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Figure 22.4
Figure 22.4
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Pancreas, Female, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 9.1 | 9.2 | 9.1 | 9.3 | ||||
| 1976 | 9.9 | 9.4 | 9.9 | 9.4 | ||||
| 1977 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 8.8 | 9.6 | 8.8 | 9.6 | ||||
| 1979 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | ||||
| 1980 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.9 | ||||
| 1981 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 10.0 | ||||
| 1982 | 10.2 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 10.1 | ||||
| 1983 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 10.3 | ||||
| 1984 | 10.9 | 10.4 | 10.9 | 10.4 | ||||
| 1985 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 10.5 | 10.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 10.3 | ||||
| 1987 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 10.1 | 10.3 | ||||
| 1988 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 10.2 | 10.3 | ||||
| 1989 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 10.1 | 10.2 | ||||
| 1990 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 10.1 | 10.2 | ||||
| 1991 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.2 | ||||
| 1992 | 10.3 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 10.1 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| 1993 | 9.7 | 10.1 | 9.7 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| 1994 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| 1995 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 9.9 |
| 1996 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| 1997 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| 1998 | 10.2 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| 1999 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| 2000 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 10.2 |
| 2001 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| 2002 | 10.6 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| 2003 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| 2004 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 10.4 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| 2005 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 10.9 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 10.6 |
| 2006 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 11.2 | 10.8 | 11.0 | 10.7 | 10.9 | 10.7 |
| 2007 | 10.9 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 10.7 | 10.9 | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| 2008 | 11.3 | 11.2 | 11.3 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 10.8 |
| 2009 | 11.8 | 11.4 | 11.8 | 11.2 | 11.3 | 11.1 | 11.3 | 10.9 |
| 2010 | 11.6 | 11.5 | 11.5 | 11.4 | 11.3 | 11.2 | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| 2011 | 10.9 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 11.5 | 10.8 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| 2012 | 12.1 | 11.9 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.6 | 11.5 | 11.2 | 11.1 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 9.0 | ||||
| 1976 | 9.7 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 9.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 9.5 | 9.3 | 9.5 | 9.3 | ||||
| 1978 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 8.6 | 9.4 | ||||
| 1979 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 9.5 | ||||
| 1980 | 9.2 | 9.6 | 9.2 | 9.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 9.7 | ||||
| 1982 | 9.9 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.8 | ||||
| 1983 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 9.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 10.6 | 10.1 | 10.6 | 10.0 | ||||
| 1985 | 10.3 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 10.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 10.0 | ||||
| 1987 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 9.5 | 9.9 | ||||
| 1988 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.9 | ||||
| 1989 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | ||||
| 1991 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | ||||
| 1992 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| 1993 | 9.3 | 9.7 | 9.3 | 9.7 | 9.5 | 9.7 | 9.5 | 9.7 |
| 1994 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| 1995 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.7 |
| 1996 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| 1997 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| 1998 | 9.9 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| 1999 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 9.3 | 9.6 | 9.3 | 9.7 |
| 2000 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.5 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.8 |
| 2001 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.5 | 9.9 |
| 2002 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.1 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| 2003 | 10.4 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 10.1 | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| 2004 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| 2005 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 10.3 | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| 2006 | 10.8 | 10.5 | 10.8 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| 2007 | 10.6 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.5 |
| 2008 | 10.9 | 10.8 | 10.9 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| 2009 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 11.4 | 10.9 | 11.1 | 10.8 | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| 2010 | 11.1 | 11.2 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 10.8 |
| 2011 | 10.7 | 11.3 | 10.5 | 11.1 | 10.5 | 11.1 | 10.3 | 10.9 |
| 2012 | 11.6 | 11.5 | 11.1 | 11.3 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 11.0 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2012 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 13.9 | 14.5 | 13.9 | 14.6 | ||||
| 1976 | 14.0 | 14.6 | 14.0 | 14.6 | ||||
| 1977 | 15.2 | 14.6 | 15.2 | 14.7 | ||||
| 1978 | 11.5 | 14.6 | 11.5 | 14.7 | ||||
| 1979 | 13.7 | 14.7 | 13.7 | 14.7 | ||||
| 1980 | 15.5 | 14.7 | 15.5 | 14.7 | ||||
| 1981 | 14.1 | 14.7 | 14.1 | 14.8 | ||||
| 1982 | 14.0 | 14.7 | 14.0 | 14.8 | ||||
| 1983 | 14.9 | 14.8 | 14.9 | 14.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 16.3 | 14.8 | 16.3 | 14.8 | ||||
| 1985 | 14.5 | 14.8 | 14.5 | 14.9 | ||||
| 1986 | 15.6 | 14.9 | 15.6 | 14.9 | ||||
| 1987 | 17.8 | 14.9 | 17.8 | 14.9 | ||||
| 1988 | 17.3 | 14.9 | 17.3 | 14.9 | ||||
| 1989 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 14.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 12.6 | 15.0 | 12.6 | 15.0 | ||||
| 1991 | 16.2 | 15.0 | 16.2 | 15.0 | ||||
| 1992 | 15.8 | 15.0 | 15.8 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 15.1 | 16.0 | 15.2 |
| 1993 | 15.3 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 15.0 | 15.9 | 15.1 | 15.9 | 15.1 |
| 1994 | 14.5 | 15.1 | 14.5 | 15.1 | 15.0 | 15.1 | 15.0 | 15.1 |
| 1995 | 16.3 | 15.1 | 16.3 | 15.1 | 15.5 | 15.1 | 15.5 | 15.1 |
| 1996 | 14.9 | 15.2 | 14.9 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 15.1 |
| 1997 | 16.6 | 15.2 | 16.6 | 15.1 | 16.8 | 15.1 | 16.8 | 15.1 |
| 1998 | 13.9 | 15.2 | 13.9 | 15.2 | 13.7 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 15.1 |
| 1999 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 14.7 | 15.2 | 13.4 | 15.1 | 13.4 | 15.1 |
| 2000 | 13.4 | 15.3 | 13.4 | 15.2 | 12.8 | 15.1 | 12.8 | 15.0 |
| 2001 | 13.3 | 15.3 | 13.3 | 15.2 | 13.7 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 15.0 |
| 2002 | 16.3 | 15.3 | 16.2 | 15.3 | 15.9 | 15.1 | 15.9 | 15.0 |
| 2003 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 15.3 | 14.4 | 15.1 | 14.4 | 15.0 |
| 2004 | 13.5 | 15.4 | 13.5 | 15.3 | 14.7 | 15.1 | 14.6 | 15.0 |
| 2005 | 16.4 | 15.4 | 16.4 | 15.3 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 16.5 | 15.0 |
| 2006 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 15.1 | 15.4 | 14.9 |
| 2007 | 14.9 | 15.5 | 14.8 | 15.4 | 14.7 | 15.1 | 14.6 | 14.9 |
| 2008 | 15.9 | 15.5 | 15.8 | 15.4 | 15.3 | 15.1 | 15.2 | 14.9 |
| 2009 | 15.2 | 15.6 | 15.1 | 15.4 | 14.8 | 15.1 | 14.7 | 14.9 |
| 2010 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.2 | 15.1 | 15.1 | 14.9 |
| 2011 | 14.8 | 15.6 | 14.6 | 15.5 | 15.3 | 15.1 | 15.0 | 14.9 |
| 2012 | 17.6 | 15.7 | 17.0 | 15.5 | 15.6 | 15.1 | 15.0 | 14.9 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2012 | 1999-12 | 1.4* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2012 | 1999-12 | 1.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2012 | 1999-12 | 1.1* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2012 | 1992-12 | 0.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2012 | 1999-12 | 1.5* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2012 | 1999-12 | 1.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2012 | 1999-12 | 1.2* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2012 | 1999-12 | 1.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2012 | 1975-12 | 0.2 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2012 | 1975-12 | 0.2 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2012 | 1992-12 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2012 | 1992-12 | -0.1 |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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