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Figure 2.1
Figure 2.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2013, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2013, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2013, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2013, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 254.0 | 254.4 |
| 1976 | 481.9 | 476.2 | 481.9 | 476.2 | 257.5 | 256.8 |
| 1977 | 487.1 | 483.0 | 487.1 | 483.0 | 258.8 | 259.1 |
| 1978 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 261.6 | 261.5 |
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 263.2 | 263.9 |
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 265.0 | 264.5 |
| 1981 | 510.8 | 511.1 | 510.8 | 511.1 | 263.3 | 265.2 |
| 1982 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 266.3 | 265.8 |
| 1983 | 520.9 | 525.7 | 520.9 | 525.7 | 267.2 | 266.4 |
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.2 | 527.7 | 533.2 | 267.6 | 267.1 |
| 1985 | 533.5 | 540.8 | 533.5 | 540.8 | 268.2 | 267.7 |
| 1986 | 542.9 | 548.5 | 542.9 | 548.5 | 268.8 | 268.4 |
| 1987 | 568.8 | 556.3 | 568.8 | 556.3 | 269.0 | 269.1 |
| 1988 | 564.9 | 564.2 | 564.9 | 564.2 | 269.5 | 269.7 |
| 1989 | 573.5 | 572.3 | 573.5 | 572.3 | 270.2 | 270.4 |
| 1990 | 599.3 | 600.9 | 599.3 | 600.9 | 271.5 | 271.0 |
| 1991 | 644.5 | 631.0 | 644.5 | 631.0 | 271.2 | 271.7 |
| 1992 | 663.4 | 662.6 | 663.4 | 662.6 | 268.9 | 269.6 |
| 1993 | 620.2 | 628.8 | 620.2 | 628.8 | 267.9 | 267.5 |
| 1994 | 587.5 | 596.7 | 587.5 | 596.6 | 264.7 | 265.4 |
| 1995 | 570.1 | 566.3 | 570.1 | 566.1 | 261.5 | 260.8 |
| 1996 | 573.9 | 569.9 | 573.9 | 569.9 | 256.8 | 256.3 |
| 1997 | 576.3 | 573.6 | 576.3 | 573.7 | 251.6 | 251.8 |
| 1998 | 576.1 | 577.3 | 576.1 | 577.5 | 247.6 | 248.9 |
| 1999 | 582.6 | 581.0 | 582.6 | 581.4 | 247.1 | 246.0 |
| 2000 | 584.0 | 584.7 | 584.0 | 585.2 | 243.4 | 243.1 |
| 2001 | 587.4 | 581.2 | 587.4 | 581.3 | 240.3 | 240.3 |
| 2002 | 581.2 | 577.8 | 581.2 | 577.5 | 237.6 | 236.2 |
| 2003 | 565.1 | 574.3 | 565.1 | 573.7 | 232.2 | 232.3 |
| 2004 | 564.0 | 570.9 | 564.0 | 569.9 | 226.6 | 228.4 |
| 2005 | 558.9 | 567.5 | 558.0 | 566.1 | 224.9 | 224.5 |
| 2006 | 565.5 | 564.1 | 563.7 | 562.4 | 220.0 | 220.8 |
| 2007 | 575.9 | 560.7 | 573.1 | 558.6 | 216.6 | 217.0 |
| 2008 | 557.0 | 557.4 | 553.5 | 554.9 | 213.2 | 213.4 |
| 2009 | 548.9 | 554.0 | 544.5 | 551.3 | 209.3 | 209.8 |
| 2010 | 538.7 | 538.3 | 533.6 | 532.3 | 207.2 | 206.3 |
| 2011 | 529.1 | 523.0 | 522.0 | 513.9 | 203.3 | 202.8 |
| 2012 | 501.1 | 508.1 | 491.3 | 496.2 | 199.8 | 199.4 |
| 2013 | 495.8 | 493.7 | 478.4 | 479.1 | 195.7 | 196.1 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.5 | 533.1 | 525.5 | 533.0 | 320.5 | 322.5 |
| 1976 | 553.2 | 548.1 | 553.2 | 548.1 | 328.4 | 328.4 |
| 1977 | 577.6 | 563.5 | 577.6 | 563.5 | 337.9 | 334.4 |
| 1978 | 570.9 | 579.4 | 570.9 | 579.4 | 340.9 | 340.5 |
| 1979 | 589.8 | 595.8 | 589.8 | 595.8 | 344.7 | 346.7 |
| 1980 | 615.2 | 612.6 | 615.2 | 612.6 | 353.9 | 353.0 |
| 1981 | 634.4 | 629.9 | 634.4 | 629.9 | 358.6 | 359.5 |
| 1982 | 622.1 | 633.9 | 622.1 | 633.9 | 364.9 | 366.0 |
| 1983 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 369.3 | 369.7 |
| 1984 | 643.9 | 642.1 | 643.9 | 642.1 | 377.9 | 373.4 |
| 1985 | 643.4 | 646.2 | 643.4 | 646.2 | 377.8 | 377.1 |
| 1986 | 643.5 | 650.4 | 643.5 | 650.3 | 378.9 | 380.9 |
| 1987 | 666.3 | 654.5 | 666.3 | 654.5 | 383.2 | 384.7 |
| 1988 | 657.7 | 658.8 | 657.7 | 658.7 | 384.2 | 388.5 |
| 1989 | 661.1 | 663.0 | 661.1 | 662.9 | 395.3 | 392.4 |
| 1990 | 700.2 | 707.6 | 700.2 | 707.7 | 399.1 | 396.3 |
| 1991 | 765.2 | 755.2 | 765.2 | 755.5 | 395.9 | 395.4 |
| 1992 | 810.1 | 806.1 | 810.1 | 806.5 | 389.2 | 394.5 |
| 1993 | 819.1 | 793.7 | 819.1 | 794.0 | 394.8 | 393.6 |
| 1994 | 784.0 | 781.4 | 784.0 | 781.7 | 385.2 | 385.7 |
| 1995 | 751.4 | 769.4 | 751.4 | 769.5 | 379.0 | 377.9 |
| 1996 | 728.9 | 757.5 | 728.9 | 757.5 | 373.7 | 370.3 |
| 1997 | 742.7 | 745.9 | 742.7 | 745.8 | 363.2 | 362.8 |
| 1998 | 727.0 | 734.4 | 727.0 | 734.2 | 353.1 | 355.5 |
| 1999 | 725.9 | 723.1 | 725.9 | 722.7 | 349.2 | 348.3 |
| 2000 | 714.8 | 711.9 | 714.8 | 711.5 | 341.2 | 341.3 |
| 2001 | 701.2 | 701.0 | 701.2 | 700.4 | 334.1 | 334.4 |
| 2002 | 700.7 | 690.2 | 700.7 | 689.5 | 325.8 | 325.4 |
| 2003 | 682.8 | 679.6 | 682.8 | 678.8 | 314.6 | 316.6 |
| 2004 | 686.0 | 669.1 | 686.0 | 668.3 | 307.3 | 308.1 |
| 2005 | 647.8 | 658.8 | 645.8 | 657.9 | 300.3 | 299.7 |
| 2006 | 651.3 | 663.1 | 647.4 | 660.5 | 290.2 | 291.7 |
| 2007 | 675.8 | 667.5 | 669.7 | 663.2 | 286.6 | 283.8 |
| 2008 | 672.9 | 671.9 | 664.7 | 665.8 | 275.3 | 276.2 |
| 2009 | 650.1 | 649.4 | 640.4 | 639.4 | 268.9 | 268.7 |
| 2010 | 625.0 | 627.7 | 613.6 | 614.0 | 264.1 | 261.5 |
| 2011 | 603.0 | 606.7 | 589.4 | 589.6 | 253.6 | 254.4 |
| 2012 | 586.6 | 586.4 | 568.5 | 566.2 | 247.2 | 247.6 |
| 2013 | 569.5 | 566.7 | 542.1 | 543.7 | 240.0 | 240.9 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 369.6 | 371.0 | 369.6 | 371.0 | 159.0 | 159.7 |
| 1976 | 373.2 | 370.2 | 373.2 | 370.2 | 161.7 | 160.5 |
| 1977 | 367.9 | 369.3 | 367.9 | 369.4 | 161.6 | 161.4 |
| 1978 | 367.9 | 368.5 | 367.9 | 368.5 | 162.5 | 162.3 |
| 1979 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 161.7 | 163.2 |
| 1980 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 164.2 | 164.1 |
| 1981 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 164.6 | 165.0 |
| 1982 | 383.4 | 386.6 | 383.4 | 386.6 | 166.1 | 166.0 |
| 1983 | 387.9 | 393.1 | 387.9 | 393.0 | 166.7 | 166.9 |
| 1984 | 399.6 | 399.7 | 399.6 | 399.6 | 169.0 | 167.8 |
| 1985 | 411.5 | 406.4 | 411.5 | 406.4 | 169.6 | 168.7 |
| 1986 | 409.1 | 413.3 | 409.1 | 413.2 | 170.0 | 169.7 |
| 1987 | 423.2 | 420.2 | 423.2 | 420.1 | 169.9 | 170.6 |
| 1988 | 417.8 | 420.7 | 417.8 | 420.6 | 170.9 | 171.5 |
| 1989 | 418.5 | 421.1 | 418.5 | 421.2 | 172.9 | 172.5 |
| 1990 | 424.8 | 421.6 | 424.8 | 421.7 | 172.9 | 173.4 |
| 1991 | 428.5 | 422.1 | 428.5 | 422.2 | 173.4 | 173.1 |
| 1992 | 423.4 | 422.5 | 423.4 | 422.7 | 172.6 | 172.8 |
| 1993 | 417.0 | 423.0 | 417.0 | 423.2 | 172.8 | 172.6 |
| 1994 | 423.1 | 423.5 | 423.1 | 423.8 | 172.6 | 172.3 |
| 1995 | 426.1 | 423.9 | 426.1 | 424.3 | 171.7 | 172.0 |
| 1996 | 428.1 | 431.2 | 428.1 | 430.6 | 169.8 | 169.9 |
| 1997 | 440.9 | 438.6 | 440.9 | 436.9 | 167.3 | 167.8 |
| 1998 | 446.5 | 446.1 | 446.5 | 443.4 | 165.4 | 165.8 |
| 1999 | 443.5 | 443.9 | 443.5 | 442.4 | 165.9 | 165.4 |
| 2000 | 437.7 | 441.7 | 437.7 | 441.5 | 166.0 | 165.0 |
| 2001 | 442.2 | 439.6 | 442.2 | 440.5 | 163.8 | 164.7 |
| 2002 | 441.0 | 437.5 | 441.0 | 439.6 | 162.6 | 162.4 |
| 2003 | 432.5 | 435.4 | 432.5 | 438.7 | 160.4 | 160.2 |
| 2004 | 433.5 | 435.6 | 433.5 | 437.7 | 157.4 | 158.1 |
| 2005 | 434.7 | 435.9 | 434.1 | 436.8 | 156.0 | 155.9 |
| 2006 | 435.3 | 436.2 | 434.2 | 435.9 | 154.5 | 153.8 |
| 2007 | 436.8 | 436.4 | 435.3 | 434.9 | 151.9 | 151.7 |
| 2008 | 440.0 | 436.7 | 438.0 | 434.0 | 149.4 | 149.7 |
| 2009 | 443.7 | 436.9 | 441.1 | 433.1 | 147.5 | 147.7 |
| 2010 | 435.1 | 437.2 | 432.1 | 432.2 | 145.9 | 145.7 |
| 2011 | 436.3 | 437.5 | 432.0 | 431.2 | 143.4 | 143.7 |
| 2012 | 436.5 | 437.7 | 430.2 | 430.3 | 142.0 | 141.7 |
| 2013 | 436.5 | 438.0 | 425.5 | 429.4 | 139.7 | 139.8 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 356.6 | 344.2 | 356.6 | 343.1 | 174.2 | 177.2 |
| 1976 | 340.9 | 348.0 | 340.9 | 347.1 | 179.1 | 178.9 |
| 1977 | 352.5 | 351.9 | 352.5 | 351.1 | 181.6 | 180.7 |
| 1978 | 344.1 | 355.7 | 344.1 | 355.2 | 181.5 | 182.5 |
| 1979 | 359.3 | 359.7 | 359.3 | 359.3 | 182.7 | 184.4 |
| 1980 | 366.5 | 363.6 | 366.5 | 363.5 | 189.2 | 186.2 |
| 1981 | 363.0 | 367.6 | 363.0 | 367.7 | 187.5 | 188.1 |
| 1982 | 359.4 | 371.7 | 359.4 | 372.0 | 190.2 | 189.9 |
| 1983 | 382.3 | 375.8 | 382.3 | 376.3 | 193.2 | 191.8 |
| 1984 | 386.2 | 379.9 | 386.2 | 380.7 | 195.7 | 193.8 |
| 1985 | 388.4 | 384.1 | 388.4 | 385.1 | 196.3 | 195.7 |
| 1986 | 396.7 | 388.4 | 396.7 | 389.6 | 199.1 | 197.6 |
| 1987 | 394.1 | 392.7 | 394.1 | 394.1 | 199.9 | 199.6 |
| 1988 | 404.5 | 397.0 | 404.5 | 398.7 | 200.4 | 201.6 |
| 1989 | 385.0 | 401.4 | 385.0 | 403.3 | 200.9 | 203.6 |
| 1990 | 409.5 | 405.8 | 409.5 | 408.0 | 205.4 | 205.7 |
| 1991 | 412.8 | 410.3 | 412.8 | 412.7 | 207.4 | 207.7 |
| 1992 | 413.9 | 410.8 | 413.9 | 412.8 | 205.8 | 206.6 |
| 1993 | 404.3 | 411.4 | 404.3 | 412.9 | 206.3 | 205.4 |
| 1994 | 409.2 | 411.9 | 409.2 | 412.9 | 204.1 | 204.2 |
| 1995 | 405.0 | 412.4 | 405.0 | 413.0 | 204.5 | 203.1 |
| 1996 | 417.7 | 413.0 | 417.7 | 413.1 | 200.9 | 202.0 |
| 1997 | 411.8 | 413.5 | 411.8 | 413.1 | 202.5 | 200.8 |
| 1998 | 419.5 | 414.0 | 419.5 | 413.2 | 198.4 | 199.7 |
| 1999 | 422.0 | 414.6 | 422.0 | 413.3 | 197.5 | 198.6 |
| 2000 | 405.7 | 415.1 | 405.7 | 413.4 | 193.2 | 195.4 |
| 2001 | 401.6 | 415.7 | 401.6 | 413.4 | 192.1 | 192.3 |
| 2002 | 427.3 | 416.2 | 427.3 | 413.5 | 191.4 | 189.3 |
| 2003 | 413.8 | 416.8 | 413.8 | 413.6 | 188.8 | 186.3 |
| 2004 | 419.5 | 417.3 | 419.5 | 413.6 | 183.5 | 183.4 |
| 2005 | 421.8 | 417.8 | 420.8 | 413.7 | 180.9 | 180.5 |
| 2006 | 418.3 | 418.4 | 416.2 | 413.8 | 177.3 | 177.6 |
| 2007 | 418.3 | 418.9 | 415.2 | 413.8 | 175.5 | 174.8 |
| 2008 | 422.4 | 419.5 | 418.1 | 413.9 | 170.4 | 172.1 |
| 2009 | 427.7 | 420.0 | 422.4 | 414.0 | 167.4 | 169.4 |
| 2010 | 413.4 | 420.6 | 407.2 | 414.0 | 166.2 | 166.7 |
| 2011 | 421.0 | 421.1 | 412.9 | 414.1 | 166.0 | 164.0 |
| 2012 | 428.0 | 421.7 | 417.1 | 414.2 | 161.7 | 161.5 |
| 2013 | 413.9 | 422.2 | 398.5 | 414.3 | 158.4 | 158.9 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-13 | -2.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-13 | -3.4* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2001-13 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2008-13 | -3.3* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2008-13 | -4.0* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-13 | -2.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2003-13 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-13 | -0.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2001-13 | -1.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-13 | 0.1* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-13 | 0.0 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1999-13 | -1.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.3.0.0, April 2016, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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