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Figure 2.3
Figure 2.3
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, Ages 65 and Over, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2494.5 | 2510.1 | 2494.5 | 2510.0 | 1403.0 | 1404.8 |
| 1976 | 2570.8 | 2546.7 | 2570.8 | 2546.6 | 1427.1 | 1422.7 |
| 1977 | 2598.8 | 2583.7 | 2598.8 | 2583.7 | 1437.2 | 1440.8 |
| 1978 | 2620.3 | 2621.4 | 2620.3 | 2621.3 | 1460.1 | 1459.2 |
| 1979 | 2682.0 | 2659.5 | 2682.0 | 2659.5 | 1476.5 | 1477.7 |
| 1980 | 2719.7 | 2698.3 | 2719.7 | 2698.3 | 1488.6 | 1485.7 |
| 1981 | 2746.9 | 2737.6 | 2746.9 | 2737.6 | 1483.7 | 1493.8 |
| 1982 | 2768.1 | 2777.4 | 2768.1 | 2777.5 | 1508.4 | 1501.9 |
| 1983 | 2797.6 | 2817.9 | 2797.6 | 2817.9 | 1518.6 | 1510.0 |
| 1984 | 2831.1 | 2858.9 | 2831.1 | 2859.0 | 1519.8 | 1518.2 |
| 1985 | 2818.4 | 2900.5 | 2818.4 | 2900.6 | 1523.7 | 1526.4 |
| 1986 | 2883.2 | 2942.8 | 2883.2 | 2942.9 | 1534.2 | 1534.7 |
| 1987 | 3052.2 | 2985.6 | 3052.2 | 2985.8 | 1536.9 | 1543.0 |
| 1988 | 3035.8 | 3029.1 | 3035.8 | 3029.3 | 1545.6 | 1551.3 |
| 1989 | 3085.0 | 3073.2 | 3085.0 | 3073.4 | 1560.0 | 1559.7 |
| 1990 | 3258.1 | 3252.6 | 3258.1 | 3252.1 | 1573.9 | 1568.2 |
| 1991 | 3529.6 | 3442.5 | 3529.6 | 3441.2 | 1577.8 | 1576.7 |
| 1992 | 3643.0 | 3643.5 | 3643.0 | 3641.4 | 1573.3 | 1585.2 |
| 1993 | 3336.1 | 3390.2 | 3336.1 | 3392.1 | 1572.6 | 1568.5 |
| 1994 | 3093.9 | 3154.4 | 3093.9 | 3159.9 | 1557.5 | 1551.9 |
| 1995 | 2983.0 | 2935.0 | 2983.0 | 2943.6 | 1546.8 | 1535.6 |
| 1996 | 2987.3 | 2975.9 | 2987.3 | 2972.6 | 1520.4 | 1519.4 |
| 1997 | 3016.8 | 3017.3 | 3016.8 | 3002.0 | 1497.4 | 1503.3 |
| 1998 | 3037.1 | 3059.2 | 3037.1 | 3031.6 | 1476.1 | 1487.5 |
| 1999 | 3051.3 | 3037.3 | 3051.3 | 3061.5 | 1477.2 | 1471.8 |
| 2000 | 3024.0 | 3015.4 | 3024.0 | 3033.2 | 1458.8 | 1456.2 |
| 2001 | 3043.4 | 2993.8 | 3043.4 | 3005.1 | 1437.2 | 1440.9 |
| 2002 | 2991.8 | 2972.2 | 2991.8 | 2977.3 | 1422.9 | 1416.7 |
| 2003 | 2910.4 | 2950.9 | 2910.4 | 2949.8 | 1390.3 | 1393.0 |
| 2004 | 2893.1 | 2929.7 | 2893.1 | 2922.5 | 1359.6 | 1369.7 |
| 2005 | 2847.7 | 2908.6 | 2847.7 | 2895.4 | 1353.6 | 1346.8 |
| 2006 | 2876.9 | 2887.7 | 2872.4 | 2868.6 | 1321.3 | 1324.3 |
| 2007 | 2943.2 | 2866.9 | 2934.1 | 2842.1 | 1305.4 | 1302.1 |
| 2008 | 2827.9 | 2846.3 | 2814.7 | 2815.8 | 1281.6 | 1280.3 |
| 2009 | 2764.9 | 2771.5 | 2747.8 | 2789.7 | 1256.2 | 1258.9 |
| 2010 | 2737.4 | 2698.6 | 2716.4 | 2696.0 | 1244.5 | 1237.8 |
| 2011 | 2653.9 | 2627.7 | 2629.3 | 2605.5 | 1219.4 | 1217.1 |
| 2012 | 2504.4 | 2558.6 | 2472.1 | 2517.9 | 1195.6 | 1196.7 |
| 2013 | 2481.2 | 2491.3 | 2435.0 | 2433.4 | 1172.4 | 1176.7 |
| 2014 | 2445.3 | 2425.8 | 2363.6 | 2351.6 | 1156.7 | 1157.0 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 2554.5 | 2736.8 | 2554.5 | 2736.7 | 1527.3 | 1544.2 |
| 1976 | 2718.3 | 2779.5 | 2718.3 | 2779.4 | 1584.7 | 1583.3 |
| 1977 | 2909.9 | 2822.8 | 2909.9 | 2822.8 | 1641.2 | 1623.4 |
| 1978 | 2781.1 | 2866.9 | 2781.1 | 2866.8 | 1662.1 | 1664.5 |
| 1979 | 2925.4 | 2911.6 | 2925.4 | 2911.6 | 1695.0 | 1706.6 |
| 1980 | 3011.7 | 2957.0 | 3011.7 | 2957.0 | 1765.7 | 1749.9 |
| 1981 | 3135.9 | 3003.1 | 3135.9 | 3003.1 | 1801.4 | 1794.2 |
| 1982 | 3008.1 | 3049.9 | 3008.1 | 3050.0 | 1839.8 | 1839.6 |
| 1983 | 3230.5 | 3097.5 | 3230.5 | 3097.6 | 1877.8 | 1886.2 |
| 1984 | 3130.2 | 3145.8 | 3130.2 | 3145.9 | 1919.9 | 1934.0 |
| 1985 | 3237.1 | 3194.9 | 3237.1 | 3195.0 | 1945.5 | 1960.9 |
| 1986 | 3233.6 | 3244.7 | 3233.6 | 3244.8 | 1979.4 | 1988.3 |
| 1987 | 3373.0 | 3295.3 | 3373.0 | 3295.4 | 2028.1 | 2016.0 |
| 1988 | 3322.8 | 3346.7 | 3322.8 | 3346.9 | 2032.9 | 2044.1 |
| 1989 | 3321.2 | 3398.9 | 3321.2 | 3399.1 | 2106.4 | 2072.6 |
| 1990 | 3550.3 | 3684.0 | 3550.3 | 3683.6 | 2136.3 | 2101.4 |
| 1991 | 4030.7 | 3993.1 | 4030.7 | 3991.9 | 2150.5 | 2130.7 |
| 1992 | 4263.0 | 4328.1 | 4263.0 | 4326.1 | 2124.4 | 2160.4 |
| 1993 | 4218.1 | 4124.7 | 4218.1 | 4126.3 | 2183.9 | 2190.5 |
| 1994 | 3976.9 | 3930.8 | 3976.9 | 3935.7 | 2137.3 | 2154.6 |
| 1995 | 3673.2 | 3746.0 | 3673.2 | 3754.0 | 2122.2 | 2119.2 |
| 1996 | 3572.9 | 3695.8 | 3572.9 | 3701.5 | 2103.9 | 2084.4 |
| 1997 | 3760.4 | 3646.2 | 3760.4 | 3649.7 | 2045.2 | 2050.2 |
| 1998 | 3668.7 | 3597.3 | 3668.7 | 3598.7 | 1990.3 | 2016.5 |
| 1999 | 3606.5 | 3549.1 | 3606.5 | 3548.4 | 1981.8 | 1983.4 |
| 2000 | 3496.3 | 3501.6 | 3496.3 | 3498.8 | 1956.1 | 1950.8 |
| 2001 | 3440.8 | 3454.6 | 3440.8 | 3449.8 | 1928.5 | 1918.8 |
| 2002 | 3373.3 | 3408.3 | 3373.3 | 3401.6 | 1871.9 | 1868.5 |
| 2003 | 3298.0 | 3362.6 | 3298.0 | 3354.0 | 1798.5 | 1819.5 |
| 2004 | 3406.0 | 3317.6 | 3406.0 | 3307.2 | 1769.1 | 1771.8 |
| 2005 | 3115.4 | 3273.1 | 3115.4 | 3260.9 | 1727.8 | 1725.3 |
| 2006 | 3161.6 | 3229.2 | 3152.3 | 3215.3 | 1674.0 | 1680.1 |
| 2007 | 3211.9 | 3185.9 | 3192.6 | 3170.4 | 1659.9 | 1636.1 |
| 2008 | 3263.0 | 3143.2 | 3233.6 | 3126.0 | 1588.5 | 1593.2 |
| 2009 | 3089.4 | 3101.1 | 3052.9 | 3082.3 | 1551.5 | 1551.4 |
| 2010 | 2970.2 | 2977.0 | 2926.1 | 2938.5 | 1534.5 | 1510.7 |
| 2011 | 2827.8 | 2858.0 | 2778.4 | 2801.5 | 1468.3 | 1471.1 |
| 2012 | 2757.5 | 2743.6 | 2692.9 | 2670.8 | 1427.6 | 1432.5 |
| 2013 | 2713.5 | 2633.9 | 2633.3 | 2546.2 | 1388.8 | 1395.0 |
| 2014 | 2469.1 | 2528.5 | 2356.5 | 2427.4 | 1352.7 | 1358.4 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1383.0 | 1363.4 | 1383.0 | 1363.4 | 739.4 | 745.4 |
| 1976 | 1408.6 | 1388.8 | 1408.6 | 1388.8 | 759.4 | 753.5 |
| 1977 | 1414.7 | 1414.7 | 1414.7 | 1414.7 | 761.8 | 761.6 |
| 1978 | 1410.1 | 1441.0 | 1410.1 | 1441.0 | 769.6 | 769.9 |
| 1979 | 1454.6 | 1467.9 | 1454.6 | 1467.9 | 772.8 | 778.2 |
| 1980 | 1499.9 | 1495.2 | 1499.9 | 1495.2 | 789.5 | 786.6 |
| 1981 | 1532.4 | 1523.0 | 1532.4 | 1523.1 | 796.1 | 795.1 |
| 1982 | 1532.2 | 1551.4 | 1532.2 | 1551.4 | 805.4 | 803.7 |
| 1983 | 1563.1 | 1580.3 | 1563.1 | 1580.3 | 811.9 | 812.4 |
| 1984 | 1609.6 | 1609.7 | 1609.6 | 1609.8 | 826.2 | 821.2 |
| 1985 | 1660.6 | 1639.7 | 1660.6 | 1639.8 | 829.4 | 830.1 |
| 1986 | 1658.5 | 1670.2 | 1658.5 | 1670.3 | 840.4 | 839.1 |
| 1987 | 1723.9 | 1701.4 | 1723.9 | 1701.4 | 843.1 | 848.1 |
| 1988 | 1715.9 | 1733.0 | 1715.9 | 1733.1 | 852.4 | 857.3 |
| 1989 | 1723.9 | 1735.7 | 1723.9 | 1735.7 | 871.4 | 866.6 |
| 1990 | 1741.4 | 1738.4 | 1741.4 | 1738.4 | 876.5 | 876.0 |
| 1991 | 1772.4 | 1741.1 | 1772.4 | 1741.0 | 882.0 | 882.7 |
| 1992 | 1753.5 | 1743.8 | 1753.5 | 1743.6 | 888.7 | 889.5 |
| 1993 | 1736.7 | 1746.5 | 1736.7 | 1746.2 | 896.7 | 896.4 |
| 1994 | 1747.0 | 1749.2 | 1747.0 | 1748.9 | 900.6 | 903.3 |
| 1995 | 1751.3 | 1751.9 | 1751.3 | 1751.5 | 900.6 | 897.7 |
| 1996 | 1763.4 | 1779.6 | 1763.4 | 1780.1 | 895.2 | 892.0 |
| 1997 | 1815.0 | 1807.7 | 1815.0 | 1809.2 | 885.7 | 886.5 |
| 1998 | 1847.4 | 1836.3 | 1847.4 | 1838.8 | 886.2 | 890.3 |
| 1999 | 1818.4 | 1822.7 | 1818.4 | 1823.0 | 895.5 | 894.1 |
| 2000 | 1783.4 | 1809.1 | 1783.4 | 1807.2 | 899.6 | 898.0 |
| 2001 | 1814.2 | 1795.6 | 1814.2 | 1791.6 | 885.8 | 890.2 |
| 2002 | 1785.6 | 1782.3 | 1785.6 | 1776.2 | 885.6 | 882.5 |
| 2003 | 1751.9 | 1769.0 | 1751.9 | 1760.9 | 877.3 | 874.9 |
| 2004 | 1771.1 | 1767.9 | 1771.1 | 1762.5 | 866.1 | 867.3 |
| 2005 | 1754.7 | 1766.8 | 1754.7 | 1764.1 | 858.4 | 859.8 |
| 2006 | 1764.6 | 1765.7 | 1761.9 | 1765.7 | 851.7 | 852.4 |
| 2007 | 1769.3 | 1764.6 | 1763.8 | 1767.4 | 842.0 | 841.4 |
| 2008 | 1779.2 | 1763.4 | 1770.9 | 1769.0 | 831.9 | 830.5 |
| 2009 | 1794.8 | 1762.3 | 1783.6 | 1770.6 | 815.9 | 819.8 |
| 2010 | 1756.9 | 1761.2 | 1743.2 | 1755.7 | 813.0 | 809.2 |
| 2011 | 1752.6 | 1760.1 | 1736.4 | 1740.9 | 799.2 | 798.7 |
| 2012 | 1757.4 | 1759.0 | 1734.6 | 1726.3 | 789.0 | 788.4 |
| 2013 | 1746.4 | 1757.9 | 1713.9 | 1711.7 | 775.8 | 778.2 |
| 2014 | 1753.4 | 1756.8 | 1694.8 | 1697.3 | 768.5 | 768.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 1340.8 | 1292.6 | 1340.8 | 1289.6 | 719.5 | 739.9 |
| 1976 | 1278.3 | 1312.8 | 1278.3 | 1310.3 | 765.5 | 752.6 |
| 1977 | 1348.0 | 1333.4 | 1348.0 | 1331.4 | 760.5 | 765.6 |
| 1978 | 1304.4 | 1354.4 | 1304.4 | 1352.8 | 774.3 | 778.7 |
| 1979 | 1350.3 | 1375.6 | 1350.3 | 1374.5 | 779.8 | 792.0 |
| 1980 | 1412.0 | 1397.2 | 1412.0 | 1396.7 | 818.1 | 805.6 |
| 1981 | 1416.5 | 1419.1 | 1416.5 | 1419.1 | 818.1 | 819.5 |
| 1982 | 1408.1 | 1441.4 | 1408.1 | 1442.0 | 836.4 | 833.5 |
| 1983 | 1504.6 | 1464.0 | 1504.6 | 1465.1 | 858.9 | 847.8 |
| 1984 | 1488.8 | 1487.0 | 1488.8 | 1488.7 | 866.8 | 862.4 |
| 1985 | 1528.5 | 1510.3 | 1528.5 | 1512.7 | 881.5 | 877.2 |
| 1986 | 1560.1 | 1534.0 | 1560.1 | 1537.0 | 896.8 | 892.2 |
| 1987 | 1567.8 | 1558.1 | 1567.8 | 1561.7 | 900.2 | 907.5 |
| 1988 | 1606.8 | 1582.5 | 1606.8 | 1586.8 | 924.0 | 923.1 |
| 1989 | 1526.8 | 1607.4 | 1526.8 | 1612.4 | 940.4 | 938.9 |
| 1990 | 1667.9 | 1632.6 | 1667.9 | 1638.3 | 954.6 | 955.0 |
| 1991 | 1666.8 | 1658.2 | 1666.8 | 1664.7 | 992.5 | 971.4 |
| 1992 | 1657.4 | 1663.1 | 1657.4 | 1668.3 | 970.9 | 988.1 |
| 1993 | 1607.8 | 1668.0 | 1607.8 | 1671.9 | 998.7 | 1005.0 |
| 1994 | 1645.5 | 1673.0 | 1645.5 | 1675.5 | 991.9 | 1001.9 |
| 1995 | 1653.1 | 1677.9 | 1653.1 | 1679.2 | 998.6 | 998.8 |
| 1996 | 1719.4 | 1682.9 | 1719.4 | 1682.8 | 994.3 | 995.7 |
| 1997 | 1700.7 | 1687.9 | 1700.7 | 1686.5 | 1007.7 | 992.6 |
| 1998 | 1713.1 | 1692.9 | 1713.1 | 1690.2 | 979.3 | 989.5 |
| 1999 | 1740.0 | 1697.9 | 1740.0 | 1693.8 | 996.8 | 986.4 |
| 2000 | 1661.8 | 1702.9 | 1661.8 | 1697.5 | 976.9 | 983.3 |
| 2001 | 1680.0 | 1708.0 | 1680.0 | 1701.2 | 974.0 | 980.2 |
| 2002 | 1795.4 | 1713.0 | 1795.4 | 1704.9 | 974.7 | 966.1 |
| 2003 | 1719.1 | 1718.1 | 1719.1 | 1708.6 | 961.2 | 952.1 |
| 2004 | 1709.4 | 1723.2 | 1709.4 | 1712.3 | 936.1 | 938.3 |
| 2005 | 1734.7 | 1728.3 | 1734.7 | 1716.1 | 918.0 | 924.8 |
| 2006 | 1733.5 | 1733.4 | 1728.4 | 1719.8 | 905.5 | 911.4 |
| 2007 | 1732.2 | 1738.5 | 1721.9 | 1723.5 | 903.1 | 898.2 |
| 2008 | 1763.6 | 1743.7 | 1747.6 | 1727.3 | 879.3 | 885.3 |
| 2009 | 1744.7 | 1748.8 | 1724.5 | 1731.0 | 865.3 | 872.5 |
| 2010 | 1720.2 | 1754.0 | 1694.7 | 1734.8 | 858.0 | 859.9 |
| 2011 | 1722.4 | 1759.2 | 1692.0 | 1738.6 | 857.1 | 847.4 |
| 2012 | 1764.8 | 1764.4 | 1725.2 | 1742.4 | 838.0 | 835.2 |
| 2013 | 1739.5 | 1683.7 | 1689.9 | 1635.6 | 823.4 | 823.1 |
| 2014 | 1578.8 | 1606.7 | 1508.6 | 1535.3 | 810.1 | 811.2 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, Ages 65+, 1975-2014
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2008-14 | -2.6* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-14 | -3.4* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2001-14 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2009-14 | -4.0* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2009-14 | -4.7* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-14 | -2.6* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2003-14 | -0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2009-14 | -0.8* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2006-14 | -1.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2012-14 | -4.6 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2012-14 | -6.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2001-14 | -1.4* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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