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Figure 23.2
Figure 23.2
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Prostate, by Age and Race
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, White, Male, 1975-2012, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Black, Male, 1975-2012, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, White, Male, 1975-2012, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, Black, Male, 1975-2012, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 13.0 | 12.9 | 13.0 | 12.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
1976 | 13.9 | 13.4 | 13.9 | 13.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
1977 | 14.4 | 13.8 | 14.4 | 13.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
1978 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
1979 | 14.7 | 14.8 | 14.7 | 14.8 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
1980 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
1981 | 16.0 | 15.9 | 16.0 | 15.9 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
1982 | 15.8 | 16.5 | 15.8 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
1983 | 16.6 | 17.0 | 16.6 | 17.0 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
1984 | 16.2 | 17.6 | 16.2 | 17.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
1985 | 17.7 | 18.3 | 17.7 | 18.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
1986 | 18.3 | 18.9 | 18.3 | 18.9 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
1987 | 21.1 | 19.6 | 21.1 | 19.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
1988 | 22.3 | 20.3 | 22.3 | 20.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
1989 | 24.0 | 24.9 | 24.0 | 24.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
1990 | 28.9 | 30.6 | 28.9 | 30.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
1991 | 39.4 | 37.6 | 39.4 | 37.6 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
1992 | 49.4 | 46.3 | 49.4 | 46.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
1993 | 49.0 | 47.7 | 49.0 | 47.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
1994 | 46.8 | 49.3 | 46.8 | 49.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
1995 | 48.2 | 50.9 | 48.2 | 50.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
1996 | 52.0 | 52.5 | 52.0 | 52.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
1997 | 54.0 | 54.2 | 54.0 | 54.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
1998 | 53.1 | 55.9 | 53.1 | 55.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
1999 | 58.8 | 57.7 | 58.8 | 57.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
2000 | 59.9 | 59.6 | 59.8 | 59.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
2001 | 62.7 | 61.5 | 62.6 | 61.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
2002 | 64.1 | 61.4 | 63.9 | 61.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
2003 | 60.0 | 61.2 | 59.8 | 61.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
2004 | 60.6 | 61.1 | 60.4 | 60.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
2005 | 55.7 | 60.9 | 55.4 | 60.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
2006 | 62.9 | 60.8 | 62.4 | 60.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
2007 | 64.2 | 60.7 | 63.7 | 60.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
2008 | 60.6 | 60.5 | 59.9 | 59.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
2009 | 60.6 | 60.4 | 59.8 | 59.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
2010 | 57.0 | 60.2 | 56.0 | 59.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
2011 | 55.7 | 52.6 | 54.4 | 51.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
2012 | 44.3 | 45.9 | 42.5 | 44.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 26.8 | 28.0 | 26.8 | 28.0 | 6.6 | 6.6 |
1976 | 29.5 | 28.5 | 29.5 | 28.5 | 6.9 | 6.7 |
1977 | 29.2 | 29.1 | 29.2 | 29.1 | 6.9 | 6.7 |
1978 | 26.8 | 29.7 | 26.8 | 29.7 | 6.8 | 6.7 |
1979 | 26.4 | 30.3 | 26.4 | 30.3 | 6.6 | 6.8 |
1980 | 33.8 | 30.9 | 33.8 | 30.9 | 6.6 | 6.8 |
1981 | 34.7 | 31.5 | 34.7 | 31.5 | 7.1 | 6.8 |
1982 | 31.5 | 32.1 | 31.5 | 32.1 | 6.6 | 6.9 |
1983 | 34.0 | 32.8 | 34.0 | 32.8 | 7.0 | 6.9 |
1984 | 37.2 | 33.4 | 37.2 | 33.4 | 6.7 | 6.9 |
1985 | 31.4 | 34.1 | 31.4 | 34.1 | 7.2 | 7.0 |
1986 | 34.1 | 34.8 | 34.1 | 34.8 | 6.6 | 7.0 |
1987 | 36.1 | 35.5 | 36.1 | 35.5 | 6.7 | 7.0 |
1988 | 34.9 | 36.2 | 34.9 | 36.2 | 7.0 | 7.1 |
1989 | 37.3 | 36.9 | 37.3 | 36.9 | 7.1 | 7.1 |
1990 | 44.7 | 46.7 | 44.7 | 46.7 | 7.4 | 7.1 |
1991 | 57.5 | 59.0 | 57.5 | 58.9 | 7.1 | 7.2 |
1992 | 78.5 | 74.5 | 78.5 | 74.5 | 7.7 | 7.2 |
1993 | 94.8 | 94.2 | 94.8 | 94.1 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
1994 | 96.2 | 96.6 | 96.2 | 96.5 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
1995 | 100.1 | 99.1 | 100.1 | 99.0 | 6.7 | 6.6 |
1996 | 100.8 | 101.7 | 100.8 | 101.6 | 6.5 | 6.4 |
1997 | 98.3 | 104.3 | 98.3 | 104.3 | 6.3 | 6.2 |
1998 | 104.8 | 107.0 | 104.7 | 107.0 | 6.3 | 6.0 |
1999 | 113.6 | 109.7 | 113.5 | 109.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
2000 | 115.7 | 112.5 | 115.5 | 112.6 | 5.4 | 5.7 |
2001 | 115.6 | 115.4 | 115.3 | 115.6 | 5.3 | 5.5 |
2002 | 118.0 | 118.4 | 117.5 | 114.8 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
2003 | 117.0 | 116.8 | 116.5 | 114.0 | 5.3 | 5.2 |
2004 | 107.5 | 115.1 | 106.9 | 113.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
2005 | 107.9 | 113.5 | 107.2 | 112.5 | 4.8 | 4.9 |
2006 | 110.2 | 112.0 | 109.3 | 111.8 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
2007 | 120.5 | 110.4 | 119.2 | 111.0 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
2008 | 111.9 | 108.9 | 110.5 | 110.3 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
2009 | 111.8 | 107.4 | 110.1 | 109.5 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
2010 | 107.1 | 105.9 | 105.0 | 108.8 | 4.4 | 4.2 |
2011 | 106.3 | 104.4 | 103.6 | 99.8 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
2012 | 93.9 | 103.0 | 89.8 | 91.6 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 639.4 | 631.3 | 639.4 | 631.3 | 214.9 | 218.2 |
1976 | 674.1 | 648.3 | 674.1 | 648.3 | 220.8 | 220.0 |
1977 | 680.6 | 665.8 | 680.6 | 665.8 | 220.6 | 221.7 |
1978 | 671.0 | 683.8 | 671.0 | 683.8 | 226.8 | 223.4 |
1979 | 708.0 | 702.3 | 708.0 | 702.3 | 228.2 | 225.2 |
1980 | 729.2 | 721.2 | 729.2 | 721.2 | 227.4 | 227.0 |
1981 | 743.4 | 740.7 | 743.4 | 740.7 | 227.5 | 228.7 |
1982 | 740.0 | 760.7 | 740.0 | 760.7 | 229.8 | 230.5 |
1983 | 762.1 | 781.2 | 762.1 | 781.2 | 233.2 | 232.4 |
1984 | 759.1 | 802.3 | 759.1 | 802.3 | 233.5 | 234.2 |
1985 | 784.9 | 824.0 | 784.9 | 824.0 | 231.3 | 236.0 |
1986 | 815.4 | 846.2 | 815.4 | 846.2 | 239.7 | 237.9 |
1987 | 919.1 | 869.1 | 919.1 | 869.1 | 241.3 | 239.7 |
1988 | 943.9 | 892.5 | 943.9 | 892.5 | 247.1 | 247.4 |
1989 | 990.2 | 1025.7 | 990.2 | 1025.7 | 255.2 | 255.3 |
1990 | 1167.5 | 1178.8 | 1167.5 | 1178.8 | 264.0 | 263.5 |
1991 | 1440.5 | 1354.8 | 1440.5 | 1354.8 | 271.4 | 271.9 |
1992 | 1544.7 | 1557.0 | 1544.7 | 1557.0 | 270.3 | 270.6 |
1993 | 1279.0 | 1310.6 | 1279.0 | 1310.6 | 270.8 | 269.3 |
1994 | 1054.7 | 1103.3 | 1054.7 | 1103.3 | 266.0 | 268.0 |
1995 | 967.6 | 928.7 | 967.6 | 928.7 | 256.9 | 256.4 |
1996 | 947.1 | 945.4 | 947.1 | 945.2 | 246.4 | 245.2 |
1997 | 971.6 | 962.4 | 971.6 | 962.0 | 234.6 | 234.6 |
1998 | 957.0 | 979.7 | 956.1 | 979.1 | 223.4 | 224.4 |
1999 | 1011.8 | 997.3 | 1009.8 | 996.4 | 216.9 | 216.6 |
2000 | 1008.9 | 1015.2 | 1005.8 | 1014.1 | 208.3 | 209.0 |
2001 | 1017.2 | 988.9 | 1012.9 | 985.7 | 202.1 | 201.7 |
2002 | 985.1 | 963.4 | 979.7 | 958.1 | 197.5 | 194.6 |
2003 | 908.2 | 938.5 | 902.1 | 931.2 | 187.0 | 187.8 |
2004 | 873.7 | 914.2 | 866.6 | 905.1 | 179.5 | 181.3 |
2005 | 829.3 | 890.6 | 820.9 | 879.8 | 174.2 | 174.9 |
2006 | 908.4 | 867.5 | 897.0 | 855.1 | 165.8 | 168.8 |
2007 | 915.6 | 845.1 | 902.1 | 831.2 | 165.6 | 162.9 |
2008 | 809.3 | 823.3 | 795.0 | 807.9 | 158.3 | 157.2 |
2009 | 788.2 | 802.0 | 771.1 | 785.2 | 151.1 | 151.7 |
2010 | 758.2 | 781.2 | 736.1 | 763.2 | 148.6 | 146.4 |
2011 | 723.7 | 691.2 | 695.6 | 662.2 | 142.6 | 141.3 |
2012 | 594.9 | 611.5 | 558.0 | 574.6 | 133.5 | 136.3 |
Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 931.2 | 949.7 | 931.2 | 949.7 | 394.0 | 386.4 |
1976 | 910.9 | 968.9 | 910.9 | 968.9 | 392.2 | 395.4 |
1977 | 1057.2 | 988.5 | 1057.2 | 988.4 | 398.7 | 404.5 |
1978 | 986.4 | 1008.5 | 986.4 | 1008.4 | 416.1 | 413.9 |
1979 | 1098.9 | 1028.8 | 1098.9 | 1028.8 | 422.9 | 423.5 |
1980 | 1041.4 | 1049.6 | 1041.4 | 1049.6 | 445.0 | 433.4 |
1981 | 1041.9 | 1070.8 | 1041.9 | 1070.8 | 454.4 | 443.4 |
1982 | 1109.8 | 1092.5 | 1109.8 | 1092.5 | 447.7 | 453.7 |
1983 | 1118.4 | 1114.5 | 1118.4 | 1114.6 | 462.5 | 464.2 |
1984 | 1158.1 | 1137.1 | 1158.1 | 1137.1 | 475.1 | 475.0 |
1985 | 1129.0 | 1160.0 | 1129.0 | 1160.1 | 482.7 | 486.0 |
1986 | 1098.3 | 1183.5 | 1098.3 | 1183.6 | 487.4 | 497.3 |
1987 | 1249.5 | 1207.4 | 1249.5 | 1207.5 | 499.0 | 508.8 |
1988 | 1263.8 | 1231.8 | 1263.8 | 1231.9 | 502.3 | 520.7 |
1989 | 1259.3 | 1256.7 | 1259.3 | 1256.8 | 518.5 | 532.7 |
1990 | 1450.9 | 1509.9 | 1450.9 | 1509.6 | 565.6 | 545.1 |
1991 | 1893.2 | 1814.1 | 1893.2 | 1813.3 | 570.2 | 557.8 |
1992 | 2064.4 | 2179.5 | 2064.4 | 2178.0 | 578.7 | 570.7 |
1993 | 2081.0 | 1982.8 | 2081.0 | 1983.9 | 599.1 | 583.9 |
1994 | 1828.4 | 1803.8 | 1828.4 | 1807.0 | 585.9 | 597.5 |
1995 | 1561.0 | 1640.9 | 1561.0 | 1645.9 | 572.5 | 581.4 |
1996 | 1555.8 | 1605.8 | 1555.8 | 1608.3 | 579.2 | 565.7 |
1997 | 1591.0 | 1571.5 | 1591.0 | 1571.6 | 544.2 | 550.4 |
1998 | 1579.0 | 1537.9 | 1577.7 | 1535.7 | 532.4 | 535.5 |
1999 | 1542.1 | 1505.0 | 1539.3 | 1500.6 | 514.8 | 521.1 |
2000 | 1532.2 | 1472.8 | 1528.0 | 1466.3 | 507.8 | 507.0 |
2001 | 1406.1 | 1441.3 | 1400.5 | 1432.8 | 499.7 | 493.3 |
2002 | 1490.1 | 1410.5 | 1482.5 | 1400.1 | 477.8 | 473.1 |
2003 | 1276.8 | 1380.3 | 1268.6 | 1368.1 | 441.0 | 453.7 |
2004 | 1326.1 | 1350.8 | 1314.8 | 1336.8 | 433.7 | 435.2 |
2005 | 1270.2 | 1321.9 | 1256.4 | 1306.3 | 417.8 | 417.3 |
2006 | 1283.0 | 1293.6 | 1265.9 | 1276.4 | 393.5 | 400.2 |
2007 | 1305.1 | 1265.9 | 1283.9 | 1247.3 | 403.0 | 383.8 |
2008 | 1252.4 | 1238.9 | 1228.9 | 1218.8 | 357.6 | 368.1 |
2009 | 1190.6 | 1212.4 | 1163.6 | 1190.9 | 359.7 | 353.0 |
2010 | 1121.1 | 1106.4 | 1088.3 | 1072.4 | 350.1 | 338.6 |
2011 | 1047.7 | 1009.8 | 1008.3 | 965.7 | 318.9 | 324.7 |
2012 | 891.3 | 921.5 | 836.5 | 869.6 | 304.0 | 311.4 |
Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
---|---|---|
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Ages <65 | 2010-12 | -12.7* |
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Ages <65 | 2010-12 | -13.8* |
U.S. Mortality, White, Ages <65 | 2001-12 | -1.2* |
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Ages <65 | 2002-12 | -1.4* |
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Ages <65 | 2010-12 | -8.2 |
U.S. Mortality, Black, Ages <65 | 1992-12 | -2.9* |
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Ages 65+ | 2010-12 | -11.5* |
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Ages 65+ | 2010-12 | -13.2* |
U.S. Mortality, White, Ages 65+ | 1998-12 | -3.5* |
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Ages 65+ | 2009-12 | -8.7* |
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Ages 65+ | 2009-12 | -10.0* |
U.S. Mortality, Black, Ages 65+ | 2001-12 | -4.1* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.2.0, April 2015, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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