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Figure 23.1
Figure 23.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Prostate, by Race
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 92.2 | 91.1 | 29.1 | 29.5 |
| 1976 | 97.3 | 93.6 | 97.3 | 93.6 | 29.9 | 29.8 |
| 1977 | 98.6 | 96.3 | 98.6 | 96.3 | 29.9 | 30.0 |
| 1978 | 97.7 | 98.9 | 97.7 | 98.9 | 30.6 | 30.2 |
| 1979 | 102.3 | 101.7 | 102.3 | 101.7 | 30.8 | 30.5 |
| 1980 | 105.0 | 104.5 | 105.0 | 104.5 | 30.8 | 30.7 |
| 1981 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 30.8 | 30.9 |
| 1982 | 107.3 | 110.5 | 107.3 | 110.5 | 31.1 | 31.2 |
| 1983 | 110.8 | 113.5 | 110.8 | 113.5 | 31.6 | 31.4 |
| 1984 | 110.1 | 116.7 | 110.1 | 116.7 | 31.6 | 31.7 |
| 1985 | 114.7 | 120.0 | 114.7 | 120.0 | 31.3 | 31.9 |
| 1986 | 119.0 | 123.3 | 119.0 | 123.3 | 32.5 | 32.2 |
| 1987 | 134.6 | 126.8 | 134.6 | 126.8 | 32.6 | 32.4 |
| 1988 | 138.8 | 130.3 | 138.8 | 130.3 | 33.4 | 33.4 |
| 1989 | 146.1 | 151.6 | 146.1 | 151.6 | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| 1990 | 172.8 | 176.3 | 172.8 | 176.3 | 35.7 | 35.5 |
| 1991 | 216.5 | 205.1 | 216.5 | 205.1 | 36.5 | 36.6 |
| 1992 | 238.4 | 238.6 | 238.4 | 238.6 | 36.3 | 36.4 |
| 1993 | 204.5 | 208.5 | 204.5 | 208.5 | 36.3 | 36.1 |
| 1994 | 174.2 | 182.2 | 174.2 | 182.2 | 35.6 | 35.9 |
| 1995 | 164.4 | 159.2 | 164.4 | 159.2 | 34.4 | 34.3 |
| 1996 | 165.1 | 163.5 | 165.1 | 163.4 | 33.0 | 32.8 |
| 1997 | 169.9 | 167.9 | 169.9 | 167.8 | 31.3 | 31.3 |
| 1998 | 167.3 | 172.4 | 167.2 | 172.3 | 29.9 | 29.9 |
| 1999 | 179.3 | 177.1 | 179.0 | 177.0 | 28.9 | 28.9 |
| 2000 | 179.9 | 181.9 | 179.4 | 181.7 | 27.8 | 27.9 |
| 2001 | 183.4 | 178.5 | 182.7 | 178.1 | 27.0 | 27.0 |
| 2002 | 180.5 | 175.3 | 179.7 | 174.5 | 26.4 | 26.0 |
| 2003 | 167.2 | 172.1 | 166.3 | 171.0 | 25.0 | 25.2 |
| 2004 | 163.4 | 169.0 | 162.3 | 167.5 | 24.0 | 24.3 |
| 2005 | 153.4 | 165.9 | 152.1 | 164.2 | 23.3 | 23.5 |
| 2006 | 169.7 | 162.9 | 167.9 | 160.9 | 22.3 | 22.7 |
| 2007 | 171.8 | 159.9 | 169.6 | 157.6 | 22.2 | 21.9 |
| 2008 | 155.2 | 157.0 | 152.8 | 154.4 | 21.3 | 21.2 |
| 2009 | 152.6 | 154.1 | 149.7 | 151.3 | 20.3 | 20.5 |
| 2010 | 145.6 | 151.3 | 142.0 | 148.3 | 20.1 | 19.8 |
| 2011 | 140.1 | 133.3 | 135.4 | 128.4 | 19.2 | 19.1 |
| 2012 | 113.9 | 117.4 | 107.6 | 111.2 | 18.1 | 18.4 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 141.1 | 144.6 | 141.1 | 143.9 | 55.5 | 55.3 |
| 1976 | 140.9 | 147.5 | 140.9 | 146.9 | 55.6 | 56.4 |
| 1977 | 159.2 | 150.4 | 159.2 | 150.0 | 56.4 | 57.4 |
| 1978 | 148.1 | 153.4 | 148.1 | 153.1 | 58.5 | 58.5 |
| 1979 | 161.9 | 156.5 | 161.9 | 156.3 | 59.2 | 59.6 |
| 1980 | 161.1 | 159.6 | 161.1 | 159.6 | 62.0 | 60.8 |
| 1981 | 162.0 | 162.7 | 162.0 | 162.9 | 63.6 | 61.9 |
| 1982 | 167.8 | 166.0 | 167.8 | 166.3 | 62.4 | 63.1 |
| 1983 | 171.1 | 169.3 | 171.1 | 169.7 | 64.6 | 64.3 |
| 1984 | 178.9 | 172.6 | 178.9 | 173.3 | 65.9 | 65.5 |
| 1985 | 170.1 | 176.1 | 170.1 | 176.9 | 67.3 | 66.8 |
| 1986 | 168.6 | 179.6 | 168.6 | 180.5 | 67.4 | 68.0 |
| 1987 | 189.4 | 183.1 | 189.4 | 184.3 | 68.9 | 69.3 |
| 1988 | 190.2 | 186.8 | 190.2 | 188.1 | 69.6 | 70.7 |
| 1989 | 191.7 | 190.5 | 191.7 | 192.0 | 71.7 | 72.9 |
| 1990 | 222.4 | 232.1 | 222.4 | 229.1 | 78.0 | 75.3 |
| 1991 | 289.5 | 282.8 | 289.5 | 273.3 | 78.2 | 77.7 |
| 1992 | 329.5 | 344.5 | 329.5 | 326.0 | 79.8 | 80.2 |
| 1993 | 345.8 | 328.3 | 345.8 | 320.4 | 81.9 | 82.8 |
| 1994 | 315.1 | 312.9 | 315.1 | 315.0 | 80.0 | 80.7 |
| 1995 | 284.7 | 298.1 | 284.7 | 309.6 | 78.2 | 78.6 |
| 1996 | 284.7 | 294.7 | 284.7 | 304.3 | 78.8 | 76.6 |
| 1997 | 287.0 | 291.4 | 287.0 | 299.1 | 74.3 | 74.6 |
| 1998 | 291.1 | 288.1 | 290.9 | 294.0 | 72.8 | 72.7 |
| 1999 | 294.2 | 284.8 | 293.7 | 289.0 | 70.1 | 70.8 |
| 2000 | 294.7 | 281.5 | 294.0 | 284.1 | 68.9 | 69.0 |
| 2001 | 278.7 | 278.3 | 277.8 | 279.2 | 67.8 | 67.2 |
| 2002 | 291.4 | 275.1 | 290.0 | 274.5 | 65.0 | 64.5 |
| 2003 | 263.6 | 272.0 | 262.1 | 269.8 | 60.4 | 61.9 |
| 2004 | 261.5 | 268.9 | 259.6 | 265.2 | 59.0 | 59.4 |
| 2005 | 254.8 | 265.8 | 252.4 | 260.6 | 57.0 | 57.0 |
| 2006 | 258.5 | 262.8 | 255.5 | 256.2 | 53.7 | 54.8 |
| 2007 | 270.2 | 259.8 | 266.4 | 251.8 | 54.9 | 52.6 |
| 2008 | 256.0 | 256.9 | 251.9 | 247.5 | 49.1 | 50.5 |
| 2009 | 248.2 | 253.9 | 243.3 | 243.3 | 49.4 | 48.4 |
| 2010 | 235.3 | 234.7 | 229.3 | 239.2 | 48.1 | 46.5 |
| 2011 | 225.3 | 216.9 | 217.9 | 211.6 | 44.0 | 44.6 |
| 2012 | 194.7 | 200.5 | 184.2 | 187.2 | 41.8 | 42.8 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White | 2010-12 | -11.9* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White | 2010-12 | -13.4* |
| U.S. Mortality, White | 1998-12 | -3.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black | 2009-12 | -7.6* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black | 2010-12 | -11.5* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black | 2001-12 | -4.0* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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