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Figure 21.2

CSR Figure 21.2: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Age and Race


Figure 21.2

Rates per 100,000 for Ovary, White, Female, 1975-2014, Ages <65

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 12.0 11.9 12.0 12.0 6.0 6.1
1976 11.9 11.8 11.9 11.9 5.9 5.9
1977 11.6 11.7 11.6 11.7 5.6 5.7
1978 11.4 11.5 11.4 11.6 5.6 5.5
1979 10.9 11.4 10.9 11.4 5.2 5.3
1980 11.2 11.3 11.2 11.3 5.1 5.1
1981 10.9 11.2 10.9 11.2 5.1 5.1
1982 10.5 11.0 10.5 11.1 5.0 5.0
1983 10.7 10.9 10.7 10.9 4.8 4.9
1984 11.7 10.8 11.7 10.8 4.8 4.8
1985 11.4 10.7 11.4 10.7 4.7 4.8
1986 10.5 10.6 10.5 10.6 4.7 4.7
1987 10.8 10.4 10.8 10.4 4.6 4.6
1988 10.1 10.3 10.1 10.3 4.6 4.6
1989 10.3 10.2 10.3 10.2 4.5 4.5
1990 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 4.5 4.4
1991 10.3 10.0 10.3 10.0 4.5 4.4
1992 9.7 9.9 9.7 9.9 4.4 4.3
1993 9.6 9.8 9.6 9.7 4.2 4.2
1994 9.2 9.7 9.2 9.6 4.3 4.2
1995 9.3 9.5 9.3 9.5 4.2 4.1
1996 9.2 9.4 9.2 9.4 4.0 4.0
1997 9.7 9.3 9.7 9.3 3.9 4.0
1998 9.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 3.8 3.9
1999 9.0 9.1 9.0 9.1 3.9 3.9
2000 9.6 9.0 9.6 9.0 3.8 3.9
2001 9.8 8.9 9.8 8.9 3.9 3.9
2002 8.5 8.8 8.5 8.8 4.0 3.9
2003 8.9 8.7 8.9 8.7 3.8 3.8
2004 8.3 8.6 8.3 8.6 3.6 3.7
2005 8.3 8.5 8.3 8.5 3.7 3.6
2006 8.1 8.4 8.1 8.4 3.6 3.5
2007 8.5 8.3 8.5 8.3 3.3 3.4
2008 8.0 8.2 7.9 8.2 3.2 3.3
2009 8.5 8.2 8.4 8.1 3.3 3.2
2010 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.0 3.1 3.2
2011 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.9 3.0 3.1
2012 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.8 3.0 3.0
2013 7.4 7.8 7.2 7.7 2.9 2.9
2014 7.6 7.7 7.4 7.6 2.8 2.8

Rates per 100,000 for Ovary, Black, Female, 1975-2014, Ages <65

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.5 4.6 4.5
1976 7.2 7.4 7.2 7.4 4.6 4.5
1977 8.6 7.3 8.6 7.4 4.3 4.4
1978 6.1 7.3 6.1 7.3 4.2 4.3
1979 9.1 7.2 9.1 7.3 4.4 4.2
1980 7.4 7.2 7.4 7.2 4.2 4.1
1981 7.6 7.1 7.6 7.2 3.7 4.0
1982 7.5 7.1 7.5 7.1 3.6 4.0
1983 9.2 7.0 9.2 7.0 4.1 3.9
1984 5.9 7.0 5.9 7.0 3.8 3.8
1985 7.1 6.9 7.1 6.9 3.7 3.7
1986 6.2 6.9 6.2 6.9 3.7 3.7
1987 6.3 6.8 6.3 6.8 3.5 3.6
1988 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.8 3.7 3.5
1989 5.5 6.7 5.5 6.7 3.3 3.5
1990 5.7 6.7 5.7 6.7 3.3 3.4
1991 5.5 6.6 5.5 6.6 3.4 3.3
1992 7.8 6.6 7.8 6.6 3.6 3.3
1993 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.5 3.0 3.2
1994 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 3.2 3.1
1995 4.9 6.4 4.9 6.4 2.9 3.1
1996 4.5 6.4 4.5 6.4 2.9 3.0
1997 5.8 6.4 5.8 6.3 3.1 3.0
1998 6.2 6.3 6.2 6.3 3.2 3.1
1999 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.2 3.1 3.1
2000 5.6 6.2 5.6 6.2 2.9 3.1
2001 6.4 6.2 6.4 6.1 3.2 3.1
2002 5.7 6.1 5.7 6.1 3.1 3.1
2003 6.2 6.1 6.2 6.0 3.1 3.0
2004 6.7 6.0 6.7 6.0 3.1 3.0
2005 7.5 6.0 7.5 5.9 2.9 2.9
2006 5.7 6.0 5.7 5.9 2.9 2.8
2007 6.0 5.9 6.0 5.8 2.6 2.8
2008 5.1 5.9 5.1 5.8 2.6 2.7
2009 5.4 5.8 5.3 5.8 2.7 2.7
2010 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 2.7 2.6
2011 6.0 5.8 5.9 5.7 2.5 2.6
2012 6.0 5.7 5.9 5.6 2.5 2.5
2013 5.1 5.7 5.0 5.6 2.4 2.5
2014 6.6 5.6 6.3 5.5 2.5 2.4

Rates per 100,000 for Ovary, White, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 49.8 48.4 49.8 48.3 38.8 39.0
1976 49.5 49.1 49.5 49.0 40.6 39.2
1977 48.1 49.8 48.1 49.7 39.1 39.4
1978 49.3 50.4 49.3 50.4 38.9 39.6
1979 49.8 51.1 49.8 51.1 39.7 39.9
1980 51.0 51.8 51.0 51.8 40.0 40.1
1981 51.5 52.6 51.5 52.6 39.8 40.3
1982 55.1 53.3 55.1 53.3 40.7 40.5
1983 55.7 54.0 55.7 54.1 41.4 40.7
1984 54.7 54.8 54.7 54.8 40.9 40.9
1985 59.2 55.5 59.2 55.6 41.3 41.6
1986 51.9 56.3 51.9 56.4 42.6 42.3
1987 59.9 57.1 59.9 57.2 42.8 43.1
1988 56.9 57.9 56.9 58.0 44.1 43.8
1989 59.5 58.7 59.5 58.8 44.3 44.6
1990 59.2 59.5 59.2 59.6 45.2 45.4
1991 59.7 60.3 59.7 60.5 46.1 46.1
1992 56.7 59.7 56.7 59.8 46.5 46.0
1993 60.6 59.0 60.6 59.1 44.9 45.9
1994 55.3 58.4 55.3 58.5 46.7 45.8
1995 57.2 57.8 57.2 57.8 46.1 45.7
1996 57.1 57.2 57.1 57.2 44.8 45.5
1997 55.2 56.6 55.2 56.5 45.6 45.4
1998 55.5 56.0 55.5 55.9 45.0 45.3
1999 60.1 55.4 60.1 55.3 44.8 45.6
2000 53.8 54.8 53.8 54.6 46.6 45.9
2001 55.9 54.2 55.9 54.0 47.0 46.2
2002 56.3 53.6 56.3 53.4 46.9 46.5
2003 50.7 53.1 50.7 52.8 46.3 46.8
2004 53.0 52.5 53.0 52.2 46.7 47.1
2005 50.0 51.9 50.0 51.6 45.4 46.2
2006 52.6 51.4 52.5 51.1 45.8 45.3
2007 48.4 50.8 48.3 50.5 45.2 44.4
2008 54.4 50.3 54.2 49.9 43.2 43.5
2009 51.8 49.8 51.6 49.4 41.8 42.6
2010 51.3 49.2 51.0 48.8 42.5 41.7
2011 49.1 48.7 48.7 48.3 40.9 40.9
2012 45.7 48.2 45.1 47.7 39.8 40.1
2013 46.1 47.7 45.2 47.2 39.5 39.2
2014 45.0 47.2 43.5 46.6 38.1 38.5

Rates per 100,000 for Ovary, Black, Female, 1975-2014, Ages 65+

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 41.6 44.2 41.6 44.6 24.6 27.6
1976 39.3 44.2 39.3 44.5 31.5 28.2
1977 29.7 44.1 29.7 44.4 29.2 28.8
1978 36.8 44.0 36.8 44.3 29.3 29.5
1979 31.8 43.9 31.8 44.2 28.9 30.2
1980 41.6 43.8 41.6 44.1 33.2 30.9
1981 40.1 43.8 40.1 44.0 32.4 31.6
1982 46.2 43.7 46.2 43.9 33.5 32.3
1983 39.9 43.6 39.9 43.8 32.3 33.0
1984 46.3 43.5 46.3 43.7 33.8 33.8
1985 39.3 43.4 39.3 43.6 31.9 34.5
1986 41.5 43.4 41.5 43.5 33.4 35.3
1987 50.3 43.3 50.3 43.4 35.5 36.1
1988 45.6 43.2 45.6 43.3 36.9 37.0
1989 49.5 43.1 49.5 43.2 36.2 37.8
1990 41.7 43.1 41.7 43.0 39.2 38.7
1991 49.5 43.0 49.5 42.9 42.5 39.5
1992 35.2 42.9 35.2 42.8 40.0 40.4
1993 46.3 42.8 46.3 42.7 40.4 40.1
1994 53.5 42.8 53.5 42.6 39.7 39.7
1995 47.7 42.7 47.7 42.5 38.0 39.3
1996 40.1 42.6 40.1 42.4 37.9 39.0
1997 44.9 42.5 44.9 42.3 41.2 38.6
1998 45.7 42.4 45.7 42.2 36.1 38.3
1999 41.4 42.4 41.4 42.1 37.3 37.9
2000 48.8 42.3 48.8 42.0 36.5 37.6
2001 31.5 42.2 31.5 41.9 37.5 37.2
2002 44.6 42.1 44.6 41.8 37.5 36.9
2003 55.1 42.1 55.1 41.7 37.7 36.6
2004 37.4 42.0 37.4 41.6 39.2 36.2
2005 35.4 41.9 35.4 41.6 37.9 35.9
2006 34.6 41.8 34.5 41.5 34.4 35.6
2007 51.3 41.8 51.1 41.4 33.8 35.2
2008 39.7 41.7 39.5 41.3 34.4 34.9
2009 40.1 41.6 39.8 41.2 35.1 34.6
2010 42.6 41.5 42.1 41.1 34.0 34.3
2011 41.6 41.5 41.1 41.0 34.5 34.0
2012 42.3 41.4 41.5 40.9 35.1 33.7
2013 37.9 41.3 36.9 40.8 30.8 33.3
2014 28.7 41.2 27.4 40.7 32.8 33.0

Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Ovary, Female, 1975-2014

Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Ages <651975-14-1.1*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Ages <651975-14-1.1*
U.S. Mortality, White, Ages <652002-14-2.7*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Ages <651975-14-0.7*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Ages <651975-14-0.8*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Ages <652001-14-2.0*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Ages 65+1991-14-1.1*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Ages 65+1991-14-1.1*
U.S. Mortality, White, Ages 65+2004-14-2.0*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Ages 65+1975-14-0.2
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Ages 65+1975-14-0.2
U.S. Mortality, Black, Ages 65+1992-14-0.9*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Ovary excludes borderline cases or histologies 8442, 8451, 8462, 8472, and 8473.

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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