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Figure 2.5
Figure 2.5
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
All Cancer Sites, Males, by Race
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, All Races, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 466.8 | 470.1 | 466.8 | 470.1 | ||||
| 1976 | 481.1 | 476.4 | 481.1 | 476.4 | ||||
| 1977 | 486.4 | 482.8 | 486.4 | 482.8 | ||||
| 1978 | 488.3 | 489.2 | 488.3 | 489.2 | ||||
| 1979 | 496.5 | 495.8 | 496.5 | 495.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 505.8 | 502.4 | 505.8 | 502.4 | ||||
| 1981 | 510.8 | 509.2 | 510.8 | 509.2 | ||||
| 1982 | 511.1 | 516.0 | 511.1 | 516.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 519.9 | 522.9 | 519.9 | 522.9 | ||||
| 1984 | 525.4 | 529.9 | 525.4 | 529.9 | ||||
| 1985 | 531.2 | 537.0 | 531.2 | 537.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 538.1 | 544.2 | 538.1 | 544.2 | ||||
| 1987 | 563.2 | 551.5 | 563.2 | 551.5 | ||||
| 1988 | 558.4 | 558.8 | 558.4 | 558.8 | ||||
| 1989 | 567.1 | 566.3 | 567.1 | 566.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 592.8 | 595.6 | 592.8 | 595.6 | ||||
| 1991 | 637.4 | 626.4 | 637.4 | 626.4 | ||||
| 1992 | 658.3 | 658.7 | 658.3 | 658.7 | 649.0 | 648.9 | 649.0 | 648.8 |
| 1993 | 622.3 | 627.2 | 622.3 | 627.2 | 611.5 | 611.8 | 611.5 | 612.0 |
| 1994 | 589.8 | 597.2 | 589.8 | 597.1 | 579.8 | 576.9 | 579.8 | 577.3 |
| 1995 | 572.1 | 568.6 | 572.1 | 568.5 | 564.8 | 573.9 | 564.8 | 574.2 |
| 1996 | 572.8 | 571.0 | 572.8 | 570.9 | 563.8 | 570.9 | 563.8 | 571.1 |
| 1997 | 576.0 | 573.3 | 576.0 | 573.4 | 566.0 | 567.9 | 566.0 | 568.0 |
| 1998 | 573.2 | 575.6 | 573.2 | 575.8 | 563.4 | 565.0 | 563.4 | 565.0 |
| 1999 | 581.1 | 578.0 | 581.1 | 578.2 | 568.6 | 562.0 | 568.6 | 561.9 |
| 2000 | 580.9 | 580.4 | 580.9 | 580.7 | 565.8 | 559.1 | 565.8 | 558.9 |
| 2001 | 582.1 | 576.5 | 582.1 | 576.6 | 567.0 | 556.2 | 567.0 | 555.9 |
| 2002 | 575.5 | 572.7 | 575.5 | 572.6 | 558.8 | 553.3 | 558.8 | 552.9 |
| 2003 | 561.0 | 568.9 | 561.0 | 568.6 | 546.2 | 550.4 | 546.2 | 549.9 |
| 2004 | 559.2 | 565.1 | 559.2 | 564.7 | 546.4 | 547.5 | 546.4 | 546.9 |
| 2005 | 550.0 | 561.4 | 550.0 | 560.7 | 535.2 | 544.7 | 535.2 | 544.0 |
| 2006 | 557.8 | 557.7 | 557.1 | 556.8 | 539.0 | 541.9 | 538.3 | 541.0 |
| 2007 | 569.7 | 554.0 | 568.2 | 552.9 | 551.8 | 539.0 | 550.3 | 538.1 |
| 2008 | 551.6 | 550.3 | 549.5 | 549.1 | 534.4 | 536.2 | 532.2 | 535.2 |
| 2009 | 543.1 | 546.7 | 540.3 | 545.2 | 528.6 | 533.5 | 525.8 | 532.3 |
| 2010 | 533.0 | 531.6 | 529.6 | 528.2 | 517.3 | 516.8 | 513.8 | 513.6 |
| 2011 | 521.6 | 517.0 | 517.5 | 511.7 | 503.7 | 500.7 | 499.7 | 495.4 |
| 2012 | 494.0 | 502.8 | 488.6 | 495.8 | 476.1 | 485.1 | 470.8 | 478.0 |
| 2013 | 487.0 | 489.0 | 479.5 | 480.3 | 468.2 | 470.0 | 460.6 | 461.1 |
| 2014 | 480.2 | 475.6 | 467.5 | 465.3 | 460.6 | 455.3 | 447.7 | 444.9 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 468.6 | 469.5 | ||||
| 1976 | 481.9 | 476.2 | 481.9 | 476.1 | ||||
| 1977 | 487.1 | 482.9 | 487.1 | 482.9 | ||||
| 1978 | 489.7 | 489.8 | 489.7 | 489.8 | ||||
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | ||||
| 1981 | 510.8 | 511.0 | 510.8 | 511.0 | ||||
| 1982 | 512.4 | 518.3 | 512.4 | 518.3 | ||||
| 1983 | 520.9 | 525.7 | 520.9 | 525.7 | ||||
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.2 | 527.7 | 533.2 | ||||
| 1985 | 533.5 | 540.8 | 533.5 | 540.8 | ||||
| 1986 | 542.8 | 548.5 | 542.8 | 548.5 | ||||
| 1987 | 568.8 | 556.3 | 568.8 | 556.3 | ||||
| 1988 | 565.0 | 564.2 | 565.0 | 564.2 | ||||
| 1989 | 573.5 | 572.3 | 573.5 | 572.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 599.3 | 601.0 | 599.3 | 600.9 | ||||
| 1991 | 644.5 | 631.2 | 644.5 | 631.1 | ||||
| 1992 | 663.4 | 662.9 | 663.4 | 662.7 | 654.7 | 653.2 | 654.7 | 653.1 |
| 1993 | 620.2 | 628.6 | 620.2 | 628.8 | 609.3 | 612.3 | 609.3 | 612.4 |
| 1994 | 587.5 | 596.1 | 587.5 | 596.6 | 579.0 | 574.0 | 579.0 | 574.1 |
| 1995 | 570.3 | 565.3 | 570.3 | 566.1 | 563.6 | 572.1 | 563.6 | 572.2 |
| 1996 | 574.0 | 570.0 | 574.0 | 570.0 | 565.6 | 570.3 | 565.6 | 570.4 |
| 1997 | 576.5 | 574.7 | 576.5 | 573.8 | 566.3 | 568.5 | 566.3 | 568.5 |
| 1998 | 576.2 | 579.5 | 576.2 | 577.7 | 565.5 | 566.7 | 565.5 | 566.7 |
| 1999 | 582.6 | 584.3 | 582.6 | 581.7 | 570.6 | 564.9 | 570.6 | 564.8 |
| 2000 | 584.4 | 581.7 | 584.4 | 585.6 | 570.0 | 563.1 | 570.0 | 563.0 |
| 2001 | 587.8 | 579.1 | 587.8 | 581.7 | 573.2 | 561.3 | 573.2 | 561.1 |
| 2002 | 581.5 | 576.5 | 581.5 | 577.8 | 564.3 | 559.5 | 564.3 | 559.3 |
| 2003 | 565.4 | 573.9 | 565.4 | 574.0 | 551.1 | 557.7 | 551.1 | 557.5 |
| 2004 | 564.3 | 571.3 | 564.3 | 570.2 | 552.5 | 555.9 | 552.5 | 555.6 |
| 2005 | 558.3 | 568.7 | 558.3 | 566.4 | 544.0 | 554.1 | 544.0 | 553.8 |
| 2006 | 565.2 | 566.2 | 564.4 | 562.6 | 547.8 | 552.3 | 547.1 | 552.0 |
| 2007 | 575.7 | 563.6 | 574.0 | 558.8 | 559.7 | 550.6 | 558.2 | 550.2 |
| 2008 | 556.8 | 561.1 | 554.3 | 555.1 | 542.2 | 548.8 | 540.0 | 548.4 |
| 2009 | 549.3 | 547.7 | 546.0 | 551.4 | 536.6 | 534.2 | 533.8 | 531.8 |
| 2010 | 539.6 | 534.6 | 535.6 | 534.3 | 525.3 | 520.0 | 521.8 | 515.7 |
| 2011 | 528.6 | 521.9 | 523.9 | 517.8 | 512.5 | 506.2 | 508.4 | 500.1 |
| 2012 | 500.0 | 509.5 | 493.7 | 501.7 | 483.6 | 492.8 | 478.0 | 485.0 |
| 2013 | 493.8 | 497.3 | 484.9 | 486.2 | 475.2 | 479.7 | 467.1 | 470.3 |
| 2014 | 489.4 | 485.4 | 474.1 | 471.1 | 471.4 | 466.9 | 457.1 | 456.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.3 | 532.9 | 525.3 | 532.7 | ||||
| 1976 | 553.0 | 548.0 | 553.0 | 547.9 | ||||
| 1977 | 577.6 | 563.5 | 577.6 | 563.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 570.9 | 579.4 | 570.9 | 579.6 | ||||
| 1979 | 589.8 | 595.8 | 589.8 | 596.1 | ||||
| 1980 | 615.2 | 612.6 | 615.2 | 613.1 | ||||
| 1981 | 634.4 | 629.9 | 634.4 | 630.6 | ||||
| 1982 | 622.1 | 634.0 | 622.1 | 634.3 | ||||
| 1983 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 646.3 | 638.0 | ||||
| 1984 | 643.9 | 642.1 | 643.9 | 641.8 | ||||
| 1985 | 643.7 | 646.2 | 643.7 | 645.6 | ||||
| 1986 | 643.5 | 650.3 | 643.5 | 649.4 | ||||
| 1987 | 666.1 | 654.5 | 666.1 | 653.2 | ||||
| 1988 | 657.8 | 658.6 | 657.8 | 657.0 | ||||
| 1989 | 661.1 | 662.9 | 661.1 | 660.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 700.0 | 707.7 | 700.0 | 710.7 | ||||
| 1991 | 765.1 | 755.5 | 765.1 | 764.3 | ||||
| 1992 | 810.9 | 806.6 | 810.9 | 821.9 | 792.8 | 781.4 | 792.8 | 781.4 |
| 1993 | 819.2 | 794.1 | 819.2 | 800.9 | 795.6 | 771.4 | 795.6 | 771.3 |
| 1994 | 784.1 | 781.8 | 784.1 | 780.5 | 751.2 | 761.4 | 751.2 | 761.3 |
| 1995 | 751.7 | 769.7 | 751.7 | 760.5 | 743.1 | 751.5 | 743.1 | 751.4 |
| 1996 | 729.1 | 757.8 | 729.1 | 741.1 | 723.4 | 741.8 | 723.4 | 741.6 |
| 1997 | 742.6 | 746.1 | 742.6 | 733.3 | 729.9 | 732.2 | 729.9 | 732.0 |
| 1998 | 727.3 | 734.6 | 727.3 | 725.6 | 721.6 | 722.8 | 721.6 | 722.5 |
| 1999 | 725.9 | 723.2 | 725.9 | 717.9 | 720.5 | 713.4 | 720.5 | 713.1 |
| 2000 | 715.4 | 712.1 | 715.4 | 710.4 | 708.1 | 704.2 | 708.1 | 703.9 |
| 2001 | 701.8 | 701.1 | 701.8 | 702.9 | 692.4 | 695.1 | 692.4 | 694.7 |
| 2002 | 701.1 | 690.2 | 701.1 | 695.5 | 690.1 | 686.1 | 690.1 | 685.7 |
| 2003 | 684.1 | 679.6 | 684.1 | 688.2 | 670.6 | 677.3 | 670.6 | 676.8 |
| 2004 | 687.4 | 669.1 | 687.4 | 680.9 | 672.3 | 668.5 | 672.3 | 668.0 |
| 2005 | 646.9 | 658.7 | 646.9 | 673.8 | 638.8 | 659.9 | 638.8 | 659.3 |
| 2006 | 650.4 | 663.9 | 648.6 | 666.7 | 633.9 | 651.4 | 631.6 | 650.8 |
| 2007 | 674.5 | 669.1 | 670.7 | 659.6 | 655.5 | 642.9 | 650.8 | 642.3 |
| 2008 | 672.4 | 674.4 | 666.7 | 652.7 | 651.3 | 634.6 | 644.2 | 634.0 |
| 2009 | 649.6 | 649.5 | 642.3 | 645.8 | 638.6 | 626.4 | 629.4 | 625.7 |
| 2010 | 624.0 | 625.5 | 615.2 | 617.9 | 608.3 | 618.3 | 597.3 | 598.0 |
| 2011 | 601.2 | 602.5 | 591.3 | 591.2 | 586.5 | 591.6 | 574.1 | 571.5 |
| 2012 | 585.2 | 580.2 | 572.4 | 565.6 | 569.2 | 566.0 | 554.0 | 546.2 |
| 2013 | 570.7 | 558.8 | 554.7 | 541.2 | 556.2 | 541.6 | 537.0 | 522.0 |
| 2014 | 526.2 | 538.2 | 503.7 | 517.8 | 506.8 | 518.1 | 481.6 | 498.8 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, Male, All Ages
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2014 | 2009-14 | -2.7* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2014 | 2009-14 | -3.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2014 | 2009-14 | -3.1* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2014 | 2009-14 | -3.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2014 | 2008-14 | -2.4* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2014 | 2009-14 | -3.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2014 | 2008-14 | -2.7* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2014 | 2008-14 | -3.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2014 | 2008-14 | -3.7* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2014 | 2009-14 | -4.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2014 | 2010-14 | -4.3* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2014 | 2009-14 | -4.4* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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