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Table 8.13

Cancer of the Esophagus (Invasive)

Risk of Being Diagnosed With Cancer in 10, 20 and 30 Years,
Lifetime Risk of Being Diagnosed with Cancer Given Alive and Cancer-Free at Current Age, and
Lifetime Risk of Dying from Cancer Given Alive at Current Age
Males, 2010-2012 By Race/Ethnicity
Race/
Ethnicity		 Current Age Risk of Being Diagnosed with Cancer Risk of Dying from Cancer
+10 yrs +20 yrs +30 yrs Eventually Eventually
All Races 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.79
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.80
20 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.81 0.80
30 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.82 0.81
40 0.03 0.13 0.36 0.83 0.82
50 0.11 0.34 0.61 0.82 0.82
60 0.25 0.54 0.73 0.77 0.78
70 0.34 0.56 - 0.61 0.64
80 0.31 - - 0.38 0.44
White 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.83
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.84
20 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.85 0.84
30 0.00 0.04 0.14 0.86 0.85
40 0.03 0.14 0.38 0.87 0.86
50 0.11 0.36 0.65 0.87 0.86
60 0.27 0.58 0.77 0.81 0.81
70 0.36 0.58 - 0.63 0.67
80 0.32 - - 0.39 0.45
Black 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.60
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.61
20 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.65 0.61
30 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.66 0.63
40 0.03 0.15 0.35 0.68 0.64
50 0.12 0.34 0.56 0.68 0.64
60 0.24 0.49 0.61 0.62 0.60
70 0.32 0.47 - 0.48 0.47
80 0.24 - - 0.27 0.31
Asian/ Pacific
Islander 		0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.45
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.46
20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.46
30 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.56 0.46
40 0.01 0.06 0.18 0.56 0.46
50 0.05 0.17 0.33 0.55 0.46
60 0.12 0.29 0.43 0.52 0.44
70 0.18 0.33 - 0.43 0.38
80 0.18 - - 0.31 0.30
American Indian/
Alaska Nativea 		0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.46
10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.43 0.47
20 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.43 0.47
30 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.44 0.49
40 0.03 0.14 0.24 0.45 0.50
50 0.11 0.21 0.27 0.43 0.51
60 0.11 0.18 0.35 0.36 0.49
70 0.08 0.28 - 0.29 0.42
80 0.29 - - 0.30 0.37
Hispanicb 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.57
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.57
20 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.63 0.58
30 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.63 0.58
40 0.02 0.09 0.22 0.64 0.59
50 0.07 0.21 0.41 0.63 0.59
60 0.14 0.36 0.55 0.60 0.57
70 0.25 0.46 - 0.51 0.50
80 0.28 - - 0.35 0.40

Footnotes:

Devcan 6.8.0, August 2014, National Cancer Institute (https://surveillance.cancer.gov/devcan/).

Source: Incidence data are from the SEER 18 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, and Georgia excluding ATL/RG). Mortality data are from the NCHS public use data file for the total US.

a Underlying incidence and mortality data for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the CHSDA(Contract Health Service Delivery Area) counties.

b Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Underlying incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.

- Statistic could not be calculated.

A percent of 0.00 represents a value that is below 0.005.

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