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Figure 16.5
Figure 16.5
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Melanoma of the Skin, Female, by Race
Rates per 100,000 for Melanoma of the Skin, All Races, Female, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 7.4 | 7.7 | 7.4 | 7.7 | ||||
| 1976 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 8.0 | ||||
| 1977 | 8.2 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 8.3 | ||||
| 1978 | 8.7 | 8.6 | 8.7 | 8.6 | ||||
| 1979 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 8.9 | ||||
| 1980 | 9.6 | 9.3 | 9.6 | 9.3 | ||||
| 1981 | 10.4 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 9.7 | ||||
| 1982 | 10.3 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 10.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 10.0 | 10.4 | 10.0 | 10.4 | ||||
| 1984 | 10.4 | 10.8 | 10.4 | 10.8 | ||||
| 1985 | 11.2 | 11.3 | 11.2 | 11.3 | ||||
| 1986 | 11.6 | 11.7 | 11.6 | 11.7 | ||||
| 1987 | 12.1 | 11.8 | 12.1 | 11.8 | ||||
| 1988 | 11.5 | 11.9 | 11.5 | 11.9 | ||||
| 1989 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.9 | ||||
| 1990 | 11.9 | 12.0 | 11.9 | 12.0 | ||||
| 1991 | 12.5 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 12.1 | ||||
| 1992 | 12.2 | 12.1 | 12.2 | 12.1 | 11.6 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 11.3 |
| 1993 | 12.1 | 12.2 | 12.1 | 12.2 | 11.4 | 11.8 | 11.4 | 11.7 |
| 1994 | 12.6 | 12.9 | 12.6 | 12.9 | 11.9 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| 1995 | 13.8 | 13.6 | 13.8 | 13.6 | 13.0 | 12.7 | 13.0 | 12.8 |
| 1996 | 14.2 | 14.3 | 14.2 | 14.3 | 13.4 | 13.3 | 13.4 | 13.3 |
| 1997 | 14.9 | 14.6 | 14.9 | 14.7 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 13.9 |
| 1998 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 13.8 | 14.0 | 13.8 | 14.1 |
| 1999 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 14.3 |
| 2000 | 15.5 | 15.7 | 15.5 | 15.7 | 14.0 | 14.5 | 14.0 | 14.5 |
| 2001 | 16.3 | 16.0 | 16.3 | 16.0 | 15.1 | 14.7 | 15.1 | 14.7 |
| 2002 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 14.6 | 14.9 | 14.6 | 14.9 |
| 2003 | 16.2 | 16.8 | 16.2 | 16.8 | 14.6 | 15.1 | 14.6 | 15.1 |
| 2004 | 17.3 | 17.2 | 17.3 | 17.2 | 15.5 | 15.3 | 15.5 | 15.3 |
| 2005 | 18.5 | 17.6 | 18.5 | 17.6 | 16.3 | 15.6 | 16.3 | 15.5 |
| 2006 | 18.2 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 18.0 | 16.1 | 15.8 | 16.1 | 15.7 |
| 2007 | 17.9 | 18.4 | 17.8 | 18.4 | 16.1 | 16.0 | 16.1 | 15.9 |
| 2008 | 19.0 | 18.8 | 18.9 | 18.8 | 16.8 | 16.3 | 16.8 | 16.1 |
| 2009 | 18.7 | 19.3 | 18.6 | 19.2 | 16.3 | 16.5 | 16.2 | 16.4 |
| 2010 | 19.7 | 19.0 | 19.5 | 18.9 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 17.1 | 16.6 |
| 2011 | 18.7 | 18.8 | 18.5 | 18.6 | 16.4 | 17.0 | 16.2 | 16.8 |
| 2012 | 18.4 | 18.5 | 18.2 | 18.3 | 16.3 | 17.2 | 16.1 | 17.0 |
| 2013 | 19.5 | 19.6 | 19.2 | 19.3 | 17.2 | 17.5 | 16.9 | 17.3 |
| 2014 | 20.9 | 20.8 | 20.4 | 20.3 | 18.5 | 17.8 | 18.0 | 17.5 |
Rates per 100,000 for Melanoma of the Skin, White, Female, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 8.1 | ||||
| 1976 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 8.6 | ||||
| 1977 | 9.1 | 9.2 | 9.1 | 9.2 | ||||
| 1978 | 9.9 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.7 | ||||
| 1979 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 10.1 | 10.4 | ||||
| 1980 | 11.1 | 11.0 | 11.1 | 11.0 | ||||
| 1981 | 12.0 | 11.7 | 12.0 | 11.7 | ||||
| 1982 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.9 | ||||
| 1983 | 11.5 | 12.2 | 11.5 | 12.2 | ||||
| 1984 | 12.0 | 12.5 | 12.0 | 12.4 | ||||
| 1985 | 12.8 | 12.7 | 12.8 | 12.7 | ||||
| 1986 | 13.4 | 13.0 | 13.4 | 13.0 | ||||
| 1987 | 14.0 | 13.3 | 14.0 | 13.3 | ||||
| 1988 | 13.3 | 13.5 | 13.3 | 13.6 | ||||
| 1989 | 13.9 | 13.8 | 13.9 | 13.8 | ||||
| 1990 | 14.0 | 14.1 | 14.0 | 14.1 | ||||
| 1991 | 14.8 | 14.4 | 14.8 | 14.4 | ||||
| 1992 | 14.4 | 14.7 | 14.4 | 14.8 | 13.7 | 13.8 | 13.7 | 13.8 |
| 1993 | 14.2 | 15.0 | 14.2 | 15.1 | 13.4 | 14.3 | 13.4 | 14.3 |
| 1994 | 14.9 | 15.6 | 14.9 | 15.6 | 14.1 | 14.7 | 14.1 | 14.7 |
| 1995 | 16.5 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 16.1 | 15.6 | 15.1 | 15.6 | 15.1 |
| 1996 | 17.1 | 16.7 | 17.1 | 16.7 | 16.1 | 15.6 | 16.1 | 15.6 |
| 1997 | 18.0 | 17.3 | 18.0 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 16.1 | 16.7 | 16.1 |
| 1998 | 18.2 | 17.9 | 18.2 | 17.8 | 16.8 | 16.6 | 16.8 | 16.6 |
| 1999 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 18.4 | 17.4 | 17.1 | 17.4 | 17.1 |
| 2000 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 17.4 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 17.6 |
| 2001 | 20.2 | 19.8 | 20.2 | 19.7 | 18.9 | 18.1 | 18.9 | 18.1 |
| 2002 | 20.0 | 20.5 | 20.0 | 20.4 | 18.3 | 18.7 | 18.3 | 18.7 |
| 2003 | 20.3 | 21.2 | 20.3 | 21.1 | 18.4 | 19.2 | 18.4 | 19.3 |
| 2004 | 21.5 | 22.0 | 21.5 | 21.8 | 19.6 | 19.8 | 19.6 | 19.8 |
| 2005 | 23.3 | 22.8 | 23.3 | 22.6 | 20.9 | 20.4 | 20.9 | 20.4 |
| 2006 | 22.9 | 23.0 | 22.9 | 22.8 | 20.6 | 21.1 | 20.6 | 20.6 |
| 2007 | 22.6 | 23.2 | 22.5 | 23.1 | 20.6 | 21.1 | 20.5 | 20.8 |
| 2008 | 24.0 | 23.3 | 23.9 | 23.3 | 21.7 | 21.1 | 21.6 | 21.0 |
| 2009 | 23.6 | 23.5 | 23.4 | 23.6 | 20.9 | 21.1 | 20.8 | 21.1 |
| 2010 | 25.0 | 23.7 | 24.7 | 23.9 | 22.2 | 21.2 | 21.9 | 21.3 |
| 2011 | 23.7 | 23.9 | 23.4 | 24.1 | 21.0 | 21.2 | 20.8 | 21.5 |
| 2012 | 23.5 | 24.1 | 23.1 | 24.4 | 20.9 | 21.2 | 20.6 | 21.6 |
| 2013 | 25.1 | 25.5 | 24.5 | 24.7 | 22.1 | 22.5 | 21.6 | 21.8 |
| 2014 | 27.1 | 26.9 | 26.1 | 25.0 | 24.0 | 23.8 | 23.1 | 22.0 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Melanoma of the Skin, Female, All Ages
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2014 | 2012-14 | 6.1 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2014 | 2012-14 | 5.3 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2014 | 1997-14 | 1.5* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2014 | 1997-14 | 1.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2014 | 2012-14 | 5.5 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2014 | 2005-14 | 1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2014 | 2012-14 | 5.9 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2014 | 2005-14 | 0.8 |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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