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Figure 8.3

CSR Figure 8.3: SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates for SEER 9 and SEER 13 Areas, Males


Figure 8.3

Rates per 100,000 for Esophagus, All Races, Male, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Observed SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Observed SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.7    
1976 6.9 6.8 6.9 6.8    
1977 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.8    
1978 7.0 6.9 7.0 6.9    
1979 7.4 6.9 7.4 6.9    
1980 6.9 7.0 6.9 7.0    
1981 6.5 7.0 6.5 7.0    
1982 6.8 7.1 6.8 7.1    
1983 7.4 7.1 7.4 7.1    
1984 6.7 7.2 6.7 7.2    
1985 7.4 7.3 7.4 7.3    
1986 7.5 7.3 7.5 7.3    
1987 7.5 7.4 7.5 7.4    
1988 7.3 7.4 7.3 7.4    
1989 7.3 7.5 7.3 7.5    
1990 8.2 7.5 8.2 7.5    
1991 7.4 7.6 7.4 7.6    
1992 8.0 7.7 8.0 7.7 7.5 7.7 7.5 7.4
1993 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.6 7.5
1994 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.8 7.3 7.7 7.3 7.5
1995 7.1 7.8 7.1 7.8 7.1 7.7 7.1 7.5
1996 8.1 7.9 8.1 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.8 7.6
1997 7.8 8.0 7.8 8.0 7.4 7.6 7.4 7.6
1998 8.2 8.0 8.2 8.0 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.6
1999 8.4 8.1 8.4 8.1 8.0 7.6 8.0 7.7
2000 8.0 8.2 8.0 8.2 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.7
2001 8.5 8.2 8.5 8.2 8.1 7.5 8.1 7.7
2002 7.9 8.3 7.9 8.3 7.4 7.5 7.4 7.8
2003 8.0 8.3 8.0 8.4 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.8
2004 9.0 8.4 9.0 8.4 8.3 7.5 8.3 7.8
2005 8.1 8.3 8.1 8.3 7.5 7.4 7.5 7.7
2006 8.0 8.2 8.0 8.2 7.3 7.4 7.3 7.6
2007 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.5
2008 8.2 8.0 8.2 8.0 7.5 7.4 7.5 7.4
2009 7.8 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.5 7.3
2010 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.2 7.3 7.2 7.2
2011 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.6 7.2 7.3 7.2 7.1
2012 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.0 7.3 7.0 7.0
2013 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.4 6.9 7.3 6.8 6.9
Rates per 100,000 for Esophagus, White, Male, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Observed SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Observed SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 5.6 5.2 5.6 5.2    
1976 5.9 5.3 5.9 5.3    
1977 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.4    
1978 5.7 5.5 5.7 5.5    
1979 6.2 5.6 6.2 5.6    
1980 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7    
1981 5.2 5.8 5.2 5.8    
1982 5.5 5.9 5.5 5.9    
1983 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.0    
1984 5.6 6.1 5.6 6.1    
1985 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.2    
1986 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.3    
1987 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4    
1988 6.3 6.6 6.3 6.6    
1989 6.2 6.7 6.2 6.7    
1990 7.2 6.8 7.2 6.8    
1991 6.7 6.9 6.7 6.9    
1992 7.4 7.0 7.4 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.9 6.8
1993 6.9 7.1 6.9 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9
1994 7.2 7.3 7.2 7.3 6.9 7.0 6.9 7.0
1995 6.6 7.4 6.6 7.4 6.7 7.1 6.7 7.1
1996 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.3 7.2
1997 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.7 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3
1998 7.9 7.8 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.6 7.4
1999 8.4 7.9 8.4 7.9 8.1 7.6 8.1 7.6
2000 8.0 8.1 8.0 8.1 7.6 7.7 7.6 7.7
2001 8.4 8.2 8.4 8.2 8.2 7.8 8.2 7.8
2002 8.1 8.3 8.1 8.3 7.5 7.9 7.5 7.9
2003 8.2 8.5 8.2 8.5 7.8 8.0 7.8 8.0
2004 9.3 8.6 9.3 8.6 8.7 8.2 8.7 8.2
2005 8.5 8.6 8.5 8.6 7.8 8.1 7.8 8.1
2006 8.3 8.5 8.3 8.5 7.5 8.0 7.5 8.0
2007 8.4 8.5 8.4 8.4 7.9 8.0 7.9 8.0
2008 8.6 8.4 8.6 8.4 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9
2009 8.5 8.4 8.5 8.3 8.2 7.9 8.2 7.8
2010 8.0 8.3 7.9 8.3 7.6 7.8 7.6 7.8
2011 8.6 8.3 8.5 8.2 8.0 7.7 8.0 7.7
2012 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.1 7.7 7.7 7.6 7.6
2013 8.0 8.2 7.9 8.1 7.5 7.6 7.3 7.6
Rates per 100,000 for Esophagus, Black, Male, All Ages
Year Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Observed SEER 9 Incidence
1975-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Observed SEER 13 Incidence
1992-2013
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 20.1 20.1 20.1 20.1    
1976 16.9 20.3 16.9 20.3    
1977 20.9 20.5 20.9 20.5    
1978 24.4 20.8 24.4 20.8    
1979 23.0 21.0 23.0 21.0    
1980 18.8 21.2 18.8 21.2    
1981 21.3 21.5 21.3 21.5    
1982 22.7 21.7 22.7 21.7    
1983 22.2 22.0 22.2 22.0    
1984 19.9 22.2 19.9 22.2    
1985 22.2 22.5 22.2 22.5    
1986 24.0 22.7 24.0 22.7    
1987 20.1 21.6 20.1 21.6    
1988 19.5 20.6 19.5 20.6    
1989 17.3 19.6 17.3 19.6    
1990 21.3 18.6 21.3 18.7    
1991 17.8 17.7 17.8 17.8    
1992 18.2 16.9 18.2 16.9 17.0 16.1 17.0 16.1
1993 17.5 16.1 17.5 16.1 16.4 15.3 16.4 15.3
1994 14.7 15.3 14.7 15.3 13.9 14.6 13.9 14.6
1995 13.8 14.6 13.8 14.6 13.5 13.9 13.5 13.9
1996 16.4 13.9 16.4 13.9 15.0 13.3 15.0 13.3
1997 11.0 13.2 11.0 13.2 11.2 12.6 11.2 12.6
1998 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.6 11.3 12.0 11.3 12.0
1999 11.5 12.0 11.5 11.9 10.4 11.5 10.4 11.5
2000 10.6 11.4 10.6 11.4 10.2 10.9 10.2 10.9
2001 11.6 10.8 11.6 10.8 11.2 10.4 11.2 10.4
2002 10.0 10.3 10.0 10.3 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.9
2003 10.2 9.8 10.2 9.8 9.9 9.5 9.9 9.5
2004 8.9 9.3 8.9 9.3 8.4 9.0 8.4 9.0
2005 8.6 8.9 8.6 8.9 8.1 8.6 8.1 8.6
2006 8.8 8.5 8.8 8.4 7.9 8.2 7.9 8.2
2007 8.4 8.1 8.4 8.0 8.1 7.8 8.1 7.8
2008 7.9 7.7 7.9 7.7 7.9 7.4 7.9 7.4
2009 6.7 7.3 6.7 7.3 7.7 7.1 7.7 7.1
2010 7.5 7.0 7.5 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.7
2011 4.8 6.6 4.8 6.6 5.3 6.4 5.3 6.4
2012 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.2 6.1
2013 6.9 6.0 6.8 6.0 6.6 5.9 6.4 5.8
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Esophagus, Male, All Ages
Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-20132004-13-1.3*
Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-20132004-13-1.4*
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-20131992-13-0.3*
Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-20132004-13-1.4*
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-20132004-13-0.6
Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-20132004-13-0.7
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-20132004-13-0.7
Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-20132004-13-0.9
Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-20131986-13-4.8*
Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-20131986-13-4.8*
Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-20131992-13-4.7*
Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-20131992-13-4.7*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.3.0.0, April 2016, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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