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Figure 20.1
Figure 20.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Oral Cavity and Pharynx, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, White, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, Black, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, White, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, Black, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, White, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 21.7 | 21.8 | 21.7 | 21.9 | 6.6 | 6.8 |
| 1976 | 21.0 | 21.5 | 21.0 | 21.6 | 6.6 | 6.6 |
| 1977 | 19.9 | 21.3 | 19.9 | 21.4 | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| 1978 | 20.7 | 21.0 | 20.7 | 21.1 | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| 1979 | 21.6 | 20.8 | 21.6 | 20.8 | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| 1980 | 20.0 | 20.5 | 20.0 | 20.6 | 6.1 | 6.1 |
| 1981 | 20.5 | 20.3 | 20.5 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| 1982 | 19.9 | 20.0 | 19.9 | 20.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 |
| 1983 | 21.2 | 19.8 | 21.2 | 19.8 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| 1984 | 20.2 | 19.6 | 20.2 | 19.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| 1985 | 19.6 | 19.4 | 19.6 | 19.3 | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| 1986 | 18.9 | 19.1 | 18.9 | 19.1 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| 1987 | 20.1 | 18.9 | 20.1 | 18.9 | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| 1988 | 17.7 | 18.7 | 17.7 | 18.6 | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| 1989 | 17.7 | 18.5 | 17.7 | 18.4 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| 1990 | 18.8 | 18.2 | 18.8 | 18.2 | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| 1991 | 18.1 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 17.9 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| 1992 | 18.0 | 17.8 | 18.0 | 17.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| 1993 | 18.4 | 17.6 | 18.4 | 17.5 | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| 1994 | 16.9 | 17.4 | 16.9 | 17.3 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| 1995 | 16.7 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 17.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| 1996 | 17.3 | 17.0 | 17.3 | 16.8 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| 1997 | 17.2 | 16.8 | 17.2 | 16.6 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| 1998 | 16.4 | 16.6 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| 1999 | 15.4 | 16.4 | 15.4 | 16.2 | 3.8 | 4.0 |
| 2000 | 15.7 | 16.2 | 15.7 | 16.0 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 2001 | 15.6 | 16.0 | 15.6 | 15.8 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| 2002 | 16.6 | 15.8 | 16.6 | 16.0 | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| 2003 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 16.1 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| 2004 | 16.5 | 15.9 | 16.5 | 16.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 2005 | 16.0 | 16.1 | 16.0 | 16.4 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| 2006 | 16.1 | 16.3 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| 2007 | 16.6 | 16.6 | 16.5 | 16.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 2008 | 17.0 | 16.8 | 16.9 | 16.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| 2009 | 16.8 | 17.0 | 16.7 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| 2010 | 17.0 | 17.3 | 16.8 | 17.1 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| 2011 | 17.8 | 17.5 | 17.6 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| 2012 | 17.3 | 17.8 | 17.1 | 17.4 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| 2013 | 18.3 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| 2014 | 18.6 | 18.3 | 18.0 | 17.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 |
Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, Black, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 20.2 | 23.5 | 20.2 | 23.9 | 9.9 | 10.0 |
| 1976 | 23.8 | 23.9 | 23.8 | 24.2 | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| 1977 | 23.9 | 24.4 | 23.9 | 24.6 | 10.9 | 10.7 |
| 1978 | 26.0 | 24.9 | 26.0 | 25.0 | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| 1979 | 28.2 | 25.4 | 28.2 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| 1980 | 25.4 | 26.0 | 25.4 | 25.9 | 12.5 | 12.0 |
| 1981 | 28.2 | 26.5 | 28.2 | 26.3 | 11.4 | 11.9 |
| 1982 | 27.4 | 27.0 | 27.4 | 26.7 | 11.5 | 11.7 |
| 1983 | 26.1 | 27.6 | 26.1 | 27.1 | 11.8 | 11.5 |
| 1984 | 30.0 | 28.1 | 30.0 | 27.6 | 11.7 | 11.3 |
| 1985 | 25.8 | 28.7 | 25.8 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| 1986 | 28.1 | 29.3 | 28.1 | 28.5 | 11.4 | 11.0 |
| 1987 | 30.0 | 28.5 | 30.0 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| 1988 | 25.7 | 27.7 | 25.7 | 28.1 | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| 1989 | 27.2 | 27.0 | 27.2 | 27.3 | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| 1990 | 27.9 | 26.2 | 27.9 | 26.5 | 11.0 | 10.3 |
| 1991 | 23.8 | 25.5 | 23.8 | 25.8 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| 1992 | 25.2 | 24.8 | 25.2 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| 1993 | 24.9 | 24.1 | 24.9 | 24.3 | 10.1 | 9.9 |
| 1994 | 26.8 | 23.5 | 26.8 | 23.6 | 9.3 | 9.5 |
| 1995 | 22.7 | 22.8 | 22.7 | 23.0 | 9.3 | 9.1 |
| 1996 | 24.4 | 22.2 | 24.4 | 22.3 | 8.7 | 8.7 |
| 1997 | 18.5 | 21.6 | 18.5 | 21.7 | 8.1 | 8.3 |
| 1998 | 22.5 | 21.0 | 22.5 | 21.0 | 7.9 | 8.0 |
| 1999 | 20.3 | 20.4 | 20.3 | 20.4 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| 2000 | 20.7 | 19.9 | 20.7 | 19.8 | 7.3 | 7.4 |
| 2001 | 19.0 | 19.3 | 19.0 | 19.3 | 6.7 | 7.1 |
| 2002 | 17.0 | 18.8 | 17.0 | 18.7 | 6.3 | 6.8 |
| 2003 | 17.2 | 18.3 | 17.2 | 18.2 | 6.9 | 6.5 |
| 2004 | 16.1 | 17.8 | 16.1 | 17.7 | 6.8 | 6.2 |
| 2005 | 16.7 | 17.3 | 16.7 | 17.2 | 6.4 | 6.0 |
| 2006 | 16.7 | 16.8 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 |
| 2007 | 15.8 | 16.4 | 15.7 | 16.2 | 5.6 | 5.5 |
| 2008 | 14.1 | 15.9 | 14.0 | 15.7 | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| 2009 | 16.3 | 15.5 | 16.2 | 15.3 | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| 2010 | 13.4 | 15.1 | 13.3 | 14.8 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| 2011 | 14.5 | 14.6 | 14.3 | 14.4 | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| 2012 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| 2013 | 15.2 | 13.9 | 14.9 | 13.6 | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| 2014 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 15.0 | 13.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, White, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1976 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1977 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1978 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1979 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| 1980 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1981 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 7.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1982 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1983 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1984 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1985 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| 1986 | 7.3 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1987 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1988 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1989 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1990 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1991 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| 1992 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1993 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1994 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1995 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1996 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1997 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1998 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 1999 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 2000 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 2001 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2002 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2003 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2004 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 2005 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2006 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2007 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2008 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2009 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 2010 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2011 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 2012 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 2013 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 2014 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, Black, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| 1976 | 8.4 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 9.3 | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| 1977 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| 1978 | 8.2 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 1979 | 10.8 | 8.8 | 10.8 | 8.9 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| 1980 | 9.6 | 8.7 | 9.6 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| 1981 | 7.4 | 8.6 | 7.4 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| 1982 | 8.8 | 8.4 | 8.8 | 8.5 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| 1983 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| 1984 | 10.1 | 8.2 | 10.1 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| 1985 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1986 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 1987 | 7.0 | 7.8 | 7.0 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1988 | 9.1 | 7.7 | 9.1 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1989 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1990 | 6.9 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1991 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1992 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| 1993 | 8.1 | 7.1 | 8.1 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1994 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1995 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 1996 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1997 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1998 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1999 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| 2000 | 4.9 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| 2001 | 7.0 | 6.3 | 7.0 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 2002 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 2003 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 2004 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 2005 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 2006 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2007 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 2008 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 2009 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 2010 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2011 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 2012 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 2013 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 2014 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Oral Cavity and Pharynx, All Ages, 1975-2014
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2003-14 | 1.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2001-14 | 0.9* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2005-14 | 0.8* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1986-14 | -2.7* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 1987-14 | -2.9* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2009-14 | -0.7 |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2004-14 | 0.5 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2004-14 | 0.3 |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2003-14 | -1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1975-14 | -1.5* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1975-14 | -1.6* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 2005-14 | -1.6 |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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