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Table 8.13

Cancer of the Esophagus (Invasive)

Risk of Being Diagnosed With Cancer in 10, 20 and 30 Years,
Lifetime Risk of Being Diagnosed with Cancer Given Alive and Cancer-Free at Current Age, and
Lifetime Risk of Dying from Cancer Given Alive at Current Age
Males, 2011-2013 By Race/Ethnicity
Race/
Ethnicity		 Current Age Risk of Being Diagnosed with Cancer Risk of Dying from Cancer
+10 yrs +20 yrs +30 yrs Eventually Eventually
All Races 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.78
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.79
20 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.79 0.79
30 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.80 0.80
40 0.03 0.13 0.35 0.81 0.81
50 0.10 0.33 0.60 0.80 0.81
60 0.25 0.53 0.72 0.75 0.77
70 0.34 0.55 - 0.59 0.63
80 0.30 - - 0.36 0.43
White 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.82
10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.84 0.83
20 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.84 0.83
30 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.85 0.84
40 0.03 0.14 0.37 0.86 0.85
50 0.11 0.35 0.64 0.86 0.85
60 0.26 0.57 0.76 0.80 0.80
70 0.36 0.58 - 0.63 0.66
80 0.32 - - 0.38 0.45
Black 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.56
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.57
20 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.62 0.57
30 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.64 0.58
40 0.03 0.14 0.35 0.65 0.59
50 0.12 0.33 0.55 0.65 0.60
60 0.24 0.48 0.58 0.59 0.55
70 0.30 0.43 - 0.45 0.44
80 0.21 - - 0.24 0.29
Asian/ Pacific
Islander 		0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.45
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.46
20 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.45 0.46
30 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.45 0.46
40 0.01 0.06 0.15 0.45 0.46
50 0.05 0.14 0.28 0.45 0.46
60 0.10 0.24 0.36 0.42 0.43
70 0.15 0.28 - 0.34 0.38
80 0.16 - - 0.24 0.30
American Indian/
Alaska Nativea 		0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.46
10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.59 0.47
20 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.59 0.47
30 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.60 0.48
40 0.03 0.12 0.27 0.62 0.49
50 0.09 0.25 0.36 0.62 0.50
60 0.17 0.29 0.51 0.58 0.49
70 0.14 0.39 - 0.47 0.43
80 0.37 - - 0.48 0.29
Hispanicb 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.53
10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.54
20 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.58 0.54
30 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.58 0.55
40 0.02 0.08 0.21 0.59 0.55
50 0.07 0.20 0.40 0.58 0.55
60 0.14 0.35 0.51 0.55 0.53
70 0.24 0.42 - 0.46 0.47
80 0.24 - - 0.29 0.37

Footnotes:

Devcan 6.7.4, August 2016, National Cancer Institute (https://surveillance.cancer.gov/devcan/).

Source: Incidence data are from the SEER 18 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry, Rural Georgia, California excluding SF/SJM/LA, Kentucky, Louisiana, New Jersey, and Georgia excluding ATL/RG). Mortality data are from the NCHS public use data file for the total US.

a Underlying incidence and mortality data for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the CHSDA(Contract Health Service Delivery Area) counties.

b Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Underlying incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry.

- Statistic could not be calculated.

A percent of 0.00 represents a value that is below 0.005.

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