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Figure 8.3
Figure 8.3
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Esophagus, Male, by Race
Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 6.7 | ||||
1976 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 6.8 | ||||
1977 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 6.8 | ||||
1978 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 6.9 | ||||
1979 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 6.9 | ||||
1980 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 7.0 | ||||
1981 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.0 | ||||
1982 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 7.1 | ||||
1983 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 7.1 | ||||
1984 | 6.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 7.2 | ||||
1985 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | ||||
1986 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.3 | ||||
1987 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.4 | ||||
1988 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.4 | ||||
1989 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.5 | ||||
1990 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.2 | 7.5 | ||||
1991 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 7.6 | ||||
1992 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 7.4 |
1993 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.5 |
1994 | 7.7 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 7.5 |
1995 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 7.1 | 7.7 | 7.1 | 7.5 |
1996 | 8.1 | 7.9 | 8.1 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 7.6 |
1997 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 7.6 |
1998 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 |
1999 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 7.7 |
2000 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
2001 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 7.7 |
2002 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.8 |
2003 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.8 |
2004 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 8.3 | 7.8 |
2005 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
2006 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.6 |
2007 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.5 |
2008 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.4 |
2009 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.3 |
2010 | 7.7 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.2 |
2011 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.1 |
2012 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
2013 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 6.9 |
Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 5.2 | ||||
1976 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 5.3 | ||||
1977 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.4 | ||||
1978 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.5 | ||||
1979 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 5.6 | ||||
1980 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | ||||
1981 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 5.8 | ||||
1982 | 5.5 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 5.9 | ||||
1983 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.0 | ||||
1984 | 5.6 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 6.1 | ||||
1985 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.2 | ||||
1986 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.3 | ||||
1987 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | ||||
1988 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 6.6 | ||||
1989 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 6.7 | ||||
1990 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 7.2 | 6.8 | ||||
1991 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 6.9 | ||||
1992 | 7.4 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 6.8 |
1993 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 6.9 |
1994 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 7.0 |
1995 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 7.1 |
1996 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.2 |
1997 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 |
1998 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.4 |
1999 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 7.6 |
2000 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.7 |
2001 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 7.8 |
2002 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.9 |
2003 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 8.0 |
2004 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 8.7 | 8.2 | 8.7 | 8.2 |
2005 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 8.1 |
2006 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
2007 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 8.0 | 7.9 | 8.0 |
2008 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
2009 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 7.8 |
2010 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 7.8 |
2011 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 7.7 |
2012 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.6 |
2013 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 7.9 | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 7.6 |
Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1975 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 20.1 | ||||
1976 | 16.9 | 20.3 | 16.9 | 20.3 | ||||
1977 | 20.9 | 20.5 | 20.9 | 20.5 | ||||
1978 | 24.4 | 20.8 | 24.4 | 20.8 | ||||
1979 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 23.0 | 21.0 | ||||
1980 | 18.8 | 21.2 | 18.8 | 21.2 | ||||
1981 | 21.3 | 21.5 | 21.3 | 21.5 | ||||
1982 | 22.7 | 21.7 | 22.7 | 21.7 | ||||
1983 | 22.2 | 22.0 | 22.2 | 22.0 | ||||
1984 | 19.9 | 22.2 | 19.9 | 22.2 | ||||
1985 | 22.2 | 22.5 | 22.2 | 22.5 | ||||
1986 | 24.0 | 22.7 | 24.0 | 22.7 | ||||
1987 | 20.1 | 21.6 | 20.1 | 21.6 | ||||
1988 | 19.5 | 20.6 | 19.5 | 20.6 | ||||
1989 | 17.3 | 19.6 | 17.3 | 19.6 | ||||
1990 | 21.3 | 18.6 | 21.3 | 18.7 | ||||
1991 | 17.8 | 17.7 | 17.8 | 17.8 | ||||
1992 | 18.2 | 16.9 | 18.2 | 16.9 | 17.0 | 16.1 | 17.0 | 16.1 |
1993 | 17.5 | 16.1 | 17.5 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 15.3 | 16.4 | 15.3 |
1994 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 13.9 | 14.6 | 13.9 | 14.6 |
1995 | 13.8 | 14.6 | 13.8 | 14.6 | 13.5 | 13.9 | 13.5 | 13.9 |
1996 | 16.4 | 13.9 | 16.4 | 13.9 | 15.0 | 13.3 | 15.0 | 13.3 |
1997 | 11.0 | 13.2 | 11.0 | 13.2 | 11.2 | 12.6 | 11.2 | 12.6 |
1998 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 11.3 | 12.0 |
1999 | 11.5 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 11.9 | 10.4 | 11.5 | 10.4 | 11.5 |
2000 | 10.6 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 11.4 | 10.2 | 10.9 | 10.2 | 10.9 |
2001 | 11.6 | 10.8 | 11.6 | 10.8 | 11.2 | 10.4 | 11.2 | 10.4 |
2002 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.9 |
2003 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 10.2 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 9.5 |
2004 | 8.9 | 9.3 | 8.9 | 9.3 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 9.0 |
2005 | 8.6 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 8.9 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 8.1 | 8.6 |
2006 | 8.8 | 8.5 | 8.8 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 7.9 | 8.2 |
2007 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 8.4 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 7.8 |
2008 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 7.4 |
2009 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 7.7 | 7.1 | 7.7 | 7.1 |
2010 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.7 |
2011 | 4.8 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 6.6 | 5.3 | 6.4 | 5.3 | 6.4 |
2012 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.1 |
2013 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 6.4 | 5.8 |
Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
---|---|---|
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2013 | 2004-13 | -1.3* |
Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2013 | 2004-13 | -1.4* |
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2013 | 1992-13 | -0.3* |
Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2013 | 2004-13 | -1.4* |
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2013 | 2004-13 | -0.6 |
Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2013 | 2004-13 | -0.7 |
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2013 | 2004-13 | -0.7 |
Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2013 | 2004-13 | -0.9 |
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2013 | 1986-13 | -4.8* |
Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2013 | 1986-13 | -4.8* |
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2013 | 1992-13 | -4.7* |
Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2013 | 1992-13 | -4.7* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.3.0.0, April 2016, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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