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Figure 24.1

CSR Figure 24.1: SEER Incidence, Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates by Race and Sex


Figure 24.1

Rates per 100,000 for Stomach, White, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 16.0 16.3 16.0 16.3 11.4 11.2
1976 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 11.2 10.9
1977 15.0 15.7 15.0 15.7 10.7 10.7
1978 15.0 15.4 15.0 15.4 10.2 10.4
1979 15.6 15.1 15.6 15.2 10.2 10.2
1980 15.7 14.9 15.7 14.9 9.8 9.9
1981 15.1 14.6 15.1 14.6 9.8 9.7
1982 14.6 14.3 14.6 14.4 9.4 9.5
1983 13.7 14.1 13.7 14.1 9.0 9.3
1984 13.9 13.8 13.9 13.8 9.1 9.0
1985 13.3 13.6 13.3 13.6 8.8 8.8
1986 13.5 13.3 13.5 13.3 8.6 8.6
1987 13.3 13.1 13.3 13.1 8.3 8.4
1988 13.6 12.9 13.6 12.9 7.9 8.2
1989 13.5 12.6 13.5 12.6 8.3 8.0
1990 11.9 12.4 11.9 12.4 8.0 7.9
1991 12.3 12.2 12.3 12.2 8.0 7.7
1992 11.7 12.0 11.7 12.0 7.3 7.5
1993 11.6 11.8 11.6 11.8 7.3 7.3
1994 11.8 11.6 11.8 11.5 7.0 7.1
1995 11.2 11.3 11.2 11.3 6.9 6.8
1996 11.0 11.1 11.0 11.1 6.6 6.5
1997 10.8 10.9 10.8 10.9 6.3 6.3
1998 10.5 10.8 10.5 10.7 6.1 6.1
1999 10.5 10.6 10.5 10.5 5.8 5.9
2000 9.9 10.4 9.9 10.3 5.6 5.6
2001 9.7 10.2 9.7 10.2 5.4 5.4
2002 9.9 10.0 9.9 10.0 5.3 5.2
2003 9.3 9.8 9.3 9.8 5.0 5.0
2004 10.0 9.6 10.0 9.6 4.9 4.9
2005 9.2 9.5 9.2 9.5 4.6 4.7
2006 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.3 4.5 4.5
2007 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.1 4.4 4.3
2008 8.8 9.0 8.8 8.9 4.2 4.2
2009 9.2 8.8 9.2 8.8 4.1 4.1
2010 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.6 4.0 4.0
2011 8.9 8.5 8.9 8.5 3.9 3.9
2012 8.4 8.4 8.3 8.3 3.8 3.8
2013 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 3.8 3.8
2014 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.0 3.7 3.7

Rates per 100,000 for Stomach, Black, Male, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 24.8 23.6 24.8 23.6 21.0 20.0
1976 23.5 24.2 23.5 24.2 20.2 19.7
1977 24.7 24.8 24.7 24.8 19.5 19.5
1978 22.9 25.4 22.9 25.4 18.7 19.3
1979 28.2 26.0 28.2 26.0 18.7 19.1
1980 26.3 26.6 26.3 26.7 18.3 18.9
1981 27.8 27.2 27.8 27.3 18.1 18.7
1982 31.2 27.9 31.2 28.0 19.2 18.4
1983 27.8 27.3 27.8 27.4 18.4 18.2
1984 21.8 26.8 21.8 26.8 17.9 18.0
1985 23.5 26.2 23.5 26.3 17.0 17.8
1986 23.2 25.6 23.2 25.7 17.4 17.6
1987 26.7 25.1 26.7 25.2 17.0 17.4
1988 24.8 24.6 24.8 24.6 17.0 17.2
1989 23.2 24.1 23.2 24.1 17.7 17.0
1990 21.8 23.6 21.8 23.6 17.2 16.8
1991 25.8 23.1 25.8 23.1 17.6 16.6
1992 19.9 22.6 19.9 22.6 15.6 16.4
1993 23.7 22.1 23.7 22.1 16.3 16.3
1994 24.7 21.7 24.7 21.6 15.4 15.7
1995 19.0 21.2 19.0 21.2 14.9 15.2
1996 22.6 20.8 22.6 20.7 15.1 14.7
1997 22.3 20.3 22.3 20.3 14.6 14.2
1998 20.2 19.9 20.2 19.8 13.7 13.8
1999 18.3 19.5 18.3 19.4 13.7 13.3
2000 20.0 19.1 20.0 19.0 12.8 12.9
2001 18.5 18.7 18.5 18.6 12.1 12.4
2002 15.7 18.3 15.7 18.2 12.2 12.0
2003 18.5 17.9 18.5 17.8 11.6 11.6
2004 17.1 17.5 17.1 17.4 11.3 11.2
2005 18.2 17.2 18.2 17.1 10.9 10.9
2006 17.2 16.8 17.2 16.7 10.0 10.5
2007 17.8 16.5 17.8 16.3 10.5 10.2
2008 18.5 16.1 18.4 16.0 10.0 9.8
2009 15.8 15.8 15.6 15.7 9.4 9.5
2010 13.8 15.5 13.6 15.3 9.3 9.2
2011 14.4 15.1 14.3 15.0 8.8 8.9
2012 15.2 14.8 15.0 14.7 8.4 8.6
2013 13.8 14.5 13.6 14.4 8.2 8.3
2014 13.1 14.2 12.7 14.1 8.2 8.0

Rates per 100,000 for Stomach, White, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 7.0 7.6 7.0 7.6 5.6 5.6
1976 7.7 7.4 7.7 7.4 5.4 5.4
1977 7.0 7.3 7.0 7.3 5.0 5.2
1978 7.0 7.1 7.0 7.1 5.1 5.1
1979 7.5 6.9 7.5 6.9 4.8 4.9
1980 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.8 4.8 4.8
1981 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.6 4.6 4.6
1982 6.3 6.5 6.3 6.5 4.5 4.5
1983 6.6 6.3 6.6 6.3 4.4 4.3
1984 6.4 6.2 6.4 6.2 4.3 4.2
1985 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 4.1 4.1
1986 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 3.8 3.9
1987 6.0 5.7 6.0 5.7 3.8 3.8
1988 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.6 3.8 3.8
1989 5.3 5.5 5.3 5.5 3.8 3.7
1990 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.3 3.7 3.7
1991 5.5 5.2 5.5 5.2 3.6 3.6
1992 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.1 3.4 3.5
1993 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 3.4 3.4
1994 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.9 3.3 3.3
1995 4.3 4.7 4.3 4.7 3.2 3.2
1996 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 3.1 3.1
1997 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.6 2.9 3.0
1998 4.8 4.6 4.8 4.6 3.0 2.9
1999 5.0 4.5 5.0 4.5 2.8 2.8
2000 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 2.8 2.8
2001 4.0 4.5 4.0 4.4 2.7 2.7
2002 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.4 2.6 2.6
2003 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 2.6 2.5
2004 4.6 4.3 4.6 4.3 2.5 2.5
2005 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 2.4 2.4
2006 4.3 4.2 4.3 4.2 2.3 2.3
2007 3.9 4.2 3.9 4.2 2.2 2.2
2008 3.9 4.1 3.9 4.1 2.2 2.2
2009 4.0 4.1 3.9 4.1 2.1 2.1
2010 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.2 2.1
2011 4.2 4.0 4.2 4.0 2.0 2.1
2012 4.4 4.0 4.4 3.9 2.0 2.0
2013 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 2.0 2.0
2014 3.6 3.9 3.5 3.9 2.0 2.0

Rates per 100,000 for Stomach, Black, Female, 1975-2014, All Ages

Year Delay-Adjusted SEER IncidenceDelay-Adjusted SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
Observed SEER IncidenceObserved SEER Incidence
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
U.S. MortalityU.S. Mortality
Modeled (from Joinpoint)
1975 11.5 11.7 11.5 11.8 8.6 8.8
1976 10.1 11.6 10.1 11.7 8.6 8.7
1977 11.6 11.5 11.6 11.6 9.0 8.6
1978 13.5 11.4 13.5 11.5 8.3 8.5
1979 11.7 11.3 11.7 11.4 8.7 8.4
1980 7.3 11.2 7.3 11.3 8.0 8.3
1981 10.4 11.1 10.4 11.2 8.6 8.2
1982 10.3 11.0 10.3 11.0 7.4 8.1
1983 11.2 10.9 11.2 10.9 8.1 8.0
1984 12.5 10.8 12.5 10.8 7.9 7.9
1985 11.3 10.7 11.3 10.7 7.8 7.8
1986 11.9 10.6 11.9 10.6 7.4 7.7
1987 10.7 10.5 10.7 10.5 7.5 7.6
1988 10.1 10.4 10.1 10.4 7.1 7.5
1989 10.7 10.3 10.7 10.3 7.3 7.4
1990 9.4 10.2 9.4 10.2 7.7 7.4
1991 10.4 10.2 10.4 10.1 7.5 7.3
1992 9.8 10.1 9.8 10.1 7.5 7.2
1993 8.5 10.0 8.5 10.0 7.1 7.1
1994 8.8 9.9 8.8 9.9 7.0 7.0
1995 9.6 9.8 9.6 9.8 7.4 6.9
1996 8.9 9.7 8.9 9.7 6.8 6.9
1997 11.0 9.6 11.0 9.6 6.5 6.8
1998 11.4 9.5 11.4 9.5 6.4 6.7
1999 10.1 9.4 10.1 9.4 6.5 6.5
2000 8.2 9.4 8.2 9.3 6.5 6.2
2001 9.0 9.3 9.0 9.2 5.9 6.0
2002 11.1 9.2 11.1 9.1 6.2 5.8
2003 10.0 9.1 10.0 9.1 5.5 5.6
2004 7.4 9.0 7.4 9.0 5.3 5.4
2005 7.4 8.9 7.4 8.9 5.0 5.2
2006 9.4 8.9 9.4 8.8 5.0 5.0
2007 7.6 8.8 7.6 8.7 4.7 4.8
2008 9.5 8.7 9.5 8.6 4.9 4.7
2009 9.4 8.6 9.4 8.6 4.4 4.5
2010 8.2 8.6 8.2 8.5 4.4 4.3
2011 9.7 8.5 9.6 8.4 4.3 4.2
2012 8.1 8.4 7.9 8.3 4.2 4.0
2013 7.5 8.3 7.3 8.2 3.8 3.9
2014 7.5 8.2 7.3 8.2 3.7 3.8

Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
Stomach, All Ages, 1975-2014

Data Series Year Range for APC APC
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male1975-14-1.8*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male1975-14-1.8*
U.S. Mortality, White, Male2008-14-2.1*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male1982-14-2.1*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male1982-14-2.1*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Male1993-14-3.3*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female1995-14-1.1*
Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female1995-14-1.1*
U.S. Mortality, White, Female2008-14-1.8*
Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female1975-14-0.9*
Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female1975-14-0.9*
U.S. Mortality, Black, Female1998-14-3.5*

Footnotes:

a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).

Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.4, January 2017, National Cancer Institute.

The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.

* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).

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