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Figure 15.4
Figure 15.4
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, Both Sexes
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2013 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 1992-2013
| Year | White 1975-2013 | White 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2013 | Black 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2013 | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2013 | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd 1992-2013 | Hispanicd 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 51.9 | 52.7 | 64.5 | 67.8 | ||||||
| 1976 | 54.6 | 54.1 | 72.3 | 70.1 | ||||||
| 1977 | 55.9 | 55.5 | 73.6 | 72.4 | ||||||
| 1978 | 57.2 | 56.9 | 74.4 | 74.8 | ||||||
| 1979 | 58.0 | 58.3 | 74.5 | 77.3 | ||||||
| 1980 | 59.4 | 59.8 | 86.6 | 79.9 | ||||||
| 1981 | 61.5 | 61.4 | 82.3 | 82.5 | ||||||
| 1982 | 63.1 | 62.9 | 80.4 | 85.3 | ||||||
| 1983 | 63.0 | 63.6 | 86.6 | 88.1 | ||||||
| 1984 | 64.3 | 64.3 | 92.9 | 91.1 | ||||||
| 1985 | 64.0 | 64.9 | 89.6 | 90.6 | ||||||
| 1986 | 65.1 | 65.6 | 92.9 | 90.2 | ||||||
| 1987 | 68.1 | 66.3 | 84.8 | 89.8 | ||||||
| 1988 | 68.2 | 67.0 | 88.1 | 89.4 | ||||||
| 1989 | 67.5 | 67.7 | 89.0 | 89.0 | ||||||
| 1990 | 68.2 | 68.4 | 86.8 | 88.6 | ||||||
| 1991 | 69.0 | 69.2 | 93.1 | 88.2 | ||||||
| 1992 | 68.9 | 68.8 | 94.0 | 87.8 | 47.5 | 44.4 | 44.0 | 55.5 | 37.4 | 37.4 |
| 1993 | 67.8 | 68.4 | 86.4 | 87.4 | 43.6 | 44.2 | 59.7 | 55.0 | 37.4 | 37.0 |
| 1994 | 67.3 | 68.0 | 87.2 | 87.0 | 43.1 | 44.0 | 54.1 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 36.5 |
| 1995 | 67.1 | 67.6 | 85.9 | 86.6 | 42.0 | 43.9 | 61.9 | 54.0 | 36.2 | 36.0 |
| 1996 | 66.8 | 67.2 | 84.5 | 86.2 | 42.6 | 43.7 | 49.9 | 53.5 | 35.3 | 35.5 |
| 1997 | 67.2 | 66.8 | 82.3 | 85.8 | 44.2 | 43.5 | 53.5 | 53.0 | 34.6 | 35.1 |
| 1998 | 68.0 | 66.4 | 87.6 | 85.4 | 43.5 | 43.3 | 45.9 | 52.5 | 36.5 | 34.6 |
| 1999 | 66.3 | 66.0 | 84.6 | 85.0 | 43.7 | 43.1 | 42.9 | 52.0 | 33.8 | 34.2 |
| 2000 | 64.6 | 65.6 | 80.4 | 83.4 | 43.2 | 42.9 | 48.8 | 51.6 | 32.7 | 33.7 |
| 2001 | 65.0 | 65.2 | 80.5 | 81.9 | 42.2 | 42.7 | 55.5 | 51.1 | 32.4 | 33.3 |
| 2002 | 64.8 | 64.8 | 81.2 | 80.4 | 41.7 | 42.5 | 43.0 | 50.6 | 34.7 | 32.9 |
| 2003 | 65.5 | 64.4 | 81.1 | 78.9 | 41.8 | 42.3 | 55.0 | 50.2 | 33.5 | 32.4 |
| 2004 | 62.8 | 64.1 | 76.1 | 77.4 | 43.2 | 42.1 | 58.9 | 49.7 | 31.9 | 32.0 |
| 2005 | 64.0 | 63.7 | 74.6 | 76.0 | 42.4 | 42.0 | 54.8 | 49.2 | 31.6 | 31.6 |
| 2006 | 62.8 | 63.3 | 76.5 | 74.6 | 41.7 | 41.3 | 52.7 | 48.8 | 30.4 | 31.2 |
| 2007 | 63.1 | 62.9 | 74.1 | 73.2 | 40.2 | 40.7 | 45.8 | 48.4 | 33.2 | 30.8 |
| 2008 | 61.1 | 61.4 | 74.9 | 71.8 | 39.5 | 40.1 | 55.4 | 47.9 | 31.0 | 30.4 |
| 2009 | 60.6 | 59.9 | 73.9 | 70.5 | 40.1 | 39.5 | 46.5 | 47.5 | 31.2 | 30.0 |
| 2010 | 58.7 | 58.4 | 66.8 | 69.2 | 38.3 | 38.9 | 49.3 | 47.0 | 28.7 | 29.6 |
| 2011 | 57.2 | 57.0 | 65.6 | 67.9 | 39.1 | 38.3 | 48.0 | 46.6 | 28.7 | 29.2 |
| 2012 | 55.5 | 55.6 | 69.1 | 66.6 | 37.3 | 37.8 | 39.1 | 46.2 | 27.3 | 28.8 |
| 2013 | 54.0 | 54.3 | 61.8 | 65.4 | 37.3 | 37.2 | 38.4 | 45.8 | 28.3 | 28.5 |
| Year | White 1975-2013 | White 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2013 | Black 1975-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2013 | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2013 | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd 1992-2013 | Hispanicd 1992-2013 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 42.1 | 42.5 | 49.3 | 49.7 | ||||||
| 1976 | 43.7 | 43.6 | 51.1 | 51.5 | ||||||
| 1977 | 44.8 | 44.8 | 54.6 | 53.3 | ||||||
| 1978 | 46.3 | 45.9 | 55.3 | 55.1 | ||||||
| 1979 | 47.1 | 47.1 | 56.4 | 57.1 | ||||||
| 1980 | 48.8 | 48.4 | 59.2 | 59.1 | ||||||
| 1981 | 49.3 | 49.6 | 60.6 | 61.1 | ||||||
| 1982 | 50.8 | 50.9 | 62.3 | 62.3 | ||||||
| 1983 | 51.7 | 51.8 | 63.7 | 63.4 | ||||||
| 1984 | 52.6 | 52.7 | 65.1 | 64.6 | ||||||
| 1985 | 53.7 | 53.6 | 65.8 | 65.8 | ||||||
| 1986 | 54.4 | 54.5 | 67.0 | 67.1 | ||||||
| 1987 | 55.6 | 55.4 | 68.6 | 68.3 | ||||||
| 1988 | 56.4 | 56.3 | 69.2 | 69.6 | ||||||
| 1989 | 57.2 | 57.3 | 71.0 | 70.9 | ||||||
| 1990 | 58.2 | 58.3 | 72.1 | 72.3 | ||||||
| 1991 | 58.4 | 58.3 | 71.6 | 71.7 | ||||||
| 1992 | 58.3 | 58.4 | 71.4 | 71.2 | 30.6 | 30.9 | 37.3 | 41.6 | 25.2 | 25.2 |
| 1993 | 58.7 | 58.4 | 71.1 | 70.7 | 30.7 | 30.5 | 42.9 | 41.5 | 25.5 | 25.6 |
| 1994 | 58.2 | 58.5 | 70.2 | 70.2 | 29.8 | 30.2 | 40.2 | 41.3 | 26.1 | 25.9 |
| 1995 | 58.1 | 58.0 | 69.3 | 69.7 | 30.0 | 29.8 | 40.9 | 41.2 | 26.1 | 26.3 |
| 1996 | 57.7 | 57.6 | 68.3 | 68.6 | 29.1 | 29.4 | 39.4 | 41.1 | 25.8 | 26.0 |
| 1997 | 57.3 | 57.1 | 67.9 | 67.4 | 28.4 | 29.1 | 41.6 | 41.0 | 26.1 | 25.7 |
| 1998 | 56.9 | 56.7 | 66.9 | 66.3 | 29.1 | 28.7 | 42.4 | 40.8 | 25.2 | 25.3 |
| 1999 | 55.3 | 56.2 | 65.0 | 65.1 | 28.0 | 28.3 | 40.9 | 40.7 | 25.1 | 25.0 |
| 2000 | 56.0 | 55.8 | 63.8 | 64.0 | 27.7 | 28.0 | 36.7 | 40.6 | 24.6 | 24.7 |
| 2001 | 55.5 | 55.4 | 62.5 | 63.0 | 28.5 | 27.6 | 42.2 | 40.5 | 24.2 | 24.4 |
| 2002 | 55.3 | 54.9 | 62.0 | 61.9 | 26.1 | 27.3 | 41.6 | 40.3 | 24.4 | 24.1 |
| 2003 | 54.5 | 54.5 | 60.9 | 60.8 | 27.6 | 27.0 | 39.7 | 40.2 | 23.9 | 23.8 |
| 2004 | 53.7 | 54.1 | 59.8 | 59.8 | 26.8 | 26.6 | 44.3 | 40.1 | 23.4 | 23.5 |
| 2005 | 53.3 | 53.6 | 58.5 | 58.2 | 26.6 | 26.3 | 41.3 | 40.0 | 23.6 | 23.2 |
| 2006 | 52.3 | 52.4 | 56.7 | 56.6 | 26.1 | 26.0 | 38.1 | 39.9 | 21.8 | 22.6 |
| 2007 | 51.3 | 51.2 | 55.4 | 55.1 | 26.1 | 25.7 | 41.5 | 39.7 | 22.1 | 22.0 |
| 2008 | 50.3 | 50.0 | 53.1 | 53.6 | 25.8 | 25.3 | 45.0 | 39.6 | 21.9 | 21.4 |
| 2009 | 49.2 | 48.9 | 51.6 | 52.2 | 25.2 | 25.0 | 37.6 | 39.5 | 20.6 | 20.9 |
| 2010 | 48.1 | 47.8 | 51.1 | 50.8 | 24.6 | 24.7 | 39.1 | 39.4 | 20.3 | 20.3 |
| 2011 | 46.7 | 46.7 | 49.3 | 49.4 | 24.6 | 24.4 | 37.6 | 39.3 | 19.9 | 19.8 |
| 2012 | 45.6 | 45.6 | 48.3 | 48.1 | 23.9 | 24.1 | 38.4 | 39.1 | 19.3 | 19.3 |
| 2013 | 44.1 | 44.6 | 46.9 | 46.8 | 23.3 | 23.8 | 36.5 | 39.0 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 13 Areas (SEER 9 Areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry and Rural Georgia).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.3.0.0, April 2016, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2013 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 1992-2013 allow a maximum of 3 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the CHSDA(Contract Health Service Delivery Area) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry. Mortality data for Hispanics exclude cases from New Hampshire and Oklahoma.
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