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Figure 4.4
Figure 4.4
SEER Incidence and US Death Rates a
Cancer of the Female Breast
Joinpoint Analyses for Whites and Blacks from 1975-2015 and for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics from 1992-2015
Rates per 100,000 for Breast, Observed SEER Incidence, Female, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2015 | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2015 | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd 1992-2015 | Hispanicd 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 107.4 | 105.9 | 93.6 | 84.2 | ||||||
| 1976 | 104.8 | 105.4 | 85.7 | 86.1 | ||||||
| 1977 | 103.3 | 104.9 | 87.1 | 88.1 | ||||||
| 1978 | 103.6 | 104.4 | 86.1 | 90.1 | ||||||
| 1979 | 104.7 | 103.9 | 86.9 | 92.2 | ||||||
| 1980 | 105.1 | 103.4 | 89.5 | 94.3 | ||||||
| 1981 | 109.9 | 107.6 | 94.3 | 96.4 | ||||||
| 1982 | 109.9 | 112.0 | 93.6 | 98.6 | ||||||
| 1983 | 114.4 | 116.6 | 103.8 | 100.9 | ||||||
| 1984 | 119.9 | 121.4 | 102.4 | 103.2 | ||||||
| 1985 | 127.8 | 126.4 | 111.8 | 105.5 | ||||||
| 1986 | 130.4 | 131.5 | 115.3 | 107.9 | ||||||
| 1987 | 140.3 | 136.9 | 109.6 | 110.4 | ||||||
| 1988 | 136.3 | 136.6 | 119.0 | 112.9 | ||||||
| 1989 | 132.4 | 136.3 | 105.3 | 115.4 | ||||||
| 1990 | 136.3 | 135.9 | 118.9 | 118.1 | ||||||
| 1991 | 138.9 | 135.6 | 117.7 | 120.8 | ||||||
| 1992 | 135.7 | 135.3 | 124.2 | 121.1 | 91.1 | 91.1 | 98.7 | 94.8 | 89.8 | 86.4 |
| 1993 | 133.1 | 135.0 | 119.5 | 121.4 | 87.0 | 86.9 | 98.2 | 95.0 | 81.8 | 86.7 |
| 1994 | 135.7 | 134.7 | 122.9 | 121.7 | 84.0 | 83.0 | 87.4 | 95.1 | 81.6 | 86.9 |
| 1995 | 137.6 | 137.3 | 123.9 | 122.1 | 88.5 | 88.6 | 97.2 | 95.3 | 84.5 | 87.1 |
| 1996 | 138.3 | 140.0 | 124.5 | 122.4 | 92.0 | 94.6 | 119.2 | 95.5 | 88.6 | 87.4 |
| 1997 | 142.7 | 142.8 | 126.3 | 122.7 | 101.8 | 101.1 | 85.2 | 95.6 | 88.1 | 87.6 |
| 1998 | 146.6 | 145.6 | 126.2 | 123.1 | 101.4 | 100.5 | 93.2 | 95.8 | 91.8 | 87.8 |
| 1999 | 147.1 | 148.5 | 126.7 | 123.4 | 100.8 | 99.9 | 86.0 | 96.0 | 91.0 | 88.1 |
| 2000 | 143.0 | 145.0 | 119.2 | 123.7 | 95.3 | 99.2 | 100.2 | 96.1 | 93.2 | 88.3 |
| 2001 | 145.0 | 141.5 | 116.4 | 124.1 | 101.9 | 98.6 | 96.6 | 96.3 | 87.7 | 88.6 |
| 2002 | 141.3 | 138.1 | 124.3 | 124.4 | 101.2 | 98.0 | 82.9 | 96.5 | 91.3 | 88.8 |
| 2003 | 131.9 | 134.8 | 123.9 | 124.7 | 92.6 | 97.4 | 95.9 | 96.6 | 86.1 | 89.1 |
| 2004 | 132.1 | 131.5 | 124.4 | 125.1 | 97.8 | 96.8 | 103.1 | 96.8 | 88.4 | 89.3 |
| 2005 | 131.4 | 131.7 | 118.8 | 125.4 | 96.1 | 96.2 | 107.0 | 97.0 | 90.6 | 89.5 |
| 2006 | 130.5 | 131.9 | 125.6 | 125.7 | 93.0 | 97.4 | 88.4 | 97.1 | 88.0 | 89.8 |
| 2007 | 132.5 | 132.1 | 125.0 | 126.1 | 100.4 | 98.6 | 91.5 | 97.3 | 89.1 | 90.0 |
| 2008 | 131.6 | 132.3 | 128.5 | 126.4 | 103.1 | 99.7 | 90.2 | 97.5 | 89.6 | 90.3 |
| 2009 | 134.4 | 132.5 | 129.7 | 126.8 | 100.5 | 100.9 | 100.5 | 97.7 | 88.5 | 90.5 |
| 2010 | 130.8 | 132.7 | 122.8 | 127.1 | 101.3 | 102.2 | 91.7 | 97.8 | 85.8 | 90.8 |
| 2011 | 133.8 | 132.9 | 128.5 | 127.4 | 103.5 | 103.4 | 105.7 | 98.0 | 95.9 | 91.0 |
| 2012 | 132.7 | 133.1 | 133.3 | 127.8 | 105.0 | 104.6 | 100.9 | 98.2 | 92.2 | 91.3 |
| 2013 | 133.5 | 133.3 | 129.2 | 128.1 | 109.4 | 105.9 | 91.4 | 98.3 | 93.3 | 91.5 |
| 2014 | 133.7 | 133.5 | 127.5 | 128.5 | 105.6 | 107.2 | 102.8 | 98.5 | 92.2 | 91.8 |
| 2015 | 133.8 | 133.7 | 128.2 | 128.8 | 106.6 | 108.5 | 102.8 | 98.7 | 90.3 | 92.0 |
Rates per 100,000 for Breast, U.S. Mortality, Female, All Ages
| Year | White 1975-2015 | White 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Black 1975-2015 | Black 1975-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2015 | Asian/Pacific Islander 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2015 | American Indian/Alaska Nativec 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) | Hispanicd 1992-2015 | Hispanicd 1992-2015 Modeled (from Joinpoint) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 31.8 | 31.8 | 29.5 | 30.4 | ||||||
| 1976 | 32.2 | 31.9 | 30.5 | 30.9 | ||||||
| 1977 | 32.7 | 32.0 | 32.8 | 31.3 | ||||||
| 1978 | 31.9 | 32.1 | 32.1 | 31.7 | ||||||
| 1979 | 31.5 | 32.2 | 30.8 | 32.2 | ||||||
| 1980 | 31.9 | 32.2 | 31.7 | 32.6 | ||||||
| 1981 | 32.1 | 32.3 | 32.6 | 33.1 | ||||||
| 1982 | 32.3 | 32.4 | 33.7 | 33.5 | ||||||
| 1983 | 32.2 | 32.5 | 33.5 | 34.0 | ||||||
| 1984 | 32.9 | 32.6 | 35.9 | 34.4 | ||||||
| 1985 | 33.1 | 32.7 | 34.9 | 34.9 | ||||||
| 1986 | 32.9 | 32.7 | 35.4 | 35.4 | ||||||
| 1987 | 32.6 | 32.8 | 36.7 | 35.9 | ||||||
| 1988 | 33.1 | 32.9 | 37.8 | 36.4 | ||||||
| 1989 | 33.2 | 33.0 | 36.6 | 36.9 | ||||||
| 1990 | 33.0 | 33.1 | 38.0 | 37.4 | ||||||
| 1991 | 32.4 | 32.4 | 38.3 | 37.9 | ||||||
| 1992 | 31.4 | 31.8 | 37.1 | 38.4 | 13.0 | 13.4 | 16.3 | 17.8 | 18.9 | 18.2 |
| 1993 | 31.1 | 31.2 | 38.0 | 38.9 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 17.9 | 17.7 | 17.9 | 18.4 |
| 1994 | 30.6 | 30.6 | 37.7 | 38.3 | 14.6 | 13.2 | 16.4 | 17.5 | 18.1 | 18.7 |
| 1995 | 30.1 | 30.0 | 38.2 | 37.8 | 13.9 | 13.1 | 15.4 | 17.4 | 18.8 | 18.9 |
| 1996 | 29.0 | 28.9 | 37.1 | 37.2 | 12.3 | 13.0 | 19.3 | 17.2 | 19.4 | 19.1 |
| 1997 | 27.6 | 27.8 | 37.4 | 36.6 | 12.3 | 12.9 | 16.8 | 17.1 | 18.7 | 18.4 |
| 1998 | 27.0 | 26.8 | 35.5 | 36.1 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 16.1 | 16.9 | 18.0 | 17.7 |
| 1999 | 26.0 | 26.3 | 35.2 | 35.5 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 17.3 | 16.8 | 16.6 | 17.1 |
| 2000 | 26.2 | 25.8 | 34.4 | 35.0 | 12.1 | 12.6 | 15.2 | 16.7 | 16.8 | 16.5 |
| 2001 | 25.4 | 25.4 | 34.5 | 34.4 | 12.9 | 12.5 | 12.8 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 16.3 |
| 2002 | 25.0 | 24.9 | 34.1 | 33.9 | 12.9 | 12.4 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 15.8 | 16.1 |
| 2003 | 24.7 | 24.4 | 34.1 | 33.4 | 12.6 | 12.3 | 18.5 | 16.2 | 16.4 | 15.9 |
| 2004 | 23.9 | 24.0 | 32.3 | 32.9 | 12.7 | 12.2 | 19.0 | 16.1 | 16.0 | 15.7 |
| 2005 | 23.5 | 23.5 | 32.8 | 32.4 | 12.3 | 12.1 | 20.7 | 16.0 | 15.4 | 15.6 |
| 2006 | 23.0 | 23.1 | 31.6 | 31.9 | 12.1 | 12.0 | 16.2 | 15.8 | 15.4 | 15.4 |
| 2007 | 22.4 | 22.7 | 31.4 | 31.4 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 16.3 | 15.7 | 14.9 | 15.2 |
| 2008 | 22.0 | 22.3 | 31.0 | 30.9 | 11.5 | 11.8 | 15.3 | 15.6 | 14.7 | 15.0 |
| 2009 | 21.8 | 21.8 | 30.2 | 30.5 | 11.1 | 11.7 | 15.9 | 15.4 | 14.9 | 14.9 |
| 2010 | 21.3 | 21.4 | 30.2 | 30.0 | 11.7 | 11.6 | 14.2 | 15.3 | 14.3 | 14.7 |
| 2011 | 20.9 | 21.0 | 30.2 | 29.5 | 11.2 | 11.5 | 14.9 | 15.2 | 14.1 | 14.5 |
| 2012 | 20.7 | 20.7 | 29.4 | 29.1 | 11.3 | 11.5 | 14.9 | 15.1 | 14.7 | 14.4 |
| 2013 | 20.3 | 20.3 | 28.2 | 28.6 | 11.1 | 11.4 | 13.5 | 14.9 | 14.6 | 14.2 |
| 2014 | 20.0 | 19.9 | 28.1 | 28.2 | 11.6 | 11.3 | 13.2 | 14.8 | 14.7 | 14.1 |
| 2015 | 19.8 | 19.5 | 27.6 | 27.8 | 11.8 | 11.2 | 15.2 | 14.7 | 13.6 | 13.9 |
Footnotes:
Source: Incidence data for whites and blacks are from the SEER 9 areas (San Francisco, Connecticut, Detroit, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, Seattle, Utah, Atlanta). Incidence data for Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indians/Alaska Natives and Hispanics are from the SEER 13 Areas (SEER 9 Areas, San Jose-Monterey, Los Angeles, Alaska Native Registry and Rural Georgia).
Mortality data are from US Mortality Files, National Center for Health Statistics, CDC.
a Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US Std Population (19 age groups - Census P25-1103).
Regression lines are calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program Version 4.6, February 2018, National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint analyses for Whites and Blacks during the 1975-2014 period allow a maximum of 5 joinpoints. Analyses for other ethnic groups during the period 1992-2014 allow a maximum of 4 joinpoints.
c Rates for American Indian/Alaska Native are based on the CHSDA(Contract Health Service Delivery Area) counties.
d Hispanic is not mutually exclusive from whites, blacks, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Incidence data for Hispanics are based on NHIA and exclude cases from the Alaska Native Registry. Mortality data for Hispanics exclude cases from New Hampshire and Oklahoma.
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