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Figure 18.1

CSR Figure 18.1: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex


Figure 18.1

Rates per 100,000 for Myeloma, White, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 6.2 5.6 6.2 5.7 3.5 3.5
1976 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.8 3.6 3.6
1977 6.2 5.7 6.2 5.8 3.6 3.6
1978 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.9 3.7 3.7
1979 5.4 5.8 5.4 5.9 3.9 3.7
1980 5.4 5.9 5.4 6.0 3.8 3.8
1981 5.5 6.0 5.5 6.0 3.7 3.8
1982 5.9 6.0 5.9 6.1 3.8 3.9
1983 6.3 6.1 6.3 6.1 4.0 4.0
1984 6.4 6.1 6.4 6.2 3.9 4.0
1985 6.0 6.2 6.0 6.3 4.1 4.1
1986 6.0 6.3 6.0 6.3 4.1 4.1
1987 7.2 6.3 7.2 6.4 4.2 4.2
1988 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 4.3 4.3
1989 6.3 6.5 6.3 6.5 4.3 4.3
1990 6.9 6.5 6.9 6.5 4.4 4.4
1991 7.2 6.6 7.2 6.6 4.5 4.4
1992 7.0 6.7 7.0 6.7 4.4 4.5
1993 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.7 4.6 4.6
1994 6.3 6.8 6.3 6.8 4.7 4.6
1995 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.8 4.6 4.6
1996 6.9 7.0 6.9 6.9 4.6 4.6
1997 7.1 7.0 7.1 7.0 4.6 4.5
1998 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.0 4.4 4.5
1999 6.6 7.2 6.6 7.1 4.4 4.5
2000 7.7 7.3 7.7 7.1 4.4 4.4
2001 6.9 7.3 6.9 7.2 4.4 4.4
2002 7.7 7.4 7.7 7.3 4.6 4.3
2003 7.2 7.5 7.2 7.3 4.4 4.3
2004 7.0 7.6 7.0 7.4 4.2 4.3
2005 7.5 7.6 7.5 7.5 4.3 4.2
2006 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.5 4.1 4.2
2007 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.6 4.2 4.2
2008 7.6 7.9 7.4 7.7 4.0 4.1
2009 8.0 8.0 7.8 7.7 4.0 4.1
2010 8.2 8.1 7.9 7.8 3.9 4.0
2011 8.4 8.1 8.1 7.9 4.1 4.0
2012 8.4 8.2 8.0 7.9 4.0 4.0
2013 9.0 8.3 8.4 8.0 4.0 3.9
2014 8.6 8.4 7.7 8.1 4.0 3.9

Rates per 100,000 for Myeloma, Black, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 10.9 11.9 10.9 12.2 6.4 6.5
1976 11.1 12.0 11.1 12.3 6.9 6.7
1977 11.0 12.1 11.0 12.4 7.2 7.0
1978 11.1 12.3 11.1 12.5 7.0 7.2
1979 15.3 12.4 15.3 12.6 7.4 7.5
1980 10.8 12.5 10.8 12.7 7.4 7.8
1981 15.2 12.6 15.2 12.9 8.2 8.1
1982 13.9 12.8 13.9 13.0 8.6 8.4
1983 16.3 12.9 16.3 13.1 8.7 8.5
1984 15.2 13.0 15.2 13.2 8.4 8.6
1985 12.6 13.2 12.6 13.3 8.6 8.7
1986 11.6 13.3 11.6 13.4 9.1 8.8
1987 13.5 13.4 13.5 13.5 9.2 8.9
1988 12.2 13.6 12.2 13.6 8.1 9.0
1989 13.6 13.7 13.6 13.7 8.9 9.1
1990 14.6 13.9 14.6 13.9 9.6 9.2
1991 15.9 14.0 15.9 14.0 9.6 9.3
1992 13.3 14.2 13.3 14.1 9.3 9.4
1993 15.7 14.3 15.7 14.2 9.3 9.5
1994 15.3 14.4 15.3 14.3 9.7 9.6
1995 15.2 14.6 15.2 14.4 9.4 9.5
1996 13.5 14.7 13.5 14.6 9.6 9.3
1997 14.4 14.9 14.4 14.7 9.2 9.2
1998 13.4 15.0 13.4 14.8 9.5 9.1
1999 15.5 15.2 15.5 14.9 8.8 9.0
2000 10.8 15.4 10.8 15.1 8.8 8.8
2001 14.9 15.5 14.9 15.2 8.7 8.7
2002 14.1 15.7 14.1 15.3 8.3 8.6
2003 14.0 15.8 14.0 15.4 8.4 8.5
2004 16.2 16.0 16.2 15.6 8.3 8.4
2005 14.7 16.2 14.7 15.7 8.1 8.3
2006 15.0 16.3 14.9 15.8 8.3 8.1
2007 15.0 16.5 14.8 16.0 7.9 8.0
2008 18.1 16.7 17.7 16.1 8.0 7.9
2009 17.3 16.8 16.8 16.2 7.6 7.8
2010 19.8 17.0 19.0 16.4 7.8 7.7
2011 17.3 17.2 16.5 16.5 7.4 7.6
2012 20.4 17.4 19.1 16.6 7.4 7.5
2013 17.7 17.5 16.3 16.8 7.4 7.4
2014 16.9 17.7 15.1 16.9 7.7 7.3

Rates per 100,000 for Myeloma, White, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.9 2.2 2.3
1976 4.1 3.9 4.1 3.9 2.4 2.4
1977 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 2.4 2.4
1978 3.7 3.9 3.7 4.0 2.5 2.4
1979 3.8 3.9 3.8 4.0 2.5 2.5
1980 3.7 4.0 3.7 4.0 2.5 2.5
1981 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 2.5
1982 4.3 4.0 4.3 4.0 2.6 2.6
1983 3.7 4.0 3.7 4.1 2.6 2.6
1984 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 2.7 2.7
1985 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.1 2.8 2.7
1986 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 2.8 2.7
1987 4.7 4.1 4.7 4.2 2.7 2.8
1988 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 2.7 2.8
1989 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 2.8 2.8
1990 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.2 2.9 2.9
1991 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.2 2.9 2.9
1992 4.8 4.3 4.8 4.3 2.9 3.0
1993 3.9 4.3 3.9 4.3 3.0 3.0
1994 4.5 4.3 4.5 4.3 3.0 3.0
1995 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.3 3.0 3.0
1996 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.3 2.9 3.0
1997 4.8 4.4 4.8 4.4 2.9 3.0
1998 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.4 2.9 2.9
1999 4.1 4.5 4.1 4.4 2.9 2.9
2000 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 3.0 2.9
2001 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.5 2.9 2.9
2002 4.3 4.6 4.3 4.5 2.9 2.9
2003 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.5 2.8 2.8
2004 4.3 4.6 4.3 4.5 2.7 2.7
2005 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.5 2.7 2.7
2006 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.6 2.6 2.6
2007 4.1 4.7 4.1 4.6 2.5 2.5
2008 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 2.4 2.4
2009 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.6 2.4 2.4
2010 5.0 4.8 4.9 4.7 2.4 2.4
2011 5.3 4.8 5.1 4.7 2.5 2.4
2012 4.9 4.9 4.6 4.7 2.5 2.4
2013 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.7 2.4 2.4
2014 5.0 4.9 4.5 4.8 2.4 2.4

Rates per 100,000 for Myeloma, Black, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 8.6 8.5 8.6 8.7 4.4 4.6
1976 7.9 8.6 7.9 8.8 4.6 4.7
1977 7.8 8.7 7.8 8.9 4.4 4.8
1978 8.7 8.8 8.7 9.0 4.9 4.9
1979 8.3 8.8 8.3 9.0 4.9 5.0
1980 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.1 5.2 5.1
1981 8.2 9.0 8.2 9.2 5.5 5.2
1982 9.7 9.1 9.7 9.3 5.4 5.3
1983 11.9 9.2 11.9 9.4 5.6 5.4
1984 7.7 9.3 7.7 9.4 5.5 5.5
1985 7.2 9.4 7.2 9.5 5.8 5.6
1986 10.4 9.5 10.4 9.6 6.0 5.7
1987 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.7 5.7 5.9
1988 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.8 6.1 6.0
1989 8.9 9.9 8.9 9.9 5.9 6.1
1990 10.6 10.0 10.6 10.0 5.9 6.2
1991 10.6 10.1 10.6 10.1 6.6 6.3
1992 10.3 10.2 10.3 10.1 6.3 6.5
1993 10.6 10.3 10.6 10.2 6.9 6.6
1994 12.0 10.4 12.0 10.3 6.5 6.7
1995 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 6.9 6.9
1996 12.1 10.6 12.1 10.5 6.5 7.0
1997 12.0 10.7 12.0 10.6 6.5 6.8
1998 11.3 10.9 11.3 10.7 6.8 6.7
1999 10.2 11.0 10.2 10.8 6.6 6.5
2000 11.0 11.1 11.0 10.9 6.7 6.4
2001 10.8 11.2 10.8 11.0 6.3 6.3
2002 9.5 11.3 9.5 11.1 6.0 6.1
2003 9.3 11.5 9.3 11.2 6.3 6.0
2004 10.8 11.6 10.8 11.3 6.0 5.9
2005 11.6 11.7 11.6 11.4 5.5 5.7
2006 12.3 11.8 12.2 11.5 5.5 5.6
2007 10.6 12.0 10.4 11.6 5.8 5.5
2008 12.8 12.1 12.5 11.7 5.3 5.4
2009 12.9 12.2 12.5 11.8 4.9 5.3
2010 12.0 12.4 11.5 11.9 5.5 5.3
2011 13.8 12.5 13.1 12.0 5.2 5.4
2012 12.4 12.6 11.7 12.1 5.5 5.5
2013 12.9 12.8 12.0 12.2 5.7 5.6
2014 12.9 12.9 11.6 12.3 5.6 5.7

Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Myeloma, All Ages, 1975-2014

Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male1975-141.0*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male1975-140.9*
U.S. Mortality, White, Male1994-14-0.9*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male1975-141.0*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male1975-140.8*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male1994-14-1.4*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female1975-140.6*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female1975-140.5*
U.S. Mortality, White, Female2008-14-0.1
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female1975-141.1*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female1975-140.9*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female2009-141.6

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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