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Figure 20.4
Figure 20.4
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
Cancer of the Oral Cavity and Pharynx, Male, by Race
- Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, All Races, Male, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, White, Male, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, Black, Male, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, All Races, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 21.2 | 21.0 | 21.2 | 21.0 | ||||
| 1976 | 21.0 | 20.9 | 21.0 | 20.9 | ||||
| 1977 | 20.1 | 20.9 | 20.1 | 20.9 | ||||
| 1978 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 20.9 | ||||
| 1979 | 21.9 | 20.8 | 21.9 | 20.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 20.3 | 20.8 | 20.3 | 20.8 | ||||
| 1981 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 20.8 | ||||
| 1982 | 20.3 | 20.7 | 20.3 | 20.7 | ||||
| 1983 | 21.2 | 20.7 | 21.2 | 20.7 | ||||
| 1984 | 20.8 | 20.4 | 20.8 | 20.4 | ||||
| 1985 | 19.8 | 20.1 | 19.8 | 20.1 | ||||
| 1986 | 19.1 | 19.8 | 19.1 | 19.8 | ||||
| 1987 | 20.5 | 19.5 | 20.5 | 19.5 | ||||
| 1988 | 18.1 | 19.3 | 18.1 | 19.3 | ||||
| 1989 | 18.3 | 19.0 | 18.3 | 19.0 | ||||
| 1990 | 19.4 | 18.7 | 19.4 | 18.7 | ||||
| 1991 | 18.3 | 18.5 | 18.3 | 18.5 | ||||
| 1992 | 18.3 | 18.2 | 18.3 | 18.2 | 18.0 | 17.8 | 18.0 | 17.9 |
| 1993 | 18.7 | 17.9 | 18.7 | 17.9 | 17.7 | 17.5 | 17.7 | 17.6 |
| 1994 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 17.2 | 17.3 | 17.2 | 17.3 |
| 1995 | 17.0 | 17.4 | 17.0 | 17.4 | 16.5 | 17.0 | 16.5 | 17.0 |
| 1996 | 17.8 | 17.2 | 17.8 | 17.2 | 17.2 | 16.8 | 17.2 | 16.8 |
| 1997 | 17.4 | 16.9 | 17.4 | 17.0 | 16.8 | 16.5 | 16.8 | 16.5 |
| 1998 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.4 | 16.3 | 16.4 | 16.3 |
| 1999 | 15.6 | 16.5 | 15.6 | 16.5 | 15.4 | 16.1 | 15.4 | 16.0 |
| 2000 | 16.1 | 16.2 | 16.1 | 16.2 | 15.8 | 15.8 | 15.8 | 15.8 |
| 2001 | 15.5 | 16.0 | 15.5 | 16.0 | 15.1 | 15.6 | 15.1 | 15.5 |
| 2002 | 16.3 | 15.8 | 16.3 | 15.8 | 15.7 | 15.4 | 15.7 | 15.3 |
| 2003 | 15.7 | 15.5 | 15.7 | 15.6 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 15.0 |
| 2004 | 16.1 | 15.7 | 16.1 | 15.7 | 15.3 | 14.9 | 15.3 | 15.1 |
| 2005 | 15.7 | 15.9 | 15.7 | 15.8 | 15.1 | 15.1 | 15.1 | 15.2 |
| 2006 | 15.9 | 16.0 | 15.9 | 16.0 | 14.9 | 15.3 | 14.9 | 15.4 |
| 2007 | 16.1 | 16.2 | 16.1 | 16.1 | 15.5 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 15.5 |
| 2008 | 16.4 | 16.3 | 16.4 | 16.3 | 15.9 | 15.6 | 15.8 | 15.6 |
| 2009 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 16.0 | 15.8 | 16.0 | 15.7 |
| 2010 | 16.4 | 16.7 | 16.3 | 16.5 | 15.7 | 15.9 | 15.6 | 15.8 |
| 2011 | 16.9 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 16.7 | 16.1 | 16.1 | 16.0 | 15.9 |
| 2012 | 16.5 | 17.0 | 16.3 | 16.8 | 15.8 | 16.3 | 15.7 | 16.0 |
| 2013 | 17.4 | 17.2 | 17.2 | 17.0 | 16.7 | 16.5 | 16.4 | 16.2 |
| 2014 | 17.8 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 17.1 | 16.8 | 16.6 | 16.3 | 16.3 |
Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, White, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 21.7 | 21.8 | 21.7 | 21.9 | ||||
| 1976 | 21.0 | 21.5 | 21.0 | 21.6 | ||||
| 1977 | 19.9 | 21.3 | 19.9 | 21.4 | ||||
| 1978 | 20.7 | 21.0 | 20.7 | 21.1 | ||||
| 1979 | 21.6 | 20.8 | 21.6 | 20.8 | ||||
| 1980 | 20.0 | 20.5 | 20.0 | 20.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 20.5 | 20.3 | 20.5 | 20.3 | ||||
| 1982 | 19.9 | 20.0 | 19.9 | 20.1 | ||||
| 1983 | 21.2 | 19.8 | 21.2 | 19.8 | ||||
| 1984 | 20.2 | 19.6 | 20.2 | 19.6 | ||||
| 1985 | 19.6 | 19.4 | 19.6 | 19.3 | ||||
| 1986 | 18.9 | 19.1 | 18.9 | 19.1 | ||||
| 1987 | 20.1 | 18.9 | 20.1 | 18.9 | ||||
| 1988 | 17.7 | 18.7 | 17.7 | 18.6 | ||||
| 1989 | 17.7 | 18.5 | 17.7 | 18.4 | ||||
| 1990 | 18.8 | 18.2 | 18.8 | 18.2 | ||||
| 1991 | 18.1 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 17.9 | ||||
| 1992 | 18.0 | 17.8 | 18.0 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 17.4 | 17.7 | 17.4 |
| 1993 | 18.4 | 17.6 | 18.4 | 17.5 | 17.4 | 17.2 | 17.4 | 17.2 |
| 1994 | 16.9 | 17.4 | 16.9 | 17.3 | 16.7 | 17.0 | 16.7 | 17.0 |
| 1995 | 16.7 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 17.1 | 16.4 | 16.8 | 16.4 | 16.8 |
| 1996 | 17.3 | 17.0 | 17.3 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 16.6 | 16.8 | 16.6 |
| 1997 | 17.2 | 16.8 | 17.2 | 16.6 | 16.7 | 16.3 | 16.7 | 16.4 |
| 1998 | 16.4 | 16.6 | 16.4 | 16.4 | 16.2 | 16.1 | 16.2 | 16.2 |
| 1999 | 15.4 | 16.4 | 15.4 | 16.2 | 15.2 | 15.9 | 15.2 | 16.0 |
| 2000 | 15.7 | 16.2 | 15.7 | 16.0 | 15.6 | 15.7 | 15.6 | 15.8 |
| 2001 | 15.6 | 16.0 | 15.6 | 15.8 | 15.4 | 15.5 | 15.4 | 15.6 |
| 2002 | 16.6 | 15.8 | 16.6 | 16.0 | 15.9 | 15.3 | 15.9 | 15.4 |
| 2003 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 16.1 | 15.3 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 15.2 |
| 2004 | 16.5 | 15.9 | 16.5 | 16.2 | 15.8 | 15.3 | 15.8 | 15.4 |
| 2005 | 16.0 | 16.1 | 16.0 | 16.4 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 |
| 2006 | 16.1 | 16.3 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 15.7 | 15.1 | 15.7 |
| 2007 | 16.6 | 16.6 | 16.5 | 16.7 | 15.9 | 16.0 | 15.9 | 15.9 |
| 2008 | 17.0 | 16.8 | 16.9 | 16.8 | 16.3 | 16.2 | 16.3 | 16.1 |
| 2009 | 16.8 | 17.0 | 16.7 | 17.0 | 16.6 | 16.4 | 16.6 | 16.2 |
| 2010 | 17.0 | 17.3 | 16.8 | 17.1 | 16.2 | 16.6 | 16.1 | 16.4 |
| 2011 | 17.8 | 17.5 | 17.6 | 17.3 | 17.0 | 16.8 | 16.9 | 16.6 |
| 2012 | 17.3 | 17.8 | 17.1 | 17.4 | 16.7 | 17.0 | 16.5 | 16.8 |
| 2013 | 18.3 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 17.3 | 17.1 | 17.0 |
| 2014 | 18.6 | 18.3 | 18.0 | 17.8 | 17.6 | 17.5 | 17.1 | 17.2 |
Rates per 100,000 for Oral Cavity and Pharynx, Black, Male, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2014 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 20.2 | 23.5 | 20.2 | 23.9 | ||||
| 1976 | 23.8 | 23.9 | 23.8 | 24.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 23.9 | 24.4 | 23.9 | 24.6 | ||||
| 1978 | 26.0 | 24.9 | 26.0 | 25.0 | ||||
| 1979 | 28.2 | 25.4 | 28.2 | 25.5 | ||||
| 1980 | 25.4 | 26.0 | 25.4 | 25.9 | ||||
| 1981 | 28.2 | 26.5 | 28.2 | 26.3 | ||||
| 1982 | 27.4 | 27.0 | 27.4 | 26.7 | ||||
| 1983 | 26.1 | 27.6 | 26.1 | 27.1 | ||||
| 1984 | 30.0 | 28.1 | 30.0 | 27.6 | ||||
| 1985 | 25.8 | 28.7 | 25.8 | 28.0 | ||||
| 1986 | 28.1 | 29.3 | 28.1 | 28.5 | ||||
| 1987 | 30.0 | 28.5 | 30.0 | 29.0 | ||||
| 1988 | 25.7 | 27.7 | 25.7 | 28.1 | ||||
| 1989 | 27.2 | 27.0 | 27.2 | 27.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 27.9 | 26.2 | 27.9 | 26.5 | ||||
| 1991 | 23.8 | 25.5 | 23.8 | 25.8 | ||||
| 1992 | 25.2 | 24.8 | 25.2 | 25.0 | 23.5 | 24.4 | 23.5 | 24.4 |
| 1993 | 24.9 | 24.1 | 24.9 | 24.3 | 23.0 | 23.6 | 23.0 | 23.6 |
| 1994 | 26.8 | 23.5 | 26.8 | 23.6 | 23.7 | 22.9 | 23.7 | 22.9 |
| 1995 | 22.7 | 22.8 | 22.7 | 23.0 | 22.3 | 22.3 | 22.3 | 22.3 |
| 1996 | 24.4 | 22.2 | 24.4 | 22.3 | 22.8 | 21.6 | 22.8 | 21.6 |
| 1997 | 18.5 | 21.6 | 18.5 | 21.7 | 19.5 | 21.0 | 19.5 | 21.0 |
| 1998 | 22.5 | 21.0 | 22.5 | 21.0 | 21.5 | 20.3 | 21.5 | 20.3 |
| 1999 | 20.3 | 20.4 | 20.3 | 20.4 | 19.9 | 19.7 | 19.9 | 19.7 |
| 2000 | 20.7 | 19.9 | 20.7 | 19.8 | 19.5 | 19.2 | 19.5 | 19.1 |
| 2001 | 19.0 | 19.3 | 19.0 | 19.3 | 18.4 | 18.6 | 18.4 | 18.6 |
| 2002 | 17.0 | 18.8 | 17.0 | 18.7 | 18.1 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 18.0 |
| 2003 | 17.2 | 18.3 | 17.2 | 18.2 | 17.6 | 17.5 | 17.6 | 17.5 |
| 2004 | 16.1 | 17.8 | 16.1 | 17.7 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 17.0 |
| 2005 | 16.7 | 17.3 | 16.7 | 17.2 | 15.9 | 16.5 | 15.9 | 16.5 |
| 2006 | 16.7 | 16.8 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.3 | 16.0 | 16.2 | 16.0 |
| 2007 | 15.8 | 16.4 | 15.7 | 16.2 | 16.0 | 15.5 | 15.9 | 15.5 |
| 2008 | 14.1 | 15.9 | 14.0 | 15.7 | 14.7 | 15.1 | 14.6 | 15.0 |
| 2009 | 16.3 | 15.5 | 16.2 | 15.3 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 15.2 | 14.6 |
| 2010 | 13.4 | 15.1 | 13.3 | 14.8 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 13.7 | 14.2 |
| 2011 | 14.5 | 14.6 | 14.3 | 14.4 | 14.1 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 13.7 |
| 2012 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.3 | 14.5 | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| 2013 | 15.2 | 13.9 | 14.9 | 13.6 | 14.8 | 14.7 | 14.4 | 14.2 |
| 2014 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 15.0 | 13.2 | 14.9 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 14.4 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Oral Cavity and Pharynx, Male, All Ages
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2014 | 2003-14 | 1.0* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2014 | 2003-14 | 0.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2014 | 2004-14 | 1.1* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2014 | 2003-14 | 0.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2014 | 2003-14 | 1.4* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2014 | 2001-14 | 0.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2014 | 2003-14 | 1.3* |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2014 | 2003-14 | 1.1* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2014 | 1986-14 | -2.7* |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2014 | 1987-14 | -2.9* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2014 | 2010-14 | 1.1 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2014 | 2011-14 | 1.6 |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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