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Figure 15.2
Figure 15.2
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, Under 65 Years of Age, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Male, 1975-2013, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Male, 1975-2013, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Female, 1975-2013, Ages <65
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Female, 1975-2013, Ages <65
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 39.1 | 40.1 | 39.1 | 40.1 | 32.2 | 32.3 |
| 1976 | 39.6 | 40.0 | 39.6 | 40.0 | 32.6 | 32.5 |
| 1977 | 39.5 | 39.9 | 39.5 | 39.8 | 32.5 | 32.6 |
| 1978 | 40.8 | 39.7 | 40.8 | 39.7 | 33.1 | 32.8 |
| 1979 | 39.7 | 39.6 | 39.7 | 39.6 | 32.9 | 33.0 |
| 1980 | 40.4 | 39.5 | 40.4 | 39.5 | 33.1 | 33.2 |
| 1981 | 40.0 | 39.4 | 40.0 | 39.4 | 32.9 | 33.0 |
| 1982 | 39.3 | 39.3 | 39.3 | 39.3 | 32.7 | 32.8 |
| 1983 | 38.4 | 39.1 | 38.4 | 39.2 | 32.1 | 32.6 |
| 1984 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 39.1 | 32.5 | 32.4 |
| 1985 | 39.5 | 38.9 | 39.5 | 39.0 | 32.4 | 32.2 |
| 1986 | 38.1 | 38.8 | 38.1 | 38.8 | 32.0 | 32.0 |
| 1987 | 38.3 | 38.7 | 38.3 | 38.7 | 32.3 | 31.8 |
| 1988 | 38.1 | 37.4 | 38.1 | 37.4 | 31.8 | 31.6 |
| 1989 | 35.7 | 36.1 | 35.7 | 36.1 | 31.0 | 31.4 |
| 1990 | 34.9 | 34.9 | 34.9 | 34.9 | 30.9 | 31.2 |
| 1991 | 34.1 | 33.7 | 34.1 | 33.7 | 29.8 | 30.0 |
| 1992 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 28.7 | 28.9 |
| 1993 | 30.8 | 31.4 | 30.8 | 31.4 | 28.2 | 27.8 |
| 1994 | 29.8 | 30.4 | 29.8 | 30.3 | 27.0 | 26.8 |
| 1995 | 28.5 | 29.3 | 28.5 | 29.3 | 25.7 | 25.8 |
| 1996 | 27.9 | 28.3 | 27.9 | 28.3 | 25.1 | 24.8 |
| 1997 | 27.2 | 27.4 | 27.2 | 27.3 | 23.7 | 23.9 |
| 1998 | 26.7 | 26.4 | 26.7 | 26.4 | 22.9 | 23.0 |
| 1999 | 25.8 | 25.5 | 25.8 | 25.5 | 22.0 | 22.2 |
| 2000 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.6 | 21.7 | 21.6 |
| 2001 | 25.0 | 23.8 | 25.0 | 23.8 | 21.1 | 21.0 |
| 2002 | 23.1 | 23.0 | 23.1 | 23.0 | 20.4 | 20.5 |
| 2003 | 22.5 | 22.2 | 22.5 | 22.2 | 19.7 | 19.7 |
| 2004 | 21.0 | 21.5 | 21.0 | 21.4 | 19.0 | 19.0 |
| 2005 | 21.2 | 20.7 | 21.2 | 20.7 | 18.6 | 18.3 |
| 2006 | 20.4 | 20.0 | 20.3 | 20.0 | 17.7 | 17.6 |
| 2007 | 19.7 | 19.3 | 19.6 | 19.3 | 16.7 | 17.0 |
| 2008 | 17.9 | 18.7 | 17.9 | 18.6 | 16.3 | 16.4 |
| 2009 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 15.7 | 15.8 |
| 2010 | 16.7 | 17.4 | 16.7 | 17.4 | 15.0 | 15.2 |
| 2011 | 17.1 | 16.8 | 17.0 | 16.8 | 14.6 | 14.6 |
| 2012 | 16.2 | 16.3 | 16.0 | 16.2 | 14.1 | 14.1 |
| 2013 | 15.9 | 15.7 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 13.7 | 13.6 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 66.8 | 69.0 | 66.8 | 68.9 | 54.2 | 54.0 |
| 1976 | 71.4 | 70.3 | 71.4 | 70.2 | 54.9 | 55.5 |
| 1977 | 72.0 | 71.5 | 72.0 | 71.5 | 57.7 | 57.1 |
| 1978 | 72.7 | 72.8 | 72.7 | 72.8 | 58.5 | 58.7 |
| 1979 | 72.9 | 74.2 | 72.9 | 74.2 | 57.4 | 58.4 |
| 1980 | 79.3 | 75.5 | 79.3 | 75.6 | 57.1 | 58.2 |
| 1981 | 74.8 | 76.9 | 74.8 | 77.0 | 58.3 | 57.9 |
| 1982 | 78.4 | 78.3 | 78.4 | 78.4 | 58.5 | 57.7 |
| 1983 | 79.6 | 79.7 | 79.6 | 79.8 | 57.5 | 57.5 |
| 1984 | 84.9 | 81.1 | 84.9 | 81.3 | 59.4 | 57.2 |
| 1985 | 76.8 | 82.6 | 76.8 | 82.8 | 58.0 | 57.0 |
| 1986 | 76.2 | 79.4 | 76.2 | 79.6 | 56.8 | 56.7 |
| 1987 | 70.5 | 76.4 | 70.5 | 76.5 | 55.5 | 56.5 |
| 1988 | 72.2 | 73.4 | 72.2 | 73.5 | 54.3 | 56.2 |
| 1989 | 71.2 | 70.6 | 71.2 | 70.7 | 55.7 | 56.0 |
| 1990 | 63.7 | 67.9 | 63.7 | 67.9 | 57.0 | 55.8 |
| 1991 | 70.9 | 65.3 | 70.9 | 65.3 | 53.0 | 53.4 |
| 1992 | 66.0 | 62.8 | 66.0 | 62.8 | 51.4 | 51.2 |
| 1993 | 59.3 | 60.3 | 59.3 | 60.3 | 49.3 | 49.1 |
| 1994 | 57.2 | 58.0 | 57.2 | 58.0 | 46.8 | 47.0 |
| 1995 | 57.3 | 55.8 | 57.3 | 55.7 | 45.2 | 45.1 |
| 1996 | 53.9 | 53.6 | 53.9 | 53.6 | 43.9 | 43.2 |
| 1997 | 51.8 | 51.6 | 51.8 | 51.5 | 41.0 | 41.4 |
| 1998 | 50.9 | 49.6 | 50.9 | 49.5 | 39.7 | 39.7 |
| 1999 | 49.7 | 47.7 | 49.7 | 47.6 | 37.4 | 38.0 |
| 2000 | 49.0 | 45.9 | 49.0 | 45.7 | 35.8 | 36.4 |
| 2001 | 44.2 | 44.1 | 44.2 | 43.9 | 33.8 | 34.9 |
| 2002 | 41.6 | 42.4 | 41.6 | 42.2 | 34.2 | 33.4 |
| 2003 | 46.8 | 40.8 | 46.8 | 40.6 | 32.2 | 32.1 |
| 2004 | 37.6 | 39.2 | 37.6 | 39.0 | 31.5 | 30.7 |
| 2005 | 35.5 | 37.7 | 35.5 | 37.5 | 29.6 | 29.2 |
| 2006 | 36.0 | 36.2 | 35.9 | 36.0 | 28.0 | 27.8 |
| 2007 | 35.7 | 34.8 | 35.6 | 34.6 | 26.3 | 26.5 |
| 2008 | 35.3 | 33.5 | 35.1 | 33.3 | 24.6 | 25.2 |
| 2009 | 33.2 | 32.2 | 33.0 | 32.0 | 23.8 | 24.0 |
| 2010 | 27.9 | 31.0 | 27.7 | 30.7 | 23.0 | 22.8 |
| 2011 | 28.2 | 29.8 | 27.9 | 29.6 | 21.3 | 21.7 |
| 2012 | 29.4 | 28.6 | 28.9 | 28.4 | 20.7 | 20.7 |
| 2013 | 24.9 | 27.5 | 24.3 | 27.3 | 20.1 | 19.7 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 16.4 | 16.7 | 16.4 | 16.7 | 10.9 | 11.0 |
| 1976 | 17.5 | 17.3 | 17.5 | 17.3 | 11.4 | 11.5 |
| 1977 | 17.7 | 18.0 | 17.7 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 11.9 |
| 1978 | 19.7 | 18.6 | 19.7 | 18.6 | 12.7 | 12.4 |
| 1979 | 19.3 | 19.3 | 19.3 | 19.3 | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| 1980 | 19.1 | 20.0 | 19.1 | 20.0 | 13.4 | 13.3 |
| 1981 | 21.0 | 20.7 | 21.0 | 20.7 | 13.7 | 13.9 |
| 1982 | 21.8 | 21.5 | 21.8 | 21.5 | 14.5 | 14.4 |
| 1983 | 22.7 | 22.3 | 22.7 | 22.3 | 15.0 | 14.9 |
| 1984 | 21.4 | 22.4 | 21.4 | 22.4 | 15.1 | 15.2 |
| 1985 | 22.5 | 22.6 | 22.5 | 22.6 | 15.6 | 15.4 |
| 1986 | 22.9 | 22.8 | 22.9 | 22.8 | 15.5 | 15.7 |
| 1987 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 15.9 | 16.0 |
| 1988 | 24.1 | 23.2 | 24.1 | 23.2 | 16.4 | 16.2 |
| 1989 | 22.9 | 23.4 | 22.9 | 23.4 | 16.5 | 16.5 |
| 1990 | 23.6 | 23.6 | 23.6 | 23.6 | 16.6 | 16.8 |
| 1991 | 23.9 | 23.3 | 23.9 | 23.3 | 16.4 | 16.5 |
| 1992 | 23.2 | 22.9 | 23.2 | 22.9 | 16.3 | 16.3 |
| 1993 | 21.9 | 22.6 | 21.9 | 22.6 | 16.2 | 16.0 |
| 1994 | 22.2 | 22.3 | 22.2 | 22.3 | 15.8 | 15.8 |
| 1995 | 21.8 | 22.0 | 21.8 | 22.0 | 15.8 | 15.5 |
| 1996 | 21.2 | 21.6 | 21.2 | 21.6 | 15.5 | 15.3 |
| 1997 | 21.7 | 21.3 | 21.7 | 21.3 | 15.0 | 15.0 |
| 1998 | 21.1 | 21.0 | 21.1 | 21.0 | 14.8 | 14.8 |
| 1999 | 20.6 | 20.7 | 20.6 | 20.7 | 14.1 | 14.6 |
| 2000 | 20.7 | 20.4 | 20.7 | 20.4 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| 2001 | 19.7 | 20.1 | 19.7 | 20.1 | 14.2 | 14.1 |
| 2002 | 20.2 | 19.8 | 20.2 | 19.8 | 14.0 | 13.9 |
| 2003 | 19.6 | 19.2 | 19.6 | 19.3 | 13.6 | 13.7 |
| 2004 | 18.3 | 18.7 | 18.3 | 18.7 | 13.3 | 13.3 |
| 2005 | 18.0 | 18.2 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 12.9 | 12.9 |
| 2006 | 17.5 | 17.7 | 17.5 | 17.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| 2007 | 17.3 | 17.2 | 17.2 | 17.1 | 12.4 | 12.2 |
| 2008 | 17.0 | 16.7 | 16.9 | 16.6 | 11.7 | 11.9 |
| 2009 | 16.7 | 16.2 | 16.7 | 16.1 | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| 2010 | 15.1 | 15.8 | 15.0 | 15.7 | 11.1 | 11.2 |
| 2011 | 15.2 | 15.3 | 15.1 | 15.2 | 10.8 | 10.9 |
| 2012 | 14.7 | 14.9 | 14.6 | 14.8 | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| 2013 | 14.9 | 14.5 | 14.6 | 14.3 | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 16.8 | 19.3 | 16.8 | 19.3 | 11.4 | 11.7 |
| 1976 | 22.4 | 20.2 | 22.4 | 20.1 | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| 1977 | 21.4 | 21.1 | 21.4 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 13.2 |
| 1978 | 20.5 | 22.0 | 20.5 | 22.0 | 13.7 | 14.0 |
| 1979 | 24.0 | 23.0 | 24.0 | 23.0 | 14.9 | 14.9 |
| 1980 | 26.2 | 24.0 | 26.2 | 24.0 | 16.0 | 15.8 |
| 1981 | 25.2 | 25.1 | 25.2 | 25.1 | 16.6 | 16.8 |
| 1982 | 23.5 | 26.2 | 23.5 | 26.2 | 16.6 | 17.0 |
| 1983 | 24.7 | 27.4 | 24.7 | 27.4 | 17.6 | 17.3 |
| 1984 | 31.8 | 28.6 | 31.8 | 28.7 | 17.3 | 17.5 |
| 1985 | 29.7 | 29.9 | 29.7 | 30.0 | 17.8 | 17.7 |
| 1986 | 29.9 | 31.2 | 29.9 | 31.3 | 18.1 | 18.0 |
| 1987 | 27.6 | 30.7 | 27.6 | 30.8 | 18.8 | 18.2 |
| 1988 | 29.1 | 30.2 | 29.1 | 30.3 | 18.5 | 18.5 |
| 1989 | 29.8 | 29.7 | 29.8 | 29.8 | 18.3 | 18.7 |
| 1990 | 29.8 | 29.2 | 29.8 | 29.3 | 19.4 | 19.0 |
| 1991 | 28.8 | 28.8 | 28.8 | 28.8 | 18.4 | 18.7 |
| 1992 | 28.5 | 28.3 | 28.5 | 28.3 | 19.1 | 18.3 |
| 1993 | 27.5 | 27.8 | 27.5 | 27.8 | 17.7 | 18.0 |
| 1994 | 30.3 | 27.4 | 30.3 | 27.4 | 17.4 | 17.7 |
| 1995 | 25.3 | 26.9 | 25.3 | 26.9 | 17.4 | 17.4 |
| 1996 | 26.8 | 26.5 | 26.8 | 26.5 | 16.6 | 17.1 |
| 1997 | 24.0 | 26.1 | 24.0 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 16.8 |
| 1998 | 26.2 | 25.7 | 26.2 | 25.6 | 17.0 | 16.6 |
| 1999 | 25.6 | 25.2 | 25.6 | 25.2 | 15.9 | 16.3 |
| 2000 | 27.0 | 24.8 | 27.0 | 24.7 | 16.0 | 16.0 |
| 2001 | 25.2 | 24.4 | 25.2 | 24.3 | 15.2 | 15.7 |
| 2002 | 23.7 | 24.0 | 23.7 | 23.9 | 15.8 | 15.5 |
| 2003 | 23.5 | 23.6 | 23.5 | 23.5 | 15.4 | 15.2 |
| 2004 | 23.9 | 23.3 | 23.9 | 23.1 | 14.8 | 14.9 |
| 2005 | 24.8 | 22.9 | 24.8 | 22.7 | 15.0 | 14.7 |
| 2006 | 23.0 | 22.5 | 23.0 | 22.4 | 14.7 | 14.2 |
| 2007 | 23.1 | 22.1 | 23.0 | 22.0 | 13.6 | 13.7 |
| 2008 | 19.4 | 21.8 | 19.3 | 21.6 | 12.7 | 13.2 |
| 2009 | 23.1 | 21.4 | 22.9 | 21.3 | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| 2010 | 20.8 | 21.1 | 20.6 | 20.9 | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| 2011 | 19.6 | 20.7 | 19.4 | 20.6 | 12.0 | 11.9 |
| 2012 | 20.2 | 20.4 | 19.9 | 20.2 | 11.5 | 11.5 |
| 2013 | 18.5 | 20.1 | 18.1 | 19.9 | 11.3 | 11.1 |
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1987-13 | -3.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 1987-13 | -3.4* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2002-13 | -3.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1985-13 | -3.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1985-13 | -3.9* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2004-13 | -4.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2002-13 | -2.8* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2002-13 | -2.9* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2003-13 | -2.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1986-13 | -1.6* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1986-13 | -1.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2005-13 | -3.4* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.3.0.0, April 2016, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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