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Figure 12.1

CSR Figure 12.1: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex


Figure 12.1

Rates per 100,000 for Larynx, White, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 9.4 9.7 9.4 9.7 3.2 3.3
1976 9.9 9.8 9.9 9.7 3.3 3.2
1977 9.6 9.8 9.6 9.8 3.3 3.2
1978 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 3.2 3.1
1979 10.2 9.8 10.2 9.8 3.2 3.1
1980 9.9 9.8 9.9 9.8 3.0 3.1
1981 9.6 9.8 9.6 9.8 3.1 3.0
1982 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 3.0 3.0
1983 10.2 9.8 10.2 9.9 3.0 3.0
1984 9.6 9.9 9.6 9.9 2.9 2.9
1985 10.0 9.9 10.0 9.9 2.8 2.9
1986 9.2 9.6 9.2 9.6 2.8 2.9
1987 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 2.9 2.8
1988 9.6 9.2 9.6 9.2 2.7 2.8
1989 8.9 9.0 8.9 9.0 2.7 2.8
1990 9.0 8.7 9.0 8.7 2.7 2.8
1991 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 2.8 2.7
1992 8.9 8.3 8.9 8.3 2.7 2.7
1993 8.0 8.1 8.0 8.1 2.7 2.7
1994 8.2 7.9 8.2 7.9 2.6 2.6
1995 7.9 7.7 7.9 7.7 2.6 2.5
1996 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.5 2.5 2.5
1997 7.3 7.4 7.3 7.4 2.4 2.4
1998 6.5 7.2 6.5 7.2 2.3 2.4
1999 6.9 7.0 6.9 7.0 2.3 2.3
2000 7.2 6.9 7.2 6.8 2.3 2.3
2001 6.3 6.7 6.3 6.7 2.3 2.2
2002 6.2 6.5 6.2 6.5 2.2 2.2
2003 5.9 6.4 5.9 6.4 2.2 2.1
2004 6.0 6.2 6.0 6.2 2.1 2.1
2005 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 2.1 2.0
2006 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 2.0 2.0
2007 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.8 1.9 2.0
2008 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.6 1.9 1.9
2009 5.7 5.5 5.7 5.5 1.8 1.9
2010 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.4 1.9 1.8
2011 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.2 1.8 1.8
2012 5.3 5.1 5.3 5.1 1.7 1.8
2013 5.2 5.0 5.2 5.0 1.8 1.7
2014 4.8 4.9 4.7 4.9 1.7 1.7

Rates per 100,000 for Larynx, Black, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 13.4 13.5 13.4 13.5 5.0 5.2
1976 14.6 13.7 14.6 13.6 5.1 5.3
1977 13.9 13.8 13.9 13.8 5.5 5.4
1978 13.2 13.9 13.2 13.9 5.9 5.4
1979 13.2 14.1 13.2 14.1 5.2 5.5
1980 14.5 14.2 14.5 14.2 5.7 5.6
1981 16.3 14.3 16.3 14.3 5.6 5.6
1982 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 5.5 5.7
1983 12.2 14.6 12.2 14.6 5.3 5.8
1984 14.9 14.8 14.9 14.8 6.2 5.8
1985 15.2 14.9 15.2 14.9 5.8 5.9
1986 15.1 15.0 15.1 15.1 6.1 6.0
1987 15.1 15.2 15.1 15.2 5.9 6.0
1988 14.9 15.3 14.9 15.4 6.7 6.1
1989 14.3 15.5 14.3 15.5 6.6 6.2
1990 17.7 15.6 17.7 15.7 5.8 6.3
1991 12.3 15.2 12.3 15.2 6.4 6.3
1992 15.9 14.8 15.9 14.8 6.4 6.4
1993 14.2 14.4 14.2 14.4 6.4 6.5
1994 16.0 13.9 16.0 13.9 6.4 6.6
1995 13.1 13.5 13.1 13.5 6.0 6.3
1996 11.3 13.2 11.3 13.2 6.3 6.1
1997 13.6 12.8 13.6 12.8 6.1 5.9
1998 12.1 12.4 12.1 12.4 5.6 5.7
1999 12.2 12.1 12.2 12.1 5.1 5.5
2000 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.7 5.5 5.3
2001 12.2 11.4 12.2 11.4 5.0 5.1
2002 11.5 11.1 11.5 11.1 4.8 4.9
2003 9.6 10.8 9.6 10.7 5.1 4.7
2004 10.7 10.5 10.7 10.4 4.6 4.6
2005 10.7 10.2 10.7 10.1 4.6 4.4
2006 10.7 9.9 10.7 9.8 4.1 4.2
2007 10.2 9.6 10.2 9.6 4.3 4.1
2008 8.0 9.3 8.0 9.3 3.9 4.0
2009 8.4 9.0 8.4 9.0 3.8 3.8
2010 9.5 8.8 9.5 8.8 3.4 3.7
2011 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 3.7 3.5
2012 8.9 8.3 8.8 8.3 3.4 3.4
2013 7.4 8.1 7.3 8.0 3.1 3.3
2014 7.4 7.8 7.3 7.8 3.3 3.2

Rates per 100,000 for Larynx, White, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.4
1976 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.4
1977 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.6 0.4 0.4
1978 1.9 1.6 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.5
1979 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.5
1980 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.5
1981 2.0 1.7 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.5
1982 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.5
1983 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.5
1984 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.8 0.5 0.5
1985 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.5
1986 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.8 0.5 0.5
1987 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.5
1988 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.5 0.5
1989 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.6 0.5
1990 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.5 0.5
1991 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.5
1992 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.8 0.6 0.6
1993 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 0.5 0.5
1994 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.5
1995 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.5
1996 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.5
1997 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.5
1998 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.5
1999 1.8 1.5 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.5
2000 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5
2001 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.5
2002 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.5
2003 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.5
2004 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.4
2005 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.4
2006 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.4
2007 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.4
2008 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.4
2009 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.4
2010 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.4
2011 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.4
2012 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.4
2013 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.4
2014 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.4

Rates per 100,000 for Larynx, Black, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.8 0.7
1976 1.4 2.0 1.4 2.0 0.7 0.7
1977 2.4 2.1 2.4 2.1 0.7 0.7
1978 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 0.7 0.8
1979 3.1 2.3 3.1 2.3 0.6 0.8
1980 1.8 2.4 1.8 2.4 0.9 0.8
1981 1.9 2.5 1.9 2.5 1.1 0.8
1982 2.9 2.6 2.9 2.6 0.8 0.8
1983 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.7 0.9 0.9
1984 3.4 2.8 3.4 2.8 0.7 0.9
1985 3.4 2.9 3.4 2.9 0.9 0.9
1986 2.1 3.0 2.1 3.0 1.0 0.9
1987 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.2 0.9 0.9
1988 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.3 0.8 1.0
1989 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.4 0.8 1.0
1990 3.6 3.3 3.6 3.3 1.1 1.0
1991 2.3 3.2 2.3 3.2 1.2 1.0
1992 3.4 3.1 3.4 3.1 1.1 1.1
1993 1.7 3.0 1.7 3.0 1.1 1.1
1994 3.7 2.9 3.7 2.9 1.0 1.0
1995 2.2 2.8 2.2 2.8 1.0 1.0
1996 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 1.0 1.0
1997 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 0.9 0.9
1998 2.8 2.6 2.8 2.6 0.9 0.9
1999 3.7 2.5 3.7 2.5 0.9 0.9
2000 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 1.0 0.9
2001 1.9 2.4 1.9 2.4 0.9 0.8
2002 2.8 2.3 2.8 2.3 0.8 0.8
2003 1.8 2.2 1.8 2.2 0.7 0.8
2004 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.2 0.7 0.7
2005 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.1 0.8 0.7
2006 1.7 2.0 1.7 2.0 0.7 0.7
2007 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.0 0.6 0.7
2008 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.9 0.7 0.7
2009 1.3 1.8 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.6
2010 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.6
2011 1.3 1.7 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.6
2012 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.6
2013 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.6 0.6 0.6
2014 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.5

Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Larynx, All Ages, 1975-2014

Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male1985-14-2.4*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male1985-14-2.4*
U.S. Mortality, White, Male1993-14-2.2*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male1990-14-2.8*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male1990-14-2.9*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male1994-14-3.6*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female1989-14-2.3*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female1989-14-2.4*
U.S. Mortality, White, Female1992-14-1.8*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female1989-14-3.0*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female1989-14-3.1*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female1993-14-3.3*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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