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Figure 1.23
Figure 1.23
SEER Observed Incidence and Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
Males, Cancer of the Prostate, Cancer of the Lung and Bronchus, and Cancer of the Colon and Rectum
- Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, All Races, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, All Races, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, All Races, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for Prostate, All Races, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 94.0 | 93.0 | 94.0 | 93.0 |
| 1976 | 98.0 | 95.4 | 98.0 | 95.4 |
| 1977 | 100.5 | 97.8 | 100.5 | 97.8 |
| 1978 | 99.4 | 100.4 | 99.4 | 100.4 |
| 1979 | 103.4 | 103.0 | 103.4 | 103.0 |
| 1980 | 106.0 | 105.6 | 106.0 | 105.6 |
| 1981 | 108.9 | 108.4 | 108.9 | 108.4 |
| 1982 | 108.2 | 111.2 | 108.2 | 111.2 |
| 1983 | 111.6 | 114.1 | 111.6 | 114.1 |
| 1984 | 111.7 | 117.0 | 111.7 | 117.0 |
| 1985 | 115.5 | 120.0 | 115.5 | 120.0 |
| 1986 | 119.1 | 123.1 | 119.1 | 123.1 |
| 1987 | 133.8 | 126.3 | 133.8 | 126.3 |
| 1988 | 137.6 | 129.6 | 137.6 | 129.6 |
| 1989 | 145.4 | 150.9 | 145.4 | 150.9 |
| 1990 | 171.1 | 175.8 | 171.1 | 175.8 |
| 1991 | 214.9 | 204.7 | 214.9 | 204.8 |
| 1992 | 237.5 | 238.5 | 237.5 | 238.5 |
| 1993 | 209.6 | 211.0 | 209.6 | 211.0 |
| 1994 | 180.4 | 186.7 | 180.4 | 186.7 |
| 1995 | 169.5 | 165.2 | 169.5 | 165.2 |
| 1996 | 169.6 | 168.8 | 169.6 | 168.8 |
| 1997 | 173.8 | 172.5 | 173.8 | 172.5 |
| 1998 | 171.2 | 176.3 | 171.2 | 176.3 |
| 1999 | 183.7 | 180.1 | 183.7 | 180.1 |
| 2000 | 183.3 | 184.0 | 183.3 | 184.1 |
| 2001 | 185.3 | 181.0 | 185.3 | 181.0 |
| 2002 | 182.6 | 178.0 | 182.6 | 178.0 |
| 2003 | 170.1 | 175.1 | 170.1 | 175.0 |
| 2004 | 166.2 | 172.2 | 166.2 | 172.1 |
| 2005 | 157.0 | 169.4 | 157.0 | 169.2 |
| 2006 | 172.5 | 166.6 | 172.5 | 166.4 |
| 2007 | 175.8 | 163.8 | 175.6 | 163.6 |
| 2008 | 158.8 | 161.1 | 158.4 | 160.9 |
| 2009 | 156.2 | 158.5 | 155.5 | 158.2 |
| 2010 | 149.1 | 146.8 | 148.2 | 146.0 |
| 2011 | 143.0 | 136.0 | 142.0 | 134.8 |
| 2012 | 117.1 | 125.9 | 116.1 | 124.4 |
| 2013 | 112.1 | 116.7 | 110.7 | 114.8 |
| 2014 | 103.0 | 108.1 | 101.2 | 106.0 |
| 2015 | 108.2 | 100.1 | 105.0 | 97.8 |
Rates per 100,000 for Lung and Bronchus, All Races, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 89.5 | 91.6 | 89.5 | 91.6 |
| 1976 | 93.8 | 92.9 | 93.8 | 92.9 |
| 1977 | 95.5 | 94.3 | 95.5 | 94.3 |
| 1978 | 96.7 | 95.7 | 96.7 | 95.7 |
| 1979 | 95.8 | 97.1 | 95.8 | 97.1 |
| 1980 | 100.0 | 98.5 | 100.0 | 98.5 |
| 1981 | 99.4 | 99.9 | 99.4 | 99.9 |
| 1982 | 100.7 | 101.4 | 100.7 | 101.4 |
| 1983 | 99.5 | 100.9 | 99.5 | 100.9 |
| 1984 | 102.0 | 100.4 | 102.0 | 100.4 |
| 1985 | 98.6 | 100.0 | 98.6 | 100.0 |
| 1986 | 99.0 | 99.5 | 99.0 | 99.5 |
| 1987 | 101.5 | 99.0 | 101.5 | 99.0 |
| 1988 | 98.7 | 98.5 | 98.7 | 98.5 |
| 1989 | 98.0 | 98.1 | 98.0 | 98.1 |
| 1990 | 96.9 | 97.6 | 96.9 | 97.6 |
| 1991 | 97.2 | 97.1 | 97.2 | 97.1 |
| 1992 | 97.2 | 95.5 | 97.2 | 95.5 |
| 1993 | 94.0 | 93.8 | 94.0 | 93.8 |
| 1994 | 90.9 | 92.2 | 90.9 | 92.2 |
| 1995 | 89.8 | 90.6 | 89.8 | 90.6 |
| 1996 | 88.0 | 89.0 | 88.0 | 89.0 |
| 1997 | 86.3 | 87.5 | 86.3 | 87.5 |
| 1998 | 88.0 | 86.0 | 88.0 | 86.0 |
| 1999 | 84.6 | 84.5 | 84.6 | 84.5 |
| 2000 | 82.1 | 83.0 | 82.1 | 83.1 |
| 2001 | 81.4 | 81.6 | 81.4 | 81.6 |
| 2002 | 80.4 | 80.2 | 80.4 | 80.2 |
| 2003 | 81.0 | 78.8 | 81.0 | 78.8 |
| 2004 | 76.3 | 77.4 | 76.3 | 77.5 |
| 2005 | 75.8 | 76.1 | 75.8 | 76.1 |
| 2006 | 74.3 | 74.8 | 74.3 | 74.8 |
| 2007 | 73.8 | 73.5 | 73.7 | 73.5 |
| 2008 | 72.2 | 72.2 | 72.1 | 72.3 |
| 2009 | 70.8 | 70.1 | 70.7 | 70.0 |
| 2010 | 68.1 | 68.1 | 68.0 | 67.9 |
| 2011 | 65.8 | 66.1 | 65.6 | 65.8 |
| 2012 | 64.3 | 64.2 | 64.0 | 63.8 |
| 2013 | 62.0 | 62.4 | 61.7 | 61.8 |
| 2014 | 60.6 | 60.6 | 60.1 | 59.9 |
| 2015 | 59.0 | 58.8 | 57.8 | 58.0 |
Rates per 100,000 for Colon and Rectum, All Races, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 68.4 | 70.3 | 68.4 | 70.3 |
| 1976 | 71.7 | 71.1 | 71.7 | 71.1 |
| 1977 | 73.5 | 71.9 | 73.5 | 71.9 |
| 1978 | 72.3 | 72.7 | 72.3 | 72.7 |
| 1979 | 74.1 | 73.5 | 74.1 | 73.5 |
| 1980 | 74.5 | 74.4 | 74.5 | 74.3 |
| 1981 | 75.8 | 75.2 | 75.8 | 75.2 |
| 1982 | 75.2 | 76.1 | 75.2 | 76.0 |
| 1983 | 75.5 | 76.9 | 75.5 | 76.8 |
| 1984 | 77.6 | 77.8 | 77.6 | 77.7 |
| 1985 | 79.2 | 78.7 | 79.2 | 78.6 |
| 1986 | 77.8 | 77.7 | 77.8 | 79.4 |
| 1987 | 77.5 | 76.8 | 77.5 | 77.7 |
| 1988 | 75.2 | 75.8 | 75.2 | 76.0 |
| 1989 | 75.0 | 74.9 | 75.0 | 74.4 |
| 1990 | 74.4 | 73.9 | 74.4 | 72.8 |
| 1991 | 72.9 | 73.0 | 72.9 | 71.2 |
| 1992 | 70.4 | 70.7 | 70.4 | 69.7 |
| 1993 | 68.4 | 68.5 | 68.4 | 68.2 |
| 1994 | 66.3 | 66.3 | 66.3 | 66.7 |
| 1995 | 63.8 | 64.2 | 63.8 | 65.3 |
| 1996 | 65.6 | 65.5 | 65.6 | 66.3 |
| 1997 | 68.1 | 66.9 | 68.1 | 67.3 |
| 1998 | 67.1 | 68.3 | 67.1 | 68.3 |
| 1999 | 65.8 | 66.3 | 65.8 | 66.3 |
| 2000 | 63.7 | 64.4 | 63.7 | 64.4 |
| 2001 | 63.1 | 62.5 | 63.1 | 62.5 |
| 2002 | 61.5 | 60.7 | 61.5 | 60.7 |
| 2003 | 59.5 | 59.0 | 59.5 | 58.9 |
| 2004 | 58.6 | 57.3 | 58.6 | 57.2 |
| 2005 | 55.3 | 55.6 | 55.3 | 55.5 |
| 2006 | 53.3 | 54.0 | 53.3 | 53.9 |
| 2007 | 53.4 | 52.5 | 53.3 | 52.3 |
| 2008 | 51.6 | 51.0 | 51.5 | 50.8 |
| 2009 | 49.1 | 49.5 | 49.0 | 49.3 |
| 2010 | 47.2 | 48.1 | 47.1 | 47.9 |
| 2011 | 45.6 | 46.7 | 45.4 | 46.5 |
| 2012 | 44.1 | 45.3 | 44.0 | 45.1 |
| 2013 | 43.5 | 44.0 | 43.3 | 43.8 |
| 2014 | 44.1 | 42.8 | 43.7 | 42.5 |
| 2015 | 42.2 | 41.5 | 41.6 | 41.3 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Races, Male, All Ages, 1975-2015
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Prostate, Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | 2009-15 | -7.4* |
| Prostate, Observed SEER Incidence | 2009-15 | -7.7* |
| Lung and Bronchus, Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | 2008-15 | -2.9* |
| Lung and Bronchus, Observed SEER Incidence | 2008-15 | -3.1* |
| Colon and Rectum, Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | 1998-15 | -2.9* |
| Colon and Rectum, Observed SEER Incidence | 1998-15 | -2.9* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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