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Figure 2.6
Figure 2.6
SEER Observed Incidence and SEER Delay Adjusted Incidence Rates a
SEER 9 Areas Compared to SEER 13 Areas
All Cancer Sites, Female, by Race
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, All Races, Female, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 365.9 | 366.6 | 365.9 | 366.6 | ||||
| 1976 | 367.4 | 365.5 | 367.4 | 365.5 | ||||
| 1977 | 363.7 | 364.5 | 363.7 | 364.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 362.2 | 363.5 | 362.2 | 363.5 | ||||
| 1979 | 365.5 | 362.4 | 365.5 | 362.5 | ||||
| 1980 | 368.1 | 368.2 | 368.1 | 368.2 | ||||
| 1981 | 377.2 | 374.1 | 377.2 | 374.1 | ||||
| 1982 | 376.2 | 380.1 | 376.2 | 380.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 380.7 | 386.1 | 380.7 | 386.1 | ||||
| 1984 | 392.4 | 392.3 | 392.4 | 392.2 | ||||
| 1985 | 403.2 | 398.5 | 403.2 | 398.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 402.3 | 404.9 | 402.3 | 404.8 | ||||
| 1987 | 413.4 | 411.4 | 413.4 | 411.2 | ||||
| 1988 | 409.5 | 411.7 | 409.5 | 411.7 | ||||
| 1989 | 408.6 | 412.1 | 408.6 | 412.1 | ||||
| 1990 | 415.7 | 412.5 | 415.7 | 412.6 | ||||
| 1991 | 419.0 | 412.8 | 419.0 | 413.0 | ||||
| 1992 | 414.9 | 413.2 | 414.9 | 413.5 | 409.5 | 403.7 | 409.5 | 408.6 |
| 1993 | 408.3 | 413.6 | 408.3 | 413.9 | 405.6 | 407.1 | 405.6 | 407.3 |
| 1994 | 413.7 | 413.9 | 413.7 | 414.4 | 407.3 | 410.4 | 407.3 | 405.9 |
| 1995 | 415.1 | 414.3 | 415.1 | 414.9 | 410.8 | 413.8 | 410.8 | 410.8 |
| 1996 | 418.4 | 420.5 | 418.4 | 419.5 | 414.3 | 417.2 | 414.3 | 415.8 |
| 1997 | 428.6 | 426.8 | 428.6 | 424.3 | 421.9 | 420.7 | 421.9 | 420.8 |
| 1998 | 434.3 | 433.2 | 434.3 | 429.1 | 426.8 | 424.1 | 426.8 | 425.9 |
| 1999 | 431.0 | 430.8 | 431.0 | 428.3 | 423.9 | 421.5 | 423.9 | 422.8 |
| 2000 | 422.6 | 428.4 | 422.6 | 427.6 | 414.2 | 418.9 | 414.2 | 419.7 |
| 2001 | 427.5 | 426.0 | 427.5 | 426.9 | 418.8 | 416.4 | 418.8 | 416.7 |
| 2002 | 428.7 | 423.6 | 428.7 | 426.1 | 417.4 | 413.8 | 417.4 | 413.7 |
| 2003 | 417.9 | 421.2 | 417.9 | 425.4 | 407.3 | 411.3 | 407.3 | 410.7 |
| 2004 | 420.8 | 421.5 | 420.8 | 424.7 | 409.4 | 411.1 | 409.4 | 407.7 |
| 2005 | 420.3 | 421.8 | 420.3 | 424.0 | 410.1 | 411.0 | 410.1 | 409.2 |
| 2006 | 420.0 | 422.1 | 420.0 | 423.3 | 408.0 | 410.9 | 408.0 | 410.6 |
| 2007 | 422.1 | 422.4 | 421.6 | 422.5 | 411.7 | 410.7 | 411.1 | 412.1 |
| 2008 | 425.9 | 422.7 | 424.8 | 421.8 | 415.1 | 410.6 | 414.0 | 413.5 |
| 2009 | 430.9 | 423.0 | 429.3 | 421.1 | 417.8 | 410.5 | 416.2 | 411.6 |
| 2010 | 421.6 | 423.3 | 419.6 | 420.4 | 409.7 | 410.3 | 407.6 | 409.6 |
| 2011 | 422.4 | 423.6 | 419.8 | 419.7 | 408.7 | 410.2 | 406.0 | 407.7 |
| 2012 | 422.9 | 423.9 | 419.8 | 419.0 | 409.0 | 410.1 | 405.8 | 405.7 |
| 2013 | 420.7 | 424.2 | 416.3 | 418.2 | 406.5 | 409.9 | 402.1 | 403.8 |
| 2014 | 424.9 | 424.5 | 419.1 | 417.5 | 408.8 | 409.8 | 402.7 | 401.9 |
| 2015 | 425.6 | 424.8 | 416.2 | 416.8 | 410.8 | 409.7 | 401.0 | 400.0 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, White, Female, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 369.7 | 371.1 | 369.7 | 371.1 | ||||
| 1976 | 373.3 | 370.2 | 373.3 | 370.2 | ||||
| 1977 | 367.9 | 369.4 | 367.9 | 369.4 | ||||
| 1978 | 368.0 | 368.5 | 368.0 | 368.5 | ||||
| 1979 | 369.7 | 367.7 | 369.7 | 367.7 | ||||
| 1980 | 373.4 | 373.9 | 373.4 | 373.9 | ||||
| 1981 | 383.9 | 380.2 | 383.9 | 380.2 | ||||
| 1982 | 383.3 | 386.6 | 383.3 | 386.6 | ||||
| 1983 | 387.9 | 393.1 | 387.9 | 393.1 | ||||
| 1984 | 399.5 | 399.7 | 399.5 | 399.7 | ||||
| 1985 | 411.5 | 406.5 | 411.5 | 406.4 | ||||
| 1986 | 409.2 | 413.3 | 409.2 | 413.2 | ||||
| 1987 | 423.4 | 420.3 | 423.4 | 420.2 | ||||
| 1988 | 417.9 | 420.8 | 417.9 | 420.7 | ||||
| 1989 | 418.8 | 421.3 | 418.8 | 421.3 | ||||
| 1990 | 424.8 | 421.7 | 424.8 | 421.8 | ||||
| 1991 | 428.7 | 422.2 | 428.7 | 422.4 | ||||
| 1992 | 423.5 | 422.7 | 423.5 | 422.9 | 420.1 | 413.6 | 420.1 | 419.1 |
| 1993 | 417.0 | 423.2 | 417.0 | 423.5 | 415.8 | 417.7 | 415.8 | 417.9 |
| 1994 | 423.2 | 423.6 | 423.2 | 424.0 | 418.1 | 421.8 | 418.1 | 416.7 |
| 1995 | 426.3 | 424.1 | 426.3 | 424.6 | 423.7 | 426.0 | 423.7 | 422.6 |
| 1996 | 428.3 | 431.3 | 428.3 | 430.5 | 425.9 | 430.2 | 425.9 | 428.6 |
| 1997 | 441.1 | 438.7 | 441.1 | 436.6 | 435.2 | 434.5 | 435.2 | 434.7 |
| 1998 | 446.8 | 446.1 | 446.8 | 442.7 | 441.2 | 438.8 | 441.2 | 440.9 |
| 1999 | 443.8 | 444.2 | 443.8 | 442.0 | 438.8 | 436.3 | 438.8 | 437.8 |
| 2000 | 438.1 | 442.2 | 438.1 | 441.3 | 430.5 | 433.8 | 430.5 | 434.8 |
| 2001 | 442.7 | 440.3 | 442.7 | 440.6 | 435.3 | 431.2 | 435.3 | 431.8 |
| 2002 | 441.3 | 438.3 | 441.3 | 439.9 | 432.0 | 428.7 | 432.0 | 428.8 |
| 2003 | 433.0 | 436.4 | 433.0 | 439.2 | 423.0 | 426.3 | 423.0 | 425.9 |
| 2004 | 433.8 | 434.5 | 433.8 | 438.5 | 423.0 | 426.3 | 423.0 | 422.9 |
| 2005 | 434.6 | 435.1 | 434.6 | 437.8 | 425.4 | 426.3 | 425.4 | 424.4 |
| 2006 | 434.7 | 435.6 | 434.7 | 437.1 | 424.4 | 426.3 | 424.4 | 425.8 |
| 2007 | 436.4 | 436.2 | 435.8 | 436.4 | 427.0 | 426.3 | 426.4 | 427.3 |
| 2008 | 440.0 | 436.8 | 438.7 | 435.7 | 431.3 | 426.3 | 430.0 | 428.7 |
| 2009 | 444.1 | 437.3 | 442.2 | 435.1 | 433.3 | 426.3 | 431.3 | 426.8 |
| 2010 | 435.8 | 437.9 | 433.2 | 434.4 | 425.1 | 426.3 | 422.6 | 424.9 |
| 2011 | 436.5 | 438.5 | 433.4 | 433.7 | 423.9 | 426.3 | 420.7 | 423.0 |
| 2012 | 436.2 | 439.1 | 432.3 | 433.0 | 423.5 | 426.3 | 419.7 | 421.1 |
| 2013 | 435.3 | 439.6 | 430.0 | 432.3 | 422.1 | 426.3 | 416.9 | 419.2 |
| 2014 | 441.8 | 440.2 | 434.4 | 431.6 | 426.6 | 426.4 | 419.3 | 417.4 |
| 2015 | 443.3 | 440.8 | 431.0 | 430.9 | 429.2 | 426.4 | 417.1 | 415.5 |
Rates per 100,000 for All Sites, Black, Female, All Ages
| Year | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 | Observed SEER 9 Incidence 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 | Observed SEER 13 Incidence 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 356.9 | 343.4 | 356.9 | 343.7 | ||||
| 1976 | 340.9 | 347.3 | 340.9 | 347.6 | ||||
| 1977 | 352.6 | 351.3 | 352.6 | 351.5 | ||||
| 1978 | 344.2 | 355.4 | 344.2 | 355.5 | ||||
| 1979 | 359.3 | 359.5 | 359.3 | 359.6 | ||||
| 1980 | 366.5 | 363.6 | 366.5 | 363.6 | ||||
| 1981 | 363.0 | 367.8 | 363.0 | 367.8 | ||||
| 1982 | 359.4 | 372.0 | 359.4 | 372.0 | ||||
| 1983 | 382.4 | 376.3 | 382.4 | 376.2 | ||||
| 1984 | 386.1 | 380.6 | 386.1 | 380.4 | ||||
| 1985 | 388.6 | 385.0 | 388.6 | 384.8 | ||||
| 1986 | 396.7 | 389.4 | 396.7 | 389.1 | ||||
| 1987 | 394.3 | 393.9 | 394.3 | 393.6 | ||||
| 1988 | 405.1 | 398.5 | 405.1 | 398.0 | ||||
| 1989 | 385.3 | 403.0 | 385.3 | 402.5 | ||||
| 1990 | 409.7 | 407.7 | 409.7 | 407.1 | ||||
| 1991 | 412.9 | 412.4 | 412.9 | 411.7 | ||||
| 1992 | 414.1 | 412.7 | 414.1 | 412.1 | 402.1 | 411.0 | 402.1 | 409.5 |
| 1993 | 404.7 | 412.9 | 404.7 | 412.4 | 406.6 | 411.2 | 406.6 | 409.8 |
| 1994 | 409.3 | 413.2 | 409.3 | 412.7 | 409.9 | 411.4 | 409.9 | 410.1 |
| 1995 | 405.1 | 413.5 | 405.1 | 413.0 | 403.5 | 411.5 | 403.5 | 410.4 |
| 1996 | 418.4 | 413.8 | 418.4 | 413.4 | 417.7 | 411.7 | 417.7 | 410.7 |
| 1997 | 412.0 | 414.1 | 412.0 | 413.7 | 418.0 | 411.9 | 418.0 | 411.0 |
| 1998 | 420.5 | 414.4 | 420.5 | 414.0 | 417.3 | 412.0 | 417.3 | 411.3 |
| 1999 | 422.9 | 414.7 | 422.9 | 414.3 | 420.0 | 412.2 | 420.0 | 411.6 |
| 2000 | 407.2 | 415.0 | 407.2 | 414.6 | 405.2 | 412.4 | 405.2 | 411.9 |
| 2001 | 402.9 | 415.2 | 402.9 | 415.0 | 401.2 | 412.5 | 401.2 | 412.2 |
| 2002 | 428.0 | 415.5 | 428.0 | 415.3 | 415.9 | 412.7 | 415.9 | 412.5 |
| 2003 | 414.4 | 415.8 | 414.4 | 415.6 | 411.0 | 412.9 | 411.0 | 412.8 |
| 2004 | 420.5 | 416.1 | 420.5 | 415.9 | 419.9 | 413.0 | 419.9 | 413.1 |
| 2005 | 422.1 | 416.4 | 422.1 | 416.3 | 417.3 | 413.2 | 417.3 | 413.4 |
| 2006 | 417.6 | 416.7 | 417.6 | 416.6 | 413.0 | 413.4 | 413.0 | 413.6 |
| 2007 | 417.9 | 417.0 | 416.8 | 416.9 | 416.0 | 413.5 | 414.5 | 413.9 |
| 2008 | 421.4 | 417.3 | 419.1 | 417.2 | 413.2 | 413.7 | 410.1 | 414.2 |
| 2009 | 427.3 | 417.6 | 423.9 | 417.6 | 425.2 | 413.9 | 420.6 | 414.5 |
| 2010 | 413.2 | 417.9 | 408.7 | 417.9 | 413.8 | 414.1 | 407.7 | 414.8 |
| 2011 | 421.9 | 418.1 | 416.2 | 418.2 | 422.1 | 414.2 | 414.4 | 415.1 |
| 2012 | 426.7 | 418.4 | 419.9 | 418.5 | 419.3 | 414.4 | 410.3 | 407.8 |
| 2013 | 413.2 | 418.7 | 404.8 | 410.1 | 406.5 | 414.6 | 395.8 | 400.7 |
| 2014 | 408.6 | 419.0 | 398.3 | 401.7 | 407.0 | 414.7 | 393.7 | 393.6 |
| 2015 | 413.2 | 419.3 | 397.4 | 393.6 | 407.2 | 414.9 | 388.4 | 386.7 |
Annual Percent Changes for the most recent trend in the data series as calculated by Joinpoint
All Sites, Female, All Ages
| Data Series | Year Range for APC | APC |
|---|---|---|
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2015 | 2003-15 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, All Races, 1975-2015 | 1998-15 | -0.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2015 | 2003-15 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, All Races, 1992-2015 | 2008-15 | -0.5* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2015 | 2004-15 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, White, 1975-2015 | 1998-15 | -0.2* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2015 | 2003-15 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, White, 1992-2015 | 2008-15 | -0.4* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2015 | 1991-15 | 0.1 |
| Observed SEER 9 Incidence, Black, 1975-2015 | 2012-15 | -2.0* |
| Delay-Adjusted SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2015 | 1992-15 | 0.0 |
| Observed SEER 13 Incidence, Black, 1992-2015 | 2011-15 | -1.8* |
Footnotes:
a Source: SEER 9 areas and SEER 13 areas. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines and APCs are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute.
The APC is the Annual Percent Change for the regression line segments.
* The APC is significantly different from zero (p < 0.05).
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