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Figure 2.1
Figure 2.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 254.0 | 254.4 |
| 1976 | 481.9 | 476.2 | 481.9 | 476.1 | 257.5 | 256.8 |
| 1977 | 487.1 | 482.9 | 487.1 | 482.9 | 258.8 | 259.1 |
| 1978 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 261.6 | 261.5 |
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 263.2 | 263.9 |
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 265.0 | 264.5 |
| 1981 | 510.8 | 511.0 | 510.8 | 511.0 | 263.3 | 265.2 |
| 1982 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 266.3 | 265.8 |
| 1983 | 520.9 | 525.7 | 520.9 | 525.7 | 267.2 | 266.4 |
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.2 | 527.7 | 533.2 | 267.6 | 267.1 |
| 1985 | 533.5 | 540.8 | 533.5 | 540.8 | 268.2 | 267.7 |
| 1986 | 542.8 | 548.5 | 542.8 | 548.5 | 268.8 | 268.4 |
| 1987 | 568.8 | 556.3 | 568.8 | 556.3 | 269.0 | 269.0 |
| 1988 | 565.0 | 564.2 | 565.0 | 564.2 | 269.5 | 269.7 |
| 1989 | 573.5 | 572.3 | 573.5 | 572.3 | 270.2 | 270.4 |
| 1990 | 599.3 | 601.0 | 599.3 | 600.9 | 271.5 | 271.0 |
| 1991 | 644.5 | 631.2 | 644.5 | 631.1 | 271.2 | 271.7 |
| 1992 | 663.4 | 662.9 | 663.4 | 662.7 | 268.9 | 269.6 |
| 1993 | 620.2 | 628.6 | 620.2 | 628.8 | 267.9 | 267.5 |
| 1994 | 587.5 | 596.1 | 587.5 | 596.6 | 264.7 | 265.5 |
| 1995 | 570.3 | 565.3 | 570.3 | 566.1 | 261.5 | 260.8 |
| 1996 | 574.0 | 570.0 | 574.0 | 570.0 | 256.8 | 256.1 |
| 1997 | 576.5 | 574.7 | 576.5 | 573.8 | 251.6 | 251.6 |
| 1998 | 576.2 | 579.5 | 576.2 | 577.7 | 247.6 | 249.0 |
| 1999 | 582.6 | 584.3 | 582.6 | 581.7 | 247.1 | 246.4 |
| 2000 | 584.4 | 581.7 | 584.4 | 585.6 | 243.4 | 243.9 |
| 2001 | 587.8 | 579.1 | 587.8 | 581.7 | 240.3 | 239.9 |
| 2002 | 581.5 | 576.5 | 581.5 | 577.8 | 237.6 | 235.9 |
| 2003 | 565.4 | 573.9 | 565.4 | 574.0 | 232.2 | 232.0 |
| 2004 | 564.3 | 571.3 | 564.3 | 570.2 | 226.6 | 228.2 |
| 2005 | 558.3 | 568.7 | 558.3 | 566.4 | 224.9 | 224.4 |
| 2006 | 565.2 | 566.2 | 564.4 | 562.6 | 220.0 | 220.7 |
| 2007 | 575.7 | 563.6 | 574.0 | 558.8 | 216.6 | 217.0 |
| 2008 | 556.8 | 561.1 | 554.3 | 555.1 | 213.2 | 213.5 |
| 2009 | 549.3 | 547.7 | 546.0 | 551.4 | 209.3 | 209.9 |
| 2010 | 539.6 | 534.6 | 535.6 | 534.3 | 207.2 | 206.5 |
| 2011 | 528.6 | 521.9 | 523.9 | 517.8 | 203.3 | 203.0 |
| 2012 | 500.0 | 509.5 | 493.7 | 501.7 | 199.9 | 199.7 |
| 2013 | 493.8 | 497.3 | 484.9 | 486.2 | 195.9 | 196.4 |
| 2014 | 489.4 | 485.4 | 474.1 | 471.1 | 193.6 | 193.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.3 | 532.9 | 525.3 | 532.7 | 320.5 | 322.5 |
| 1976 | 553.0 | 548.0 | 553.0 | 547.9 | 328.4 | 328.4 |
| 1977 | 577.6 | 563.5 | 577.6 | 563.5 | 337.9 | 334.4 |
| 1978 | 570.9 | 579.4 | 570.9 | 579.6 | 340.9 | 340.5 |
| 1979 | 589.8 | 595.8 | 589.8 | 596.1 | 344.7 | 346.7 |
| 1980 | 615.2 | 612.6 | 615.2 | 613.1 | 353.9 | 353.0 |
| 1981 | 634.4 | 629.9 | 634.4 | 630.6 | 358.6 | 359.5 |
| 1982 | 622.1 | 634.0 | 622.1 | 634.3 | 364.9 | 366.0 |
| 1983 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 369.3 | 369.7 |
| 1984 | 643.9 | 642.1 | 643.9 | 641.8 | 377.9 | 373.4 |
| 1985 | 643.7 | 646.2 | 643.7 | 645.6 | 377.8 | 377.1 |
| 1986 | 643.5 | 650.3 | 643.5 | 649.4 | 378.9 | 380.9 |
| 1987 | 666.1 | 654.5 | 666.1 | 653.2 | 383.2 | 384.7 |
| 1988 | 657.8 | 658.6 | 657.8 | 657.0 | 384.2 | 388.5 |
| 1989 | 661.1 | 662.9 | 661.1 | 660.9 | 395.3 | 392.4 |
| 1990 | 700.0 | 707.7 | 700.0 | 710.7 | 399.1 | 396.3 |
| 1991 | 765.1 | 755.5 | 765.1 | 764.3 | 395.9 | 395.4 |
| 1992 | 810.9 | 806.6 | 810.9 | 821.9 | 389.2 | 394.5 |
| 1993 | 819.2 | 794.1 | 819.2 | 800.9 | 394.8 | 393.6 |
| 1994 | 784.1 | 781.8 | 784.1 | 780.5 | 385.2 | 385.7 |
| 1995 | 751.7 | 769.7 | 751.7 | 760.5 | 379.0 | 377.9 |
| 1996 | 729.1 | 757.8 | 729.1 | 741.1 | 373.7 | 370.3 |
| 1997 | 742.6 | 746.1 | 742.6 | 733.3 | 363.2 | 362.8 |
| 1998 | 727.3 | 734.6 | 727.3 | 725.6 | 353.1 | 355.5 |
| 1999 | 725.9 | 723.2 | 725.9 | 717.9 | 349.2 | 348.3 |
| 2000 | 715.4 | 712.1 | 715.4 | 710.4 | 341.2 | 341.3 |
| 2001 | 701.8 | 701.1 | 701.8 | 702.9 | 334.1 | 334.4 |
| 2002 | 701.1 | 690.2 | 701.1 | 695.5 | 325.8 | 325.4 |
| 2003 | 684.1 | 679.6 | 684.1 | 688.2 | 314.6 | 316.6 |
| 2004 | 687.4 | 669.1 | 687.4 | 680.9 | 307.3 | 308.1 |
| 2005 | 646.9 | 658.7 | 646.9 | 673.8 | 300.3 | 299.8 |
| 2006 | 650.4 | 663.9 | 648.6 | 666.7 | 290.2 | 291.7 |
| 2007 | 674.5 | 669.1 | 670.7 | 659.6 | 286.6 | 283.8 |
| 2008 | 672.4 | 674.4 | 666.7 | 652.7 | 275.3 | 276.2 |
| 2009 | 649.6 | 649.5 | 642.3 | 645.8 | 268.9 | 268.7 |
| 2010 | 624.0 | 625.5 | 615.2 | 617.9 | 264.1 | 261.5 |
| 2011 | 601.2 | 602.5 | 591.3 | 591.2 | 253.6 | 254.4 |
| 2012 | 585.2 | 580.2 | 572.4 | 565.6 | 247.2 | 247.6 |
| 2013 | 570.7 | 558.8 | 554.7 | 541.2 | 240.3 | 240.9 |
| 2014 | 526.2 | 538.2 | 503.7 | 517.8 | 234.1 | 234.4 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 369.6 | 371.0 | 369.6 | 371.0 | 159.0 | 159.7 |
| 1976 | 373.1 | 370.2 | 373.1 | 370.2 | 161.7 | 160.5 |
| 1977 | 367.9 | 369.3 | 367.9 | 369.3 | 161.6 | 161.4 |
| 1978 | 367.9 | 368.5 | 367.9 | 368.5 | 162.5 | 162.3 |
| 1979 | 369.6 | 367.7 | 369.6 | 367.7 | 161.7 | 163.2 |
| 1980 | 373.4 | 373.8 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 164.2 | 164.1 |
| 1981 | 383.9 | 380.1 | 383.9 | 380.1 | 164.6 | 165.0 |
| 1982 | 383.4 | 386.5 | 383.4 | 386.5 | 166.1 | 166.0 |
| 1983 | 387.9 | 393.1 | 387.9 | 393.0 | 166.7 | 166.9 |
| 1984 | 399.5 | 399.7 | 399.5 | 399.6 | 169.0 | 167.8 |
| 1985 | 411.5 | 406.4 | 411.5 | 406.3 | 169.6 | 168.7 |
| 1986 | 409.1 | 413.2 | 409.1 | 413.1 | 170.0 | 169.7 |
| 1987 | 423.2 | 420.2 | 423.2 | 420.1 | 169.9 | 170.6 |
| 1988 | 417.8 | 420.7 | 417.8 | 420.6 | 170.9 | 171.5 |
| 1989 | 418.6 | 421.1 | 418.6 | 421.2 | 172.9 | 172.5 |
| 1990 | 424.8 | 421.6 | 424.8 | 421.7 | 172.9 | 173.4 |
| 1991 | 428.5 | 422.1 | 428.5 | 422.2 | 173.4 | 173.1 |
| 1992 | 423.4 | 422.6 | 423.4 | 422.8 | 172.6 | 172.8 |
| 1993 | 417.0 | 423.0 | 417.0 | 423.3 | 172.8 | 172.5 |
| 1994 | 423.2 | 423.5 | 423.2 | 423.9 | 172.6 | 172.3 |
| 1995 | 426.2 | 424.0 | 426.2 | 424.4 | 171.7 | 172.0 |
| 1996 | 428.2 | 431.3 | 428.2 | 430.5 | 169.8 | 169.9 |
| 1997 | 441.0 | 438.8 | 441.0 | 436.7 | 167.3 | 167.8 |
| 1998 | 446.6 | 446.3 | 446.6 | 443.0 | 165.4 | 165.8 |
| 1999 | 443.6 | 444.0 | 443.6 | 442.2 | 165.9 | 165.4 |
| 2000 | 437.8 | 441.7 | 437.8 | 441.4 | 166.0 | 165.0 |
| 2001 | 442.3 | 439.4 | 442.3 | 440.6 | 163.8 | 164.6 |
| 2002 | 441.0 | 437.1 | 441.0 | 439.8 | 162.6 | 162.4 |
| 2003 | 432.7 | 434.9 | 432.7 | 439.0 | 160.4 | 160.2 |
| 2004 | 433.7 | 435.4 | 433.7 | 438.2 | 157.4 | 158.1 |
| 2005 | 434.4 | 435.9 | 434.4 | 437.4 | 156.0 | 155.9 |
| 2006 | 435.3 | 436.4 | 434.6 | 436.6 | 154.5 | 153.9 |
| 2007 | 437.0 | 436.9 | 435.7 | 435.8 | 151.9 | 151.8 |
| 2008 | 440.4 | 437.4 | 438.5 | 435.0 | 149.4 | 149.8 |
| 2009 | 444.5 | 437.9 | 441.8 | 434.2 | 147.5 | 147.8 |
| 2010 | 435.9 | 438.4 | 432.7 | 433.4 | 145.9 | 145.8 |
| 2011 | 436.9 | 438.9 | 433.1 | 432.6 | 143.4 | 143.8 |
| 2012 | 437.2 | 439.4 | 431.7 | 431.8 | 142.0 | 141.9 |
| 2013 | 436.7 | 439.9 | 428.9 | 431.0 | 139.8 | 140.0 |
| 2014 | 444.0 | 440.5 | 430.4 | 430.2 | 138.6 | 138.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 356.6 | 343.7 | 356.6 | 343.8 | 174.2 | 177.2 |
| 1976 | 340.8 | 347.6 | 340.8 | 347.7 | 179.1 | 178.9 |
| 1977 | 352.6 | 351.5 | 352.6 | 351.6 | 181.6 | 180.7 |
| 1978 | 344.3 | 355.5 | 344.3 | 355.6 | 181.5 | 182.5 |
| 1979 | 359.3 | 359.5 | 359.3 | 359.6 | 182.7 | 184.3 |
| 1980 | 366.5 | 363.6 | 366.5 | 363.6 | 189.2 | 186.2 |
| 1981 | 363.0 | 367.7 | 363.0 | 367.7 | 187.5 | 188.1 |
| 1982 | 359.4 | 371.9 | 359.4 | 371.8 | 190.2 | 189.9 |
| 1983 | 382.3 | 376.1 | 382.3 | 376.0 | 193.2 | 191.8 |
| 1984 | 386.2 | 380.3 | 386.2 | 380.2 | 195.7 | 193.8 |
| 1985 | 388.4 | 384.6 | 388.4 | 384.5 | 196.3 | 195.7 |
| 1986 | 396.7 | 389.0 | 396.7 | 388.8 | 199.1 | 197.7 |
| 1987 | 394.1 | 393.4 | 394.1 | 393.2 | 199.9 | 199.6 |
| 1988 | 404.6 | 397.9 | 404.6 | 397.6 | 200.4 | 201.6 |
| 1989 | 385.1 | 402.4 | 385.1 | 402.1 | 200.9 | 203.6 |
| 1990 | 409.7 | 406.9 | 409.7 | 406.6 | 205.4 | 205.7 |
| 1991 | 412.8 | 411.5 | 412.8 | 411.2 | 207.4 | 207.7 |
| 1992 | 413.9 | 411.9 | 413.9 | 411.5 | 205.8 | 206.6 |
| 1993 | 404.4 | 412.2 | 404.4 | 411.9 | 206.3 | 205.4 |
| 1994 | 409.2 | 412.6 | 409.2 | 412.2 | 204.1 | 204.2 |
| 1995 | 405.0 | 413.0 | 405.0 | 412.5 | 204.5 | 203.1 |
| 1996 | 417.7 | 413.3 | 417.7 | 412.9 | 200.9 | 201.9 |
| 1997 | 411.9 | 413.7 | 411.9 | 413.2 | 202.5 | 200.8 |
| 1998 | 419.5 | 414.1 | 419.5 | 413.6 | 198.4 | 199.6 |
| 1999 | 422.2 | 414.4 | 422.2 | 413.9 | 197.5 | 198.5 |
| 2000 | 405.8 | 414.8 | 405.8 | 414.2 | 193.2 | 195.4 |
| 2001 | 401.9 | 415.1 | 401.9 | 414.6 | 192.1 | 192.3 |
| 2002 | 427.7 | 415.5 | 427.7 | 414.9 | 191.4 | 189.3 |
| 2003 | 414.1 | 415.9 | 414.1 | 415.2 | 188.8 | 186.3 |
| 2004 | 419.9 | 416.2 | 419.9 | 415.6 | 183.5 | 183.4 |
| 2005 | 421.2 | 416.6 | 421.2 | 415.9 | 180.9 | 180.5 |
| 2006 | 417.9 | 417.0 | 416.7 | 416.3 | 177.3 | 177.7 |
| 2007 | 418.2 | 417.3 | 415.9 | 416.6 | 175.5 | 174.9 |
| 2008 | 421.9 | 417.7 | 418.4 | 416.9 | 170.4 | 172.1 |
| 2009 | 428.0 | 418.1 | 423.3 | 417.3 | 167.4 | 169.4 |
| 2010 | 413.7 | 418.4 | 408.1 | 417.6 | 166.2 | 166.8 |
| 2011 | 421.5 | 418.8 | 414.6 | 418.0 | 166.0 | 164.2 |
| 2012 | 427.7 | 419.2 | 418.9 | 418.3 | 161.7 | 161.6 |
| 2013 | 413.6 | 419.5 | 402.5 | 403.2 | 158.5 | 159.0 |
| 2014 | 405.7 | 419.9 | 389.1 | 388.7 | 157.0 | 156.5 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, All Ages, 1975-2014
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2008-14 | -2.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-14 | -3.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2000-14 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2008-14 | -3.7* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2009-14 | -4.3* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-14 | -2.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2003-14 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-14 | -0.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2001-14 | -1.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-14 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2012-14 | -3.6 |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1999-14 | -1.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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