
| 1986 | 54.7 | 55.4 | 54.7 | 55.4 | 22.1 | 22.1 |
| 1987 | 52.6 | 54.2 | 52.6 | 54.2 | 21.6 | 21.7 |
| 1988 | 51.7 | 53.1 | 51.7 | 53.1 | 21.2 | 21.3 |
| 1989 | 52.7 | 52.0 | 52.7 | 52.0 | 20.8 | 20.8 |
| 1990 | 51.0 | 50.9 | 51.0 | 50.9 | 20.2 | 20.4 |
| 1991 | 49.7 | 49.9 | 49.7 | 49.9 | 19.8 | 20.0 |
| 1992 | 48.7 | 48.8 | 48.7 | 48.9 | 19.4 | 19.6 |
| 1993 | 47.8 | 47.8 | 47.8 | 47.9 | 19.3 | 19.3 |
| 1994 | 47.2 | 46.8 | 47.2 | 46.9 | 18.8 | 18.9 |
| 1995 | 46.6 | 45.9 | 46.6 | 45.9 | 18.6 | 18.5 |
| 1996 | 46.3 | 47.0 | 46.3 | 46.8 | 18.0 | 18.1 |
| 1997 | 48.0 | 48.1 | 48.0 | 47.8 | 17.6 | 17.8 |
| 1998 | 49.0 | 49.2 | 49.0 | 48.8 | 17.5 | 17.4 |
| 1999 | 47.2 | 48.0 | 47.1 | 47.7 | 17.2 | 17.1 |
| 2000 | 46.5 | 46.8 | 46.5 | 46.6 | 17.0 | 16.8 |
| 2001 | 45.3 | 45.6 | 45.3 | 45.5 | 16.5 | 16.4 |
| 2002 | 45.9 | 44.5 | 45.9 | 44.5 | 16.1 | 16.0 |
| 2003 | 43.5 | 43.4 | 43.5 | 43.5 | 15.6 | 15.5 |
| 2004 | 42.1 | 42.3 | 42.1 | 42.5 | 14.9 | 15.1 |
| 2005 | 41.2 | 41.2 | 41.1 | 41.6 | 14.3 | 14.6 |
| 2006 | 40.7 | 40.2 | 40.6 | 40.6 | 14.3 | 14.2 |
| 2007 | 40.0 | 39.2 | 39.9 | 39.7 | 13.9 | 13.8 |
| 2008 | 39.5 | 38.2 | 39.4 | 38.8 | 13.5 | 13.4 |
| 2009 | 37.5 | 37.2 | 37.3 | 37.2 | 12.8 | 13.0 |
| 2010 | 34.8 | 36.3 | 34.5 | 35.7 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| 2011 | 34.5 | 35.4 | 34.1 | 34.3 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| 2012 | 34.4 | 34.5 | 33.7 | 32.9 | 12.0 | 11.9 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 54.7 | 57.8 | 54.7 | 57.8 | 24.6 | 25.0 |
| 1976 | 51.3 | 57.7 | 51.3 | 57.7 | 26.3 | 25.2 |
| 1977 | 51.5 | 57.7 | 51.5 | 57.7 | 24.9 | 25.4 |
| 1978 | 60.4 | 57.6 | 60.4 | 57.6 | 25.7 | 25.6 |
| 1979 | 56.2 | 57.6 | 56.2 | 57.6 | 26.0 | 25.8 |
| 1980 | 64.2 | 57.5 | 64.2 | 57.5 | 25.9 | 26.0 |
| 1981 | 55.9 | 57.4 | 55.9 | 57.4 | 26.3 | 26.2 |
| 1982 | 55.9 | 57.4 | 55.9 | 57.4 | 26.1 | 26.3 |
| 1983 | 61.1 | 57.3 | 61.1 | 57.3 | 25.8 | 26.5 |
| 1984 | 58.2 | 57.3 | 58.2 | 57.3 | 26.2 | 26.7 |
| 1985 | 56.4 | 57.2 | 56.4 | 57.2 | 28.0 | 26.9 |
| 1986 | 58.7 | 57.2 | 58.7 | 57.2 | 26.3 | 26.8 |
| 1987 | 59.0 | 57.1 | 59.0 | 57.1 | 26.5 | 26.6 |
| 1988 | 56.6 | 57.1 | 56.6 | 57.1 | 25.9 | 26.4 |
| 1989 | 54.7 | 57.0 | 54.7 | 57.0 | 26.1 | 26.2 |
| 1990 | 61.7 | 57.0 | 61.7 | 57.0 | 26.6 | 26.0 |
| 1991 | 58.2 | 56.9 | 58.2 | 56.9 | 26.5 | 25.9 |
| 1992 | 57.6 | 56.8 | 57.6 | 56.8 | 25.4 | 25.7 |
| 1993 | 55.2 | 56.8 | 55.2 | 56.8 | 26.0 | 25.5 |
| 1994 | 58.0 | 56.7 | 58.0 | 56.7 | 24.9 | 25.3 |
| 1995 | 56.0 | 56.7 | 56.0 | 56.7 | 25.5 | 25.2 |
| 1996 | 53.2 | 56.6 | 53.2 | 56.6 | 24.9 | 25.0 |
| 1997 | 56.2 | 56.6 | 56.2 | 56.6 | 24.8 | 24.8 |
| 1998 | 56.3 | 56.5 | 56.3 | 56.5 | 24.8 | 24.7 |
| 1999 | 58.1 | 56.5 | 58.1 | 56.5 | 24.7 | 24.5 |
| 2000 | 58.1 | 56.4 | 58.1 | 56.4 | 23.9 | 24.3 |
| 2001 | 57.6 | 56.4 | 57.6 | 56.4 | 24.3 | 24.2 |
| 2002 | 56.5 | 56.3 | 56.5 | 56.3 | 23.0 | 23.4 |
| 2003 | 54.7 | 56.2 | 54.7 | 56.3 | 22.9 | 22.6 |
| 2004 | 54.8 | 56.2 | 54.7 | 56.2 | 21.4 | 21.8 |
| 2005 | 54.6 | 56.1 | 54.5 | 56.1 | 21.4 | 21.1 |
| 2006 | 53.6 | 53.7 | 53.5 | 53.6 | 20.3 | 20.4 |
| 2007 | 52.2 | 51.5 | 52.0 | 51.3 | 19.9 | 19.7 |
| 2008 | 47.6 | 49.3 | 47.4 | 49.0 | 19.0 | 19.1 |
| 2009 | 49.3 | 47.2 | 49.0 | 46.8 | 18.5 | 18.4 |
| 2010 | 44.9 | 45.2 | 44.5 | 44.7 | 17.6 | 17.8 |
| 2011 | 42.7 | 43.3 | 42.2 | 42.7 | 17.7 | 17.2 |
| 2012 | 41.4 | 41.4 | 40.5 | 40.8 | 16.2 | 16.6 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-12 | -3.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2007-12 | -4.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2005-12 | -2.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2003-12 | -3.2* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2003-12 | -3.4* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2002-12 | -2.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-12 | -2.5* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2008-12 | -4.0* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2001-12 | -2.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2005-12 | -4.3* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2005-12 | -4.5* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2001-12 | -3.3* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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