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Figure 2.1
Figure 2.1
SEER Observed Incidence, SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence and US Death Rates a
All Cancer Sites Combined, by Race and Sex
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages
- Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint.
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 468.6 | 469.5 | 254.0 | 254.4 |
| 1976 | 482.0 | 476.2 | 482.0 | 476.2 | 257.5 | 256.8 |
| 1977 | 487.2 | 483.0 | 487.2 | 483.0 | 258.8 | 259.1 |
| 1978 | 489.7 | 489.9 | 489.7 | 489.9 | 261.6 | 261.5 |
| 1979 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 497.6 | 496.8 | 263.2 | 263.9 |
| 1980 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 505.2 | 503.9 | 265.0 | 264.5 |
| 1981 | 510.8 | 511.1 | 510.8 | 511.1 | 263.3 | 265.2 |
| 1982 | 512.5 | 518.4 | 512.5 | 518.4 | 266.3 | 265.8 |
| 1983 | 520.9 | 525.8 | 520.9 | 525.8 | 267.2 | 266.4 |
| 1984 | 527.7 | 533.3 | 527.7 | 533.3 | 267.6 | 267.1 |
| 1985 | 533.6 | 540.9 | 533.6 | 540.9 | 268.2 | 267.7 |
| 1986 | 542.9 | 548.6 | 542.9 | 548.6 | 268.8 | 268.4 |
| 1987 | 569.0 | 556.4 | 569.0 | 556.4 | 269.0 | 269.0 |
| 1988 | 565.0 | 564.4 | 565.0 | 564.4 | 269.5 | 269.7 |
| 1989 | 573.8 | 572.4 | 573.8 | 572.4 | 270.2 | 270.4 |
| 1990 | 599.4 | 601.1 | 599.4 | 601.1 | 271.5 | 271.0 |
| 1991 | 644.6 | 631.2 | 644.6 | 631.2 | 271.2 | 271.7 |
| 1992 | 663.8 | 662.9 | 663.8 | 662.9 | 268.9 | 269.6 |
| 1993 | 620.6 | 629.2 | 620.6 | 629.2 | 267.9 | 267.5 |
| 1994 | 587.9 | 597.3 | 587.9 | 597.3 | 264.7 | 265.5 |
| 1995 | 570.8 | 567.0 | 570.8 | 567.0 | 261.5 | 260.8 |
| 1996 | 574.6 | 570.6 | 574.6 | 570.6 | 256.8 | 256.1 |
| 1997 | 577.1 | 574.2 | 577.1 | 574.2 | 251.6 | 251.6 |
| 1998 | 576.8 | 577.9 | 576.8 | 577.9 | 247.6 | 249.0 |
| 1999 | 583.3 | 581.5 | 583.3 | 581.6 | 247.1 | 246.4 |
| 2000 | 585.0 | 585.2 | 585.0 | 585.3 | 243.4 | 243.9 |
| 2001 | 588.6 | 581.8 | 588.6 | 581.8 | 240.3 | 239.9 |
| 2002 | 582.1 | 578.4 | 582.1 | 578.4 | 237.6 | 235.9 |
| 2003 | 566.1 | 575.1 | 566.1 | 575.0 | 232.2 | 232.0 |
| 2004 | 564.9 | 571.7 | 564.9 | 571.6 | 226.6 | 228.2 |
| 2005 | 558.7 | 568.4 | 558.7 | 568.3 | 224.9 | 224.4 |
| 2006 | 565.0 | 565.1 | 565.0 | 564.9 | 220.0 | 220.7 |
| 2007 | 575.6 | 561.8 | 574.7 | 561.6 | 216.6 | 217.0 |
| 2008 | 556.5 | 558.5 | 554.8 | 558.3 | 213.2 | 213.5 |
| 2009 | 549.3 | 546.6 | 546.9 | 544.8 | 209.3 | 209.9 |
| 2010 | 539.7 | 535.0 | 536.5 | 531.5 | 207.2 | 206.5 |
| 2011 | 528.6 | 523.6 | 524.8 | 518.6 | 203.3 | 203.1 |
| 2012 | 499.8 | 512.5 | 495.4 | 506.1 | 199.9 | 199.7 |
| 2013 | 493.0 | 501.6 | 487.0 | 493.8 | 195.9 | 196.4 |
| 2014 | 489.4 | 490.9 | 481.2 | 481.8 | 193.5 | 193.1 |
| 2015 | 490.7 | 480.4 | 476.9 | 470.1 | 190.1 | 190.0 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Male, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 525.3 | 533.0 | 525.3 | 532.7 | 320.5 | 322.5 |
| 1976 | 553.0 | 548.0 | 553.0 | 547.9 | 328.4 | 328.4 |
| 1977 | 577.7 | 563.5 | 577.7 | 563.5 | 337.9 | 334.4 |
| 1978 | 571.0 | 579.4 | 571.0 | 579.6 | 340.9 | 340.5 |
| 1979 | 589.8 | 595.8 | 589.8 | 596.1 | 344.7 | 346.7 |
| 1980 | 615.1 | 612.6 | 615.1 | 613.1 | 353.9 | 353.0 |
| 1981 | 634.4 | 630.0 | 634.4 | 630.6 | 358.6 | 359.5 |
| 1982 | 622.1 | 634.0 | 622.1 | 634.3 | 364.9 | 366.0 |
| 1983 | 646.3 | 638.0 | 646.3 | 638.1 | 369.3 | 369.7 |
| 1984 | 644.0 | 642.1 | 644.0 | 641.8 | 377.9 | 373.4 |
| 1985 | 643.8 | 646.3 | 643.8 | 645.6 | 377.8 | 377.1 |
| 1986 | 643.4 | 650.4 | 643.4 | 649.5 | 378.9 | 380.9 |
| 1987 | 666.3 | 654.6 | 666.3 | 653.3 | 383.2 | 384.7 |
| 1988 | 658.1 | 658.8 | 658.1 | 657.2 | 384.2 | 388.5 |
| 1989 | 661.2 | 663.0 | 661.2 | 661.1 | 395.3 | 392.4 |
| 1990 | 700.1 | 708.0 | 700.1 | 711.0 | 399.1 | 396.4 |
| 1991 | 765.4 | 756.0 | 765.4 | 764.7 | 395.9 | 395.4 |
| 1992 | 811.6 | 807.3 | 811.6 | 822.5 | 389.2 | 394.5 |
| 1993 | 821.5 | 795.1 | 821.5 | 802.1 | 394.8 | 393.6 |
| 1994 | 785.0 | 783.0 | 785.0 | 782.2 | 385.2 | 385.6 |
| 1995 | 752.4 | 771.0 | 752.4 | 762.8 | 379.0 | 377.9 |
| 1996 | 730.4 | 759.3 | 730.4 | 743.8 | 373.7 | 370.3 |
| 1997 | 744.1 | 747.8 | 744.1 | 735.8 | 363.2 | 362.9 |
| 1998 | 728.3 | 736.4 | 728.3 | 727.8 | 353.1 | 355.6 |
| 1999 | 728.8 | 725.2 | 728.8 | 720.0 | 349.2 | 348.4 |
| 2000 | 717.5 | 714.1 | 717.5 | 712.2 | 341.2 | 341.4 |
| 2001 | 704.4 | 703.3 | 704.4 | 704.5 | 334.1 | 334.5 |
| 2002 | 702.9 | 692.6 | 702.9 | 696.9 | 325.8 | 325.5 |
| 2003 | 686.7 | 682.0 | 686.7 | 689.4 | 314.6 | 316.7 |
| 2004 | 689.3 | 671.6 | 689.3 | 681.9 | 307.3 | 308.1 |
| 2005 | 649.5 | 661.4 | 649.5 | 674.6 | 300.3 | 299.7 |
| 2006 | 651.0 | 664.4 | 651.0 | 667.3 | 290.2 | 291.6 |
| 2007 | 674.8 | 667.4 | 673.0 | 660.1 | 286.6 | 283.7 |
| 2008 | 671.9 | 670.5 | 668.2 | 653.0 | 275.3 | 276.0 |
| 2009 | 649.4 | 647.8 | 644.0 | 645.9 | 268.9 | 268.5 |
| 2010 | 623.5 | 625.9 | 616.6 | 620.8 | 264.1 | 261.3 |
| 2011 | 601.2 | 604.8 | 593.0 | 596.6 | 253.6 | 254.2 |
| 2012 | 584.6 | 584.4 | 574.6 | 573.4 | 247.2 | 247.3 |
| 2013 | 570.9 | 564.6 | 558.7 | 551.0 | 240.3 | 240.6 |
| 2014 | 536.6 | 545.5 | 522.3 | 529.6 | 234.0 | 234.1 |
| 2015 | 531.9 | 527.1 | 510.9 | 508.9 | 226.7 | 227.7 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 369.7 | 371.1 | 369.7 | 371.1 | 159.0 | 159.7 |
| 1976 | 373.3 | 370.2 | 373.3 | 370.2 | 161.7 | 160.5 |
| 1977 | 367.9 | 369.4 | 367.9 | 369.4 | 161.6 | 161.4 |
| 1978 | 368.0 | 368.5 | 368.0 | 368.5 | 162.5 | 162.3 |
| 1979 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 161.7 | 163.2 |
| 1980 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 164.2 | 164.1 |
| 1981 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 164.6 | 165.0 |
| 1982 | 383.3 | 386.6 | 383.3 | 386.6 | 166.1 | 166.0 |
| 1983 | 387.9 | 393.1 | 387.9 | 393.1 | 166.7 | 166.9 |
| 1984 | 399.5 | 399.7 | 399.5 | 399.7 | 169.0 | 167.8 |
| 1985 | 411.5 | 406.5 | 411.5 | 406.4 | 169.6 | 168.7 |
| 1986 | 409.2 | 413.3 | 409.2 | 413.2 | 170.0 | 169.7 |
| 1987 | 423.4 | 420.3 | 423.4 | 420.2 | 169.9 | 170.6 |
| 1988 | 417.9 | 420.8 | 417.9 | 420.7 | 170.9 | 171.5 |
| 1989 | 418.8 | 421.3 | 418.8 | 421.3 | 172.9 | 172.5 |
| 1990 | 424.8 | 421.7 | 424.8 | 421.8 | 172.9 | 173.4 |
| 1991 | 428.7 | 422.2 | 428.7 | 422.4 | 173.4 | 173.1 |
| 1992 | 423.5 | 422.7 | 423.5 | 422.9 | 172.6 | 172.8 |
| 1993 | 417.0 | 423.2 | 417.0 | 423.5 | 172.8 | 172.5 |
| 1994 | 423.2 | 423.6 | 423.2 | 424.0 | 172.6 | 172.3 |
| 1995 | 426.3 | 424.1 | 426.3 | 424.6 | 171.7 | 172.0 |
| 1996 | 428.3 | 431.3 | 428.3 | 430.5 | 169.8 | 169.9 |
| 1997 | 441.1 | 438.7 | 441.1 | 436.6 | 167.3 | 167.8 |
| 1998 | 446.8 | 446.1 | 446.8 | 442.7 | 165.4 | 165.8 |
| 1999 | 443.8 | 444.2 | 443.8 | 442.0 | 165.9 | 165.4 |
| 2000 | 438.1 | 442.2 | 438.1 | 441.3 | 166.0 | 165.0 |
| 2001 | 442.7 | 440.3 | 442.7 | 440.6 | 163.8 | 164.6 |
| 2002 | 441.3 | 438.3 | 441.3 | 439.9 | 162.6 | 162.4 |
| 2003 | 433.0 | 436.4 | 433.0 | 439.2 | 160.4 | 160.2 |
| 2004 | 433.8 | 434.5 | 433.8 | 438.5 | 157.4 | 158.1 |
| 2005 | 434.6 | 435.1 | 434.6 | 437.8 | 156.0 | 155.9 |
| 2006 | 434.7 | 435.6 | 434.7 | 437.1 | 154.5 | 153.9 |
| 2007 | 436.4 | 436.2 | 435.8 | 436.4 | 151.9 | 151.8 |
| 2008 | 440.0 | 436.8 | 438.7 | 435.7 | 149.4 | 149.8 |
| 2009 | 444.1 | 437.3 | 442.2 | 435.1 | 147.5 | 147.8 |
| 2010 | 435.8 | 437.9 | 433.2 | 434.4 | 145.8 | 145.8 |
| 2011 | 436.5 | 438.5 | 433.4 | 433.7 | 143.4 | 143.9 |
| 2012 | 436.2 | 439.1 | 432.3 | 433.0 | 142.0 | 141.9 |
| 2013 | 435.3 | 439.6 | 430.0 | 432.3 | 139.8 | 140.0 |
| 2014 | 441.8 | 440.2 | 434.4 | 431.6 | 138.5 | 138.2 |
| 2015 | 443.3 | 440.8 | 431.0 | 430.9 | 136.5 | 136.3 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, 1975-2015, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence | Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER Incidence | Observed SEER Incidence Modeled (from Joinpoint) | U.S. Mortality | U.S. Mortality Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 356.9 | 343.4 | 356.9 | 343.7 | 174.2 | 177.2 |
| 1976 | 340.9 | 347.3 | 340.9 | 347.6 | 179.1 | 178.9 |
| 1977 | 352.6 | 351.3 | 352.6 | 351.5 | 181.6 | 180.7 |
| 1978 | 344.2 | 355.4 | 344.2 | 355.5 | 181.5 | 182.5 |
| 1979 | 359.3 | 359.5 | 359.3 | 359.6 | 182.7 | 184.4 |
| 1980 | 366.5 | 363.6 | 366.5 | 363.6 | 189.2 | 186.2 |
| 1981 | 363.0 | 367.8 | 363.0 | 367.8 | 187.5 | 188.1 |
| 1982 | 359.4 | 372.0 | 359.4 | 372.0 | 190.2 | 189.9 |
| 1983 | 382.4 | 376.3 | 382.4 | 376.2 | 193.2 | 191.8 |
| 1984 | 386.1 | 380.6 | 386.1 | 380.4 | 195.7 | 193.7 |
| 1985 | 388.6 | 385.0 | 388.6 | 384.8 | 196.3 | 195.7 |
| 1986 | 396.7 | 389.4 | 396.7 | 389.1 | 199.1 | 197.6 |
| 1987 | 394.3 | 393.9 | 394.3 | 393.6 | 199.9 | 199.6 |
| 1988 | 405.1 | 398.5 | 405.1 | 398.0 | 200.4 | 201.6 |
| 1989 | 385.3 | 403.0 | 385.3 | 402.5 | 200.9 | 203.6 |
| 1990 | 409.7 | 407.7 | 409.7 | 407.1 | 205.4 | 205.6 |
| 1991 | 412.9 | 412.4 | 412.9 | 411.7 | 207.4 | 207.7 |
| 1992 | 414.1 | 412.7 | 414.1 | 412.1 | 205.8 | 206.5 |
| 1993 | 404.7 | 412.9 | 404.7 | 412.4 | 206.3 | 205.4 |
| 1994 | 409.3 | 413.2 | 409.3 | 412.7 | 204.1 | 204.3 |
| 1995 | 405.1 | 413.5 | 405.1 | 413.0 | 204.5 | 203.1 |
| 1996 | 418.4 | 413.8 | 418.4 | 413.4 | 200.9 | 202.0 |
| 1997 | 412.0 | 414.1 | 412.0 | 413.7 | 202.5 | 200.9 |
| 1998 | 420.5 | 414.4 | 420.5 | 414.0 | 198.4 | 199.8 |
| 1999 | 422.9 | 414.7 | 422.9 | 414.3 | 197.5 | 198.6 |
| 2000 | 407.2 | 415.0 | 407.2 | 414.6 | 193.2 | 195.5 |
| 2001 | 402.9 | 415.2 | 402.9 | 415.0 | 192.1 | 192.4 |
| 2002 | 428.0 | 415.5 | 428.0 | 415.3 | 191.4 | 189.3 |
| 2003 | 414.4 | 415.8 | 414.4 | 415.6 | 188.8 | 186.3 |
| 2004 | 420.5 | 416.1 | 420.5 | 415.9 | 183.5 | 183.4 |
| 2005 | 422.1 | 416.4 | 422.1 | 416.3 | 180.9 | 180.5 |
| 2006 | 417.6 | 416.7 | 417.6 | 416.6 | 177.3 | 177.6 |
| 2007 | 417.9 | 417.0 | 416.8 | 416.9 | 175.5 | 174.8 |
| 2008 | 421.4 | 417.3 | 419.1 | 417.2 | 170.4 | 172.0 |
| 2009 | 427.3 | 417.6 | 423.9 | 417.6 | 167.4 | 169.3 |
| 2010 | 413.2 | 417.9 | 408.7 | 417.9 | 166.2 | 166.6 |
| 2011 | 421.9 | 418.1 | 416.2 | 418.2 | 166.1 | 164.0 |
| 2012 | 426.7 | 418.4 | 419.9 | 418.5 | 161.7 | 161.4 |
| 2013 | 413.2 | 418.7 | 404.8 | 410.1 | 158.5 | 158.8 |
| 2014 | 408.6 | 419.0 | 398.3 | 401.7 | 157.0 | 156.3 |
| 2015 | 413.2 | 419.3 | 397.4 | 393.6 | 152.6 | 153.8 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, All Ages, 1975-2015
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2008-15 | -2.1* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Male | 2008-15 | -2.4* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Male | 2000-15 | -1.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2008-15 | -3.4* |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Male | 2009-15 | -3.9* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Male | 2001-15 | -2.7* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, White, Female | 2004-15 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, White, Female | 1998-15 | -0.2* |
| U.S. Mortality, White, Female | 2001-15 | -1.3* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 1991-15 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER Incidence, Black, Female | 2012-15 | -2.0* |
| U.S. Mortality, Black, Female | 1999-15 | -1.6* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and US Mortality Files (National Center for Health Statistics, CDC). Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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