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Figure 5.2

CSR Figure 5.2: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Age and Race


Figure 5.2

Rates per 100,000 for Cervix Uteri, White, Female, 1975-2013, Ages <50
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.8 1.9 1.9
1976 8.7 8.4 8.7 8.4 1.9 1.8
1977 7.6 8.1 7.6 8.1 1.6 1.7
1978 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.8 1.8 1.7
1979 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 1.6 1.6
1980 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.2 1.6 1.6
1981 6.6 6.9 6.6 6.9 1.6 1.6
1982 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.6 1.5 1.6
1983 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 1.5 1.6
1984 7.4 6.9 7.4 6.9 1.5 1.5
1985 6.7 7.0 6.7 7.0 1.5 1.5
1986 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.2 1.5 1.5
1987 6.8 7.3 6.8 7.3 1.5 1.5
1988 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 1.5 1.5
1989 7.9 7.6 7.9 7.6 1.5 1.5
1990 7.7 7.5 7.7 7.5 1.6 1.5
1991 6.8 7.4 6.8 7.4 1.5 1.5
1992 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 1.5 1.5
1993 7.0 7.1 7.0 7.1 1.5 1.5
1994 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.9 1.5 1.5
1995 6.5 6.8 6.5 6.8 1.5 1.5
1996 7.1 6.7 7.1 6.7 1.5 1.5
1997 6.9 6.5 6.9 6.5 1.4 1.5
1998 6.9 6.4 6.9 6.4 1.5 1.4
1999 6.6 6.3 6.6 6.3 1.3 1.4
2000 5.9 6.2 5.9 6.2 1.2 1.3
2001 5.8 6.1 5.8 6.1 1.3 1.3
2002 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.9 1.2 1.2
2003 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.8 1.2 1.2
2004 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 1.2 1.2
2005 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.6 1.2 1.2
2006 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.6 1.2 1.2
2007 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 1.1 1.2
2008 5.3 5.7 5.3 5.6 1.1 1.2
2009 6.0 5.7 6.0 5.6 1.2 1.2
2010 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.6 1.1 1.2
2011 6.0 5.7 5.9 5.6 1.2 1.2
2012 5.5 5.7 5.4 5.6 1.2 1.2
2013 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.7 1.2 1.2
Rates per 100,000 for Cervix Uteri, Black, Female, 1975-2013, Ages <50
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 17.6 15.7 17.6 15.7 5.7 5.1
1976 16.1 15.2 16.1 15.2 4.9 4.9
1977 15.9 14.7 15.9 14.7 5.0 4.8
1978 12.4 14.2 12.4 14.2 4.8 4.7
1979 16.2 13.8 16.2 13.8 4.5 4.5
1980 13.5 13.3 13.5 13.3 4.6 4.4
1981 13.6 12.9 13.6 12.9 3.7 4.3
1982 10.2 12.5 10.2 12.5 3.6 4.1
1983 11.9 12.1 11.9 12.1 3.9 4.0
1984 12.6 11.7 12.6 11.7 3.9 3.9
1985 9.7 11.3 9.7 11.3 3.4 3.8
1986 10.6 11.0 10.6 11.0 4.0 3.7
1987 8.7 10.6 8.7 10.6 3.6 3.6
1988 10.4 10.3 10.4 10.3 3.0 3.5
1989 7.9 10.0 7.9 9.9 3.3 3.4
1990 9.9 9.6 9.9 9.6 3.4 3.3
1991 9.2 9.3 9.2 9.3 3.2 3.2
1992 10.0 9.0 10.0 9.0 3.4 3.1
1993 8.9 8.7 8.9 8.7 3.1 3.0
1994 6.9 8.5 6.9 8.4 2.8 2.9
1995 8.0 8.2 8.0 8.2 3.0 2.8
1996 8.3 7.9 8.3 7.9 2.5 2.7
1997 8.1 7.7 8.1 7.7 2.8 2.7
1998 9.0 7.4 9.0 7.4 2.5 2.4
1999 8.0 7.2 8.0 7.2 1.9 2.2
2000 6.4 7.0 6.4 6.9 2.2 2.0
2001 5.0 6.7 5.0 6.7 1.9 2.0
2002 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.5 2.1 2.0
2003 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.3 1.9 1.9
2004 6.8 6.1 6.8 6.1 1.9 1.9
2005 5.4 5.9 5.4 5.9 1.9 1.9
2006 5.2 5.7 5.2 5.7 1.9 1.9
2007 4.5 5.6 4.4 5.5 1.9 1.8
2008 6.1 5.4 6.1 5.3 1.8 1.8
2009 4.4 5.2 4.4 5.2 1.8 1.8
2010 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.0 1.7 1.7
2011 5.2 4.9 5.2 4.8 1.7 1.7
2012 5.1 4.7 5.0 4.7 1.7 1.7
2013 5.4 4.6 5.2 4.5 1.6 1.7
Rates per 100,000 for Cervix Uteri, White, Female, 1975-2013, Ages 50+
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 24.8 24.6 24.8 24.6 12.1 12.2
1976 23.7 23.4 23.7 23.4 12.1 11.6
1977 22.5 22.4 22.5 22.4 11.0 11.1
1978 20.9 21.3 20.9 21.3 10.4 10.6
1979 19.9 20.3 19.9 20.3 10.2 10.1
1980 20.6 19.4 20.6 19.4 9.5 9.6
1981 17.2 18.5 17.2 18.5 9.4 9.2
1982 16.5 17.6 16.5 17.6 8.7 8.8
1983 17.0 16.8 17.0 16.8 8.4 8.4
1984 16.7 16.0 16.7 16.0 8.1 8.0
1985 15.4 15.3 15.4 15.3 7.9 7.8
1986 16.0 15.3 16.0 15.3 7.8 7.7
1987 14.5 15.4 14.5 15.4 7.4 7.6
1988 15.0 15.4 15.0 15.4 7.2 7.4
1989 15.7 15.4 15.7 15.4 7.1 7.3
1990 15.7 15.5 15.7 15.5 7.4 7.2
1991 15.7 15.5 15.7 15.5 7.0 7.0
1992 15.2 15.6 15.2 15.6 6.9 6.9
1993 14.8 14.5 14.8 14.5 6.8 6.8
1994 13.7 13.5 13.7 13.6 6.9 6.7
1995 11.7 12.6 11.7 12.6 6.4 6.6
1996 12.9 12.3 12.9 12.3 6.5 6.4
1997 12.2 12.0 12.2 12.1 6.2 6.2
1998 12.6 11.8 12.6 11.8 5.8 6.0
1999 11.0 11.5 11.0 11.5 5.8 5.8
2000 11.4 11.3 11.4 11.2 5.7 5.6
2001 11.5 11.0 11.5 11.0 5.4 5.4
2002 10.5 10.8 10.5 10.7 5.1 5.2
2003 10.0 10.5 10.0 10.5 5.1 5.0
2004 10.0 10.3 10.0 10.2 4.8 4.9
2005 9.6 10.1 9.5 10.0 4.9 4.9
2006 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.8 5.0 4.9
2007 8.9 9.6 8.9 9.6 5.0 4.8
2008 9.5 9.4 9.5 9.3 4.9 4.8
2009 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.1 4.5 4.8
2010 9.5 9.0 9.5 8.9 4.6 4.7
2011 9.1 8.8 9.0 8.7 4.7 4.7
2012 8.9 8.6 8.8 8.5 4.7 4.7
2013 8.1 8.4 7.9 8.3 4.7 4.6
Rates per 100,000 for Cervix Uteri, Black, Female, 1975-2013, Ages 50+
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 73.8 65.3 73.8 65.5 33.3 34.5
1976 64.4 62.8 64.4 62.9 33.7 32.6
1977 60.8 60.3 60.8 60.5 31.1 30.8
1978 55.0 58.0 55.0 58.1 29.6 29.1
1979 62.4 55.7 62.4 55.8 26.7 27.5
1980 49.4 53.5 49.4 53.6 26.9 26.8
1981 51.2 51.5 51.2 51.5 26.0 26.1
1982 52.4 49.4 52.4 49.5 25.9 25.4
1983 37.0 47.5 37.0 47.5 25.2 24.7
1984 43.8 45.7 43.8 45.7 23.3 24.0
1985 43.8 43.9 43.8 43.9 23.7 23.4
1986 38.5 42.2 38.5 42.2 22.9 22.8
1987 45.0 40.5 45.0 40.5 20.3 22.2
1988 41.7 38.9 41.7 38.9 21.7 21.6
1989 35.9 37.4 35.9 37.4 22.6 21.0
1990 35.2 35.9 35.2 35.9 19.2 20.4
1991 35.0 34.5 35.0 34.5 19.4 19.9
1992 25.0 33.2 25.0 33.1 20.4 19.4
1993 26.5 31.9 26.5 31.8 19.6 18.8
1994 32.6 30.6 32.6 30.6 16.8 18.0
1995 28.9 29.4 28.9 29.4 17.5 17.2
1996 30.6 28.3 30.6 28.2 15.8 16.4
1997 28.4 27.2 28.4 27.1 16.0 15.7
1998 23.9 26.1 23.9 26.1 14.7 14.9
1999 27.3 25.1 27.3 25.0 14.6 14.3
2000 20.2 24.1 20.2 24.1 14.0 13.6
2001 27.6 23.2 27.6 23.1 12.4 13.0
2002 20.7 22.3 20.7 22.2 12.6 12.4
2003 23.0 21.4 23.0 21.3 11.8 11.9
2004 21.2 20.6 21.2 20.5 11.3 11.3
2005 17.7 19.8 17.6 19.7 10.7 10.8
2006 18.1 19.0 18.1 18.9 10.6 10.6
2007 19.3 18.3 19.2 18.2 10.6 10.4
2008 18.8 17.5 18.7 17.5 10.4 10.2
2009 17.7 16.9 17.6 16.8 10.2 10.1
2010 16.3 16.2 16.2 16.1 9.7 9.9
2011 14.9 15.6 14.7 15.5 9.8 9.7
2012 14.5 15.0 14.4 14.9 9.0 9.5
2013 14.9 14.4 14.5 14.3 9.7 9.4
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Cervix Uteri, Female, 1975-2013
Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Ages <502005-130.3
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Ages <502005-130.1
U.S. Mortality, White, Ages <502003-13-0.1
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Ages <501975-13-3.2*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Ages <501975-13-3.2*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Ages <502000-13-1.6*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Ages 50+1995-13-2.2*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Ages 50+1995-13-2.3*
U.S. Mortality, White, Ages 50+2003-13-0.7*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Ages 50+1975-13-3.9*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Ages 50+1975-13-3.9*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Ages 50+2005-13-1.8*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.3.0.0, April 2016, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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