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Figure 15.3
Figure 15.3
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, Ages 65 and Over, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Male, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Male, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Male, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 435.0 | 445.4 | 435.0 | 445.4 | 374.5 | 379.0 |
| 1976 | 460.4 | 455.0 | 460.4 | 455.0 | 388.6 | 388.3 |
| 1977 | 476.3 | 464.9 | 476.3 | 464.9 | 401.2 | 397.9 |
| 1978 | 476.1 | 475.0 | 476.1 | 475.0 | 410.4 | 407.7 |
| 1979 | 478.6 | 485.3 | 478.6 | 485.3 | 418.2 | 417.7 |
| 1980 | 493.5 | 495.8 | 493.5 | 495.8 | 430.0 | 428.0 |
| 1981 | 502.7 | 506.5 | 502.7 | 506.5 | 433.7 | 438.6 |
| 1982 | 516.8 | 507.9 | 516.8 | 507.9 | 447.8 | 449.4 |
| 1983 | 507.0 | 509.3 | 507.0 | 509.3 | 453.7 | 453.6 |
| 1984 | 520.9 | 510.7 | 520.9 | 510.7 | 458.0 | 457.8 |
| 1985 | 493.0 | 512.1 | 493.0 | 512.1 | 461.9 | 462.1 |
| 1986 | 506.7 | 513.5 | 506.7 | 513.5 | 467.1 | 466.5 |
| 1987 | 531.8 | 514.9 | 531.8 | 514.9 | 474.0 | 470.9 |
| 1988 | 510.9 | 516.3 | 510.9 | 516.3 | 475.4 | 475.3 |
| 1989 | 520.9 | 517.7 | 520.9 | 517.7 | 478.5 | 479.8 |
| 1990 | 519.4 | 519.2 | 519.4 | 519.1 | 486.1 | 484.3 |
| 1991 | 523.0 | 520.6 | 523.0 | 520.6 | 488.3 | 488.8 |
| 1992 | 526.4 | 522.0 | 526.4 | 522.0 | 482.1 | 484.9 |
| 1993 | 519.3 | 516.0 | 519.3 | 516.0 | 481.5 | 481.1 |
| 1994 | 506.8 | 510.1 | 506.8 | 510.1 | 476.0 | 477.2 |
| 1995 | 498.8 | 504.3 | 498.8 | 504.3 | 476.0 | 473.4 |
| 1996 | 492.5 | 498.5 | 492.5 | 498.5 | 468.8 | 469.7 |
| 1997 | 482.7 | 492.8 | 482.7 | 492.8 | 467.7 | 465.9 |
| 1998 | 500.3 | 487.2 | 500.3 | 487.2 | 462.3 | 459.5 |
| 1999 | 480.1 | 481.6 | 480.1 | 481.6 | 446.6 | 453.2 |
| 2000 | 468.0 | 476.1 | 468.0 | 476.1 | 446.9 | 446.9 |
| 2001 | 467.9 | 470.6 | 467.9 | 470.7 | 442.6 | 440.8 |
| 2002 | 471.7 | 465.3 | 471.7 | 465.3 | 435.6 | 434.7 |
| 2003 | 473.6 | 459.9 | 473.6 | 460.0 | 427.9 | 428.7 |
| 2004 | 450.2 | 454.7 | 450.2 | 454.7 | 420.4 | 422.8 |
| 2005 | 451.5 | 449.5 | 451.5 | 449.5 | 418.4 | 416.9 |
| 2006 | 437.8 | 444.3 | 437.6 | 444.4 | 408.2 | 407.1 |
| 2007 | 441.0 | 439.2 | 440.6 | 439.3 | 397.2 | 397.5 |
| 2008 | 436.7 | 434.2 | 435.9 | 434.2 | 389.8 | 388.1 |
| 2009 | 427.6 | 429.2 | 426.7 | 429.3 | 377.0 | 379.0 |
| 2010 | 421.5 | 416.6 | 420.3 | 415.2 | 370.3 | 370.1 |
| 2011 | 400.2 | 404.4 | 398.8 | 401.5 | 356.5 | 357.2 |
| 2012 | 388.9 | 392.5 | 386.7 | 388.3 | 346.5 | 344.7 |
| 2013 | 374.7 | 381.0 | 371.0 | 375.6 | 332.0 | 332.7 |
| 2014 | 377.4 | 369.8 | 367.8 | 363.2 | 320.9 | 321.1 |
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Male, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 447.3 | 477.6 | 447.3 | 477.9 | 345.2 | 349.6 |
| 1976 | 542.7 | 495.5 | 542.7 | 495.7 | 364.0 | 366.8 |
| 1977 | 490.3 | 514.1 | 490.3 | 514.2 | 399.0 | 384.9 |
| 1978 | 530.2 | 533.4 | 530.2 | 533.4 | 400.0 | 403.8 |
| 1979 | 506.9 | 553.5 | 506.9 | 553.4 | 417.6 | 423.7 |
| 1980 | 649.9 | 574.2 | 649.9 | 574.0 | 449.6 | 444.6 |
| 1981 | 614.5 | 595.8 | 614.5 | 595.5 | 464.9 | 466.5 |
| 1982 | 574.0 | 618.2 | 574.0 | 617.7 | 486.1 | 482.8 |
| 1983 | 647.1 | 641.4 | 647.1 | 640.8 | 494.4 | 499.8 |
| 1984 | 670.0 | 665.5 | 670.0 | 664.8 | 523.1 | 517.3 |
| 1985 | 653.4 | 665.5 | 653.4 | 665.0 | 528.7 | 535.4 |
| 1986 | 710.0 | 665.5 | 710.0 | 665.2 | 550.3 | 554.2 |
| 1987 | 648.9 | 665.5 | 648.9 | 665.4 | 579.6 | 573.6 |
| 1988 | 647.9 | 665.5 | 647.9 | 665.6 | 591.5 | 593.7 |
| 1989 | 637.3 | 665.5 | 637.3 | 665.8 | 602.0 | 597.7 |
| 1990 | 645.0 | 665.5 | 645.0 | 666.0 | 596.3 | 601.7 |
| 1991 | 655.2 | 665.5 | 655.2 | 666.2 | 611.2 | 605.7 |
| 1992 | 720.4 | 665.5 | 720.4 | 666.4 | 602.5 | 609.7 |
| 1993 | 661.0 | 665.5 | 661.0 | 666.6 | 624.3 | 613.8 |
| 1994 | 644.1 | 665.6 | 644.1 | 666.8 | 614.9 | 617.9 |
| 1995 | 703.4 | 665.6 | 703.4 | 667.0 | 606.0 | 606.8 |
| 1996 | 643.9 | 665.6 | 643.9 | 667.2 | 592.2 | 596.0 |
| 1997 | 667.2 | 665.6 | 667.2 | 667.4 | 588.9 | 585.3 |
| 1998 | 684.9 | 652.0 | 684.9 | 653.2 | 575.5 | 574.8 |
| 1999 | 624.2 | 638.7 | 624.2 | 639.3 | 561.0 | 564.6 |
| 2000 | 569.1 | 625.6 | 569.1 | 625.7 | 551.0 | 554.5 |
| 2001 | 598.4 | 612.9 | 598.4 | 612.4 | 552.1 | 544.6 |
| 2002 | 605.2 | 600.3 | 605.2 | 599.3 | 519.8 | 529.1 |
| 2003 | 620.8 | 588.1 | 620.8 | 586.5 | 512.8 | 514.0 |
| 2004 | 572.2 | 576.1 | 572.2 | 574.0 | 497.8 | 499.4 |
| 2005 | 529.5 | 564.3 | 529.5 | 561.8 | 483.5 | 485.2 |
| 2006 | 551.3 | 552.8 | 550.6 | 549.8 | 470.5 | 471.4 |
| 2007 | 551.5 | 541.5 | 550.0 | 538.1 | 468.4 | 458.0 |
| 2008 | 576.1 | 530.4 | 573.8 | 526.7 | 448.5 | 444.9 |
| 2009 | 551.0 | 519.6 | 548.2 | 515.4 | 432.9 | 432.3 |
| 2010 | 488.4 | 509.0 | 485.3 | 504.5 | 422.8 | 420.0 |
| 2011 | 493.3 | 498.6 | 489.5 | 493.7 | 406.5 | 408.0 |
| 2012 | 508.3 | 488.4 | 503.0 | 483.2 | 401.4 | 396.4 |
| 2013 | 476.2 | 478.4 | 469.9 | 472.9 | 383.2 | 385.1 |
| 2014 | 434.6 | 468.7 | 422.5 | 462.8 | 367.1 | 374.2 |
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, White, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 83.2 | 87.5 | 83.2 | 86.6 | 64.6 | 65.0 |
| 1976 | 95.2 | 93.6 | 95.2 | 92.9 | 72.2 | 70.6 |
| 1977 | 99.7 | 100.2 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 76.2 | 76.8 |
| 1978 | 100.2 | 107.3 | 100.2 | 106.9 | 83.1 | 83.4 |
| 1979 | 117.3 | 114.9 | 117.3 | 114.7 | 88.9 | 90.6 |
| 1980 | 124.0 | 123.0 | 124.0 | 123.1 | 99.1 | 98.5 |
| 1981 | 135.8 | 131.7 | 135.8 | 132.0 | 103.9 | 104.8 |
| 1982 | 147.6 | 141.0 | 147.6 | 141.7 | 111.4 | 111.6 |
| 1983 | 152.3 | 151.0 | 152.3 | 152.0 | 120.3 | 118.9 |
| 1984 | 165.4 | 161.6 | 165.4 | 163.0 | 127.3 | 126.5 |
| 1985 | 167.6 | 173.1 | 167.6 | 174.9 | 136.0 | 134.7 |
| 1986 | 181.6 | 185.3 | 181.6 | 187.6 | 144.0 | 143.5 |
| 1987 | 201.1 | 198.4 | 201.1 | 201.3 | 151.8 | 152.7 |
| 1988 | 211.0 | 212.4 | 211.0 | 208.5 | 160.4 | 162.6 |
| 1989 | 215.1 | 219.1 | 215.1 | 216.0 | 173.2 | 173.2 |
| 1990 | 224.5 | 226.1 | 224.5 | 223.7 | 180.3 | 180.4 |
| 1991 | 235.0 | 233.3 | 235.0 | 231.7 | 188.2 | 187.8 |
| 1992 | 243.3 | 240.8 | 243.3 | 240.0 | 197.3 | 195.6 |
| 1993 | 249.2 | 248.4 | 249.2 | 248.6 | 204.6 | 203.8 |
| 1994 | 255.2 | 256.3 | 255.2 | 257.6 | 209.6 | 212.2 |
| 1995 | 264.3 | 264.5 | 264.3 | 266.8 | 214.9 | 215.5 |
| 1996 | 272.8 | 272.9 | 272.8 | 276.4 | 219.0 | 218.9 |
| 1997 | 284.8 | 281.6 | 284.8 | 286.3 | 224.7 | 222.3 |
| 1998 | 289.7 | 290.6 | 289.7 | 284.9 | 227.8 | 225.7 |
| 1999 | 288.4 | 288.0 | 288.4 | 283.5 | 225.5 | 229.2 |
| 2000 | 277.9 | 285.4 | 277.9 | 282.2 | 233.9 | 232.7 |
| 2001 | 286.4 | 282.9 | 286.4 | 287.6 | 234.4 | 236.3 |
| 2002 | 289.3 | 290.3 | 289.3 | 293.1 | 240.8 | 240.0 |
| 2003 | 304.8 | 297.9 | 304.8 | 298.8 | 240.4 | 240.1 |
| 2004 | 299.0 | 305.7 | 299.0 | 304.5 | 240.4 | 240.2 |
| 2005 | 316.6 | 313.7 | 316.6 | 310.4 | 240.6 | 240.4 |
| 2006 | 317.4 | 321.9 | 317.2 | 316.4 | 239.9 | 240.5 |
| 2007 | 324.6 | 318.4 | 324.3 | 322.4 | 241.3 | 240.6 |
| 2008 | 312.3 | 315.0 | 311.8 | 317.5 | 238.6 | 240.7 |
| 2009 | 313.7 | 311.6 | 313.0 | 312.6 | 236.7 | 236.2 |
| 2010 | 309.0 | 308.2 | 308.2 | 307.8 | 233.0 | 231.7 |
| 2011 | 302.3 | 304.9 | 301.3 | 303.0 | 227.7 | 227.3 |
| 2012 | 298.6 | 301.6 | 297.0 | 298.4 | 223.7 | 222.9 |
| 2013 | 298.2 | 298.4 | 295.3 | 293.8 | 217.9 | 218.7 |
| 2014 | 297.8 | 295.2 | 290.4 | 289.3 | 214.0 | 214.5 |
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, Black, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 79.3 | 83.7 | 79.3 | 83.7 | 58.4 | 57.4 |
| 1976 | 71.7 | 89.1 | 71.7 | 89.1 | 61.3 | 61.3 |
| 1977 | 120.2 | 94.8 | 120.2 | 94.8 | 60.8 | 65.6 |
| 1978 | 107.7 | 100.9 | 107.7 | 100.9 | 68.9 | 70.1 |
| 1979 | 104.0 | 107.4 | 104.0 | 107.4 | 73.3 | 75.0 |
| 1980 | 121.7 | 114.3 | 121.7 | 114.3 | 84.0 | 80.2 |
| 1981 | 122.3 | 121.7 | 122.3 | 121.7 | 83.6 | 85.7 |
| 1982 | 119.9 | 129.5 | 119.9 | 129.5 | 93.1 | 91.7 |
| 1983 | 141.5 | 137.8 | 141.5 | 137.8 | 105.7 | 98.0 |
| 1984 | 134.7 | 146.6 | 134.7 | 146.6 | 101.8 | 104.8 |
| 1985 | 159.3 | 156.1 | 159.3 | 156.1 | 111.2 | 112.1 |
| 1986 | 178.1 | 166.1 | 178.1 | 166.1 | 120.4 | 119.8 |
| 1987 | 151.7 | 176.8 | 151.7 | 176.7 | 126.8 | 128.1 |
| 1988 | 178.9 | 188.1 | 178.9 | 188.1 | 137.6 | 137.0 |
| 1989 | 200.6 | 200.2 | 200.6 | 200.2 | 149.4 | 146.5 |
| 1990 | 206.7 | 213.1 | 206.7 | 213.0 | 154.3 | 156.6 |
| 1991 | 252.5 | 226.8 | 252.5 | 226.7 | 166.8 | 167.5 |
| 1992 | 246.8 | 231.6 | 246.8 | 231.5 | 173.2 | 172.7 |
| 1993 | 225.7 | 236.5 | 225.7 | 236.5 | 176.0 | 178.1 |
| 1994 | 237.9 | 241.5 | 237.9 | 241.5 | 185.4 | 183.7 |
| 1995 | 221.5 | 246.6 | 221.5 | 246.6 | 187.3 | 189.5 |
| 1996 | 254.3 | 251.9 | 254.3 | 251.9 | 194.7 | 195.4 |
| 1997 | 233.3 | 257.2 | 233.3 | 257.3 | 203.3 | 201.5 |
| 1998 | 280.2 | 262.7 | 280.2 | 262.7 | 204.5 | 202.9 |
| 1999 | 289.0 | 268.2 | 289.0 | 268.3 | 206.7 | 204.4 |
| 2000 | 268.5 | 273.9 | 268.5 | 274.0 | 203.4 | 205.8 |
| 2001 | 281.8 | 279.7 | 281.8 | 279.9 | 202.2 | 207.3 |
| 2002 | 314.7 | 285.7 | 314.7 | 285.8 | 209.2 | 208.7 |
| 2003 | 278.2 | 291.7 | 278.2 | 291.9 | 212.3 | 210.2 |
| 2004 | 285.6 | 297.9 | 285.6 | 298.1 | 213.5 | 211.6 |
| 2005 | 298.5 | 304.3 | 298.5 | 304.5 | 213.6 | 213.1 |
| 2006 | 314.2 | 310.7 | 313.8 | 310.9 | 207.7 | 210.1 |
| 2007 | 289.5 | 306.4 | 288.7 | 305.8 | 207.8 | 207.2 |
| 2008 | 311.4 | 302.1 | 310.2 | 300.8 | 204.3 | 204.3 |
| 2009 | 303.9 | 297.9 | 302.4 | 295.9 | 195.7 | 201.4 |
| 2010 | 290.8 | 293.7 | 288.9 | 291.1 | 203.5 | 198.6 |
| 2011 | 281.2 | 289.6 | 279.2 | 286.3 | 197.4 | 195.8 |
| 2012 | 307.4 | 285.5 | 304.2 | 281.6 | 195.0 | 193.1 |
| 2013 | 280.3 | 281.5 | 276.4 | 277.0 | 191.6 | 190.4 |
| 2014 | 266.1 | 277.6 | 258.8 | 272.5 | 184.1 | 187.7 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Lung and Bronchus, Ages 65+, 1975-2014
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-14 | -2.9* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2009-14 | -3.3* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2010-14 | -3.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1997-14 | -2.0* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1997-14 | -2.1* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-14 | -2.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2006-14 | -1.1* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2007-14 | -1.5* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2008-14 | -1.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2006-14 | -1.4 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2006-14 | -1.6* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2005-14 | -1.4* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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